Toward the African Continental Free Trade Area : The Effects of Economic Integration and Democracy on Real Misalignments across Exchange Rate Regimes

This paper evaluates the role of economic integration and democracy in rationalizing differences in real exchange rate misalignments across exchange rate regimes in Africa. To this end, the paper derives competing indexes of misalignment using mode...

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Main Authors: Owoundi Fouda, Ferdinand, Avom, Desire, Kuete, Flora Yselle
Format: Working Paper
Language:English
Published: World Bank, Washington, DC 2021
Subjects:
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/451191613569046516/Toward-the-African-Continental-Free-Trade-Area-The-Effects-of-Economic-Integration-and-Democracy-on-Real-Misalignments-across-Exchange-Rate-Regimes
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/35144
id okr-10986-35144
recordtype oai_dc
spelling okr-10986-351442022-09-20T00:09:29Z Toward the African Continental Free Trade Area : The Effects of Economic Integration and Democracy on Real Misalignments across Exchange Rate Regimes Owoundi Fouda, Ferdinand Avom, Desire Kuete, Flora Yselle ACFTA FREE TRADE AGREEMENT REGIONAL INTEGRATION EXCHANGE RATE REGIME DEMOCRACY INVESTMENT AGREEMENT TRADE AND INVESTMENT AFRICAN CONTINENTAL FREE TRADE AGREEMENT This paper evaluates the role of economic integration and democracy in rationalizing differences in real exchange rate misalignments across exchange rate regimes in Africa. To this end, the paper derives competing indexes of misalignment using modern cointegration techniques while accounting for cross-sectional dependence. The findings indicate that fixed regimes per se are not prone to more misalignments, as institutional quality and economic links with foreign partners critically matter in explaining the observed discrepancies. Furthermore, when distinguishing between African and international partners in investment agreements, the extent of misalignment differs according to the level of democracy, as democratic countries can afford intermediate regimes, while for weak democracies, fixed regimes are required to curb disequilibria. Finally, membership in a regional economic community significantly reduces the magnitude of misalignments. The results imply that the quality of institutions, more than the type of the exchange rate regime, is called into question and should be the focus of efforts ahead of successful implementation of the African Continental Free Trade Area. 2021-02-18T14:46:27Z 2021-02-18T14:46:27Z 2021-02 Working Paper http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/451191613569046516/Toward-the-African-Continental-Free-Trade-Area-The-Effects-of-Economic-Integration-and-Democracy-on-Real-Misalignments-across-Exchange-Rate-Regimes http://hdl.handle.net/10986/35144 English Policy Research Working Paper;No. 9548 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo World Bank World Bank, Washington, DC Publications & Research Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper Africa Sub-Saharan Africa
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
topic ACFTA
FREE TRADE AGREEMENT
REGIONAL INTEGRATION
EXCHANGE RATE REGIME
DEMOCRACY
INVESTMENT AGREEMENT
TRADE AND INVESTMENT
AFRICAN CONTINENTAL FREE TRADE AGREEMENT
spellingShingle ACFTA
FREE TRADE AGREEMENT
REGIONAL INTEGRATION
EXCHANGE RATE REGIME
DEMOCRACY
INVESTMENT AGREEMENT
TRADE AND INVESTMENT
AFRICAN CONTINENTAL FREE TRADE AGREEMENT
Owoundi Fouda, Ferdinand
Avom, Desire
Kuete, Flora Yselle
Toward the African Continental Free Trade Area : The Effects of Economic Integration and Democracy on Real Misalignments across Exchange Rate Regimes
geographic_facet Africa
Sub-Saharan Africa
relation Policy Research Working Paper;No. 9548
description This paper evaluates the role of economic integration and democracy in rationalizing differences in real exchange rate misalignments across exchange rate regimes in Africa. To this end, the paper derives competing indexes of misalignment using modern cointegration techniques while accounting for cross-sectional dependence. The findings indicate that fixed regimes per se are not prone to more misalignments, as institutional quality and economic links with foreign partners critically matter in explaining the observed discrepancies. Furthermore, when distinguishing between African and international partners in investment agreements, the extent of misalignment differs according to the level of democracy, as democratic countries can afford intermediate regimes, while for weak democracies, fixed regimes are required to curb disequilibria. Finally, membership in a regional economic community significantly reduces the magnitude of misalignments. The results imply that the quality of institutions, more than the type of the exchange rate regime, is called into question and should be the focus of efforts ahead of successful implementation of the African Continental Free Trade Area.
format Working Paper
author Owoundi Fouda, Ferdinand
Avom, Desire
Kuete, Flora Yselle
author_facet Owoundi Fouda, Ferdinand
Avom, Desire
Kuete, Flora Yselle
author_sort Owoundi Fouda, Ferdinand
title Toward the African Continental Free Trade Area : The Effects of Economic Integration and Democracy on Real Misalignments across Exchange Rate Regimes
title_short Toward the African Continental Free Trade Area : The Effects of Economic Integration and Democracy on Real Misalignments across Exchange Rate Regimes
title_full Toward the African Continental Free Trade Area : The Effects of Economic Integration and Democracy on Real Misalignments across Exchange Rate Regimes
title_fullStr Toward the African Continental Free Trade Area : The Effects of Economic Integration and Democracy on Real Misalignments across Exchange Rate Regimes
title_full_unstemmed Toward the African Continental Free Trade Area : The Effects of Economic Integration and Democracy on Real Misalignments across Exchange Rate Regimes
title_sort toward the african continental free trade area : the effects of economic integration and democracy on real misalignments across exchange rate regimes
publisher World Bank, Washington, DC
publishDate 2021
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/451191613569046516/Toward-the-African-Continental-Free-Trade-Area-The-Effects-of-Economic-Integration-and-Democracy-on-Real-Misalignments-across-Exchange-Rate-Regimes
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/35144
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