The Value of Surface-based Meteorological Observation Data

Weather forecasting generates significant societal benefits, which can be increased by improving accuracy and lead-time through better meteorological monitoring, modeling and computing. Forecasting relies on numerical weather prediction (NWP),...

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Main Authors: Kull, Daniel, Riishojgaard, Lars Peter, Eyre, John, Varley, Robert A.
Format: Working Paper
Language:English
Published: World Bank, Washington, DC 2021
Subjects:
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/192461614151036836/The-Value-of-Surface-based-Meteorological-Observation-Data
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/35178
id okr-10986-35178
recordtype oai_dc
spelling okr-10986-351782021-04-23T14:02:18Z The Value of Surface-based Meteorological Observation Data Kull, Daniel Riishojgaard, Lars Peter Eyre, John Varley, Robert A. WEATHER FORECASTING METEOROLOGY WEATHER OBSERVATION WEATHER PREDICTION GLOBAL BASIC OBSERVING NETWORK SOCIOECONOMIC BENEFITS COST-BENEFIT ANALYSIS GLOBAL PUBLIC GOODS Weather forecasting generates significant societal benefits, which can be increased by improving accuracy and lead-time through better meteorological monitoring, modeling and computing. Forecasting relies on numerical weather prediction (NWP), which is significantly impacted by the availability of meteorological observations, with space-based observations being the most important. Surface-based observations also contribute substantially to NWP performance, but current availability in Antarctica, Africa, South America, the Pacific and parts of Asia is insufficient. More observations from these regions would improve global NWP and forecasting quality, particularly in the data-sparse regions themselves, but also over the rest of the globe. It is estimated that improvements in the coverage and exchange of surface-based observations to meet the World Meteorological Organization’s Global Basic Observing Network (GBON) specification can deliver additional global socioeconomic benefits of over five billion annually. This is a conservative estimate omitting non-financial benefits such as potential lives saved and improvements to well-being, so underestimates the full benefits, particularly for developing countries. Investing in improving surface-based observations in data sparse regions is also highly economically efficient, yielding a global benefit to cost ratio of over twenty-five. Assuming sufficient observational coverage, international data exchange is a very efficient multiplier of the value of observations. However, exchange is currently insufficient across all regions. In view of the growing climate- and weather-related challenges facing humanity and recognizing that climate services similarly rely on meteorological monitoring, surface-based observations should be treated as a critical public good, with public oversight and open exchange within the meteorological and climatological communities. 2021-02-24T14:41:21Z 2021-02-24T14:41:21Z 2021 Working Paper http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/192461614151036836/The-Value-of-Surface-based-Meteorological-Observation-Data http://hdl.handle.net/10986/35178 English CC BY-NC-ND 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/3.0/igo World Bank, WMO, and British Crown, Met Office World Bank, Washington, DC Publications & Research Publications & Research :: Working Paper
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
topic WEATHER FORECASTING
METEOROLOGY
WEATHER OBSERVATION
WEATHER PREDICTION
GLOBAL BASIC OBSERVING NETWORK
SOCIOECONOMIC BENEFITS
COST-BENEFIT ANALYSIS
GLOBAL PUBLIC GOODS
spellingShingle WEATHER FORECASTING
METEOROLOGY
WEATHER OBSERVATION
WEATHER PREDICTION
GLOBAL BASIC OBSERVING NETWORK
SOCIOECONOMIC BENEFITS
COST-BENEFIT ANALYSIS
GLOBAL PUBLIC GOODS
Kull, Daniel
Riishojgaard, Lars Peter
Eyre, John
Varley, Robert A.
The Value of Surface-based Meteorological Observation Data
description Weather forecasting generates significant societal benefits, which can be increased by improving accuracy and lead-time through better meteorological monitoring, modeling and computing. Forecasting relies on numerical weather prediction (NWP), which is significantly impacted by the availability of meteorological observations, with space-based observations being the most important. Surface-based observations also contribute substantially to NWP performance, but current availability in Antarctica, Africa, South America, the Pacific and parts of Asia is insufficient. More observations from these regions would improve global NWP and forecasting quality, particularly in the data-sparse regions themselves, but also over the rest of the globe. It is estimated that improvements in the coverage and exchange of surface-based observations to meet the World Meteorological Organization’s Global Basic Observing Network (GBON) specification can deliver additional global socioeconomic benefits of over five billion annually. This is a conservative estimate omitting non-financial benefits such as potential lives saved and improvements to well-being, so underestimates the full benefits, particularly for developing countries. Investing in improving surface-based observations in data sparse regions is also highly economically efficient, yielding a global benefit to cost ratio of over twenty-five. Assuming sufficient observational coverage, international data exchange is a very efficient multiplier of the value of observations. However, exchange is currently insufficient across all regions. In view of the growing climate- and weather-related challenges facing humanity and recognizing that climate services similarly rely on meteorological monitoring, surface-based observations should be treated as a critical public good, with public oversight and open exchange within the meteorological and climatological communities.
format Working Paper
author Kull, Daniel
Riishojgaard, Lars Peter
Eyre, John
Varley, Robert A.
author_facet Kull, Daniel
Riishojgaard, Lars Peter
Eyre, John
Varley, Robert A.
author_sort Kull, Daniel
title The Value of Surface-based Meteorological Observation Data
title_short The Value of Surface-based Meteorological Observation Data
title_full The Value of Surface-based Meteorological Observation Data
title_fullStr The Value of Surface-based Meteorological Observation Data
title_full_unstemmed The Value of Surface-based Meteorological Observation Data
title_sort value of surface-based meteorological observation data
publisher World Bank, Washington, DC
publishDate 2021
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/192461614151036836/The-Value-of-Surface-based-Meteorological-Observation-Data
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/35178
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