Mozambique Economic Update, February 2021 : Setting the Stage for Recovery

The global pandemic has taken a heavy toll on Mozambique’s economy. In 2020, the country experienced its first economic contraction in nearly three decades. COVID-19 (coronavirus) hit the economy as it was attempting to recover from the slowdown tr...

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Main Author: World Bank
Format: Report
Language:English
Published: Washington, DC: World Bank 2021
Subjects:
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/931171614625070870/Mozambique-Economic-Update-Setting-the-Stage-for-Recovery
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/35214
id okr-10986-35214
recordtype oai_dc
spelling okr-10986-352142021-06-14T09:53:56Z Mozambique Economic Update, February 2021 : Setting the Stage for Recovery World Bank ECONOMIC GROWTH EXCHANGE RATE INFLATION EXTERNAL SECTOR FISCAL POLICY MONETARY POLICY ECONOMIC OUTLOOK CORONAVIRUS COVID-19 PANDEMIC IMPACT PANDEMIC RESPONSE FIRM SALES REVENUE EMPLOYMENT HOUSEHOLD WELFARE INCOME LOSS UTILITY PRICES WORKFORCE MEASURE VULNERABLE POPULATION POVERTY URBAN POOR SCHOOL CLOSURE The global pandemic has taken a heavy toll on Mozambique’s economy. In 2020, the country experienced its first economic contraction in nearly three decades. COVID-19 (coronavirus) hit the economy as it was attempting to recover from the slowdown triggered by the hidden debt crisis and the tropical cyclones in 2019. Real gross domestic product (GDP) contracted by 1.3 percent in 2020, compared to a pre-Covid estimate of 4.3 percent, as external demand declined, domestic lockdown measures disrupted supply chains and depressed domestic demand, and liquified natural gas (LNG) investments were delayed. COVID-19 has caused a sudden income loss for enterprises and households, worsening living conditions, especially for the urban poor largely engaged in the informal sector. According to the National Institute of Statistics, as of June 2020, about 120,000 jobs were lost and 63,000 employment contracts suspended, with women being the most affected. Around 3 percent of the firms affected were forced to cease their activity. Services activities are the hardest hit. The tourism and hospitality industries have particularly suffered a steep decline in revenues. COVID-19 has jeopardized years of hard-won development gains, with about one million people estimated to have slipped into poverty in 2020 (as measured by the international poverty line of 1.90 US Dollars per day). While there is great uncertainty about the path of the pandemic, the economy is expected to gradually recover from 2021 as aggregate demand rebounds and LNG investments and extractive production gain momentum. Despite the expected recovery, the widespread deployment of COVID-19 vaccines will be at the core of a resilient recovery. This Economic Update explores the implications of COVID-19 for the economy, businesses and households. It makes recommendations for moving forward—in the short-term relief phase, as well as over the medium and longer term in order to 'build back better'. 2021-03-04T15:27:13Z 2021-03-04T15:27:13Z 2021-02 Report http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/931171614625070870/Mozambique-Economic-Update-Setting-the-Stage-for-Recovery http://hdl.handle.net/10986/35214 English CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo World Bank Washington, DC: World Bank Economic & Sector Work Economic & Sector Work :: Economic Updates and Modeling Africa Africa Eastern and Southern (AFE) Mozambique
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
topic ECONOMIC GROWTH
EXCHANGE RATE
INFLATION
EXTERNAL SECTOR
FISCAL POLICY
MONETARY POLICY
ECONOMIC OUTLOOK
CORONAVIRUS
COVID-19
PANDEMIC IMPACT
PANDEMIC RESPONSE
FIRM SALES REVENUE
EMPLOYMENT
HOUSEHOLD WELFARE
INCOME LOSS
UTILITY PRICES
WORKFORCE MEASURE
VULNERABLE POPULATION
POVERTY
URBAN POOR
SCHOOL CLOSURE
spellingShingle ECONOMIC GROWTH
EXCHANGE RATE
INFLATION
EXTERNAL SECTOR
FISCAL POLICY
MONETARY POLICY
ECONOMIC OUTLOOK
CORONAVIRUS
COVID-19
PANDEMIC IMPACT
PANDEMIC RESPONSE
FIRM SALES REVENUE
EMPLOYMENT
HOUSEHOLD WELFARE
INCOME LOSS
UTILITY PRICES
WORKFORCE MEASURE
VULNERABLE POPULATION
POVERTY
URBAN POOR
SCHOOL CLOSURE
World Bank
Mozambique Economic Update, February 2021 : Setting the Stage for Recovery
geographic_facet Africa
Africa Eastern and Southern (AFE)
Mozambique
description The global pandemic has taken a heavy toll on Mozambique’s economy. In 2020, the country experienced its first economic contraction in nearly three decades. COVID-19 (coronavirus) hit the economy as it was attempting to recover from the slowdown triggered by the hidden debt crisis and the tropical cyclones in 2019. Real gross domestic product (GDP) contracted by 1.3 percent in 2020, compared to a pre-Covid estimate of 4.3 percent, as external demand declined, domestic lockdown measures disrupted supply chains and depressed domestic demand, and liquified natural gas (LNG) investments were delayed. COVID-19 has caused a sudden income loss for enterprises and households, worsening living conditions, especially for the urban poor largely engaged in the informal sector. According to the National Institute of Statistics, as of June 2020, about 120,000 jobs were lost and 63,000 employment contracts suspended, with women being the most affected. Around 3 percent of the firms affected were forced to cease their activity. Services activities are the hardest hit. The tourism and hospitality industries have particularly suffered a steep decline in revenues. COVID-19 has jeopardized years of hard-won development gains, with about one million people estimated to have slipped into poverty in 2020 (as measured by the international poverty line of 1.90 US Dollars per day). While there is great uncertainty about the path of the pandemic, the economy is expected to gradually recover from 2021 as aggregate demand rebounds and LNG investments and extractive production gain momentum. Despite the expected recovery, the widespread deployment of COVID-19 vaccines will be at the core of a resilient recovery. This Economic Update explores the implications of COVID-19 for the economy, businesses and households. It makes recommendations for moving forward—in the short-term relief phase, as well as over the medium and longer term in order to 'build back better'.
format Report
author World Bank
author_facet World Bank
author_sort World Bank
title Mozambique Economic Update, February 2021 : Setting the Stage for Recovery
title_short Mozambique Economic Update, February 2021 : Setting the Stage for Recovery
title_full Mozambique Economic Update, February 2021 : Setting the Stage for Recovery
title_fullStr Mozambique Economic Update, February 2021 : Setting the Stage for Recovery
title_full_unstemmed Mozambique Economic Update, February 2021 : Setting the Stage for Recovery
title_sort mozambique economic update, february 2021 : setting the stage for recovery
publisher Washington, DC: World Bank
publishDate 2021
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/931171614625070870/Mozambique-Economic-Update-Setting-the-Stage-for-Recovery
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/35214
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