South Sudan Economic Update, December 2020 : Socioeconomic Impacts of COVID-19

The South Sudan economy had recorded a strong growth pickup before the COVID-19 pandemic, with real GDP growth estimated at 9.3% in FY2019/20 but a contraction of -3.4% is projected in FY2020/21. Oil production was estimated at 62.1 million barrels in FY2019/20, representing a 26.5% increase from 49...

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Main Author: World Bank
Format: Report
Language:English
Published: World Bank, Washington, DC 2021
Subjects:
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/440961614950205838/South-Sudan-Economic-Update-Socioeconomic-Impacts-of-COVID-19
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/35217
id okr-10986-35217
recordtype oai_dc
spelling okr-10986-352172021-09-21T14:04:14Z South Sudan Economic Update, December 2020 : Socioeconomic Impacts of COVID-19 World Bank CONFLICT-AFFECTED STATES CORONOAVIRUS COVID-19 PANDEMIC IMPACT ECONOMIC GROWTH ECONOMIC SHOCK OIL PRICES EXCHANGE RATE FINANCIAL SECTOR DEVELOPMENT FISCAL TRENDS TRADE EXTERNAL SECTOR ECONOMIC OUTLOOK LIVING STANDARDS SOCIOECONOMIC IMPACT LIVELIHOODS SERVICE DELIVERY DISPLACED PERSONS INCOME LOSS The South Sudan economy had recorded a strong growth pickup before the COVID-19 pandemic, with real GDP growth estimated at 9.3% in FY2019/20 but a contraction of -3.4% is projected in FY2020/21. Oil production was estimated at 62.1 million barrels in FY2019/20, representing a 26.5% increase from 49.1 million barrels realized in FY2018/19. However, oil production is expected to decline to 58.4 million barrels in FY20/21, as COVID-19 restrictions impacted movement of machinery and OPEC+ production cuts affected production. With COVID-19 restrictions delaying new investment, activity in the oil sector is not expected to improve until FY2022/23 when oil production is projected to rise to 60.2 million barrels. At the same time, the country has experienced concurrent shocks with floods, locust infestation, and higher subnational conflict intensity contributing to a dire economic outlook. Consequently, the economy is projected to contract by -3.4% in FY2020/21, driven by subdued economic activity in both oil and non-oil sectors. Beyond FY2020/21, recovery is projected on the assumption of a rebound in the global economy (that will support higher oil prices, investment, and remittances), commitment to a credible reform process, sustainability of peace, and resilience to climatic shocks 2021-03-08T15:00:26Z 2021-03-08T15:00:26Z 2020-12 Report http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/440961614950205838/South-Sudan-Economic-Update-Socioeconomic-Impacts-of-COVID-19 http://hdl.handle.net/10986/35217 English CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo World Bank World Bank, Washington, DC Economic & Sector Work Economic & Sector Work :: Economic Updates and Modeling Africa Africa Eastern and Southern (AFE) South Sudan
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
topic CONFLICT-AFFECTED STATES
CORONOAVIRUS
COVID-19
PANDEMIC IMPACT
ECONOMIC GROWTH
ECONOMIC SHOCK
OIL PRICES
EXCHANGE RATE
FINANCIAL SECTOR DEVELOPMENT
FISCAL TRENDS
TRADE
EXTERNAL SECTOR
ECONOMIC OUTLOOK
LIVING STANDARDS
SOCIOECONOMIC IMPACT
LIVELIHOODS
SERVICE DELIVERY
DISPLACED PERSONS
INCOME LOSS
spellingShingle CONFLICT-AFFECTED STATES
CORONOAVIRUS
COVID-19
PANDEMIC IMPACT
ECONOMIC GROWTH
ECONOMIC SHOCK
OIL PRICES
EXCHANGE RATE
FINANCIAL SECTOR DEVELOPMENT
FISCAL TRENDS
TRADE
EXTERNAL SECTOR
ECONOMIC OUTLOOK
LIVING STANDARDS
SOCIOECONOMIC IMPACT
LIVELIHOODS
SERVICE DELIVERY
DISPLACED PERSONS
INCOME LOSS
World Bank
South Sudan Economic Update, December 2020 : Socioeconomic Impacts of COVID-19
geographic_facet Africa
Africa Eastern and Southern (AFE)
South Sudan
description The South Sudan economy had recorded a strong growth pickup before the COVID-19 pandemic, with real GDP growth estimated at 9.3% in FY2019/20 but a contraction of -3.4% is projected in FY2020/21. Oil production was estimated at 62.1 million barrels in FY2019/20, representing a 26.5% increase from 49.1 million barrels realized in FY2018/19. However, oil production is expected to decline to 58.4 million barrels in FY20/21, as COVID-19 restrictions impacted movement of machinery and OPEC+ production cuts affected production. With COVID-19 restrictions delaying new investment, activity in the oil sector is not expected to improve until FY2022/23 when oil production is projected to rise to 60.2 million barrels. At the same time, the country has experienced concurrent shocks with floods, locust infestation, and higher subnational conflict intensity contributing to a dire economic outlook. Consequently, the economy is projected to contract by -3.4% in FY2020/21, driven by subdued economic activity in both oil and non-oil sectors. Beyond FY2020/21, recovery is projected on the assumption of a rebound in the global economy (that will support higher oil prices, investment, and remittances), commitment to a credible reform process, sustainability of peace, and resilience to climatic shocks
format Report
author World Bank
author_facet World Bank
author_sort World Bank
title South Sudan Economic Update, December 2020 : Socioeconomic Impacts of COVID-19
title_short South Sudan Economic Update, December 2020 : Socioeconomic Impacts of COVID-19
title_full South Sudan Economic Update, December 2020 : Socioeconomic Impacts of COVID-19
title_fullStr South Sudan Economic Update, December 2020 : Socioeconomic Impacts of COVID-19
title_full_unstemmed South Sudan Economic Update, December 2020 : Socioeconomic Impacts of COVID-19
title_sort south sudan economic update, december 2020 : socioeconomic impacts of covid-19
publisher World Bank, Washington, DC
publishDate 2021
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/440961614950205838/South-Sudan-Economic-Update-Socioeconomic-Impacts-of-COVID-19
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/35217
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