The Calm Before the Storm : Early Evidence on Business Insolvency Filings After the Onset of COVID-19

The Coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic brought forward an unprecedented economic contraction. Recessions, in turn, have typically been accompanied by an increase in the number of firms using the insolvency system. This note explores the early impact t...

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Main Author: Muro, Sergio
Format: Brief
Language:English
Published: World Bank, Washington, DC 2021
Subjects:
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/962221615273849133/The-Calm-Before-the-Storm-Early-Evidence-on-Business-Insolvency-Filings-After-the-Onset-of-COVID-19
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/35261
id okr-10986-35261
recordtype oai_dc
spelling okr-10986-352612021-04-23T14:02:19Z The Calm Before the Storm : Early Evidence on Business Insolvency Filings After the Onset of COVID-19 Muro, Sergio CORONAVIRUS COVID-19 PANDEMIC IMPACT BUSINESS INSOLVENCY CREDITOR RIGHTS BANKRUPTCY GLOBAL FINANCIAL CRISIS BANKING CRISIS GLOBAL VALUE CHAIN DEBT The Coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic brought forward an unprecedented economic contraction. Recessions, in turn, have typically been accompanied by an increase in the number of firms using the insolvency system. This note explores the early impact the pandemic has had on business insolvency filings, based on information from a newly created dataset. Contrary to early expectations, most economies surveyed have experienced a decline in the number of business insolvencies relative to Q2 and Q3 of 2019. shows that legal reasons may have played a key role in this decline as almost all economies covered introduced emergency measures making it more difficult to push a debtor into insolvency. Looking forward, the note explores evidence from previous crisis together with underlying factors -such as lower sales, higher unemployment, firm liquidity challenges, and heightened corporate vulnerabilities- to investigate whether the risk of a wave of insolvencies has disappeared. The analysis suggests that a rise in insolvency filings is likely to have just been postponed, renewing the calls to strengthen insolvency frameworks in EMDEs. 2021-03-12T19:29:48Z 2021-03-12T19:29:48Z 2021-02-25 Brief http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/962221615273849133/The-Calm-Before-the-Storm-Early-Evidence-on-Business-Insolvency-Filings-After-the-Onset-of-COVID-19 http://hdl.handle.net/10986/35261 English COVID-19 Notes; CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo World Bank World Bank, Washington, DC Publications & Research Publications & Research :: Brief
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
topic CORONAVIRUS
COVID-19
PANDEMIC IMPACT
BUSINESS INSOLVENCY
CREDITOR RIGHTS
BANKRUPTCY
GLOBAL FINANCIAL CRISIS
BANKING CRISIS
GLOBAL VALUE CHAIN
DEBT
spellingShingle CORONAVIRUS
COVID-19
PANDEMIC IMPACT
BUSINESS INSOLVENCY
CREDITOR RIGHTS
BANKRUPTCY
GLOBAL FINANCIAL CRISIS
BANKING CRISIS
GLOBAL VALUE CHAIN
DEBT
Muro, Sergio
The Calm Before the Storm : Early Evidence on Business Insolvency Filings After the Onset of COVID-19
relation COVID-19 Notes;
description The Coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic brought forward an unprecedented economic contraction. Recessions, in turn, have typically been accompanied by an increase in the number of firms using the insolvency system. This note explores the early impact the pandemic has had on business insolvency filings, based on information from a newly created dataset. Contrary to early expectations, most economies surveyed have experienced a decline in the number of business insolvencies relative to Q2 and Q3 of 2019. shows that legal reasons may have played a key role in this decline as almost all economies covered introduced emergency measures making it more difficult to push a debtor into insolvency. Looking forward, the note explores evidence from previous crisis together with underlying factors -such as lower sales, higher unemployment, firm liquidity challenges, and heightened corporate vulnerabilities- to investigate whether the risk of a wave of insolvencies has disappeared. The analysis suggests that a rise in insolvency filings is likely to have just been postponed, renewing the calls to strengthen insolvency frameworks in EMDEs.
format Brief
author Muro, Sergio
author_facet Muro, Sergio
author_sort Muro, Sergio
title The Calm Before the Storm : Early Evidence on Business Insolvency Filings After the Onset of COVID-19
title_short The Calm Before the Storm : Early Evidence on Business Insolvency Filings After the Onset of COVID-19
title_full The Calm Before the Storm : Early Evidence on Business Insolvency Filings After the Onset of COVID-19
title_fullStr The Calm Before the Storm : Early Evidence on Business Insolvency Filings After the Onset of COVID-19
title_full_unstemmed The Calm Before the Storm : Early Evidence on Business Insolvency Filings After the Onset of COVID-19
title_sort calm before the storm : early evidence on business insolvency filings after the onset of covid-19
publisher World Bank, Washington, DC
publishDate 2021
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/962221615273849133/The-Calm-Before-the-Storm-Early-Evidence-on-Business-Insolvency-Filings-After-the-Onset-of-COVID-19
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/35261
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