The Short-Term Impacts of COVID-19 on Households in Developing Countries : An Overview Based on a Harmonized Data Set of High-Frequency Surveys

This paper combines new data from high-frequency surveys with data on the stringency of containment measures to examine the short-term impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic on households in developing countries. This paper is one of the first to document the impacts of COVID-19 on households across...

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Main Authors: Bundervoet, Tom, Davalos, Maria E., Garcia, Natalia
Format: Working Paper
Language:English
Published: World Bank, Washington, DC 2021
Subjects:
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/285001615830629714/The-Short-Term-Impacts-of-COVID-19-on-Households-in-Developing-Countries-An-Overview-Based-on-a-Harmonized-Data-Set-of-High-Frequency-Surveys
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/35290
id okr-10986-35290
recordtype oai_dc
spelling okr-10986-352902022-09-20T00:08:49Z The Short-Term Impacts of COVID-19 on Households in Developing Countries : An Overview Based on a Harmonized Data Set of High-Frequency Surveys Bundervoet, Tom Davalos, Maria E. Garcia, Natalia CORONAVIRUS COVID-19 PANDEMIC IMPACT HOUSEHOLD SURVEY HOUSEHOLD WELFARE FOOD SECURITY INCOME LOSS EMPLOYMENT SCHOOL CLOSURE LEARNING LOSS INEQUALITY This paper combines new data from high-frequency surveys with data on the stringency of containment measures to examine the short-term impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic on households in developing countries. This paper is one of the first to document the impacts of COVID-19 on households across a large number of developing countries and to do so for a comparable time-period, corresponding to the peak of the pandemic-induced drop in human mobility, and the first to systematically analyze the cross- and within-country effects on employment, income, food security, and learning. Using representative data from 34 countries, accounting for a combined population of almost 1.4 billion, the findings show that in the average country, 36 percent of respondents stopped working in the immediate aftermath of the pandemic, over 64 percent of households reported decreases in income, and over 30 percent of children were unable to continue learning during school closures. Pandemic-induced loss of jobs and income translated into heightened food insecurity at the household level. The more stringent the virus containment measures were, the higher was the likelihood of loss of jobs and income. The pandemic’s effects were widespread and highly regressive, disproportionately affecting vulnerable segments of the population. Women, youth, and lower-educated workers—groups disadvantaged in the labor market before the COVID-19 shock—were significantly more likely to lose their jobs and experience decreased incomes. Self-employed and casual workers—the most vulnerable workers in developing countries—bore the brunt of the pandemic- induced income losses. Interruptions in learning were most salient for children in lower-income countries, and within countries for children in lower-income households with lower-educated parents and in rural areas. The unequal impacts of the pandemic across socioeconomic groups risk cementing inequality of opportunity and undermining social mobility and call for policies to foster an inclusive recovery and strengthen resilience to future shocks. 2021-03-18T14:31:18Z 2021-03-18T14:31:18Z 2021-03 Working Paper http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/285001615830629714/The-Short-Term-Impacts-of-COVID-19-on-Households-in-Developing-Countries-An-Overview-Based-on-a-Harmonized-Data-Set-of-High-Frequency-Surveys http://hdl.handle.net/10986/35290 English Policy Research Working Paper;No. 9582 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo World Bank World Bank, Washington, DC Publications & Research Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
topic CORONAVIRUS
COVID-19
PANDEMIC IMPACT
HOUSEHOLD SURVEY
HOUSEHOLD WELFARE
FOOD SECURITY
INCOME LOSS
EMPLOYMENT
SCHOOL CLOSURE
LEARNING LOSS
INEQUALITY
spellingShingle CORONAVIRUS
COVID-19
PANDEMIC IMPACT
HOUSEHOLD SURVEY
HOUSEHOLD WELFARE
FOOD SECURITY
INCOME LOSS
EMPLOYMENT
SCHOOL CLOSURE
LEARNING LOSS
INEQUALITY
Bundervoet, Tom
Davalos, Maria E.
Garcia, Natalia
The Short-Term Impacts of COVID-19 on Households in Developing Countries : An Overview Based on a Harmonized Data Set of High-Frequency Surveys
relation Policy Research Working Paper;No. 9582
description This paper combines new data from high-frequency surveys with data on the stringency of containment measures to examine the short-term impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic on households in developing countries. This paper is one of the first to document the impacts of COVID-19 on households across a large number of developing countries and to do so for a comparable time-period, corresponding to the peak of the pandemic-induced drop in human mobility, and the first to systematically analyze the cross- and within-country effects on employment, income, food security, and learning. Using representative data from 34 countries, accounting for a combined population of almost 1.4 billion, the findings show that in the average country, 36 percent of respondents stopped working in the immediate aftermath of the pandemic, over 64 percent of households reported decreases in income, and over 30 percent of children were unable to continue learning during school closures. Pandemic-induced loss of jobs and income translated into heightened food insecurity at the household level. The more stringent the virus containment measures were, the higher was the likelihood of loss of jobs and income. The pandemic’s effects were widespread and highly regressive, disproportionately affecting vulnerable segments of the population. Women, youth, and lower-educated workers—groups disadvantaged in the labor market before the COVID-19 shock—were significantly more likely to lose their jobs and experience decreased incomes. Self-employed and casual workers—the most vulnerable workers in developing countries—bore the brunt of the pandemic- induced income losses. Interruptions in learning were most salient for children in lower-income countries, and within countries for children in lower-income households with lower-educated parents and in rural areas. The unequal impacts of the pandemic across socioeconomic groups risk cementing inequality of opportunity and undermining social mobility and call for policies to foster an inclusive recovery and strengthen resilience to future shocks.
format Working Paper
author Bundervoet, Tom
Davalos, Maria E.
Garcia, Natalia
author_facet Bundervoet, Tom
Davalos, Maria E.
Garcia, Natalia
author_sort Bundervoet, Tom
title The Short-Term Impacts of COVID-19 on Households in Developing Countries : An Overview Based on a Harmonized Data Set of High-Frequency Surveys
title_short The Short-Term Impacts of COVID-19 on Households in Developing Countries : An Overview Based on a Harmonized Data Set of High-Frequency Surveys
title_full The Short-Term Impacts of COVID-19 on Households in Developing Countries : An Overview Based on a Harmonized Data Set of High-Frequency Surveys
title_fullStr The Short-Term Impacts of COVID-19 on Households in Developing Countries : An Overview Based on a Harmonized Data Set of High-Frequency Surveys
title_full_unstemmed The Short-Term Impacts of COVID-19 on Households in Developing Countries : An Overview Based on a Harmonized Data Set of High-Frequency Surveys
title_sort short-term impacts of covid-19 on households in developing countries : an overview based on a harmonized data set of high-frequency surveys
publisher World Bank, Washington, DC
publishDate 2021
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/285001615830629714/The-Short-Term-Impacts-of-COVID-19-on-Households-in-Developing-Countries-An-Overview-Based-on-a-Harmonized-Data-Set-of-High-Frequency-Surveys
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/35290
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