Borrowing for Growth : Big Pushes and Debt Sustainability in Low-Income Countries
The paper evaluates big push borrowing-and-investment programs in a new model-based framework of debt sustainability that is explicitly designed for policy analysis. The new framework is grounded in a fully-articulated, dynamic macroeconomic model. It allows for financing schemes that mix concession...
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okr-10986-354262021-04-23T14:02:21Z Borrowing for Growth : Big Pushes and Debt Sustainability in Low-Income Countries Zanna, Luis-Felipe Buffie, Edward F. Portillo, Rafael Berg, Andrew Pattillo, Catherine DEBT DEBT SUSTAINABILITY SOVEREIGN DEBT CAPITAL INVESTMENT INFRASTRUCTURE FISCAL POLICY PUBLIC INVESTMENT ECONOMIC GROWTH The paper evaluates big push borrowing-and-investment programs in a new model-based framework of debt sustainability that is explicitly designed for policy analysis. The new framework is grounded in a fully-articulated, dynamic macroeconomic model. It allows for financing schemes that mix concessional, external commercial, and domestic debt, while taking into account the impact of public investment on growth and constraints on the speed and magnitude of fiscal adjustment. Supplementing concessional loans with nonconcessional borrowing in world capital markets is generally a high-risk, high-return strategy. It may greatly enhance the prospects for debt sustainability or lead to spectacular failure; much depends on the fine details governing debt contracts, the dynamics of growth, and the speed of fiscal adjustment. 2021-04-12T19:06:34Z 2021-04-12T19:06:34Z 2019-10 Journal Article World Bank Economic Review 1564-698X http://hdl.handle.net/10986/35426 CC BY-NC-ND 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/3.0/igo World Bank Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the World Bank Publications & Research Publications & Research :: Journal Article |
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Digital Repositories |
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World Bank Open Knowledge Repository |
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World Bank |
topic |
DEBT DEBT SUSTAINABILITY SOVEREIGN DEBT CAPITAL INVESTMENT INFRASTRUCTURE FISCAL POLICY PUBLIC INVESTMENT ECONOMIC GROWTH |
spellingShingle |
DEBT DEBT SUSTAINABILITY SOVEREIGN DEBT CAPITAL INVESTMENT INFRASTRUCTURE FISCAL POLICY PUBLIC INVESTMENT ECONOMIC GROWTH Zanna, Luis-Felipe Buffie, Edward F. Portillo, Rafael Berg, Andrew Pattillo, Catherine Borrowing for Growth : Big Pushes and Debt Sustainability in Low-Income Countries |
description |
The paper evaluates big push borrowing-and-investment programs in a new model-based framework of debt sustainability that is explicitly designed for policy analysis. The new framework is grounded in a fully-articulated, dynamic macroeconomic model. It allows for financing schemes that mix concessional, external commercial, and domestic debt, while taking into account the impact of public investment on growth and constraints on the speed and magnitude of fiscal adjustment. Supplementing concessional loans with nonconcessional borrowing in world capital markets is generally a high-risk, high-return strategy. It may greatly enhance the prospects for debt sustainability or lead to spectacular failure; much depends on the fine details governing debt contracts, the dynamics of growth, and the speed of fiscal adjustment. |
format |
Journal Article |
author |
Zanna, Luis-Felipe Buffie, Edward F. Portillo, Rafael Berg, Andrew Pattillo, Catherine |
author_facet |
Zanna, Luis-Felipe Buffie, Edward F. Portillo, Rafael Berg, Andrew Pattillo, Catherine |
author_sort |
Zanna, Luis-Felipe |
title |
Borrowing for Growth : Big Pushes and Debt Sustainability in Low-Income Countries |
title_short |
Borrowing for Growth : Big Pushes and Debt Sustainability in Low-Income Countries |
title_full |
Borrowing for Growth : Big Pushes and Debt Sustainability in Low-Income Countries |
title_fullStr |
Borrowing for Growth : Big Pushes and Debt Sustainability in Low-Income Countries |
title_full_unstemmed |
Borrowing for Growth : Big Pushes and Debt Sustainability in Low-Income Countries |
title_sort |
borrowing for growth : big pushes and debt sustainability in low-income countries |
publisher |
Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the World Bank |
publishDate |
2021 |
url |
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/35426 |
_version_ |
1764483008354582528 |