Borrowing for Growth : Big Pushes and Debt Sustainability in Low-Income Countries

The paper evaluates big push borrowing-and-investment programs in a new model-based framework of debt sustainability that is explicitly designed for policy analysis. The new framework is grounded in a fully-articulated, dynamic macroeconomic model. It allows for financing schemes that mix concession...

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Main Authors: Zanna, Luis-Felipe, Buffie, Edward F., Portillo, Rafael, Berg, Andrew, Pattillo, Catherine
Format: Journal Article
Published: Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the World Bank 2021
Subjects:
Online Access:http://hdl.handle.net/10986/35426
id okr-10986-35426
recordtype oai_dc
spelling okr-10986-354262021-04-23T14:02:21Z Borrowing for Growth : Big Pushes and Debt Sustainability in Low-Income Countries Zanna, Luis-Felipe Buffie, Edward F. Portillo, Rafael Berg, Andrew Pattillo, Catherine DEBT DEBT SUSTAINABILITY SOVEREIGN DEBT CAPITAL INVESTMENT INFRASTRUCTURE FISCAL POLICY PUBLIC INVESTMENT ECONOMIC GROWTH The paper evaluates big push borrowing-and-investment programs in a new model-based framework of debt sustainability that is explicitly designed for policy analysis. The new framework is grounded in a fully-articulated, dynamic macroeconomic model. It allows for financing schemes that mix concessional, external commercial, and domestic debt, while taking into account the impact of public investment on growth and constraints on the speed and magnitude of fiscal adjustment. Supplementing concessional loans with nonconcessional borrowing in world capital markets is generally a high-risk, high-return strategy. It may greatly enhance the prospects for debt sustainability or lead to spectacular failure; much depends on the fine details governing debt contracts, the dynamics of growth, and the speed of fiscal adjustment. 2021-04-12T19:06:34Z 2021-04-12T19:06:34Z 2019-10 Journal Article World Bank Economic Review 1564-698X http://hdl.handle.net/10986/35426 CC BY-NC-ND 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/3.0/igo World Bank Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the World Bank Publications & Research Publications & Research :: Journal Article
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
topic DEBT
DEBT SUSTAINABILITY
SOVEREIGN DEBT
CAPITAL
INVESTMENT
INFRASTRUCTURE
FISCAL POLICY
PUBLIC INVESTMENT
ECONOMIC GROWTH
spellingShingle DEBT
DEBT SUSTAINABILITY
SOVEREIGN DEBT
CAPITAL
INVESTMENT
INFRASTRUCTURE
FISCAL POLICY
PUBLIC INVESTMENT
ECONOMIC GROWTH
Zanna, Luis-Felipe
Buffie, Edward F.
Portillo, Rafael
Berg, Andrew
Pattillo, Catherine
Borrowing for Growth : Big Pushes and Debt Sustainability in Low-Income Countries
description The paper evaluates big push borrowing-and-investment programs in a new model-based framework of debt sustainability that is explicitly designed for policy analysis. The new framework is grounded in a fully-articulated, dynamic macroeconomic model. It allows for financing schemes that mix concessional, external commercial, and domestic debt, while taking into account the impact of public investment on growth and constraints on the speed and magnitude of fiscal adjustment. Supplementing concessional loans with nonconcessional borrowing in world capital markets is generally a high-risk, high-return strategy. It may greatly enhance the prospects for debt sustainability or lead to spectacular failure; much depends on the fine details governing debt contracts, the dynamics of growth, and the speed of fiscal adjustment.
format Journal Article
author Zanna, Luis-Felipe
Buffie, Edward F.
Portillo, Rafael
Berg, Andrew
Pattillo, Catherine
author_facet Zanna, Luis-Felipe
Buffie, Edward F.
Portillo, Rafael
Berg, Andrew
Pattillo, Catherine
author_sort Zanna, Luis-Felipe
title Borrowing for Growth : Big Pushes and Debt Sustainability in Low-Income Countries
title_short Borrowing for Growth : Big Pushes and Debt Sustainability in Low-Income Countries
title_full Borrowing for Growth : Big Pushes and Debt Sustainability in Low-Income Countries
title_fullStr Borrowing for Growth : Big Pushes and Debt Sustainability in Low-Income Countries
title_full_unstemmed Borrowing for Growth : Big Pushes and Debt Sustainability in Low-Income Countries
title_sort borrowing for growth : big pushes and debt sustainability in low-income countries
publisher Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the World Bank
publishDate 2021
url http://hdl.handle.net/10986/35426
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