Distributional Implications of Climate Change in India

Global warming is expected to heavily impact agriculture, the dominant source of livelihood for the world's poor. Yet, little is known about the distributional implications of climate change at the sub-national level. Using a simple comparativ...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Jacoby, Hanan, Rabassa, Mariano, Skoufias, Emmanuel
Format: Policy Research Working Paper
Language:English
Published: 2012
Subjects:
CO2
Online Access:http://www-wds.worldbank.org/external/default/main?menuPK=64187510&pagePK=64193027&piPK=64187937&theSitePK=523679&menuPK=64187510&searchMenuPK=64187283&siteName=WDS&entityID=000158349_20110826094632
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/3543
id okr-10986-3543
recordtype oai_dc
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
topic ACCESS TO MARKETS
ADJUSTMENT TO CLIMATE CHANGE
AGRICULTURAL ACTIVITIES
AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS
AGRICULTURAL EMPLOYMENT
AGRICULTURAL LAND
AGRICULTURAL OUTPUT
AGRICULTURAL PRODUCERS
AGRICULTURAL PRODUCT
AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTION
AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTIVITY
AGRICULTURAL SEASON
AGRICULTURAL SECTOR
AGRICULTURAL WAGE
AGRICULTURAL WAGE EMPLOYMENT
AGRICULTURAL WAGES
AGRICULTURAL WORKERS
ALLOCATION
ANNUAL PRECIPITATION
CALCULATION
CARBON
CARBON FERTILIZATION
CASH FLOW
CHANGES IN POVERTY
CLIMATE
CLIMATE CHANGE
CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACTS
CLIMATE CHANGE SCENARIO
CLIMATE CHANGE SCENARIOS
CLIMATE CHANGE STRATEGY
CLIMATE DATA
CLIMATE EFFECTS
CLIMATE IMPACTS
CLIMATE MODEL
CLIMATE MODELS
CLIMATE PARAMETER
CLIMATE PREDICTION
CLIMATE RESEARCH
CLIMATE SCENARIOS
CLIMATE SENSITIVE
CLIMATE SENSITIVITIES
CLIMATE SENSITIVITY
CLIMATE VARIABLES
CLIMATE VARIATION
CLIMATIC CONDITIONS
CLIMATIC RESEARCH
CO2
COMMODITY TRADE
CONSEQUENCES OF CLIMATE CHANGE
CONSUMER DEMAND
CONSUMPTION DATA
CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURE
CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURES
COSTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE
COUNTERFACTUAL
CROP PRODUCTION
CROP VARIETIES
CROP YIELD
CROPLAND
DAILY WAGE
DAMAGES
DESERT REGION
DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS
DISCOUNT RATE
DISCOUNT RATES
DISTRIBUTIONAL IMPLICATIONS
ECOLOGICAL ECONOMICS
ECOLOGICAL ZONES
ECONOMIC COSTS
ECONOMIC COSTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE
ECONOMIC GROWTH
ECONOMIC IMPACT
ECONOMIC IMPACTS
ECONOMIC IMPACTS OF CLIMATE
ECONOMIC IMPACTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE
ECONOMICS OF CLIMATE CHANGE
EFFECT OF CLIMATE CHANGE
EMISSIONS
EMISSIONS PATH
ENVIRONMENTAL ECONOMICS
EXPANSION OF IRRIGATION
FAMILY MEMBERS
FARM HOUSEHOLDS
FARM LABOR
FARM PRODUCTION
FARM PRODUCTIVITY
FARM SECTOR
FARM SIZE
FARM WORK
FARMER
FARMERS
FARMLAND
FODDER
FOOD CONSUMPTION
FOOD CROPS
FOOD PRICE
FOOD PRICES
FOOD PRODUCTION
FOOD SECURITY
FOOD SHARE
FORESTS
GLACIER MELT
GLOBAL WARMING
HOUSEHOLD BUDGET
HOUSEHOLD DEMOGRAPHICS
HOUSEHOLD HEADS
HOUSEHOLD INCOME
HOUSEHOLD INCOMES
HOUSEHOLD SURVEY
HUMAN CAPITAL
HUMAN CAPITAL INVESTMENT
IMPACT OF CLIMATE
IMPACT OF CLIMATE CHANGE
IMPACT OF TEMPERATURE
IMPACTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE
IMPLICATIONS OF CLIMATE CHANGE
INCOME
INCOME DISTRIBUTION
INCOME GROWTH
INCREASE IN TEMPERATURE
INTERGOVERNMENTAL PANEL ON CLIMATE CHANGE
IPCC
IRRIGATION
JOBS
LABOR PRODUCTIVITY
LAND DISTRIBUTION
LAND OWNERSHIP
LAND PRICES
LAND PRODUCTIVITY
LAND VALUE
LANDHOLDINGS
LANDLESS HOUSEHOLDS
LOCAL CLIMATE
LOW WAGES
MARGINAL PRICE
NATIONAL POVERTY
NATIONAL POVERTY RATE
NEGATIVE IMPACT
NEGATIVE IMPACTS
PER CAPITA CONSUMPTION
PER CAPITA INCOME
PLANT GROWTH
POLITICAL ECONOMY
POOR
POOR PEOPLE
POVERTY INCREASE
POVERTY LINE
POVERTY LINES
POVERTY RATE
POVERTY REDUCTION
PRECIPITATION
PRICE EFFECT
PRICE INCREASE
PRODUCTION FUNCTION
PRODUCTION TECHNOLOGY
RAINFALL
RAINFALL DISTRIBUTION
RAINFALL VARIATION
REGIONAL COST
REGIONAL INCOME
REGIONAL LABOR
REGIONAL VARIATION
RESOURCE ECONOMICS
RESPONSE TO CLIMATE CHANGE
RURAL
RURAL AREAS
RURAL DISTRICTS
RURAL EMPLOYMENT
RURAL GROWTH
RURAL HOUSEHOLDS
RURAL INCOME
RURAL INCOMES
RURAL LABOR
RURAL LABOR MARKET
RURAL POOR
RURAL POPULATION
RURAL POVERTY
RURAL RESIDENTS
RURAL ROADS
RURAL WAGES
RURAL WORKERS
SEASON
SEASONAL TEMPERATURE
STRUCTURAL TRANSFORMATION
SUPPLY CURVE
SURFACE TEMPERATURE
TARGETING
TEMPERATURE
TEMPERATURE CHANGE
TEMPERATURE CHANGES
TEMPERATURE DATA
TEMPERATURE EFFECT
TEMPERATURE EFFECTS
TEMPERATURE INCREASE
TEMPERATURE INCREASES
TEMPERATURE READINGS
TEMPERATURE SENSITIVITY
TEMPERATURE VARIATION
TEMPERATURES
TOTAL CONSUMPTION
UNCERTAINTIES
UNEMPLOYMENT
UTILITY FUNCTION
WAGE EARNERS
WAGE EMPLOYMENT
WARMER TEMPERATURES
WELFARE DISTRIBUTION
WORKING DAYS
WORST-CASE
WORST-CASE SCENARIOS
spellingShingle ACCESS TO MARKETS
ADJUSTMENT TO CLIMATE CHANGE
AGRICULTURAL ACTIVITIES
AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS
AGRICULTURAL EMPLOYMENT
AGRICULTURAL LAND
AGRICULTURAL OUTPUT
AGRICULTURAL PRODUCERS
AGRICULTURAL PRODUCT
AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTION
AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTIVITY
AGRICULTURAL SEASON
AGRICULTURAL SECTOR
AGRICULTURAL WAGE
AGRICULTURAL WAGE EMPLOYMENT
AGRICULTURAL WAGES
AGRICULTURAL WORKERS
ALLOCATION
ANNUAL PRECIPITATION
CALCULATION
CARBON
CARBON FERTILIZATION
CASH FLOW
CHANGES IN POVERTY
CLIMATE
CLIMATE CHANGE
CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACTS
CLIMATE CHANGE SCENARIO
CLIMATE CHANGE SCENARIOS
CLIMATE CHANGE STRATEGY
CLIMATE DATA
CLIMATE EFFECTS
CLIMATE IMPACTS
CLIMATE MODEL
CLIMATE MODELS
CLIMATE PARAMETER
CLIMATE PREDICTION
CLIMATE RESEARCH
CLIMATE SCENARIOS
CLIMATE SENSITIVE
CLIMATE SENSITIVITIES
CLIMATE SENSITIVITY
CLIMATE VARIABLES
CLIMATE VARIATION
CLIMATIC CONDITIONS
CLIMATIC RESEARCH
CO2
COMMODITY TRADE
CONSEQUENCES OF CLIMATE CHANGE
CONSUMER DEMAND
CONSUMPTION DATA
CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURE
CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURES
COSTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE
COUNTERFACTUAL
CROP PRODUCTION
CROP VARIETIES
CROP YIELD
CROPLAND
DAILY WAGE
DAMAGES
DESERT REGION
DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS
DISCOUNT RATE
DISCOUNT RATES
DISTRIBUTIONAL IMPLICATIONS
ECOLOGICAL ECONOMICS
ECOLOGICAL ZONES
ECONOMIC COSTS
ECONOMIC COSTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE
ECONOMIC GROWTH
ECONOMIC IMPACT
ECONOMIC IMPACTS
ECONOMIC IMPACTS OF CLIMATE
ECONOMIC IMPACTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE
ECONOMICS OF CLIMATE CHANGE
EFFECT OF CLIMATE CHANGE
EMISSIONS
EMISSIONS PATH
ENVIRONMENTAL ECONOMICS
EXPANSION OF IRRIGATION
FAMILY MEMBERS
FARM HOUSEHOLDS
FARM LABOR
FARM PRODUCTION
FARM PRODUCTIVITY
FARM SECTOR
FARM SIZE
FARM WORK
FARMER
FARMERS
FARMLAND
FODDER
FOOD CONSUMPTION
FOOD CROPS
FOOD PRICE
FOOD PRICES
FOOD PRODUCTION
FOOD SECURITY
FOOD SHARE
FORESTS
GLACIER MELT
GLOBAL WARMING
HOUSEHOLD BUDGET
HOUSEHOLD DEMOGRAPHICS
HOUSEHOLD HEADS
HOUSEHOLD INCOME
HOUSEHOLD INCOMES
HOUSEHOLD SURVEY
HUMAN CAPITAL
HUMAN CAPITAL INVESTMENT
IMPACT OF CLIMATE
IMPACT OF CLIMATE CHANGE
IMPACT OF TEMPERATURE
IMPACTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE
IMPLICATIONS OF CLIMATE CHANGE
INCOME
INCOME DISTRIBUTION
INCOME GROWTH
INCREASE IN TEMPERATURE
INTERGOVERNMENTAL PANEL ON CLIMATE CHANGE
IPCC
IRRIGATION
JOBS
LABOR PRODUCTIVITY
LAND DISTRIBUTION
LAND OWNERSHIP
LAND PRICES
LAND PRODUCTIVITY
LAND VALUE
LANDHOLDINGS
LANDLESS HOUSEHOLDS
LOCAL CLIMATE
LOW WAGES
MARGINAL PRICE
NATIONAL POVERTY
NATIONAL POVERTY RATE
NEGATIVE IMPACT
NEGATIVE IMPACTS
PER CAPITA CONSUMPTION
PER CAPITA INCOME
PLANT GROWTH
POLITICAL ECONOMY
POOR
POOR PEOPLE
POVERTY INCREASE
POVERTY LINE
POVERTY LINES
POVERTY RATE
POVERTY REDUCTION
PRECIPITATION
PRICE EFFECT
PRICE INCREASE
PRODUCTION FUNCTION
PRODUCTION TECHNOLOGY
RAINFALL
RAINFALL DISTRIBUTION
RAINFALL VARIATION
REGIONAL COST
REGIONAL INCOME
REGIONAL LABOR
REGIONAL VARIATION
RESOURCE ECONOMICS
RESPONSE TO CLIMATE CHANGE
RURAL
RURAL AREAS
RURAL DISTRICTS
RURAL EMPLOYMENT
RURAL GROWTH
RURAL HOUSEHOLDS
RURAL INCOME
RURAL INCOMES
RURAL LABOR
RURAL LABOR MARKET
RURAL POOR
RURAL POPULATION
RURAL POVERTY
RURAL RESIDENTS
RURAL ROADS
RURAL WAGES
RURAL WORKERS
SEASON
SEASONAL TEMPERATURE
STRUCTURAL TRANSFORMATION
SUPPLY CURVE
SURFACE TEMPERATURE
TARGETING
TEMPERATURE
TEMPERATURE CHANGE
TEMPERATURE CHANGES
TEMPERATURE DATA
TEMPERATURE EFFECT
TEMPERATURE EFFECTS
TEMPERATURE INCREASE
TEMPERATURE INCREASES
TEMPERATURE READINGS
TEMPERATURE SENSITIVITY
TEMPERATURE VARIATION
TEMPERATURES
TOTAL CONSUMPTION
UNCERTAINTIES
UNEMPLOYMENT
UTILITY FUNCTION
WAGE EARNERS
WAGE EMPLOYMENT
WARMER TEMPERATURES
WELFARE DISTRIBUTION
WORKING DAYS
WORST-CASE
WORST-CASE SCENARIOS
Jacoby, Hanan
Rabassa, Mariano
Skoufias, Emmanuel
Distributional Implications of Climate Change in India
geographic_facet South Asia
South Asia
South Asia
Asia
India
relation Policy Research working paper ; no. WPS 5623
description Global warming is expected to heavily impact agriculture, the dominant source of livelihood for the world's poor. Yet, little is known about the distributional implications of climate change at the sub-national level. Using a simple comparative statics framework, this paper analyzes how changes in the prices of land, labor, and food induced by modest temperature increases over the next three decades will affect household-level welfare in India. The authors predict a substantial fall in agricultural productivity, even allowing for farmer adaptation. Yet, this decline will not translate into a sharp drop in consumption for the majority of rural households, who derive their income largely from wage employment. Overall, the welfare costs of climate change fall disproportionately on the poor. This is true in urban as well as in rural areas, but, in the latter sector only after accounting for the effects of rising world cereal prices. Adaptation appears to primarily benefit the non-poor, since they own the lion's share of agricultural land. The results suggest that poverty in India will be roughly 3-4 percentage points higher after thirty years of rising temperatures than it would have been had this warming not occurred.
format Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper
author Jacoby, Hanan
Rabassa, Mariano
Skoufias, Emmanuel
author_facet Jacoby, Hanan
Rabassa, Mariano
Skoufias, Emmanuel
author_sort Jacoby, Hanan
title Distributional Implications of Climate Change in India
title_short Distributional Implications of Climate Change in India
title_full Distributional Implications of Climate Change in India
title_fullStr Distributional Implications of Climate Change in India
title_full_unstemmed Distributional Implications of Climate Change in India
title_sort distributional implications of climate change in india
publishDate 2012
url http://www-wds.worldbank.org/external/default/main?menuPK=64187510&pagePK=64193027&piPK=64187937&theSitePK=523679&menuPK=64187510&searchMenuPK=64187283&siteName=WDS&entityID=000158349_20110826094632
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/3543
_version_ 1764387171074048000
spelling okr-10986-35432021-04-23T14:02:10Z Distributional Implications of Climate Change in India Jacoby, Hanan Rabassa, Mariano Skoufias, Emmanuel ACCESS TO MARKETS ADJUSTMENT TO CLIMATE CHANGE AGRICULTURAL ACTIVITIES AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS AGRICULTURAL EMPLOYMENT AGRICULTURAL LAND AGRICULTURAL OUTPUT AGRICULTURAL PRODUCERS AGRICULTURAL PRODUCT AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTIVITY AGRICULTURAL SEASON AGRICULTURAL SECTOR AGRICULTURAL WAGE AGRICULTURAL WAGE EMPLOYMENT AGRICULTURAL WAGES AGRICULTURAL WORKERS ALLOCATION ANNUAL PRECIPITATION CALCULATION CARBON CARBON FERTILIZATION CASH FLOW CHANGES IN POVERTY CLIMATE CLIMATE CHANGE CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACTS CLIMATE CHANGE SCENARIO CLIMATE CHANGE SCENARIOS CLIMATE CHANGE STRATEGY CLIMATE DATA CLIMATE EFFECTS CLIMATE IMPACTS CLIMATE MODEL CLIMATE MODELS CLIMATE PARAMETER CLIMATE PREDICTION CLIMATE RESEARCH CLIMATE SCENARIOS CLIMATE SENSITIVE CLIMATE SENSITIVITIES CLIMATE SENSITIVITY CLIMATE VARIABLES CLIMATE VARIATION CLIMATIC CONDITIONS CLIMATIC RESEARCH CO2 COMMODITY TRADE CONSEQUENCES OF CLIMATE CHANGE CONSUMER DEMAND CONSUMPTION DATA CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURE CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURES COSTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE COUNTERFACTUAL CROP PRODUCTION CROP VARIETIES CROP YIELD CROPLAND DAILY WAGE DAMAGES DESERT REGION DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS DISCOUNT RATE DISCOUNT RATES DISTRIBUTIONAL IMPLICATIONS ECOLOGICAL ECONOMICS ECOLOGICAL ZONES ECONOMIC COSTS ECONOMIC COSTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE ECONOMIC GROWTH ECONOMIC IMPACT ECONOMIC IMPACTS ECONOMIC IMPACTS OF CLIMATE ECONOMIC IMPACTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE ECONOMICS OF CLIMATE CHANGE EFFECT OF CLIMATE CHANGE EMISSIONS EMISSIONS PATH ENVIRONMENTAL ECONOMICS EXPANSION OF IRRIGATION FAMILY MEMBERS FARM HOUSEHOLDS FARM LABOR FARM PRODUCTION FARM PRODUCTIVITY FARM SECTOR FARM SIZE FARM WORK FARMER FARMERS FARMLAND FODDER FOOD CONSUMPTION FOOD CROPS FOOD PRICE FOOD PRICES FOOD PRODUCTION FOOD SECURITY FOOD SHARE FORESTS GLACIER MELT GLOBAL WARMING HOUSEHOLD BUDGET HOUSEHOLD DEMOGRAPHICS HOUSEHOLD HEADS HOUSEHOLD INCOME HOUSEHOLD INCOMES HOUSEHOLD SURVEY HUMAN CAPITAL HUMAN CAPITAL INVESTMENT IMPACT OF CLIMATE IMPACT OF CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACT OF TEMPERATURE IMPACTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE IMPLICATIONS OF CLIMATE CHANGE INCOME INCOME DISTRIBUTION INCOME GROWTH INCREASE IN TEMPERATURE INTERGOVERNMENTAL PANEL ON CLIMATE CHANGE IPCC IRRIGATION JOBS LABOR PRODUCTIVITY LAND DISTRIBUTION LAND OWNERSHIP LAND PRICES LAND PRODUCTIVITY LAND VALUE LANDHOLDINGS LANDLESS HOUSEHOLDS LOCAL CLIMATE LOW WAGES MARGINAL PRICE NATIONAL POVERTY NATIONAL POVERTY RATE NEGATIVE IMPACT NEGATIVE IMPACTS PER CAPITA CONSUMPTION PER CAPITA INCOME PLANT GROWTH POLITICAL ECONOMY POOR POOR PEOPLE POVERTY INCREASE POVERTY LINE POVERTY LINES POVERTY RATE POVERTY REDUCTION PRECIPITATION PRICE EFFECT PRICE INCREASE PRODUCTION FUNCTION PRODUCTION TECHNOLOGY RAINFALL RAINFALL DISTRIBUTION RAINFALL VARIATION REGIONAL COST REGIONAL INCOME REGIONAL LABOR REGIONAL VARIATION RESOURCE ECONOMICS RESPONSE TO CLIMATE CHANGE RURAL RURAL AREAS RURAL DISTRICTS RURAL EMPLOYMENT RURAL GROWTH RURAL HOUSEHOLDS RURAL INCOME RURAL INCOMES RURAL LABOR RURAL LABOR MARKET RURAL POOR RURAL POPULATION RURAL POVERTY RURAL RESIDENTS RURAL ROADS RURAL WAGES RURAL WORKERS SEASON SEASONAL TEMPERATURE STRUCTURAL TRANSFORMATION SUPPLY CURVE SURFACE TEMPERATURE TARGETING TEMPERATURE TEMPERATURE CHANGE TEMPERATURE CHANGES TEMPERATURE DATA TEMPERATURE EFFECT TEMPERATURE EFFECTS TEMPERATURE INCREASE TEMPERATURE INCREASES TEMPERATURE READINGS TEMPERATURE SENSITIVITY TEMPERATURE VARIATION TEMPERATURES TOTAL CONSUMPTION UNCERTAINTIES UNEMPLOYMENT UTILITY FUNCTION WAGE EARNERS WAGE EMPLOYMENT WARMER TEMPERATURES WELFARE DISTRIBUTION WORKING DAYS WORST-CASE WORST-CASE SCENARIOS Global warming is expected to heavily impact agriculture, the dominant source of livelihood for the world's poor. Yet, little is known about the distributional implications of climate change at the sub-national level. Using a simple comparative statics framework, this paper analyzes how changes in the prices of land, labor, and food induced by modest temperature increases over the next three decades will affect household-level welfare in India. The authors predict a substantial fall in agricultural productivity, even allowing for farmer adaptation. Yet, this decline will not translate into a sharp drop in consumption for the majority of rural households, who derive their income largely from wage employment. Overall, the welfare costs of climate change fall disproportionately on the poor. This is true in urban as well as in rural areas, but, in the latter sector only after accounting for the effects of rising world cereal prices. Adaptation appears to primarily benefit the non-poor, since they own the lion's share of agricultural land. The results suggest that poverty in India will be roughly 3-4 percentage points higher after thirty years of rising temperatures than it would have been had this warming not occurred. 2012-03-19T18:04:21Z 2012-03-19T18:04:21Z 2011-04-01 http://www-wds.worldbank.org/external/default/main?menuPK=64187510&pagePK=64193027&piPK=64187937&theSitePK=523679&menuPK=64187510&searchMenuPK=64187283&siteName=WDS&entityID=000158349_20110826094632 http://hdl.handle.net/10986/3543 English Policy Research working paper ; no. WPS 5623 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/ World Bank Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper South Asia South Asia South Asia Asia India