Fewer Jobs or Smaller Paychecks? Aggregate Crisis Impacts in Selected Middle-Income Countries

This paper reviews evidence from 44 middle-income countries on how the recent financial crisis affected jobs and workers' incomes. In addition to providing a rare assessment of the magnitude of the impact across several middle-income countries...

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Main Authors: Khanna, Gaurav, Newhouse, David, Paci, Pierella
Format: Policy Research Working Paper
Language:English
Published: 2012
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www-wds.worldbank.org/external/default/main?menuPK=64187510&pagePK=64193027&piPK=64187937&theSitePK=523679&menuPK=64187510&searchMenuPK=64187283&siteName=WDS&entityID=000158349_20110908084150
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/3555
id okr-10986-3555
recordtype oai_dc
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
topic ACCOUNTING
ACTIVE LABOR
ACTIVE LABOR MARKET
ACTIVE LABOR MARKET PROGRAM
ACTIVE LABOR MARKET PROGRAMS
ACTIVE LABOR PROGRAMS
ACTIVE LABOUR
ACTIVE LABOUR MARKET
ACTIVE LABOUR MARKET POLICIES
ADJUSTMENT PROCESS
AGGREGATE EMPLOYMENT
AVERAGE WAGE
BUSINESS CYCLE
COLLECTIVE BARGAINING
DEBT
DIRECT JOB CREATION
DISPLACED WORKERS
EARNING
EARNINGS GROWTH
EARNINGS INDICATORS
EARNINGS LOSS
EARNINGS REGRESSIONS
ECONOMIC CRISES
ECONOMIC DOWNTURNS
ECONOMIC GROWTH
ECONOMIC SHOCK
ECONOMIC SHOCKS
EMERGING MARKET
EMERGING MARKET ECONOMIES
EMPLOYERS
EMPLOYMENT
EMPLOYMENT EFFECTS
EMPLOYMENT GENERATION
EMPLOYMENT GROWTH
EMPLOYMENT GROWTH RATE
EMPLOYMENT LEVELS
EMPLOYMENT OPPORTUNITIES
EMPLOYMENT REDUCTION
EMPLOYMENT TRENDS
ENTRY BARRIERS
FACTORING
FINANCIAL CRISES
FINANCIAL SERVICES
FIRING
FIRING COST
FIRING COSTS
FIRM SURVEY
GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT
HOUSEHOLD INCOME
HOUSEHOLD SURVEY
HOUSEHOLD SURVEYS
INCOME SUPPORT
INCOME SUPPORT PROGRAMS
INFLATION
INFORMAL SECTOR
INFORMAL SECTOR WORKERS
INTERNATIONAL LABOUR ORGANIZATION
JOB CREATION
JOB LOSS
JOB LOSSES
JOB MATCH
JOB TRAINING
JOBS
LABOR DEMAND
LABOR ECONOMICS
LABOR FORCE
LABOR FORCE PARTICIPATION
LABOR MARKET
LABOR MARKET ADJUSTMENT
LABOR MARKET IMPACT
LABOR MARKET INDICATORS
LABOR MARKET INSTITUTIONS
LABOR MARKET OUTCOMES
LABOR MARKET POLICIES
LABOR MARKET REGULATIONS
LABOR MARKETS
LABOR ORGANIZATION
LABOR REGULATION
LABOR SHARE
LABOR SUPPLY
LABOUR MARKETS
LAID-OFF WORKERS
MARKET ECONOMIES
MIGRATION
NOMINAL WAGES
PASSIVE LABOR
PASSIVE LABOR MARKET PROGRAMS
PENALTIES
PRECISE ROLE
PRICE INCREASES
PRICE SUPPORTS
PRIVATE SECTOR
PRODUCTIVITY
PUBLIC WORKS
PUBLIC WORKS PROGRAM
PUBLIC WORKS PROGRAMS
REAL WAGE
REAL WAGES
REDUNDANCY
RETAIL
RETAIL TRADE
SERVICE SECTOR
SERVICE SECTORS
SEVERANCE PAYMENTS
SMALL MANUFACTURING
SOCIAL CAPITAL
SPREAD
TEMPORARY WAGE SUBSIDIES
TOTAL EMPLOYMENT
TRAINING PROGRAM
TRANSPORT
UNDEREMPLOYMENT
UNEMPLOYED
UNEMPLOYMENT
UNEMPLOYMENT BENEFITS
UNEMPLOYMENT INSURANCE
UNEMPLOYMENT RATE
UNEMPLOYMENT RATES
UNEMPLOYMENT STATISTICS
URBAN WORKERS
VOLATILITY
WAGE BILL
WAGE GROWTH
WAGE RATES
WAGE SUBSIDIES
WAGE SUBSIDY
WAGE SUBSIDY PROGRAMS
WORKER
WORKERS
WORKING POOR
spellingShingle ACCOUNTING
ACTIVE LABOR
ACTIVE LABOR MARKET
ACTIVE LABOR MARKET PROGRAM
ACTIVE LABOR MARKET PROGRAMS
ACTIVE LABOR PROGRAMS
ACTIVE LABOUR
ACTIVE LABOUR MARKET
ACTIVE LABOUR MARKET POLICIES
ADJUSTMENT PROCESS
AGGREGATE EMPLOYMENT
AVERAGE WAGE
BUSINESS CYCLE
COLLECTIVE BARGAINING
DEBT
DIRECT JOB CREATION
DISPLACED WORKERS
EARNING
EARNINGS GROWTH
EARNINGS INDICATORS
EARNINGS LOSS
EARNINGS REGRESSIONS
ECONOMIC CRISES
ECONOMIC DOWNTURNS
ECONOMIC GROWTH
ECONOMIC SHOCK
ECONOMIC SHOCKS
EMERGING MARKET
EMERGING MARKET ECONOMIES
EMPLOYERS
EMPLOYMENT
EMPLOYMENT EFFECTS
EMPLOYMENT GENERATION
EMPLOYMENT GROWTH
EMPLOYMENT GROWTH RATE
EMPLOYMENT LEVELS
EMPLOYMENT OPPORTUNITIES
EMPLOYMENT REDUCTION
EMPLOYMENT TRENDS
ENTRY BARRIERS
FACTORING
FINANCIAL CRISES
FINANCIAL SERVICES
FIRING
FIRING COST
FIRING COSTS
FIRM SURVEY
GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT
HOUSEHOLD INCOME
HOUSEHOLD SURVEY
HOUSEHOLD SURVEYS
INCOME SUPPORT
INCOME SUPPORT PROGRAMS
INFLATION
INFORMAL SECTOR
INFORMAL SECTOR WORKERS
INTERNATIONAL LABOUR ORGANIZATION
JOB CREATION
JOB LOSS
JOB LOSSES
JOB MATCH
JOB TRAINING
JOBS
LABOR DEMAND
LABOR ECONOMICS
LABOR FORCE
LABOR FORCE PARTICIPATION
LABOR MARKET
LABOR MARKET ADJUSTMENT
LABOR MARKET IMPACT
LABOR MARKET INDICATORS
LABOR MARKET INSTITUTIONS
LABOR MARKET OUTCOMES
LABOR MARKET POLICIES
LABOR MARKET REGULATIONS
LABOR MARKETS
LABOR ORGANIZATION
LABOR REGULATION
LABOR SHARE
LABOR SUPPLY
LABOUR MARKETS
LAID-OFF WORKERS
MARKET ECONOMIES
MIGRATION
NOMINAL WAGES
PASSIVE LABOR
PASSIVE LABOR MARKET PROGRAMS
PENALTIES
PRECISE ROLE
PRICE INCREASES
PRICE SUPPORTS
PRIVATE SECTOR
PRODUCTIVITY
PUBLIC WORKS
PUBLIC WORKS PROGRAM
PUBLIC WORKS PROGRAMS
REAL WAGE
REAL WAGES
REDUNDANCY
RETAIL
RETAIL TRADE
SERVICE SECTOR
SERVICE SECTORS
SEVERANCE PAYMENTS
SMALL MANUFACTURING
SOCIAL CAPITAL
SPREAD
TEMPORARY WAGE SUBSIDIES
TOTAL EMPLOYMENT
TRAINING PROGRAM
TRANSPORT
UNDEREMPLOYMENT
UNEMPLOYED
UNEMPLOYMENT
UNEMPLOYMENT BENEFITS
UNEMPLOYMENT INSURANCE
UNEMPLOYMENT RATE
UNEMPLOYMENT RATES
UNEMPLOYMENT STATISTICS
URBAN WORKERS
VOLATILITY
WAGE BILL
WAGE GROWTH
WAGE RATES
WAGE SUBSIDIES
WAGE SUBSIDY
WAGE SUBSIDY PROGRAMS
WORKER
WORKERS
WORKING POOR
Khanna, Gaurav
Newhouse, David
Paci, Pierella
Fewer Jobs or Smaller Paychecks? Aggregate Crisis Impacts in Selected Middle-Income Countries
geographic_facet The World Region
The World Region
relation Policy Research working paper ; no. WPS 5791
description This paper reviews evidence from 44 middle-income countries on how the recent financial crisis affected jobs and workers' incomes. In addition to providing a rare assessment of the magnitude of the impact across several middle-income countries, the paper describes how labor markets adjusted and how the adjustments varied for different types of countries. The main finding is that the crisis affected the quality of employment more than the number of jobs. Overall, the slow-down in earning growth was considerably higher than that in employment, and the decline in gross domestic product was associated with a sharp decline in output per worker, particularly in the industrial sector. In several counties, hours per worker declined and hourly wages changed little. But both the magnitude and nature of the adjustments varied considerably across countries. For a given drop in gross domestic product, earnings declined more in countries with larger manufacturing sectors, smaller export sectors, and more stringent labor market regulations. In addition, overall employment became more sensitive to growth in gross domestic product. These findings have implications that go beyond the recent financial crisis as they highlight (i) the limitations of focusing policy responses on maintaining jobs and providing alterative employment or replacement income for the unemployed, and (ii) the critical role of fast-track data systems that are capable of monitoring ongoing labor market adjustment during economic downturns, in supporting the design of effective policy responses.
format Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper
author Khanna, Gaurav
Newhouse, David
Paci, Pierella
author_facet Khanna, Gaurav
Newhouse, David
Paci, Pierella
author_sort Khanna, Gaurav
title Fewer Jobs or Smaller Paychecks? Aggregate Crisis Impacts in Selected Middle-Income Countries
title_short Fewer Jobs or Smaller Paychecks? Aggregate Crisis Impacts in Selected Middle-Income Countries
title_full Fewer Jobs or Smaller Paychecks? Aggregate Crisis Impacts in Selected Middle-Income Countries
title_fullStr Fewer Jobs or Smaller Paychecks? Aggregate Crisis Impacts in Selected Middle-Income Countries
title_full_unstemmed Fewer Jobs or Smaller Paychecks? Aggregate Crisis Impacts in Selected Middle-Income Countries
title_sort fewer jobs or smaller paychecks? aggregate crisis impacts in selected middle-income countries
publishDate 2012
url http://www-wds.worldbank.org/external/default/main?menuPK=64187510&pagePK=64193027&piPK=64187937&theSitePK=523679&menuPK=64187510&searchMenuPK=64187283&siteName=WDS&entityID=000158349_20110908084150
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/3555
_version_ 1764387196452732928
spelling okr-10986-35552021-04-23T14:02:10Z Fewer Jobs or Smaller Paychecks? Aggregate Crisis Impacts in Selected Middle-Income Countries Khanna, Gaurav Newhouse, David Paci, Pierella ACCOUNTING ACTIVE LABOR ACTIVE LABOR MARKET ACTIVE LABOR MARKET PROGRAM ACTIVE LABOR MARKET PROGRAMS ACTIVE LABOR PROGRAMS ACTIVE LABOUR ACTIVE LABOUR MARKET ACTIVE LABOUR MARKET POLICIES ADJUSTMENT PROCESS AGGREGATE EMPLOYMENT AVERAGE WAGE BUSINESS CYCLE COLLECTIVE BARGAINING DEBT DIRECT JOB CREATION DISPLACED WORKERS EARNING EARNINGS GROWTH EARNINGS INDICATORS EARNINGS LOSS EARNINGS REGRESSIONS ECONOMIC CRISES ECONOMIC DOWNTURNS ECONOMIC GROWTH ECONOMIC SHOCK ECONOMIC SHOCKS EMERGING MARKET EMERGING MARKET ECONOMIES EMPLOYERS EMPLOYMENT EMPLOYMENT EFFECTS EMPLOYMENT GENERATION EMPLOYMENT GROWTH EMPLOYMENT GROWTH RATE EMPLOYMENT LEVELS EMPLOYMENT OPPORTUNITIES EMPLOYMENT REDUCTION EMPLOYMENT TRENDS ENTRY BARRIERS FACTORING FINANCIAL CRISES FINANCIAL SERVICES FIRING FIRING COST FIRING COSTS FIRM SURVEY GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT HOUSEHOLD INCOME HOUSEHOLD SURVEY HOUSEHOLD SURVEYS INCOME SUPPORT INCOME SUPPORT PROGRAMS INFLATION INFORMAL SECTOR INFORMAL SECTOR WORKERS INTERNATIONAL LABOUR ORGANIZATION JOB CREATION JOB LOSS JOB LOSSES JOB MATCH JOB TRAINING JOBS LABOR DEMAND LABOR ECONOMICS LABOR FORCE LABOR FORCE PARTICIPATION LABOR MARKET LABOR MARKET ADJUSTMENT LABOR MARKET IMPACT LABOR MARKET INDICATORS LABOR MARKET INSTITUTIONS LABOR MARKET OUTCOMES LABOR MARKET POLICIES LABOR MARKET REGULATIONS LABOR MARKETS LABOR ORGANIZATION LABOR REGULATION LABOR SHARE LABOR SUPPLY LABOUR MARKETS LAID-OFF WORKERS MARKET ECONOMIES MIGRATION NOMINAL WAGES PASSIVE LABOR PASSIVE LABOR MARKET PROGRAMS PENALTIES PRECISE ROLE PRICE INCREASES PRICE SUPPORTS PRIVATE SECTOR PRODUCTIVITY PUBLIC WORKS PUBLIC WORKS PROGRAM PUBLIC WORKS PROGRAMS REAL WAGE REAL WAGES REDUNDANCY RETAIL RETAIL TRADE SERVICE SECTOR SERVICE SECTORS SEVERANCE PAYMENTS SMALL MANUFACTURING SOCIAL CAPITAL SPREAD TEMPORARY WAGE SUBSIDIES TOTAL EMPLOYMENT TRAINING PROGRAM TRANSPORT UNDEREMPLOYMENT UNEMPLOYED UNEMPLOYMENT UNEMPLOYMENT BENEFITS UNEMPLOYMENT INSURANCE UNEMPLOYMENT RATE UNEMPLOYMENT RATES UNEMPLOYMENT STATISTICS URBAN WORKERS VOLATILITY WAGE BILL WAGE GROWTH WAGE RATES WAGE SUBSIDIES WAGE SUBSIDY WAGE SUBSIDY PROGRAMS WORKER WORKERS WORKING POOR This paper reviews evidence from 44 middle-income countries on how the recent financial crisis affected jobs and workers' incomes. In addition to providing a rare assessment of the magnitude of the impact across several middle-income countries, the paper describes how labor markets adjusted and how the adjustments varied for different types of countries. The main finding is that the crisis affected the quality of employment more than the number of jobs. Overall, the slow-down in earning growth was considerably higher than that in employment, and the decline in gross domestic product was associated with a sharp decline in output per worker, particularly in the industrial sector. In several counties, hours per worker declined and hourly wages changed little. But both the magnitude and nature of the adjustments varied considerably across countries. For a given drop in gross domestic product, earnings declined more in countries with larger manufacturing sectors, smaller export sectors, and more stringent labor market regulations. In addition, overall employment became more sensitive to growth in gross domestic product. These findings have implications that go beyond the recent financial crisis as they highlight (i) the limitations of focusing policy responses on maintaining jobs and providing alterative employment or replacement income for the unemployed, and (ii) the critical role of fast-track data systems that are capable of monitoring ongoing labor market adjustment during economic downturns, in supporting the design of effective policy responses. 2012-03-19T18:04:33Z 2012-03-19T18:04:33Z 2011-09-01 http://www-wds.worldbank.org/external/default/main?menuPK=64187510&pagePK=64193027&piPK=64187937&theSitePK=523679&menuPK=64187510&searchMenuPK=64187283&siteName=WDS&entityID=000158349_20110908084150 http://hdl.handle.net/10986/3555 English Policy Research working paper ; no. WPS 5791 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/ World Bank Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper The World Region The World Region