Death and Destitution : The Global Distribution of Welfare Losses from the COVID-19 Pandemic

The COVID-19 pandemic has brought about massive declines in well-being around the world. This paper seeks to quantify and compare two important components of those losses—increased mortality and higher poverty—using years of human life as a common...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Ferreira, Francisco H. G., Sterck, Olivier, Mahler, Daniel, Decerf, Benoit
Format: Working Paper
Language:English
Published: World Bank, Washington, DC 2021
Subjects:
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/350931621877797558/Death-and-Destitution-The-Global-Distribution-of-Welfare-Losses-from-the-COVID-19-Pandemic
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/35634
id okr-10986-35634
recordtype oai_dc
spelling okr-10986-356342021-06-02T05:10:47Z Death and Destitution : The Global Distribution of Welfare Losses from the COVID-19 Pandemic Ferreira, Francisco H. G. Sterck, Olivier Mahler, Daniel Decerf, Benoit CORONAVIRUS COVID-19 PANDEMIC IMPACT WELFARE GLOBAL WEALTH DISTRIBUTION POVERTY MORTALITY The COVID-19 pandemic has brought about massive declines in well-being around the world. This paper seeks to quantify and compare two important components of those losses—increased mortality and higher poverty—using years of human life as a common metric. The paper estimates that almost 20 million life-years were lost to COVID-19 by December 2020. Over the same period and by the most conservative definition, more than 120 million additional years were spent in poverty because of the pandemic. The mortality burden, whether estimated in lives or years of life lost, increases sharply with gross domestic product per capita. By contrast, the poverty burden declines with per capita national income when a constant absolute poverty line is used, or is uncorrelated with national income when a more relative approach is taken to poverty lines. In both cases, the poverty burden of the pandemic, relative to the mortality burden, is much higher for poor countries. The distribution of aggregate welfare losses—combining mortality and poverty and expressed in terms of life-years —depends on the choice of poverty line(s) and the relative weights placed on mortality and poverty. With a constant absolute poverty line and a relatively low welfare weight on mortality, poorer countries are found to bear a greater welfare loss from the pandemic. When poverty lines are set differently for poor, middle-income, and high-income countries and/or a greater welfare weight is placed on mortality, upper-middle-income and rich countries suffer the most. 2021-06-01T22:16:33Z 2021-06-01T22:16:33Z 2021-05 Working Paper http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/350931621877797558/Death-and-Destitution-The-Global-Distribution-of-Welfare-Losses-from-the-COVID-19-Pandemic http://hdl.handle.net/10986/35634 English Policy Brief: Malawi;No. 9673 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo World Bank World Bank, Washington, DC Publications & Research Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
topic CORONAVIRUS
COVID-19
PANDEMIC IMPACT
WELFARE
GLOBAL WEALTH DISTRIBUTION
POVERTY
MORTALITY
spellingShingle CORONAVIRUS
COVID-19
PANDEMIC IMPACT
WELFARE
GLOBAL WEALTH DISTRIBUTION
POVERTY
MORTALITY
Ferreira, Francisco H. G.
Sterck, Olivier
Mahler, Daniel
Decerf, Benoit
Death and Destitution : The Global Distribution of Welfare Losses from the COVID-19 Pandemic
relation Policy Brief: Malawi;No. 9673
description The COVID-19 pandemic has brought about massive declines in well-being around the world. This paper seeks to quantify and compare two important components of those losses—increased mortality and higher poverty—using years of human life as a common metric. The paper estimates that almost 20 million life-years were lost to COVID-19 by December 2020. Over the same period and by the most conservative definition, more than 120 million additional years were spent in poverty because of the pandemic. The mortality burden, whether estimated in lives or years of life lost, increases sharply with gross domestic product per capita. By contrast, the poverty burden declines with per capita national income when a constant absolute poverty line is used, or is uncorrelated with national income when a more relative approach is taken to poverty lines. In both cases, the poverty burden of the pandemic, relative to the mortality burden, is much higher for poor countries. The distribution of aggregate welfare losses—combining mortality and poverty and expressed in terms of life-years —depends on the choice of poverty line(s) and the relative weights placed on mortality and poverty. With a constant absolute poverty line and a relatively low welfare weight on mortality, poorer countries are found to bear a greater welfare loss from the pandemic. When poverty lines are set differently for poor, middle-income, and high-income countries and/or a greater welfare weight is placed on mortality, upper-middle-income and rich countries suffer the most.
format Working Paper
author Ferreira, Francisco H. G.
Sterck, Olivier
Mahler, Daniel
Decerf, Benoit
author_facet Ferreira, Francisco H. G.
Sterck, Olivier
Mahler, Daniel
Decerf, Benoit
author_sort Ferreira, Francisco H. G.
title Death and Destitution : The Global Distribution of Welfare Losses from the COVID-19 Pandemic
title_short Death and Destitution : The Global Distribution of Welfare Losses from the COVID-19 Pandemic
title_full Death and Destitution : The Global Distribution of Welfare Losses from the COVID-19 Pandemic
title_fullStr Death and Destitution : The Global Distribution of Welfare Losses from the COVID-19 Pandemic
title_full_unstemmed Death and Destitution : The Global Distribution of Welfare Losses from the COVID-19 Pandemic
title_sort death and destitution : the global distribution of welfare losses from the covid-19 pandemic
publisher World Bank, Washington, DC
publishDate 2021
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/350931621877797558/Death-and-Destitution-The-Global-Distribution-of-Welfare-Losses-from-the-COVID-19-Pandemic
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/35634
_version_ 1764483464519745536