Scalable Early Warning Systems for School Dropout Prevention : Evidence from a 4.000-School Randomized Controlled Trial

Across many low- and middle-income countries, a sizable share of young people drop out of school before completing a full course of basic education. Early warning systems that accurately identify students at risk of dropout and support them with ta...

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Main Authors: Haimovich, Francisco, Vazquez, Emmanuel, Adelman, Melissa
Format: Working Paper
Language:English
Published: World Bank, Washington, DC 2021
Subjects:
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/983591622568486300/Scalable-Early-Warning-Systems-for-School-Dropout-Prevention-Evidence-from-a-4-000-School-Randomized-Controlled-Trial
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/35722
id okr-10986-35722
recordtype oai_dc
spelling okr-10986-357222021-06-11T05:11:25Z Scalable Early Warning Systems for School Dropout Prevention : Evidence from a 4.000-School Randomized Controlled Trial Haimovich, Francisco Vazquez, Emmanuel Adelman, Melissa SCHOOL DROPOUT SCHOOL MANAGEMENT EDUCATION MANAGEMENT INFORMATION SYSTEM SECONDARY EDUCATION Across many low- and middle-income countries, a sizable share of young people drop out of school before completing a full course of basic education. Early warning systems that accurately identify students at risk of dropout and support them with targeted interventions have shown results and are in widespread use in high-income contexts. This paper presents impact evaluation results from an early warning system pilot program in Guatemala, a middle-income country where nearly 40 percent of sixth graders drop out before completing ninth grade. The pilot program, which was implemented in 17 percent of Guatemala’s primary schools and largely leveraging existing government resources, reduced the dropout rate in the transition from primary to lower secondary school by 4 percent (1.3 percentage points) among schools assigned to the program, and by 9 percent (3 percentage points) among program compliers. Although the effect size is relatively modest, the low cost of the program (estimated at less than US$3 per student) and successful implementation at scale make this a promising and cost-effective approach for reducing dropout in resource-constrained contexts like Guatemala. 2021-06-10T13:38:55Z 2021-06-10T13:38:55Z 2021-06 Working Paper http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/983591622568486300/Scalable-Early-Warning-Systems-for-School-Dropout-Prevention-Evidence-from-a-4-000-School-Randomized-Controlled-Trial http://hdl.handle.net/10986/35722 English Policy Research Working Paper;No. 9685 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo World Bank World Bank, Washington, DC Publications & Research Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper Latin America & Caribbean Guatemala
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
topic SCHOOL DROPOUT
SCHOOL MANAGEMENT
EDUCATION MANAGEMENT INFORMATION SYSTEM
SECONDARY EDUCATION
spellingShingle SCHOOL DROPOUT
SCHOOL MANAGEMENT
EDUCATION MANAGEMENT INFORMATION SYSTEM
SECONDARY EDUCATION
Haimovich, Francisco
Vazquez, Emmanuel
Adelman, Melissa
Scalable Early Warning Systems for School Dropout Prevention : Evidence from a 4.000-School Randomized Controlled Trial
geographic_facet Latin America & Caribbean
Guatemala
relation Policy Research Working Paper;No. 9685
description Across many low- and middle-income countries, a sizable share of young people drop out of school before completing a full course of basic education. Early warning systems that accurately identify students at risk of dropout and support them with targeted interventions have shown results and are in widespread use in high-income contexts. This paper presents impact evaluation results from an early warning system pilot program in Guatemala, a middle-income country where nearly 40 percent of sixth graders drop out before completing ninth grade. The pilot program, which was implemented in 17 percent of Guatemala’s primary schools and largely leveraging existing government resources, reduced the dropout rate in the transition from primary to lower secondary school by 4 percent (1.3 percentage points) among schools assigned to the program, and by 9 percent (3 percentage points) among program compliers. Although the effect size is relatively modest, the low cost of the program (estimated at less than US$3 per student) and successful implementation at scale make this a promising and cost-effective approach for reducing dropout in resource-constrained contexts like Guatemala.
format Working Paper
author Haimovich, Francisco
Vazquez, Emmanuel
Adelman, Melissa
author_facet Haimovich, Francisco
Vazquez, Emmanuel
Adelman, Melissa
author_sort Haimovich, Francisco
title Scalable Early Warning Systems for School Dropout Prevention : Evidence from a 4.000-School Randomized Controlled Trial
title_short Scalable Early Warning Systems for School Dropout Prevention : Evidence from a 4.000-School Randomized Controlled Trial
title_full Scalable Early Warning Systems for School Dropout Prevention : Evidence from a 4.000-School Randomized Controlled Trial
title_fullStr Scalable Early Warning Systems for School Dropout Prevention : Evidence from a 4.000-School Randomized Controlled Trial
title_full_unstemmed Scalable Early Warning Systems for School Dropout Prevention : Evidence from a 4.000-School Randomized Controlled Trial
title_sort scalable early warning systems for school dropout prevention : evidence from a 4.000-school randomized controlled trial
publisher World Bank, Washington, DC
publishDate 2021
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/983591622568486300/Scalable-Early-Warning-Systems-for-School-Dropout-Prevention-Evidence-from-a-4-000-School-Randomized-Controlled-Trial
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/35722
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