Assessing the Odds of Achieving the MDGs

How many countries are on target to achieve the Millennium Development Goals by 2015? How many countries are off target, and how far are they from the goals? And what factors are essential for improving the odds that off-target countries can reach...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors:	Go, Delfin S., Quijada, Jose Alejandro
Format:	Policy Research Working Paper
Language:	English
Published:	2012
Subjects:	ACCESS TO PRIMARY EDUCATION AGGREGATE LEVEL ANNUAL GROWTH AVERAGE GROWTH BASIC SANITATION CHILD MORTALITY CLASSIFICATION OF COUNTRIES COMMODITY COMPLETION RATE CONNECTIVITY COUNTRY ANALYSES COUNTRY ASSESSMENT COUNTRY DATA COUNTRY LEVEL COUNTRY NAME COUNTRY PERFORMANCE CULTURAL VALUES DATA AVAILABILITY DEBT RELIEF DEPENDENT VARIABLE DEVELOPED COUNTRIES DEVELOPING COUNTRIES DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS DEVELOPMENT EFFORTS DEVELOPMENT INDICATORS DEVELOPMENT POLICY DEVELOPMENT REPORT DISEASES ECONOMIC GROWTH ECONOMIC PERFORMANCE ECONOMIC PROGRESS EFFECTIVE POLICIES EMPIRICAL MODEL ESTIMATION METHOD ESTIMATION RESULTS EXPLANATORY VARIABLES EXTERNAL FACTORS EXTERNAL SHOCKS FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT FUTURE GROWTH GENDER DISPARITY GENDER EQUALITY GENDER PARITY GIRLS GLOBAL DEVELOPMENT GLOBAL LEVEL GLOBAL POLICY GOOD GOVERNANCE GOVERNMENT EXPENDITURE GROSS NATIONAL INCOME GROWTH PERFORMANCE GROWTH PROSPECTS GROWTH RATE GROWTH RATES HEADCOUNT RATIO HEALTH OUTCOMES HIGH GROWTH HUMAN DEVELOPMENT INCOME LEVELS INCOME POVERTY INCREASED SPENDING INDEPENDENT VARIABLE INDEPENDENT VARIABLES INDIVIDUAL COUNTRIES INDUSTRIALIZED COUNTRIES INSTITUTIONAL FRAMEWORK INTERNATIONAL POLICY INTERVENTIONS LARGE POPULATIONS LEARNING LEARNING OUTCOMES LEVELS OF EDUCATION LIVE BIRTHS LOW-INCOME COUNTRIES MALARIA MATERNAL HEALTH MATERNAL MORTALITY MATERNAL MORTALITY RATIO MILLENNIUM DEVELOPMENT GOAL MILLENNIUM DEVELOPMENT GOALS MODEL SPECIFICATIONS MORTALITY RATE NATURAL RESOURCES NEGATIVE IMPACT 0 HYPOTHESIS OPEN ACCESS PC PER CAPITA GROWTH PERFORMANCES POLICY DISCUSSIONS POLICY FRAMEWORK POLICY REFORMS POLICY RESEARCH POLICY RESEARCH WORKING PAPER POLITICAL ECONOMY POLITICAL RIGHTS POLITICAL STABILITY POOR COUNTRIES POOR PEOPLE POVERTY RATE POVERTY RATES POVERTY REDUCTION PRIMARY COMPLETION PRIMARY COMPLETION RATE PRIMARY COMPLETION RATES PRIMARY EDUCATION PRIMARY EDUCATION COMPLETION PRIMARY ENROLLMENT PRIMARY SCHOOLING PRIVATE SECTOR PRIVATE SECTOR DEVELOPMENT PROGRESS PUBLIC EXPENDITURE PUBLIC EXPENDITURES PUBLIC SECTOR PURCHASING POWER PURCHASING POWER PARITY RAPID GROWTH REDUCING MATERNAL MORTALITY RELIABILITY RESOURCE NEEDS RESULT RESULTS RULE OF LAW SAFE DRINKING WATER SAFE WATER SAFETY NETS SANITATION SANITATION FACILITIES SECONDARY EDUCATION SECONDARY ENROLLMENT SERVICE DELIVERY SERVICE PROVIDERS SIGNIFICANT IMPACT SIGNIFICANT POLICY SOCIAL COMMISSION SOCIAL EXPENDITURES SOCIAL PROTECTION STANDARD DEVIATION STRUCTURAL POLICIES SUSTAINABLE ACCESS TARGETS TECHNICAL ISSUES TRANSPORTATION UNIVERSAL PRIMARY EDUCATION USES VULNERABILITY WEB
Online Access:	http://www-wds.worldbank.org/external/default/main?menuPK=64187510&pagePK=64193027&piPK=64187937&theSitePK=523679&menuPK=64187510&searchMenuPK=64187283&siteName=WDS&entityID=000158349_20111004142534 http://hdl.handle.net/10986/3589

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Summary:	How many countries are on target to achieve the Millennium Development Goals by 2015? How many countries are off target, and how far are they from the goals? And what factors are essential for improving the odds that off-target countries can reach the goals? This paper examines these questions and takes a closer look at the diversity of country progress. The authors argue that the answers from the available data are surprisingly hopeful. In particular, two-thirds of developing countries are on target or close to being on target for all the Millennium Development Goals. Among developing countries that are falling short, the average gap of the top half is about 10 percent. For those countries that are on target, or close to it, solid economic growth and good policies and institutions have been the key factors in their success. With improved policies and faster growth, many countries that are close to becoming on target could still achieve the targets in 2015 or soon after.

Assessing the Odds of Achieving the MDGs

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