Flood Protection and Land Value Creation : Not All Resilience Investments Are Created Equal

This paper investigates the land value creation potential from flood mitigation investments in a theoretical and applied setting, using the urban area of Buenos Aires as a case study. It contributes to the literature on the wider economic benefits...

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Main Authors: Avner, Paolo, Viguié, Vincent, Jafino, Bramka Arga, Hallegatte, Stephane
Format: Working Paper
Language:English
Published: World Bank, Washington, DC 2021
Subjects:
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/489851627570942811/Flood-Protection-and-Land-Value-Creation-Not-All-Resilience-Investments-Are-Created-Equal
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/36055
id okr-10986-36055
recordtype oai_dc
spelling okr-10986-360552021-08-06T05:10:25Z Flood Protection and Land Value Creation : Not All Resilience Investments Are Created Equal Avner, Paolo Viguié, Vincent Jafino, Bramka Arga Hallegatte, Stephane RESIDENTIAL INVESTMENT FLOOD CONTROL URBAN ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT HOUSING REGULATION LAND USE TRANSPORT PLANNING This paper investigates the land value creation potential from flood mitigation investments in a theoretical and applied setting, using the urban area of Buenos Aires as a case study. It contributes to the literature on the wider economic benefits of government interventions and the dividends of resilience investments. Using a simple urban economics framework that represents land and housing markets, it finds that not all flood mitigation interventions display the same potential for land value creation: where land is more valuable (city centers for example), the benefits of resilience are higher. The paper also provides ranges for land value creation potential from the flood mitigation works in Buenos Aires under various model specifications. Although the estimates vary largely depending on model parameters and specifications, in many cases the land value creation would be sufficient to justify the investments. This result is robust even in the closed city configuration with conservative flood damage estimates, providing that the parameters remain reasonably close to the values obtained from the calibration. Finally, acknowledging that fully calibrating and running an urban simulation model is data greedy and time intensive—even a simple model as proposed here—this research also proposes reduced form expressions that can provide approximations for land value creation from flood mitigation investments and can be used in operational contexts. 2021-08-05T12:52:57Z 2021-08-05T12:52:57Z 2021-07 Working Paper http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/489851627570942811/Flood-Protection-and-Land-Value-Creation-Not-All-Resilience-Investments-Are-Created-Equal http://hdl.handle.net/10986/36055 English Policy Research Working Paper;No. 9744 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo World Bank World Bank, Washington, DC Publications & Research Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
topic RESIDENTIAL INVESTMENT
FLOOD CONTROL
URBAN ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT
HOUSING REGULATION
LAND USE
TRANSPORT PLANNING
spellingShingle RESIDENTIAL INVESTMENT
FLOOD CONTROL
URBAN ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT
HOUSING REGULATION
LAND USE
TRANSPORT PLANNING
Avner, Paolo
Viguié, Vincent
Jafino, Bramka Arga
Hallegatte, Stephane
Flood Protection and Land Value Creation : Not All Resilience Investments Are Created Equal
relation Policy Research Working Paper;No. 9744
description This paper investigates the land value creation potential from flood mitigation investments in a theoretical and applied setting, using the urban area of Buenos Aires as a case study. It contributes to the literature on the wider economic benefits of government interventions and the dividends of resilience investments. Using a simple urban economics framework that represents land and housing markets, it finds that not all flood mitigation interventions display the same potential for land value creation: where land is more valuable (city centers for example), the benefits of resilience are higher. The paper also provides ranges for land value creation potential from the flood mitigation works in Buenos Aires under various model specifications. Although the estimates vary largely depending on model parameters and specifications, in many cases the land value creation would be sufficient to justify the investments. This result is robust even in the closed city configuration with conservative flood damage estimates, providing that the parameters remain reasonably close to the values obtained from the calibration. Finally, acknowledging that fully calibrating and running an urban simulation model is data greedy and time intensive—even a simple model as proposed here—this research also proposes reduced form expressions that can provide approximations for land value creation from flood mitigation investments and can be used in operational contexts.
format Working Paper
author Avner, Paolo
Viguié, Vincent
Jafino, Bramka Arga
Hallegatte, Stephane
author_facet Avner, Paolo
Viguié, Vincent
Jafino, Bramka Arga
Hallegatte, Stephane
author_sort Avner, Paolo
title Flood Protection and Land Value Creation : Not All Resilience Investments Are Created Equal
title_short Flood Protection and Land Value Creation : Not All Resilience Investments Are Created Equal
title_full Flood Protection and Land Value Creation : Not All Resilience Investments Are Created Equal
title_fullStr Flood Protection and Land Value Creation : Not All Resilience Investments Are Created Equal
title_full_unstemmed Flood Protection and Land Value Creation : Not All Resilience Investments Are Created Equal
title_sort flood protection and land value creation : not all resilience investments are created equal
publisher World Bank, Washington, DC
publishDate 2021
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/489851627570942811/Flood-Protection-and-Land-Value-Creation-Not-All-Resilience-Investments-Are-Created-Equal
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/36055
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