Groundswell Part 2 : Acting on Internal Climate Migration

This sequel to the Groundswell report includes projections and analysis of internal climate migration for three new regions: East Asia and the Pacific, North Africa, and Eastern Europe and Central Asia. Qualitative analyses of climate-related mobility in countries of the Mashreq and in Small Island...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Clement, Viviane, Rigaud, Kanta Kumari, de Sherbinin, Alex, Jones, Bryan, Adamo, Susana, Schewe, Jacob, Sadiq, Nian, Shabahat, Elham
Format: Report
Published: World Bank, Washington, DC 2021
Subjects:
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/837771631204427139/Groundswell-Part-II-Acting-on-Internal-Climate-Migration
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/36248
id okr-10986-36248
recordtype oai_dc
spelling okr-10986-362482021-09-14T05:10:47Z Groundswell Part 2 : Acting on Internal Climate Migration Clement, Viviane Rigaud, Kanta Kumari de Sherbinin, Alex Jones, Bryan Adamo, Susana Schewe, Jacob Sadiq, Nian Shabahat, Elham CLIMATE CHANGE INTERNATIONAL MIGRATION INTERNAL MIGRATION MOBILITY MIGRATION PROJECTIONS FRAGILE STATES SMALL ISLAND DEVELOPING STATES WATER MODEL CROP MODEL POPULATION MODEL CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACT INTERNALLY DISPLACED PERSON DEMOGRAPHICS INCLUSIVE DEVELOPMENT CLIMATE CHANGE ADAPTATION CLIMATE MIGRATION This sequel to the Groundswell report includes projections and analysis of internal climate migration for three new regions: East Asia and the Pacific, North Africa, and Eastern Europe and Central Asia. Qualitative analyses of climate-related mobility in countries of the Mashreq and in Small Island Developing States (SIDS) are also provided. This new report builds on the scenario-based modeling approach of the previous Groundswell report from 2018, which covered Sub-Saharan Africa, South Asia, and Latin America. The two reports’ combined findings provide, for the first time, a global picture of the potential scale of internal climate migration across the six regions, allowing for a better understanding of how slow-onset climate change impacts, population dynamics, and development contexts shape mobility trends. They also highlight the far-sighted planning needed to meet this challenge and ensure positive and sustainable development outcomes. The combined results across the six regions show that without early and concerted climate and development action, as many as 216 million people could move within their own countries due to slow-onset climate change impacts by 2050. They will migrate from areas with lower water availability and crop productivity and from areas affected by sea-level rise and storm surges. Hotspots of internal climate migration could emerge as early as 2030 and continue to spread and intensify by 2050. The reports also finds that rapid and concerted action to reduce global emissions, and support green, inclusive, and resilient development, could significantly reduce the scale of internal climate migration. 2021-09-09T16:29:51Z 2021-09-09T16:29:51Z 2021-09-13 Report http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/837771631204427139/Groundswell-Part-II-Acting-on-Internal-Climate-Migration http://hdl.handle.net/10986/36248 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo World Bank World Bank, Washington, DC Publications & Research Publications & Research :: Working Paper
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
topic CLIMATE CHANGE
INTERNATIONAL MIGRATION
INTERNAL MIGRATION
MOBILITY
MIGRATION PROJECTIONS
FRAGILE STATES
SMALL ISLAND DEVELOPING STATES
WATER MODEL
CROP MODEL
POPULATION MODEL
CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACT
INTERNALLY DISPLACED PERSON
DEMOGRAPHICS
INCLUSIVE DEVELOPMENT
CLIMATE CHANGE ADAPTATION
CLIMATE MIGRATION
spellingShingle CLIMATE CHANGE
INTERNATIONAL MIGRATION
INTERNAL MIGRATION
MOBILITY
MIGRATION PROJECTIONS
FRAGILE STATES
SMALL ISLAND DEVELOPING STATES
WATER MODEL
CROP MODEL
POPULATION MODEL
CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACT
INTERNALLY DISPLACED PERSON
DEMOGRAPHICS
INCLUSIVE DEVELOPMENT
CLIMATE CHANGE ADAPTATION
CLIMATE MIGRATION
Clement, Viviane
Rigaud, Kanta Kumari
de Sherbinin, Alex
Jones, Bryan
Adamo, Susana
Schewe, Jacob
Sadiq, Nian
Shabahat, Elham
Groundswell Part 2 : Acting on Internal Climate Migration
description This sequel to the Groundswell report includes projections and analysis of internal climate migration for three new regions: East Asia and the Pacific, North Africa, and Eastern Europe and Central Asia. Qualitative analyses of climate-related mobility in countries of the Mashreq and in Small Island Developing States (SIDS) are also provided. This new report builds on the scenario-based modeling approach of the previous Groundswell report from 2018, which covered Sub-Saharan Africa, South Asia, and Latin America. The two reports’ combined findings provide, for the first time, a global picture of the potential scale of internal climate migration across the six regions, allowing for a better understanding of how slow-onset climate change impacts, population dynamics, and development contexts shape mobility trends. They also highlight the far-sighted planning needed to meet this challenge and ensure positive and sustainable development outcomes. The combined results across the six regions show that without early and concerted climate and development action, as many as 216 million people could move within their own countries due to slow-onset climate change impacts by 2050. They will migrate from areas with lower water availability and crop productivity and from areas affected by sea-level rise and storm surges. Hotspots of internal climate migration could emerge as early as 2030 and continue to spread and intensify by 2050. The reports also finds that rapid and concerted action to reduce global emissions, and support green, inclusive, and resilient development, could significantly reduce the scale of internal climate migration.
format Report
author Clement, Viviane
Rigaud, Kanta Kumari
de Sherbinin, Alex
Jones, Bryan
Adamo, Susana
Schewe, Jacob
Sadiq, Nian
Shabahat, Elham
author_facet Clement, Viviane
Rigaud, Kanta Kumari
de Sherbinin, Alex
Jones, Bryan
Adamo, Susana
Schewe, Jacob
Sadiq, Nian
Shabahat, Elham
author_sort Clement, Viviane
title Groundswell Part 2 : Acting on Internal Climate Migration
title_short Groundswell Part 2 : Acting on Internal Climate Migration
title_full Groundswell Part 2 : Acting on Internal Climate Migration
title_fullStr Groundswell Part 2 : Acting on Internal Climate Migration
title_full_unstemmed Groundswell Part 2 : Acting on Internal Climate Migration
title_sort groundswell part 2 : acting on internal climate migration
publisher World Bank, Washington, DC
publishDate 2021
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/837771631204427139/Groundswell-Part-II-Acting-on-Internal-Climate-Migration
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/36248
_version_ 1764484861732585472