The Impact of Climate Change on Global Tropical Storm Damages

This paper constructs an integrated assessment model of tropical cyclones in order to quantify the impact that climate change may have on tropical cyclone damages in countries around the world. The paper relies on a tropical cyclone generator in ea...

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Main Authors: Mendelsohn, Robert, Emanuel, Kerry, Chonabayashi, Shun
Format: Policy Research Working Paper
Language:English
Published: 2012
Subjects:
CO2
GCM
GWP
Online Access:http://www-wds.worldbank.org/external/default/main?menuPK=64187510&pagePK=64193027&piPK=64187937&theSitePK=523679&menuPK=64187510&searchMenuPK=64187283&siteName=WDS&entityID=000158349_20111104095129
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/3638
id okr-10986-3638
recordtype oai_dc
spelling okr-10986-36382021-04-23T14:02:11Z The Impact of Climate Change on Global Tropical Storm Damages Mendelsohn, Robert Emanuel, Kerry Chonabayashi, Shun APPLIED METEOROLOGY ATMOSPHERE ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCE BAROMETRIC PRESSURE BLANKET BUILDING CODES CALCULATION CATASTROPHIC INSURANCE CLIMATE CLIMATE CHANGE CLIMATE CHANGE DAMAGE CLIMATE CHANGE DAMAGES CLIMATE CHANGE ECONOMICS CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACTS CLIMATE CHANGE PREDICTIONS CLIMATE CHANGES CLIMATE CONDITIONS CLIMATE DATA CLIMATE DYNAMICS CLIMATE MODEL CLIMATE MODELS CLIMATE RESEARCH CLIMATE SCENARIO CLIMATE SCENARIOS CLIMATE SYSTEM CLIMATES CLIMATOLOGY CO2 COSTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE CYCLONE ACTIVITIES CYCLONE CENTER CYCLONE TRACKS DAMAGE ASSESSMENT DISASTER DISASTER REDUCTION DISASTER RELIEF ECONOMIC GROWTH ECONOMICS OF CLIMATE CHANGE EFFECT OF CLIMATE CHANGE EMISSION EMISSION PATH EMISSION SCENARIO EMISSIONS EMISSIONS SCENARIO EMISSIONS SCENARIOS EXTREME EVENT EXTREME EVENTS FATALITIES FATALITY FLOOD FLOOD INSURANCE GCM GENERAL CIRCULATION MODEL GENERATOR GLOBAL CLIMATE GLOBAL EMISSIONS GLOBAL WARMING GREENHOUSE GREENHOUSE GAS GREENHOUSE GAS CONCENTRATIONS GREENHOUSE GAS MITIGATION GREENHOUSE GASES GWP HURRICANE HURRICANES IMPACT OF CLIMATE IMPACT OF CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACTS FROM CLIMATE CHANGE INCOME INTENSITY OF STORMS INTERGOVERNMENTAL PANEL ON CLIMATE CHANGE IPCC LAND USE MAXIMUM WIND SPEED METEOROLOGY NATIONAL INCOME NATURAL HAZARDS OCEAN BASINS OCEANS POLICY MAKERS PRESENT VALUE PROBABILITY DENSITY PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTION RISK ANALYSIS SCENARIOS SCIENTISTS SEA LEVEL RISE SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES SEA WALLS SOCIAL AFFAIRS SOLAR RADIATION STORM DAMAGE STORM DAMAGES STORM SURGES STORMS TEMPERATURE TEMPERATURE CHANGES TOTAL DAMAGES TROPICAL CYCLONE TROPICAL CYCLONE IMPACTS TROPICAL CYCLONE INTENSITY TROPICAL CYCLONES TROPICAL STORM TROPICAL STORMS TYPHOONS UNCERTAINTIES VULNERABILITY TO CLIMATE CHANGE WARMER CLIMATE WEATHER WIND WIND DIRECTION WIND SHEAR WIND SPEED WIND SPEEDS This paper constructs an integrated assessment model of tropical cyclones in order to quantify the impact that climate change may have on tropical cyclone damages in countries around the world. The paper relies on a tropical cyclone generator in each ocean and several climate models to predict tropical cyclones with and without climate change. A damage model is constructed to compute the resulting damage when a cyclone strikes each country. Economic development is expected to double global tropical cyclone damages because more will be in harm's way. Climate change is expected to double global damage again, causing an additional $54 billion of damage per year. The damage is projected to be concentrated in North America and eastern Asia but many Caribbean islands will suffer the highest damages per unit of GDP. Most of the increased damage will be caused by rare but very powerful storms. 2012-03-19T18:06:00Z 2012-03-19T18:06:00Z 2011-02-01 http://www-wds.worldbank.org/external/default/main?menuPK=64187510&pagePK=64193027&piPK=64187937&theSitePK=523679&menuPK=64187510&searchMenuPK=64187283&siteName=WDS&entityID=000158349_20111104095129 http://hdl.handle.net/10986/3638 English Policy Research working paper ; no. WPS 5562 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/ World Bank Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper The World Region The World Region
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
topic APPLIED METEOROLOGY
ATMOSPHERE
ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCE
BAROMETRIC PRESSURE
BLANKET
BUILDING CODES
CALCULATION
CATASTROPHIC INSURANCE
CLIMATE
CLIMATE CHANGE
CLIMATE CHANGE DAMAGE
CLIMATE CHANGE DAMAGES
CLIMATE CHANGE ECONOMICS
CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACTS
CLIMATE CHANGE PREDICTIONS
CLIMATE CHANGES
CLIMATE CONDITIONS
CLIMATE DATA
CLIMATE DYNAMICS
CLIMATE MODEL
CLIMATE MODELS
CLIMATE RESEARCH
CLIMATE SCENARIO
CLIMATE SCENARIOS
CLIMATE SYSTEM
CLIMATES
CLIMATOLOGY
CO2
COSTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE
CYCLONE ACTIVITIES
CYCLONE CENTER
CYCLONE TRACKS
DAMAGE ASSESSMENT
DISASTER
DISASTER REDUCTION
DISASTER RELIEF
ECONOMIC GROWTH
ECONOMICS OF CLIMATE CHANGE
EFFECT OF CLIMATE CHANGE
EMISSION
EMISSION PATH
EMISSION SCENARIO
EMISSIONS
EMISSIONS SCENARIO
EMISSIONS SCENARIOS
EXTREME EVENT
EXTREME EVENTS
FATALITIES
FATALITY
FLOOD
FLOOD INSURANCE
GCM
GENERAL CIRCULATION MODEL
GENERATOR
GLOBAL CLIMATE
GLOBAL EMISSIONS
GLOBAL WARMING
GREENHOUSE
GREENHOUSE GAS
GREENHOUSE GAS CONCENTRATIONS
GREENHOUSE GAS MITIGATION
GREENHOUSE GASES
GWP
HURRICANE
HURRICANES
IMPACT OF CLIMATE
IMPACT OF CLIMATE CHANGE
IMPACTS FROM CLIMATE CHANGE
INCOME
INTENSITY OF STORMS
INTERGOVERNMENTAL PANEL ON CLIMATE CHANGE
IPCC
LAND USE
MAXIMUM WIND SPEED
METEOROLOGY
NATIONAL INCOME
NATURAL HAZARDS
OCEAN BASINS
OCEANS
POLICY MAKERS
PRESENT VALUE
PROBABILITY DENSITY
PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTION
RISK ANALYSIS
SCENARIOS
SCIENTISTS
SEA LEVEL RISE
SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES
SEA WALLS
SOCIAL AFFAIRS
SOLAR RADIATION
STORM DAMAGE
STORM DAMAGES
STORM SURGES
STORMS
TEMPERATURE
TEMPERATURE CHANGES
TOTAL DAMAGES
TROPICAL CYCLONE
TROPICAL CYCLONE IMPACTS
TROPICAL CYCLONE INTENSITY
TROPICAL CYCLONES
TROPICAL STORM
TROPICAL STORMS
TYPHOONS
UNCERTAINTIES
VULNERABILITY TO CLIMATE CHANGE
WARMER CLIMATE
WEATHER
WIND
WIND DIRECTION
WIND SHEAR
WIND SPEED
WIND SPEEDS
spellingShingle APPLIED METEOROLOGY
ATMOSPHERE
ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCE
BAROMETRIC PRESSURE
BLANKET
BUILDING CODES
CALCULATION
CATASTROPHIC INSURANCE
CLIMATE
CLIMATE CHANGE
CLIMATE CHANGE DAMAGE
CLIMATE CHANGE DAMAGES
CLIMATE CHANGE ECONOMICS
CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACTS
CLIMATE CHANGE PREDICTIONS
CLIMATE CHANGES
CLIMATE CONDITIONS
CLIMATE DATA
CLIMATE DYNAMICS
CLIMATE MODEL
CLIMATE MODELS
CLIMATE RESEARCH
CLIMATE SCENARIO
CLIMATE SCENARIOS
CLIMATE SYSTEM
CLIMATES
CLIMATOLOGY
CO2
COSTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE
CYCLONE ACTIVITIES
CYCLONE CENTER
CYCLONE TRACKS
DAMAGE ASSESSMENT
DISASTER
DISASTER REDUCTION
DISASTER RELIEF
ECONOMIC GROWTH
ECONOMICS OF CLIMATE CHANGE
EFFECT OF CLIMATE CHANGE
EMISSION
EMISSION PATH
EMISSION SCENARIO
EMISSIONS
EMISSIONS SCENARIO
EMISSIONS SCENARIOS
EXTREME EVENT
EXTREME EVENTS
FATALITIES
FATALITY
FLOOD
FLOOD INSURANCE
GCM
GENERAL CIRCULATION MODEL
GENERATOR
GLOBAL CLIMATE
GLOBAL EMISSIONS
GLOBAL WARMING
GREENHOUSE
GREENHOUSE GAS
GREENHOUSE GAS CONCENTRATIONS
GREENHOUSE GAS MITIGATION
GREENHOUSE GASES
GWP
HURRICANE
HURRICANES
IMPACT OF CLIMATE
IMPACT OF CLIMATE CHANGE
IMPACTS FROM CLIMATE CHANGE
INCOME
INTENSITY OF STORMS
INTERGOVERNMENTAL PANEL ON CLIMATE CHANGE
IPCC
LAND USE
MAXIMUM WIND SPEED
METEOROLOGY
NATIONAL INCOME
NATURAL HAZARDS
OCEAN BASINS
OCEANS
POLICY MAKERS
PRESENT VALUE
PROBABILITY DENSITY
PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTION
RISK ANALYSIS
SCENARIOS
SCIENTISTS
SEA LEVEL RISE
SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES
SEA WALLS
SOCIAL AFFAIRS
SOLAR RADIATION
STORM DAMAGE
STORM DAMAGES
STORM SURGES
STORMS
TEMPERATURE
TEMPERATURE CHANGES
TOTAL DAMAGES
TROPICAL CYCLONE
TROPICAL CYCLONE IMPACTS
TROPICAL CYCLONE INTENSITY
TROPICAL CYCLONES
TROPICAL STORM
TROPICAL STORMS
TYPHOONS
UNCERTAINTIES
VULNERABILITY TO CLIMATE CHANGE
WARMER CLIMATE
WEATHER
WIND
WIND DIRECTION
WIND SHEAR
WIND SPEED
WIND SPEEDS
Mendelsohn, Robert
Emanuel, Kerry
Chonabayashi, Shun
The Impact of Climate Change on Global Tropical Storm Damages
geographic_facet The World Region
The World Region
relation Policy Research working paper ; no. WPS 5562
description This paper constructs an integrated assessment model of tropical cyclones in order to quantify the impact that climate change may have on tropical cyclone damages in countries around the world. The paper relies on a tropical cyclone generator in each ocean and several climate models to predict tropical cyclones with and without climate change. A damage model is constructed to compute the resulting damage when a cyclone strikes each country. Economic development is expected to double global tropical cyclone damages because more will be in harm's way. Climate change is expected to double global damage again, causing an additional $54 billion of damage per year. The damage is projected to be concentrated in North America and eastern Asia but many Caribbean islands will suffer the highest damages per unit of GDP. Most of the increased damage will be caused by rare but very powerful storms.
format Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper
author Mendelsohn, Robert
Emanuel, Kerry
Chonabayashi, Shun
author_facet Mendelsohn, Robert
Emanuel, Kerry
Chonabayashi, Shun
author_sort Mendelsohn, Robert
title The Impact of Climate Change on Global Tropical Storm Damages
title_short The Impact of Climate Change on Global Tropical Storm Damages
title_full The Impact of Climate Change on Global Tropical Storm Damages
title_fullStr The Impact of Climate Change on Global Tropical Storm Damages
title_full_unstemmed The Impact of Climate Change on Global Tropical Storm Damages
title_sort impact of climate change on global tropical storm damages
publishDate 2012
url http://www-wds.worldbank.org/external/default/main?menuPK=64187510&pagePK=64193027&piPK=64187937&theSitePK=523679&menuPK=64187510&searchMenuPK=64187283&siteName=WDS&entityID=000158349_20111104095129
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/3638
_version_ 1764387554357936128