Has the Global Banking System Become More Fragile over Time?

This paper examines time-series and cross-country variations in default risk co-dependence in the global banking system. The authors construct a default risk measure for all publicly traded banks using the Merton contingent claim model, and examine...

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Main Authors: Anginer, Deniz, Demirgüç-Kunt, Asli
Format: Policy Research Working Paper
Language:English
Published: 2012
Subjects:
CDS
Online Access:http://www-wds.worldbank.org/external/default/main?menuPK=64187510&pagePK=64193027&piPK=64187937&theSitePK=523679&menuPK=64187510&searchMenuPK=64187283&siteName=WDS&entityID=000158349_20111108124433
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/3644
id okr-10986-3644
recordtype oai_dc
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
topic ACCOUNTING
ASSET LIQUIDITY
ASSET PRICES
ASSET VALUE
ASSET VALUES
ASSETS RATIO
BACKED SECURITIES
BALANCE SHEET
BANK ASSETS
BANK CAPITAL
BANK DEPOSIT
BANK DEPOSITS
BANK OF ENGLAND
BANK POLICY
BANK SUPERVISION
BANKING CRISES
BANKING CRISIS
BANKING REGULATION
BANKING SECTOR
BANKING SECTORS
BANKING SUPERVISION
BANKING SYSTEM
BANKRUPTCY
BANKS
BARRIER
BORROWING COSTS
CALL OPTION
CAPITAL ASSETS
CAPITAL CONTROL
CAPITAL FLOWS
CAPITAL RATIO
CAPITAL REQUIREMENTS
CAPITALIZATION
CDS
CENTRAL BANK
COMMERCIAL BANKS
COMMUNICATIONS TECHNOLOGY
CONNECTIVITY
CONSOLIDATION
CORPORATE DEBT
COUNTRY DUMMY
COUNTRY FIXED EFFECTS
CREDIT RISK
DEBT
DEFAULT PROBABILITIES
DEFAULT PROBABILITY
DEFAULT RISK
DEFAULTS
DEMAND DEPOSITS
DEPOSIT
DEPOSIT INSURANCE
DEPOSIT INSURANCE COVERAGE
DEPOSIT MONEY BANKS
DEREGULATION
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
DIVIDEND
DIVIDEND RATE
DIVIDENDS
DUMMY VARIABLE
DUMMY VARIABLES
ECONOMIC INTEGRATION
ECONOMIC POLICY
ECONOMICS
EQUITY PORTFOLIOS
EQUITY PRICES
EQUITY RETURNS
EQUITY VALUE
EXPOSURE
EXPOSURE TO RISK
EXTERNALITIES
FACE VALUE
FEDERAL RESERVE
FEDERAL RESERVE BANK
FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF NEW YORK
FINANCIAL CONTAGION
FINANCIAL CRISES
FINANCIAL CRISIS
FINANCIAL DEVELOPMENT
FINANCIAL FRAGILITY
FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS
FINANCIAL INSTRUMENTS
FINANCIAL INTERMEDIARY
FINANCIAL LIBERALIZATION
FINANCIAL MARKETS
FINANCIAL OPENNESS
FINANCIAL REFORM
FINANCIAL REFORMS
FINANCIAL REGULATION
FINANCIAL SECTOR
FINANCIAL STABILITY
FINANCIAL STRUCTURE
FINANCIAL STUDIES
FINANCIAL SYSTEM
FINANCIAL SYSTEMS
FINANCIAL TRANSACTIONS
FOREIGN INVESTORS
GLOBAL BANKING
GLOBALIZATION
GOVERNMENT POLICIES
HEDGE FUND
HEDGE FUNDS
ILLIQUIDITY
IMPLICIT GUARANTEE
INFLATION
INFLATION RISK
INTEREST RATES
INTERNATIONAL BANK
INTERNATIONAL CAPITAL
INTERNATIONAL DIVERSIFICATION
INTERNATIONAL EQUITY
INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL TRANSACTIONS
INTERNATIONAL MARKETS
INTERPOLATION
JURISDICTIONS
LIQUID ASSETS
LIQUIDITY CREATION
LIQUIDITY RISK
LONG TERM LIABILITIES
LONG-TERM LIABILITIES
MARKET CAPITALIZATION
MARKET CAPITALIZATIONS
MARKET DATA
MARKET EQUITY
MARKET TURNOVER
MARKET VALUE
MORAL HAZARD
MORTGAGE
NEGATIVE SHOCK
POLITICAL ECONOMY
PORTFOLIO
PORTFOLIOS
PRICE DISCOVERY
PRIVATE SECTOR DEVELOPMENT
PROBABILITY OF DEFAULT
PRODUCTIVITY
PRUDENTIAL REGULATION
PRUDENTIAL REGULATIONS
RAPID DEVELOPMENT
RECESSION
REGULATORY FRAMEWORKS
RESERVES
RISK DIVERSIFICATION
RISK PREMIUM
RISK SHARING
SAFETY NET
SECURITIES MARKETS
SECURITY MARKET
SHARE OF ASSETS
SHORT TERM DEBT
SHORT-TERM BORROWING
STOCK MARKET
STOCK MARKET CAPITALIZATION
STOCK MARKETS
STOCK PRICES
STOCK RETURNS
SYSTEMIC RISK
TRADE LIBERALIZATION
TREASURY
TREASURY BILL
TREASURY BILL RATE
TURNOVER RATIO
UNION
VALUE OF ASSETS
VOLATILITY
WORLD DEVELOPMENT INDICATOR
WORLD ECONOMY
spellingShingle ACCOUNTING
ASSET LIQUIDITY
ASSET PRICES
ASSET VALUE
ASSET VALUES
ASSETS RATIO
BACKED SECURITIES
BALANCE SHEET
BANK ASSETS
BANK CAPITAL
BANK DEPOSIT
BANK DEPOSITS
BANK OF ENGLAND
BANK POLICY
BANK SUPERVISION
BANKING CRISES
BANKING CRISIS
BANKING REGULATION
BANKING SECTOR
BANKING SECTORS
BANKING SUPERVISION
BANKING SYSTEM
BANKRUPTCY
BANKS
BARRIER
BORROWING COSTS
CALL OPTION
CAPITAL ASSETS
CAPITAL CONTROL
CAPITAL FLOWS
CAPITAL RATIO
CAPITAL REQUIREMENTS
CAPITALIZATION
CDS
CENTRAL BANK
COMMERCIAL BANKS
COMMUNICATIONS TECHNOLOGY
CONNECTIVITY
CONSOLIDATION
CORPORATE DEBT
COUNTRY DUMMY
COUNTRY FIXED EFFECTS
CREDIT RISK
DEBT
DEFAULT PROBABILITIES
DEFAULT PROBABILITY
DEFAULT RISK
DEFAULTS
DEMAND DEPOSITS
DEPOSIT
DEPOSIT INSURANCE
DEPOSIT INSURANCE COVERAGE
DEPOSIT MONEY BANKS
DEREGULATION
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
DIVIDEND
DIVIDEND RATE
DIVIDENDS
DUMMY VARIABLE
DUMMY VARIABLES
ECONOMIC INTEGRATION
ECONOMIC POLICY
ECONOMICS
EQUITY PORTFOLIOS
EQUITY PRICES
EQUITY RETURNS
EQUITY VALUE
EXPOSURE
EXPOSURE TO RISK
EXTERNALITIES
FACE VALUE
FEDERAL RESERVE
FEDERAL RESERVE BANK
FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF NEW YORK
FINANCIAL CONTAGION
FINANCIAL CRISES
FINANCIAL CRISIS
FINANCIAL DEVELOPMENT
FINANCIAL FRAGILITY
FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS
FINANCIAL INSTRUMENTS
FINANCIAL INTERMEDIARY
FINANCIAL LIBERALIZATION
FINANCIAL MARKETS
FINANCIAL OPENNESS
FINANCIAL REFORM
FINANCIAL REFORMS
FINANCIAL REGULATION
FINANCIAL SECTOR
FINANCIAL STABILITY
FINANCIAL STRUCTURE
FINANCIAL STUDIES
FINANCIAL SYSTEM
FINANCIAL SYSTEMS
FINANCIAL TRANSACTIONS
FOREIGN INVESTORS
GLOBAL BANKING
GLOBALIZATION
GOVERNMENT POLICIES
HEDGE FUND
HEDGE FUNDS
ILLIQUIDITY
IMPLICIT GUARANTEE
INFLATION
INFLATION RISK
INTEREST RATES
INTERNATIONAL BANK
INTERNATIONAL CAPITAL
INTERNATIONAL DIVERSIFICATION
INTERNATIONAL EQUITY
INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL TRANSACTIONS
INTERNATIONAL MARKETS
INTERPOLATION
JURISDICTIONS
LIQUID ASSETS
LIQUIDITY CREATION
LIQUIDITY RISK
LONG TERM LIABILITIES
LONG-TERM LIABILITIES
MARKET CAPITALIZATION
MARKET CAPITALIZATIONS
MARKET DATA
MARKET EQUITY
MARKET TURNOVER
MARKET VALUE
MORAL HAZARD
MORTGAGE
NEGATIVE SHOCK
POLITICAL ECONOMY
PORTFOLIO
PORTFOLIOS
PRICE DISCOVERY
PRIVATE SECTOR DEVELOPMENT
PROBABILITY OF DEFAULT
PRODUCTIVITY
PRUDENTIAL REGULATION
PRUDENTIAL REGULATIONS
RAPID DEVELOPMENT
RECESSION
REGULATORY FRAMEWORKS
RESERVES
RISK DIVERSIFICATION
RISK PREMIUM
RISK SHARING
SAFETY NET
SECURITIES MARKETS
SECURITY MARKET
SHARE OF ASSETS
SHORT TERM DEBT
SHORT-TERM BORROWING
STOCK MARKET
STOCK MARKET CAPITALIZATION
STOCK MARKETS
STOCK PRICES
STOCK RETURNS
SYSTEMIC RISK
TRADE LIBERALIZATION
TREASURY
TREASURY BILL
TREASURY BILL RATE
TURNOVER RATIO
UNION
VALUE OF ASSETS
VOLATILITY
WORLD DEVELOPMENT INDICATOR
WORLD ECONOMY
Anginer, Deniz
Demirgüç-Kunt, Asli
Has the Global Banking System Become More Fragile over Time?
geographic_facet The World Region
The World Region
relation Policy Research working paper ; no. WPS 5849
description This paper examines time-series and cross-country variations in default risk co-dependence in the global banking system. The authors construct a default risk measure for all publicly traded banks using the Merton contingent claim model, and examine the evolution of the correlation structure of default risk for more than 1,800 banks in more than 60 countries. They find that there has been a significant increase in default risk co-dependence over the three-year period leading to the financial crisis. They also find that countries that are more integrated, and that have liberalized financial systems and weak banking supervision, have higher co-dependence in their banking sector. The results support an increase in scope for international supervisory co-operation, as well as capital charges for "too-connected-to-fail" institutions that can impose significant externalities.
format Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper
author Anginer, Deniz
Demirgüç-Kunt, Asli
author_facet Anginer, Deniz
Demirgüç-Kunt, Asli
author_sort Anginer, Deniz
title Has the Global Banking System Become More Fragile over Time?
title_short Has the Global Banking System Become More Fragile over Time?
title_full Has the Global Banking System Become More Fragile over Time?
title_fullStr Has the Global Banking System Become More Fragile over Time?
title_full_unstemmed Has the Global Banking System Become More Fragile over Time?
title_sort has the global banking system become more fragile over time?
publishDate 2012
url http://www-wds.worldbank.org/external/default/main?menuPK=64187510&pagePK=64193027&piPK=64187937&theSitePK=523679&menuPK=64187510&searchMenuPK=64187283&siteName=WDS&entityID=000158349_20111108124433
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/3644
_version_ 1764387594825629696
spelling okr-10986-36442021-04-23T14:02:11Z Has the Global Banking System Become More Fragile over Time? Anginer, Deniz Demirgüç-Kunt, Asli ACCOUNTING ASSET LIQUIDITY ASSET PRICES ASSET VALUE ASSET VALUES ASSETS RATIO BACKED SECURITIES BALANCE SHEET BANK ASSETS BANK CAPITAL BANK DEPOSIT BANK DEPOSITS BANK OF ENGLAND BANK POLICY BANK SUPERVISION BANKING CRISES BANKING CRISIS BANKING REGULATION BANKING SECTOR BANKING SECTORS BANKING SUPERVISION BANKING SYSTEM BANKRUPTCY BANKS BARRIER BORROWING COSTS CALL OPTION CAPITAL ASSETS CAPITAL CONTROL CAPITAL FLOWS CAPITAL RATIO CAPITAL REQUIREMENTS CAPITALIZATION CDS CENTRAL BANK COMMERCIAL BANKS COMMUNICATIONS TECHNOLOGY CONNECTIVITY CONSOLIDATION CORPORATE DEBT COUNTRY DUMMY COUNTRY FIXED EFFECTS CREDIT RISK DEBT DEFAULT PROBABILITIES DEFAULT PROBABILITY DEFAULT RISK DEFAULTS DEMAND DEPOSITS DEPOSIT DEPOSIT INSURANCE DEPOSIT INSURANCE COVERAGE DEPOSIT MONEY BANKS DEREGULATION DEVELOPING COUNTRIES DIVIDEND DIVIDEND RATE DIVIDENDS DUMMY VARIABLE DUMMY VARIABLES ECONOMIC INTEGRATION ECONOMIC POLICY ECONOMICS EQUITY PORTFOLIOS EQUITY PRICES EQUITY RETURNS EQUITY VALUE EXPOSURE EXPOSURE TO RISK EXTERNALITIES FACE VALUE FEDERAL RESERVE FEDERAL RESERVE BANK FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF NEW YORK FINANCIAL CONTAGION FINANCIAL CRISES FINANCIAL CRISIS FINANCIAL DEVELOPMENT FINANCIAL FRAGILITY FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS FINANCIAL INSTRUMENTS FINANCIAL INTERMEDIARY FINANCIAL LIBERALIZATION FINANCIAL MARKETS FINANCIAL OPENNESS FINANCIAL REFORM FINANCIAL REFORMS FINANCIAL REGULATION FINANCIAL SECTOR FINANCIAL STABILITY FINANCIAL STRUCTURE FINANCIAL STUDIES FINANCIAL SYSTEM FINANCIAL SYSTEMS FINANCIAL TRANSACTIONS FOREIGN INVESTORS GLOBAL BANKING GLOBALIZATION GOVERNMENT POLICIES HEDGE FUND HEDGE FUNDS ILLIQUIDITY IMPLICIT GUARANTEE INFLATION INFLATION RISK INTEREST RATES INTERNATIONAL BANK INTERNATIONAL CAPITAL INTERNATIONAL DIVERSIFICATION INTERNATIONAL EQUITY INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL TRANSACTIONS INTERNATIONAL MARKETS INTERPOLATION JURISDICTIONS LIQUID ASSETS LIQUIDITY CREATION LIQUIDITY RISK LONG TERM LIABILITIES LONG-TERM LIABILITIES MARKET CAPITALIZATION MARKET CAPITALIZATIONS MARKET DATA MARKET EQUITY MARKET TURNOVER MARKET VALUE MORAL HAZARD MORTGAGE NEGATIVE SHOCK POLITICAL ECONOMY PORTFOLIO PORTFOLIOS PRICE DISCOVERY PRIVATE SECTOR DEVELOPMENT PROBABILITY OF DEFAULT PRODUCTIVITY PRUDENTIAL REGULATION PRUDENTIAL REGULATIONS RAPID DEVELOPMENT RECESSION REGULATORY FRAMEWORKS RESERVES RISK DIVERSIFICATION RISK PREMIUM RISK SHARING SAFETY NET SECURITIES MARKETS SECURITY MARKET SHARE OF ASSETS SHORT TERM DEBT SHORT-TERM BORROWING STOCK MARKET STOCK MARKET CAPITALIZATION STOCK MARKETS STOCK PRICES STOCK RETURNS SYSTEMIC RISK TRADE LIBERALIZATION TREASURY TREASURY BILL TREASURY BILL RATE TURNOVER RATIO UNION VALUE OF ASSETS VOLATILITY WORLD DEVELOPMENT INDICATOR WORLD ECONOMY This paper examines time-series and cross-country variations in default risk co-dependence in the global banking system. The authors construct a default risk measure for all publicly traded banks using the Merton contingent claim model, and examine the evolution of the correlation structure of default risk for more than 1,800 banks in more than 60 countries. They find that there has been a significant increase in default risk co-dependence over the three-year period leading to the financial crisis. They also find that countries that are more integrated, and that have liberalized financial systems and weak banking supervision, have higher co-dependence in their banking sector. The results support an increase in scope for international supervisory co-operation, as well as capital charges for "too-connected-to-fail" institutions that can impose significant externalities. 2012-03-19T18:06:06Z 2012-03-19T18:06:06Z 2011-10-01 http://www-wds.worldbank.org/external/default/main?menuPK=64187510&pagePK=64193027&piPK=64187937&theSitePK=523679&menuPK=64187510&searchMenuPK=64187283&siteName=WDS&entityID=000158349_20111108124433 http://hdl.handle.net/10986/3644 English Policy Research working paper ; no. WPS 5849 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/ World Bank Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper The World Region The World Region