Lake Chad Regional Economic Memorandum : Technical Paper 5. Conflict and Climate Change in the Lake Chad Region

Peace and security are basic conditions for economic and social development. Conflict, on the other hand, can reverse years of economic growth and induce long-term harm on almost all aspects of development. For the past decade, the Lake Chad region...

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Main Author:	Fisker, Peter
Format:	Report
Language:	English
Published:	World Bank, Washington, DC 2021
Subjects:	CONFLICT-AFFECTED STATES CLIMATE CHANGE ARMED CONFLICT CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACT NORMALIZED DIFFERENCE VEGETATION INDEX STANDARDIZED PRECIPITATION EVAPOTRANSPIRATION INDEX PRECIPITATION WEATHER IMPACTS RAINFALL DROUGHT
Online Access:	http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/undefined/603021636447190201/Technical-Paper-5-Conflict-and-Climate-Change-in-the-Lake-Chad-Region http://hdl.handle.net/10986/36576

id	okr-10986-36576
recordtype	oai_dc
spelling	okr-10986-365762021-11-17T05:10:49Z Lake Chad Regional Economic Memorandum : Technical Paper 5. Conflict and Climate Change in the Lake Chad Region Fisker, Peter Fisker, Peter CONFLICT-AFFECTED STATES CLIMATE CHANGE ARMED CONFLICT CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACT NORMALIZED DIFFERENCE VEGETATION INDEX STANDARDIZED PRECIPITATION EVAPOTRANSPIRATION INDEX PRECIPITATION WEATHER IMPACTS RAINFALL DROUGHT Peace and security are basic conditions for economic and social development. Conflict, on the other hand, can reverse years of economic growth and induce long-term harm on almost all aspects of development. For the past decade, the Lake Chad region has been the setting of conflicts between government forces and armed groups, most notably the Boko Haram. Although the intensity of fighting has petered off in recent years, the conflict has spread from Northern Nigeria and now affects all four countries of the region. Due to the paramount importance of avoiding armed conflict, a large economic literature exists that seeks to find explanations for the onset and prevalence of conflict in developing countries. Blattman and Miguel [2010] list some of the most common theories of conflict including competition for resources, economic grievances, and the possibility of looting. This paper attempts to shed light on the geographical distribution of conflict and its climatic determinants in the Lake Chad region following a sub-national approach where readily available spatial data is employed at two different units of aggregation: Firstly, 90 second level administrative areas, and secondly, around 5,318 grid cells covering the same region. Exposure to conflict is here defined as the intensity (for districts) or incidence (for cells) of conflict in a given unit each year. Parts of the population may not be directly exposed by this definition, but since the units of analysis are relatively small, most will be affected in some ways, for instance by safety concerns when visiting the nearest towns to trade or by the general economic consequences. 2021-11-16T20:00:44Z 2021-11-16T20:00:44Z 2021-11-09 Report http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/undefined/603021636447190201/Technical-Paper-5-Conflict-and-Climate-Change-in-the-Lake-Chad-Region http://hdl.handle.net/10986/36576 English CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo World Bank World Bank, Washington, DC Economic & Sector Work Economic & Sector Work :: Country Economic Memorandum Africa Africa Western and Central (AFW) Central Africa West Africa Cameroon Chad Niger Nigeria
repository_type	Digital Repository
institution_category	Foreign Institution
institution	Digital Repositories
building	World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection	World Bank
language	English
topic	CONFLICT-AFFECTED STATES CLIMATE CHANGE ARMED CONFLICT CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACT NORMALIZED DIFFERENCE VEGETATION INDEX STANDARDIZED PRECIPITATION EVAPOTRANSPIRATION INDEX PRECIPITATION WEATHER IMPACTS RAINFALL DROUGHT
spellingShingle	CONFLICT-AFFECTED STATES CLIMATE CHANGE ARMED CONFLICT CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACT NORMALIZED DIFFERENCE VEGETATION INDEX STANDARDIZED PRECIPITATION EVAPOTRANSPIRATION INDEX PRECIPITATION WEATHER IMPACTS RAINFALL DROUGHT Fisker, Peter Lake Chad Regional Economic Memorandum : Technical Paper 5. Conflict and Climate Change in the Lake Chad Region
geographic_facet	Africa Africa Western and Central (AFW) Central Africa West Africa Cameroon Chad Niger Nigeria
description	Peace and security are basic conditions for economic and social development. Conflict, on the other hand, can reverse years of economic growth and induce long-term harm on almost all aspects of development. For the past decade, the Lake Chad region has been the setting of conflicts between government forces and armed groups, most notably the Boko Haram. Although the intensity of fighting has petered off in recent years, the conflict has spread from Northern Nigeria and now affects all four countries of the region. Due to the paramount importance of avoiding armed conflict, a large economic literature exists that seeks to find explanations for the onset and prevalence of conflict in developing countries. Blattman and Miguel [2010] list some of the most common theories of conflict including competition for resources, economic grievances, and the possibility of looting. This paper attempts to shed light on the geographical distribution of conflict and its climatic determinants in the Lake Chad region following a sub-national approach where readily available spatial data is employed at two different units of aggregation: Firstly, 90 second level administrative areas, and secondly, around 5,318 grid cells covering the same region. Exposure to conflict is here defined as the intensity (for districts) or incidence (for cells) of conflict in a given unit each year. Parts of the population may not be directly exposed by this definition, but since the units of analysis are relatively small, most will be affected in some ways, for instance by safety concerns when visiting the nearest towns to trade or by the general economic consequences.
author2	Fisker, Peter
author_facet	Fisker, Peter Fisker, Peter
format	Report
author	Fisker, Peter
author_sort	Fisker, Peter
title	Lake Chad Regional Economic Memorandum : Technical Paper 5. Conflict and Climate Change in the Lake Chad Region
title_short	Lake Chad Regional Economic Memorandum : Technical Paper 5. Conflict and Climate Change in the Lake Chad Region
title_full	Lake Chad Regional Economic Memorandum : Technical Paper 5. Conflict and Climate Change in the Lake Chad Region
title_fullStr	Lake Chad Regional Economic Memorandum : Technical Paper 5. Conflict and Climate Change in the Lake Chad Region
title_full_unstemmed	Lake Chad Regional Economic Memorandum : Technical Paper 5. Conflict and Climate Change in the Lake Chad Region
title_sort	lake chad regional economic memorandum : technical paper 5. conflict and climate change in the lake chad region
publisher	World Bank, Washington, DC
publishDate	2021
url	http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/undefined/603021636447190201/Technical-Paper-5-Conflict-and-Climate-Change-in-the-Lake-Chad-Region http://hdl.handle.net/10986/36576
_version_	1764485550076592128

Lake Chad Regional Economic Memorandum : Technical Paper 5. Conflict and Climate Change in the Lake Chad Region

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