How Many Infants May Have Died in Low-Income and Middle-Income Countries in 2020 Due to the Economic Contraction Accompanying the COVID-19 Pandemic? Mortality Projections Based on Forecasted Declines in Economic Growth

While COVID-19 has a relatively small direct impact on infant mortality, the pandemic is expected to indirectly increase mortality of this vulnerable group in low-income and middle-income countries through its effects on the economy and health system performance. Previous studies projected indirect...

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Main Authors:	Shapira, Gil, de Walque, Damien, Friedman, Jed
Format:	Journal Article
Published:	BMJ Publishing Group, Ltd. 2021
Subjects:	CORONAVIRUS COVID-19 PANDEMIC IMPACT INFANT MORTALITY DEMOGRAPHIC AND HEALTH SURVEY REGRESSION MODEL ECONOMIC DOWNTURN EOCNOMIC SHOCK HOUSEHOLD INCOME
Online Access:	http://hdl.handle.net/10986/36613

id	okr-10986-36613
recordtype	oai_dc
spelling	okr-10986-366132022-01-28T16:03:57Z How Many Infants May Have Died in Low-Income and Middle-Income Countries in 2020 Due to the Economic Contraction Accompanying the COVID-19 Pandemic? Mortality Projections Based on Forecasted Declines in Economic Growth Shapira, Gil de Walque, Damien Friedman, Jed CORONAVIRUS COVID-19 PANDEMIC IMPACT INFANT MORTALITY DEMOGRAPHIC AND HEALTH SURVEY REGRESSION MODEL ECONOMIC DOWNTURN EOCNOMIC SHOCK HOUSEHOLD INCOME While COVID-19 has a relatively small direct impact on infant mortality, the pandemic is expected to indirectly increase mortality of this vulnerable group in low-income and middle-income countries through its effects on the economy and health system performance. Previous studies projected indirect mortality by modelling how hypothesized disruptions in health services will affect health outcomes. We provide alternative projections, relying on modelling the relationship between aggregate income shocks and mortality. The findings underscore the vulnerability of infants to the negative income shocks such as those imposed by the COVID-19 pandemic. While efforts towards prevention and treatment of COVID-19 remain paramount, the global community should also strengthen social safety nets and assure continuity of essential health services. 2021-11-19T16:01:44Z 2021-11-19T16:01:44Z 2021-08 Journal Article BMJ Open http://hdl.handle.net/10986/36613 CC BY-NC-ND 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/3.0/igo World Bank BMJ Publishing Group, Ltd. Publications & Research Publications & Research :: Journal Article
repository_type	Digital Repository
institution_category	Foreign Institution
institution	Digital Repositories
building	World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection	World Bank
topic	CORONAVIRUS COVID-19 PANDEMIC IMPACT INFANT MORTALITY DEMOGRAPHIC AND HEALTH SURVEY REGRESSION MODEL ECONOMIC DOWNTURN EOCNOMIC SHOCK HOUSEHOLD INCOME
spellingShingle	CORONAVIRUS COVID-19 PANDEMIC IMPACT INFANT MORTALITY DEMOGRAPHIC AND HEALTH SURVEY REGRESSION MODEL ECONOMIC DOWNTURN EOCNOMIC SHOCK HOUSEHOLD INCOME Shapira, Gil de Walque, Damien Friedman, Jed How Many Infants May Have Died in Low-Income and Middle-Income Countries in 2020 Due to the Economic Contraction Accompanying the COVID-19 Pandemic? Mortality Projections Based on Forecasted Declines in Economic Growth
description	While COVID-19 has a relatively small direct impact on infant mortality, the pandemic is expected to indirectly increase mortality of this vulnerable group in low-income and middle-income countries through its effects on the economy and health system performance. Previous studies projected indirect mortality by modelling how hypothesized disruptions in health services will affect health outcomes. We provide alternative projections, relying on modelling the relationship between aggregate income shocks and mortality. The findings underscore the vulnerability of infants to the negative income shocks such as those imposed by the COVID-19 pandemic. While efforts towards prevention and treatment of COVID-19 remain paramount, the global community should also strengthen social safety nets and assure continuity of essential health services.
format	Journal Article
author	Shapira, Gil de Walque, Damien Friedman, Jed
author_facet	Shapira, Gil de Walque, Damien Friedman, Jed
author_sort	Shapira, Gil
title	How Many Infants May Have Died in Low-Income and Middle-Income Countries in 2020 Due to the Economic Contraction Accompanying the COVID-19 Pandemic? Mortality Projections Based on Forecasted Declines in Economic Growth
title_short	How Many Infants May Have Died in Low-Income and Middle-Income Countries in 2020 Due to the Economic Contraction Accompanying the COVID-19 Pandemic? Mortality Projections Based on Forecasted Declines in Economic Growth
title_full	How Many Infants May Have Died in Low-Income and Middle-Income Countries in 2020 Due to the Economic Contraction Accompanying the COVID-19 Pandemic? Mortality Projections Based on Forecasted Declines in Economic Growth
title_fullStr	How Many Infants May Have Died in Low-Income and Middle-Income Countries in 2020 Due to the Economic Contraction Accompanying the COVID-19 Pandemic? Mortality Projections Based on Forecasted Declines in Economic Growth
title_full_unstemmed	How Many Infants May Have Died in Low-Income and Middle-Income Countries in 2020 Due to the Economic Contraction Accompanying the COVID-19 Pandemic? Mortality Projections Based on Forecasted Declines in Economic Growth
title_sort	how many infants may have died in low-income and middle-income countries in 2020 due to the economic contraction accompanying the covid-19 pandemic? mortality projections based on forecasted declines in economic growth
publisher	BMJ Publishing Group, Ltd.
publishDate	2021
url	http://hdl.handle.net/10986/36613
_version_	1764485610724130816

How Many Infants May Have Died in Low-Income and Middle-Income Countries in 2020 Due to the Economic Contraction Accompanying the COVID-19 Pandemic? Mortality Projections Based on Forecasted Declines in Economic Growth

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