Targeting in Tax Compliance Interventions : Experimental Evidence from Honduras

Tax authorities often use low-cost communication with taxpayers to encourage voluntary compliance and avoid other costly interventions. This paper reports findings from an experiment with more than 30,000 taxpayers in Honduras, designed to assess h...

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Main Authors: Del Carmen, Giselle, Espinal Hernandez, Edgardo Enrique, De Gouvea Scot De Arruda, Thiago
Format: Working Paper
Language:English
Published: Washington, DC: World Bank 2022
Subjects:
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/653411647279081382/Targeting-in-Tax-Compliance-Interventions-Experimental-Evidence-from-Honduras
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/37155
id okr-10986-37155
recordtype oai_dc
spelling okr-10986-371552022-03-18T05:10:39Z Targeting in Tax Compliance Interventions : Experimental Evidence from Honduras Del Carmen, Giselle Espinal Hernandez, Edgardo Enrique De Gouvea Scot De Arruda, Thiago TAX AUTHORITY DEVELOPMENT IMPACT EVALUATION INCOME TAX DECLARATION INTERNATIONAL GOOD PRACTICE INCOME TAX FILING INCOME TAX LIABILITY Tax authorities often use low-cost communication with taxpayers to encourage voluntary compliance and avoid other costly interventions. This paper reports findings from an experiment with more than 30,000 taxpayers in Honduras, designed to assess how taxpayers with different risk scores respond to a communication intervention. Across several outcomes, the average effect of the intervention on compliance was 0. Contrary to the expectation of experts surveyed, only taxpayers considered to be at low risk of noncompliance increase their filing and reported income. Using rich administrative data and a causal forest algorithm, the paper finds that ex-ante predicted risk and responsiveness to the intervention are negatively correlated. These findings can inform the design of targeted interventions by tax authorities. 2022-03-17T17:41:43Z 2022-03-17T17:41:43Z 2022-03-14 Working Paper http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/653411647279081382/Targeting-in-Tax-Compliance-Interventions-Experimental-Evidence-from-Honduras http://hdl.handle.net/10986/37155 English CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo World Bank Washington, DC: World Bank Policy Research Working Paper Publications & Research Latin America & Caribbean Honduras
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
topic TAX AUTHORITY
DEVELOPMENT IMPACT EVALUATION
INCOME TAX DECLARATION
INTERNATIONAL GOOD PRACTICE
INCOME TAX FILING
INCOME TAX LIABILITY
spellingShingle TAX AUTHORITY
DEVELOPMENT IMPACT EVALUATION
INCOME TAX DECLARATION
INTERNATIONAL GOOD PRACTICE
INCOME TAX FILING
INCOME TAX LIABILITY
Del Carmen, Giselle
Espinal Hernandez, Edgardo Enrique
De Gouvea Scot De Arruda, Thiago
Targeting in Tax Compliance Interventions : Experimental Evidence from Honduras
geographic_facet Latin America & Caribbean
Honduras
description Tax authorities often use low-cost communication with taxpayers to encourage voluntary compliance and avoid other costly interventions. This paper reports findings from an experiment with more than 30,000 taxpayers in Honduras, designed to assess how taxpayers with different risk scores respond to a communication intervention. Across several outcomes, the average effect of the intervention on compliance was 0. Contrary to the expectation of experts surveyed, only taxpayers considered to be at low risk of noncompliance increase their filing and reported income. Using rich administrative data and a causal forest algorithm, the paper finds that ex-ante predicted risk and responsiveness to the intervention are negatively correlated. These findings can inform the design of targeted interventions by tax authorities.
format Working Paper
author Del Carmen, Giselle
Espinal Hernandez, Edgardo Enrique
De Gouvea Scot De Arruda, Thiago
author_facet Del Carmen, Giselle
Espinal Hernandez, Edgardo Enrique
De Gouvea Scot De Arruda, Thiago
author_sort Del Carmen, Giselle
title Targeting in Tax Compliance Interventions : Experimental Evidence from Honduras
title_short Targeting in Tax Compliance Interventions : Experimental Evidence from Honduras
title_full Targeting in Tax Compliance Interventions : Experimental Evidence from Honduras
title_fullStr Targeting in Tax Compliance Interventions : Experimental Evidence from Honduras
title_full_unstemmed Targeting in Tax Compliance Interventions : Experimental Evidence from Honduras
title_sort targeting in tax compliance interventions : experimental evidence from honduras
publisher Washington, DC: World Bank
publishDate 2022
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/653411647279081382/Targeting-in-Tax-Compliance-Interventions-Experimental-Evidence-from-Honduras
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/37155
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