Inequality and Security in the Aftermath of Internal Population Displacement Shocks : Evidence from Nigeria

This paper studies the security implications of internal displacement shocks for host communities. It focuses on changes in wealth within host communities induced by the inflow of internally displaced persons (IDPs) as a potential mechanism that tri...

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Main Authors: Ludolph, Lars, Šedová, Barbora, Talevi, Marta
Format: Working Paper
Language:English
Published: World Bank, Washington, DC 2022
Subjects:
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/099956405182219719/IDU07814c0ce004af042470b7070b7d58954fcdd
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/37465
id okr-10986-37465
recordtype oai_dc
spelling okr-10986-374652022-05-21T05:10:34Z Inequality and Security in the Aftermath of Internal Population Displacement Shocks : Evidence from Nigeria Ludolph, Lars Šedová, Barbora Talevi, Marta INTERNAL DISPLACEMENT SECURITY DISPLACEMENT SHOCKS HOST COMMUNITY IMPACT LOCAL CONFLICT ETHNIC VIOLENCE FORCED DISPLACEMENT RELIEF TEMPORARY DISPLACEMENT HUMAN RIGTS VIOLENT CRIME ECONOMIC RELIEF MEASURES This paper studies the security implications of internal displacement shocks for host communities. It focuses on changes in wealth within host communities induced by the inflow of internally displaced persons (IDPs) as a potential mechanism that triggers local conflicts. The sudden insurgency of the jihadist terrorist organization Boko Haram, which led to the internal displacement of over 2.5 million persons in northeastern Nigeria, is used as a quasi-natural experiment. Applying both a two-way fixed effects analysis and an instrumental variable strategy based on historical ethnic ties between the areas of displacement and receiving areas, the results show that the presence of IDPs is associated with a decrease in aggregate wealth and an increase in inequality within host communities, between 2010 and 2019. These effects are accompanied by an increased risk of conflict onset in the short and long run. The inequality–conflict link is likely to be caused by grievances among low-wealth segments of the host community towards new arrivals rather than by changes in social cohesion within host communities, which increased in response to the inflow of IDPs. The analysis further indicates that an improvement in IDPs’ living conditions is accompanied by a decrease in violence and improved relations between hosts and IDPs. Taken together, findings from this study call for a two-pronged immediate relief and recovery approach that alleviates adverse economic effects on vulnerable segments of host communities and increases IDPs’ welfare in displacement settings. 2022-05-20T19:49:57Z 2022-05-20T19:49:57Z 2022-05 Working Paper http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/099956405182219719/IDU07814c0ce004af042470b7070b7d58954fcdd http://hdl.handle.net/10986/37465 English Policy Research Working Papers;10053 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo World Bank World Bank, Washington, DC Policy Research Working Paper Publications & Research Nigeria
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
topic INTERNAL DISPLACEMENT
SECURITY
DISPLACEMENT SHOCKS
HOST COMMUNITY IMPACT
LOCAL CONFLICT
ETHNIC VIOLENCE
FORCED DISPLACEMENT RELIEF
TEMPORARY DISPLACEMENT
HUMAN RIGTS
VIOLENT CRIME
ECONOMIC RELIEF MEASURES
spellingShingle INTERNAL DISPLACEMENT
SECURITY
DISPLACEMENT SHOCKS
HOST COMMUNITY IMPACT
LOCAL CONFLICT
ETHNIC VIOLENCE
FORCED DISPLACEMENT RELIEF
TEMPORARY DISPLACEMENT
HUMAN RIGTS
VIOLENT CRIME
ECONOMIC RELIEF MEASURES
Ludolph, Lars
Šedová, Barbora
Talevi, Marta
Inequality and Security in the Aftermath of Internal Population Displacement Shocks : Evidence from Nigeria
geographic_facet Nigeria
relation Policy Research Working Papers;10053
description This paper studies the security implications of internal displacement shocks for host communities. It focuses on changes in wealth within host communities induced by the inflow of internally displaced persons (IDPs) as a potential mechanism that triggers local conflicts. The sudden insurgency of the jihadist terrorist organization Boko Haram, which led to the internal displacement of over 2.5 million persons in northeastern Nigeria, is used as a quasi-natural experiment. Applying both a two-way fixed effects analysis and an instrumental variable strategy based on historical ethnic ties between the areas of displacement and receiving areas, the results show that the presence of IDPs is associated with a decrease in aggregate wealth and an increase in inequality within host communities, between 2010 and 2019. These effects are accompanied by an increased risk of conflict onset in the short and long run. The inequality–conflict link is likely to be caused by grievances among low-wealth segments of the host community towards new arrivals rather than by changes in social cohesion within host communities, which increased in response to the inflow of IDPs. The analysis further indicates that an improvement in IDPs’ living conditions is accompanied by a decrease in violence and improved relations between hosts and IDPs. Taken together, findings from this study call for a two-pronged immediate relief and recovery approach that alleviates adverse economic effects on vulnerable segments of host communities and increases IDPs’ welfare in displacement settings.
format Working Paper
author Ludolph, Lars
Šedová, Barbora
Talevi, Marta
author_facet Ludolph, Lars
Šedová, Barbora
Talevi, Marta
author_sort Ludolph, Lars
title Inequality and Security in the Aftermath of Internal Population Displacement Shocks : Evidence from Nigeria
title_short Inequality and Security in the Aftermath of Internal Population Displacement Shocks : Evidence from Nigeria
title_full Inequality and Security in the Aftermath of Internal Population Displacement Shocks : Evidence from Nigeria
title_fullStr Inequality and Security in the Aftermath of Internal Population Displacement Shocks : Evidence from Nigeria
title_full_unstemmed Inequality and Security in the Aftermath of Internal Population Displacement Shocks : Evidence from Nigeria
title_sort inequality and security in the aftermath of internal population displacement shocks : evidence from nigeria
publisher World Bank, Washington, DC
publishDate 2022
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/099956405182219719/IDU07814c0ce004af042470b7070b7d58954fcdd
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/37465
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