Madagascar Economic Update : Navigating Through the Storm

Development prospects in Madagascar continue to be hampered by the country’s low growth potential and exposure to frequent, deep, and persistent crises. Following a recession in 2020 that was about three times deeper than in the rest of Sub-Saharan...

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Main Author: World Bank
Format: Working Paper
Language:English
Published: Washington, DC 2022
Subjects:
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/099452505272217360/IDU063da38be0ec1a043a60b77f0e8c615d431fb
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/37506
id okr-10986-37506
recordtype oai_dc
spelling okr-10986-375062022-06-08T05:10:35Z Madagascar Economic Update : Navigating Through the Storm World Bank CONTINUED CRISIS LOW GROWTH POTENTIAL 2020 RECESSION TRADE BALANCE COVID-19 PANDEMIC CORONAVIRUS INFLATION PRESSURE TRADE BALANCE FOOD PRICES FOOD INSECURITY EDUCATION REFORM DIGITAL ACCESS Development prospects in Madagascar continue to be hampered by the country’s low growth potential and exposure to frequent, deep, and persistent crises. Following a recession in 2020 that was about three times deeper than in the rest of Sub-Saharan Africa, an economic recovery started in Madagascar in 2021 but was interrupted in 2022 by a sequence of domestic and international shocks. In addition to these new headwinds, the growth potential of the economy has been negatively impacted during the crisis by a retrenchment in private investment, deteriorating human capital and weakening governance. In this context, growth projections were downgraded to 2.6 percent in 2022 and to an average of 4.4 percent in 2023-2024, with the poverty rate now expected to remain close to 80 percent by 2024. This can only happen if the government kickstarts far-reaching reforms supporting private investment and job creation, better access to basic services and infrastructure, and greater resilience to shocks. Several policy priorities are highlighted as particularly urgent in this Economic Update. This report also highlights the importance of boosting public school performance following the continued deterioration in learning outcomes and advocates for a set of reforms reinforcing teachers’ selection and evaluation, salary and school grant management, redress mechanism and local community engagement. 2022-06-07T18:26:59Z 2022-06-07T18:26:59Z 2022 Working Paper http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/099452505272217360/IDU063da38be0ec1a043a60b77f0e8c615d431fb http://hdl.handle.net/10986/37506 English CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo World Bank Washington, DC Publications & Research Working Paper Africa Eastern and Southern (AFE) Africa Madagascar
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
topic CONTINUED CRISIS
LOW GROWTH POTENTIAL
2020 RECESSION
TRADE BALANCE
COVID-19
PANDEMIC
CORONAVIRUS
INFLATION PRESSURE
TRADE BALANCE
FOOD PRICES
FOOD INSECURITY
EDUCATION REFORM
DIGITAL ACCESS
spellingShingle CONTINUED CRISIS
LOW GROWTH POTENTIAL
2020 RECESSION
TRADE BALANCE
COVID-19
PANDEMIC
CORONAVIRUS
INFLATION PRESSURE
TRADE BALANCE
FOOD PRICES
FOOD INSECURITY
EDUCATION REFORM
DIGITAL ACCESS
World Bank
Madagascar Economic Update : Navigating Through the Storm
geographic_facet Africa Eastern and Southern (AFE)
Africa
Madagascar
description Development prospects in Madagascar continue to be hampered by the country’s low growth potential and exposure to frequent, deep, and persistent crises. Following a recession in 2020 that was about three times deeper than in the rest of Sub-Saharan Africa, an economic recovery started in Madagascar in 2021 but was interrupted in 2022 by a sequence of domestic and international shocks. In addition to these new headwinds, the growth potential of the economy has been negatively impacted during the crisis by a retrenchment in private investment, deteriorating human capital and weakening governance. In this context, growth projections were downgraded to 2.6 percent in 2022 and to an average of 4.4 percent in 2023-2024, with the poverty rate now expected to remain close to 80 percent by 2024. This can only happen if the government kickstarts far-reaching reforms supporting private investment and job creation, better access to basic services and infrastructure, and greater resilience to shocks. Several policy priorities are highlighted as particularly urgent in this Economic Update. This report also highlights the importance of boosting public school performance following the continued deterioration in learning outcomes and advocates for a set of reforms reinforcing teachers’ selection and evaluation, salary and school grant management, redress mechanism and local community engagement.
format Working Paper
author World Bank
author_facet World Bank
author_sort World Bank
title Madagascar Economic Update : Navigating Through the Storm
title_short Madagascar Economic Update : Navigating Through the Storm
title_full Madagascar Economic Update : Navigating Through the Storm
title_fullStr Madagascar Economic Update : Navigating Through the Storm
title_full_unstemmed Madagascar Economic Update : Navigating Through the Storm
title_sort madagascar economic update : navigating through the storm
publisher Washington, DC
publishDate 2022
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/099452505272217360/IDU063da38be0ec1a043a60b77f0e8c615d431fb
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/37506
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