Brazil 2020 Data Update : Methodological Adjustments to the World Bank’s Poverty and Inequality Estimates

The Continuous National Household Sample Survey (PNADC in Portuguese) is the main source of information for poverty monitoring in Brazil. The PNADC 2020 annual release was published in November 2021. The 2020 survey underwent methodological changes...

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Main Authors: Lara Ibarra, Gabriel, Vale, Ricardo Campante
Format: Working Paper
Language:English
Published: World Bank, Washington, DC 2022
Subjects:
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/099815204132219104/IDU0cdb267100a24104a010b1ab03dd511e0d135
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/37513
id okr-10986-37513
recordtype oai_dc
spelling okr-10986-375132022-09-15T19:17:37Z Brazil 2020 Data Update : Methodological Adjustments to the World Bank’s Poverty and Inequality Estimates Lara Ibarra, Gabriel Vale, Ricardo Campante POVERTY INEQUALITY COVID-19 PANDEMIC CORONAVIRUS EMERGENCY TRANSFERS AUXILIO EMERGENCIAL (AE) CONTINUOUS NATIONAL HOUSEHOLD SAMPLE SURVEY (PNADC) MONTHY TRANSFERS EMERGENCY TRANSFERS INCOME AND POVERTY IN BRAZIL The Continuous National Household Sample Survey (PNADC in Portuguese) is the main source of information for poverty monitoring in Brazil. The PNADC 2020 annual release was published in November 2021. The 2020 survey underwent methodological changes compared to earlier years. Most changes do not affect comparability with previous years. However, there is evidence of significant under-coverage of the “Auxilio Emergencial” (AE) program. While administrative records indicate over 68 million AE recipients, only about 20 million are observed in the survey. This paper describes an approach to impute AE beneficiary status as a way to complement the observed AE status as reported in the survey and to better capture the evolution of income and poverty in Brazil during COVID-19. Incorporating eligibility criteria from the AE (demographic, employment, and income), the method results in 42.2 million AE recipients in the survey – leading to a more reasonable undercoverage rate. Sensitivity analyses find similar results. The adjustments described in this paper are included in the World Bank’s poverty and inequality estimates for Brazil 2020 (published in April 2022). The poverty estimates in 2020 are 13.1 percent at the US$5.50 poverty line and 1.7 percent at the US$1.90 line. The Gini coefficient is estimated at 0.488. 2022-06-09T16:52:05Z 2022-06-09T16:52:05Z 2022-03-31 Working Paper http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/099815204132219104/IDU0cdb267100a24104a010b1ab03dd511e0d135 http://hdl.handle.net/10986/37513 English Global Poverty Monitoring Technical Note;21 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo World Bank World Bank, Washington, DC Working Paper Brazil
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
topic POVERTY
INEQUALITY
COVID-19
PANDEMIC
CORONAVIRUS
EMERGENCY TRANSFERS
AUXILIO EMERGENCIAL (AE)
CONTINUOUS NATIONAL HOUSEHOLD SAMPLE SURVEY (PNADC)
MONTHY TRANSFERS
EMERGENCY TRANSFERS
INCOME AND POVERTY IN BRAZIL
spellingShingle POVERTY
INEQUALITY
COVID-19
PANDEMIC
CORONAVIRUS
EMERGENCY TRANSFERS
AUXILIO EMERGENCIAL (AE)
CONTINUOUS NATIONAL HOUSEHOLD SAMPLE SURVEY (PNADC)
MONTHY TRANSFERS
EMERGENCY TRANSFERS
INCOME AND POVERTY IN BRAZIL
Lara Ibarra, Gabriel
Vale, Ricardo Campante
Brazil 2020 Data Update : Methodological Adjustments to the World Bank’s Poverty and Inequality Estimates
geographic_facet Brazil
relation Global Poverty Monitoring Technical Note;21
description The Continuous National Household Sample Survey (PNADC in Portuguese) is the main source of information for poverty monitoring in Brazil. The PNADC 2020 annual release was published in November 2021. The 2020 survey underwent methodological changes compared to earlier years. Most changes do not affect comparability with previous years. However, there is evidence of significant under-coverage of the “Auxilio Emergencial” (AE) program. While administrative records indicate over 68 million AE recipients, only about 20 million are observed in the survey. This paper describes an approach to impute AE beneficiary status as a way to complement the observed AE status as reported in the survey and to better capture the evolution of income and poverty in Brazil during COVID-19. Incorporating eligibility criteria from the AE (demographic, employment, and income), the method results in 42.2 million AE recipients in the survey – leading to a more reasonable undercoverage rate. Sensitivity analyses find similar results. The adjustments described in this paper are included in the World Bank’s poverty and inequality estimates for Brazil 2020 (published in April 2022). The poverty estimates in 2020 are 13.1 percent at the US$5.50 poverty line and 1.7 percent at the US$1.90 line. The Gini coefficient is estimated at 0.488.
format Working Paper
author Lara Ibarra, Gabriel
Vale, Ricardo Campante
author_facet Lara Ibarra, Gabriel
Vale, Ricardo Campante
author_sort Lara Ibarra, Gabriel
title Brazil 2020 Data Update : Methodological Adjustments to the World Bank’s Poverty and Inequality Estimates
title_short Brazil 2020 Data Update : Methodological Adjustments to the World Bank’s Poverty and Inequality Estimates
title_full Brazil 2020 Data Update : Methodological Adjustments to the World Bank’s Poverty and Inequality Estimates
title_fullStr Brazil 2020 Data Update : Methodological Adjustments to the World Bank’s Poverty and Inequality Estimates
title_full_unstemmed Brazil 2020 Data Update : Methodological Adjustments to the World Bank’s Poverty and Inequality Estimates
title_sort brazil 2020 data update : methodological adjustments to the world bank’s poverty and inequality estimates
publisher World Bank, Washington, DC
publishDate 2022
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/099815204132219104/IDU0cdb267100a24104a010b1ab03dd511e0d135
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/37513
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