Indirect Effects of COVID-19 Nonpharmaceutical Interventions on Vaccine Acceptance
The information set from which individuals make their decision on vaccination includes signals from trusted agents, such as governments, community leaders, and the media. By implementing restrictions, or by relaxing them, governments can provide a...
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| Format: | Working Paper |
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Washington, DC : World Bank
2022
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| Online Access: | http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/099718106242240071/IDU0d895ede303c2b049020a4700327998778544 http://hdl.handle.net/10986/37628 |
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okr-10986-376282022-07-06T05:10:33Z Indirect Effects of COVID-19 Nonpharmaceutical Interventions on Vaccine Acceptance Bussolo, Maurizio Sarma, Nayantara Torre, Iván COVID-19 PANDEMIC VACCINE HESITANCY VACCINE ACCEPTANCE NON-PHARMACETUTICAL INTERVENTIONS TRUST NORMS STATISTICS The information set from which individuals make their decision on vaccination includes signals from trusted agents, such as governments, community leaders, and the media. By implementing restrictions, or by relaxing them, governments can provide a signal about the underlying risk of the pandemic and indirectly affect vaccination take-up. Rather than focusing on measures specifically designed to increase vaccine acceptance, this paper studies how governments’ nonpharmaceutical policy responses to the pandemic can modify the degree of preventive health behavior, including vaccination. To do so, the paper uses repeated waves of a global survey on COVID-19 beliefs, behaviors, and norms covering 67 countries from August 2020 to February 2021. Controlling for the usual determinants, the analysis explores how individuals’ willingness to get vaccinated is affected by changes in government restriction measures (as measured by the Oxford Stringency Index). This relationship is mediated by individual characteristics, social norms (social pressure to conform with what most people do), and trust in government institutions. The results point to a complex picture as the implementation of restrictions is associated with increased acceptance in some contexts and decreased acceptance in others. The stringency of government restrictions has significant positive correlations with vaccine acceptance in contexts of weak social norms of vaccine acceptance and lower trust in government. In countries or communities where social norms are tighter and trust in government health authorities is high, vaccine acceptance is high but less sensitive to changes in policies. These results suggest that the indirect effect of government policy stringency is stronger among individuals who report lower trust and weaker social norms of vaccine acceptance. 2022-07-05T20:06:00Z 2022-07-05T20:06:00Z 2022-06 Working Paper http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/099718106242240071/IDU0d895ede303c2b049020a4700327998778544 http://hdl.handle.net/10986/37628 English en_US Policy Research Working Paper;10106 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo World Bank Washington, DC : World Bank Publications & Research Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper World |
| repository_type |
Digital Repository |
| institution_category |
Foreign Institution |
| institution |
Digital Repositories |
| building |
World Bank Open Knowledge Repository |
| collection |
World Bank |
| language |
English en_US |
| topic |
COVID-19 PANDEMIC VACCINE HESITANCY VACCINE ACCEPTANCE NON-PHARMACETUTICAL INTERVENTIONS TRUST NORMS STATISTICS |
| spellingShingle |
COVID-19 PANDEMIC VACCINE HESITANCY VACCINE ACCEPTANCE NON-PHARMACETUTICAL INTERVENTIONS TRUST NORMS STATISTICS Bussolo, Maurizio Sarma, Nayantara Torre, Iván Indirect Effects of COVID-19 Nonpharmaceutical Interventions on Vaccine Acceptance |
| geographic_facet |
World |
| relation |
Policy Research Working Paper;10106 |
| description |
The information set from which
individuals make their decision on vaccination includes
signals from trusted agents, such as governments, community
leaders, and the media. By implementing restrictions, or by
relaxing them, governments can provide a signal about the
underlying risk of the pandemic and indirectly affect
vaccination take-up. Rather than focusing on measures
specifically designed to increase vaccine acceptance, this
paper studies how governments’ nonpharmaceutical policy
responses to the pandemic can modify the degree of
preventive health behavior, including vaccination. To do so,
the paper uses repeated waves of a global survey on COVID-19
beliefs, behaviors, and norms covering 67 countries from
August 2020 to February 2021. Controlling for the usual
determinants, the analysis explores how individuals’
willingness to get vaccinated is affected by changes in
government restriction measures (as measured by the Oxford
Stringency Index). This relationship is mediated by
individual characteristics, social norms (social pressure to
conform with what most people do), and trust in government
institutions. The results point to a complex picture as the
implementation of restrictions is associated with increased
acceptance in some contexts and decreased acceptance in
others. The stringency of government restrictions has
significant positive correlations with vaccine acceptance in
contexts of weak social norms of vaccine acceptance and
lower trust in government. In countries or communities where
social norms are tighter and trust in government health
authorities is high, vaccine acceptance is high but less
sensitive to changes in policies. These results suggest that
the indirect effect of government policy stringency is
stronger among individuals who report lower trust and weaker
social norms of vaccine acceptance. |
| format |
Working Paper |
| author |
Bussolo, Maurizio Sarma, Nayantara Torre, Iván |
| author_facet |
Bussolo, Maurizio Sarma, Nayantara Torre, Iván |
| author_sort |
Bussolo, Maurizio |
| title |
Indirect Effects of COVID-19 Nonpharmaceutical Interventions on Vaccine Acceptance |
| title_short |
Indirect Effects of COVID-19 Nonpharmaceutical Interventions on Vaccine Acceptance |
| title_full |
Indirect Effects of COVID-19 Nonpharmaceutical Interventions on Vaccine Acceptance |
| title_fullStr |
Indirect Effects of COVID-19 Nonpharmaceutical Interventions on Vaccine Acceptance |
| title_full_unstemmed |
Indirect Effects of COVID-19 Nonpharmaceutical Interventions on Vaccine Acceptance |
| title_sort |
indirect effects of covid-19 nonpharmaceutical interventions on vaccine acceptance |
| publisher |
Washington, DC : World Bank |
| publishDate |
2022 |
| url |
http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/099718106242240071/IDU0d895ede303c2b049020a4700327998778544 http://hdl.handle.net/10986/37628 |
| _version_ |
1764487559792033792 |