A Reforma do Bolsa Família : Avaliação das Propostas de Reforma Debatidas em 2019

As part of the ongoing debate on the modernization of the Bolsa Familia (BF) program, several reform proposals were presented through 2019, including by the Ministry of Citizenship (MoC), Congress and the think tank IPEA, the latter as part of a broader proposal to consolidate various expenditures....

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Main Authors:	Morgandi, Matteo, Sousa, Liliana D., Farias, Alison, Cereda, Fabio
Format:	Working Paper
Language:	en_US
Published:	Washington, DC : World Bank 2022
Subjects:	BOLSA FAMILIA SOCIAL WELFARE PROGRAM SOCIAL PROTECTION INCOME TRANSFER POVERTY REDUCTION
Online Access:	http://hdl.handle.net/10986/37708

id	okr-10986-37708
recordtype	oai_dc
spelling	okr-10986-377082022-07-16T05:10:33Z A Reforma do Bolsa Família : Avaliação das Propostas de Reforma Debatidas em 2019 Morgandi, Matteo Sousa, Liliana D. Farias, Alison Cereda, Fabio BOLSA FAMILIA SOCIAL WELFARE PROGRAM SOCIAL PROTECTION INCOME TRANSFER POVERTY REDUCTION As part of the ongoing debate on the modernization of the Bolsa Familia (BF) program, several reform proposals were presented through 2019, including by the Ministry of Citizenship (MoC), Congress and the think tank IPEA, the latter as part of a broader proposal to consolidate various expenditures. This note uses the BraSIM microsimulation model to evaluate the 2019 proposals in the context of Brazil’s tax benefit system. All proposals lead to a higher number of beneficiaries, with the poorest families, especially children and youth, benefitting the most. In general, the progressive incidence of the current program would vary little in the MoC and Congress reforms, but is reduced in IPEA’s, which includes a universal component. The three proposals have different contributions on poverty-reduction: IPEA’s reform is significantly less efficient than the current scenario and other reforms in terms of cost-effectiveness. However, IPEA’s proposal most contributes to the reduction of inequality, and is the only one that identifies financing sources through the extinction of more regressive expenditures. Through this comparative analysis, the Note also highlights the main dilemmas about the future of the program, which remain relevant even in the post-COVID-19 reality: the tension between generosity and coverage; the priorization of certain groups for poverty-reduction; reconciling the program's objective of encouraging human capital for children with its role of minimum income guarantee; the risks of eliminating a “basic benefit”. While only IPEA’s proposal identified financing sources for the program’s expansion, the Note reveals additional potential sources of financing for the BF program in the tax benefit system. 2022-07-15T16:35:14Z 2022-07-15T16:35:14Z 2019-11 Working Paper http://hdl.handle.net/10986/37708 en_US Social Protection and Jobs Discussion Paper;No.2009 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo World Bank Washington, DC : World Bank Publications & Research Publications & Research :: Working Paper (Numbered Series) Latin America & Caribbean Brazil
repository_type	Digital Repository
institution_category	Foreign Institution
institution	Digital Repositories
building	World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection	World Bank
language	en_US
topic	BOLSA FAMILIA SOCIAL WELFARE PROGRAM SOCIAL PROTECTION INCOME TRANSFER POVERTY REDUCTION
spellingShingle	BOLSA FAMILIA SOCIAL WELFARE PROGRAM SOCIAL PROTECTION INCOME TRANSFER POVERTY REDUCTION Morgandi, Matteo Sousa, Liliana D. Farias, Alison Cereda, Fabio A Reforma do Bolsa Família : Avaliação das Propostas de Reforma Debatidas em 2019
geographic_facet	Latin America & Caribbean Brazil
relation	Social Protection and Jobs Discussion Paper;No.2009
description	As part of the ongoing debate on the modernization of the Bolsa Familia (BF) program, several reform proposals were presented through 2019, including by the Ministry of Citizenship (MoC), Congress and the think tank IPEA, the latter as part of a broader proposal to consolidate various expenditures. This note uses the BraSIM microsimulation model to evaluate the 2019 proposals in the context of Brazil’s tax benefit system. All proposals lead to a higher number of beneficiaries, with the poorest families, especially children and youth, benefitting the most. In general, the progressive incidence of the current program would vary little in the MoC and Congress reforms, but is reduced in IPEA’s, which includes a universal component. The three proposals have different contributions on poverty-reduction: IPEA’s reform is significantly less efficient than the current scenario and other reforms in terms of cost-effectiveness. However, IPEA’s proposal most contributes to the reduction of inequality, and is the only one that identifies financing sources through the extinction of more regressive expenditures. Through this comparative analysis, the Note also highlights the main dilemmas about the future of the program, which remain relevant even in the post-COVID-19 reality: the tension between generosity and coverage; the priorization of certain groups for poverty-reduction; reconciling the program's objective of encouraging human capital for children with its role of minimum income guarantee; the risks of eliminating a “basic benefit”. While only IPEA’s proposal identified financing sources for the program’s expansion, the Note reveals additional potential sources of financing for the BF program in the tax benefit system.
format	Working Paper
author	Morgandi, Matteo Sousa, Liliana D. Farias, Alison Cereda, Fabio
author_facet	Morgandi, Matteo Sousa, Liliana D. Farias, Alison Cereda, Fabio
author_sort	Morgandi, Matteo
title	A Reforma do Bolsa Família : Avaliação das Propostas de Reforma Debatidas em 2019
title_short	A Reforma do Bolsa Família : Avaliação das Propostas de Reforma Debatidas em 2019
title_full	A Reforma do Bolsa Família : Avaliação das Propostas de Reforma Debatidas em 2019
title_fullStr	A Reforma do Bolsa Família : Avaliação das Propostas de Reforma Debatidas em 2019
title_full_unstemmed	A Reforma do Bolsa Família : Avaliação das Propostas de Reforma Debatidas em 2019
title_sort	reforma do bolsa família : avaliação das propostas de reforma debatidas em 2019
publisher	Washington, DC : World Bank
publishDate	2022
url	http://hdl.handle.net/10986/37708
_version_	1764487709834870784

A Reforma do Bolsa Família : Avaliação das Propostas de Reforma Debatidas em 2019

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