Inertia in Infrastructure Development : Some Analytical Aspects, and Reasons for Inefficient Infrastructure Choices

This paper uses some simple conceptual models to draw out various implications of infrastructure investments with long lifetimes for the ability of societies to reduce their future greenhouse gas emissions. A broad range of such investments, relate...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Strand, Jon
Format: Policy Research Working Paper
Language:English
Published: 2012
Subjects:
CL
CO2
GHG
Online Access:http://www-wds.worldbank.org/external/default/main?menuPK=64187510&pagePK=64193027&piPK=64187937&theSitePK=523679&menuPK=64187510&searchMenuPK=64187283&siteName=WDS&entityID=000158349_20100507102851
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/3781
id okr-10986-3781
recordtype oai_dc
spelling okr-10986-37812021-04-23T14:02:12Z Inertia in Infrastructure Development : Some Analytical Aspects, and Reasons for Inefficient Infrastructure Choices Strand, Jon ABATEMENT AGGREGATE DEMAND APPROACH ATMOSPHERE ATMOSPHERIC CONCENTRATIONS AVAILABILITY BALANCE CALCULATION CAPITAL GAINS CARBON CARBON CAPTURE CARBON CONCENTRATIONS CARBON ECONOMY CARBON EMISSIONS CARBON TAXES CL CLIMATE CLIMATE CATASTROPHE CLIMATE CATASTROPHES CLIMATE CHANGE CLIMATE CHANGE MITIGATION CLIMATE CHANGE SCIENCE PROGRAM CLIMATE DAMAGE CLIMATE DAMAGES CLIMATE EFFECTS CLIMATE POLICY CO2 COAL CONSTANT EMISSIONS COOLING SYSTEMS COSTS OF EMISSIONS CUMULATIVE EMISSIONS DISCOUNT FACTOR DISCOUNT RATE DISCOUNT RATES DISTRIBUTION SYSTEMS DOMESTIC PETROLEUM ECONOMIC THEORY ECONOMICS OF CLIMATE CHANGE ELASTICITIES ELASTICITY ELASTICITY OF SUBSTITUTION ELECTRICITY ELECTRICITY GENERATION EMISSION EMISSION LEVELS EMISSIONS EMISSIONS INTENSITIES EMISSIONS PRICES EMISSIONS TAXES ENERGY CONSUMPTION ENERGY COSTS ENERGY DEMAND ENERGY ECONOMICS ENERGY GOODS ENERGY INPUT ENERGY INTENSITY ENERGY INTENSIVE ENERGY PRICE ENERGY PRICES ENERGY PRODUCTION ENERGY PRODUCTION FACILITIES ENERGY REQUIREMENT ENERGY SUBSIDIES ENERGY SUPPLY ENERGY TECHNOLOGIES ENERGY TECHNOLOGY ENERGY USE FEASIBILITY FOSSIL FOSSIL ENERGY FOSSIL ENERGY REQUIREMENT FOSSIL FUEL FOSSIL FUEL CONSUMPTION FOSSIL FUELS FUEL FUEL DEMAND FUEL PRICE FUEL PRICE INCREASES FUEL PRICES GHG GLOBAL EMISSIONS GREENHOUSE GREENHOUSE GAS GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS HIGH ENERGY HIGHWAY HIGHWAY SYSTEM INCOME INFRASTRUCTURE DEVELOPMENT INFRASTRUCTURE INVESTMENT INTEREST RATE INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS INVESTMENT DECISIONS LOW-CARBON MARGINAL COST MONETARY FUND MOTOR VEHICLES PETROLEUM PRICE POWER POWER PLANT POWER PLANTS PRICE CHANGE PRICE CHANGES PRICE INCREASE PRIVATE TRANSPORT PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTION PURE ENERGY RENEWABLE SOURCES RETROFIT OPTION RETROFITTING RISK AVERSION ROAD SCENARIOS STOCHASTIC PROCESS SUBSTITUTION TRANSPORT TRANSPORT SERVICES TRUE UTILITIES UTILITY FUNCTION UTILITY FUNCTIONS VALUE OF ENERGY VEHICLE VEHICLE TYPES VEHICLES This paper uses some simple conceptual models to draw out various implications of infrastructure investments with long lifetimes for the ability of societies to reduce their future greenhouse gas emissions. A broad range of such investments, related both to energy supply and demand systems, may commit societies to high and persistent levels of greenhouse gas emissions over time, that are difficult and costly to change once the investments have been sunk. There are, the author argues, several strong reasons to expect the greenhouse gas emissions embedded in such investments to be excessive. One is that infrastructure investment decisions tend to be made on the basis of (current and expected future) emissions prices that do not fully reflect the social costs of greenhouse gas emissions resulting from the investments. A second, related, set of reasons are excessive discounting of future project costs and benefits including future climate damages, and a too-short planning horizon for infrastructure investors. These issues are illustrated for two alternative cases of climate damages, namely with the possibility of a "climate catastrophe," and with a sustained increase in the marginal global damage cost of greenhouse gas emissions. 2012-03-19T18:39:42Z 2012-03-19T18:39:42Z 2010-05-01 http://www-wds.worldbank.org/external/default/main?menuPK=64187510&pagePK=64193027&piPK=64187937&theSitePK=523679&menuPK=64187510&searchMenuPK=64187283&siteName=WDS&entityID=000158349_20100507102851 http://hdl.handle.net/10986/3781 English Policy Research working paper ; no. WPS 5295 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/ World Bank Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper The World Region The World Region
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
topic ABATEMENT
AGGREGATE DEMAND
APPROACH
ATMOSPHERE
ATMOSPHERIC CONCENTRATIONS
AVAILABILITY
BALANCE
CALCULATION
CAPITAL GAINS
CARBON
CARBON CAPTURE
CARBON CONCENTRATIONS
CARBON ECONOMY
CARBON EMISSIONS
CARBON TAXES
CL
CLIMATE
CLIMATE CATASTROPHE
CLIMATE CATASTROPHES
CLIMATE CHANGE
CLIMATE CHANGE MITIGATION
CLIMATE CHANGE SCIENCE PROGRAM
CLIMATE DAMAGE
CLIMATE DAMAGES
CLIMATE EFFECTS
CLIMATE POLICY
CO2
COAL
CONSTANT EMISSIONS
COOLING SYSTEMS
COSTS OF EMISSIONS
CUMULATIVE EMISSIONS
DISCOUNT FACTOR
DISCOUNT RATE
DISCOUNT RATES
DISTRIBUTION SYSTEMS
DOMESTIC PETROLEUM
ECONOMIC THEORY
ECONOMICS OF CLIMATE CHANGE
ELASTICITIES
ELASTICITY
ELASTICITY OF SUBSTITUTION
ELECTRICITY
ELECTRICITY GENERATION
EMISSION
EMISSION LEVELS
EMISSIONS
EMISSIONS INTENSITIES
EMISSIONS PRICES
EMISSIONS TAXES
ENERGY CONSUMPTION
ENERGY COSTS
ENERGY DEMAND
ENERGY ECONOMICS
ENERGY GOODS
ENERGY INPUT
ENERGY INTENSITY
ENERGY INTENSIVE
ENERGY PRICE
ENERGY PRICES
ENERGY PRODUCTION
ENERGY PRODUCTION FACILITIES
ENERGY REQUIREMENT
ENERGY SUBSIDIES
ENERGY SUPPLY
ENERGY TECHNOLOGIES
ENERGY TECHNOLOGY
ENERGY USE
FEASIBILITY
FOSSIL
FOSSIL ENERGY
FOSSIL ENERGY REQUIREMENT
FOSSIL FUEL
FOSSIL FUEL CONSUMPTION
FOSSIL FUELS
FUEL
FUEL DEMAND
FUEL PRICE
FUEL PRICE INCREASES
FUEL PRICES
GHG
GLOBAL EMISSIONS
GREENHOUSE
GREENHOUSE GAS
GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS
HIGH ENERGY
HIGHWAY
HIGHWAY SYSTEM
INCOME
INFRASTRUCTURE DEVELOPMENT
INFRASTRUCTURE INVESTMENT
INTEREST RATE
INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS
INVESTMENT DECISIONS
LOW-CARBON
MARGINAL COST
MONETARY FUND
MOTOR VEHICLES
PETROLEUM PRICE
POWER
POWER PLANT
POWER PLANTS
PRICE CHANGE
PRICE CHANGES
PRICE INCREASE
PRIVATE TRANSPORT
PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTION
PURE ENERGY
RENEWABLE SOURCES
RETROFIT OPTION
RETROFITTING
RISK AVERSION
ROAD
SCENARIOS
STOCHASTIC PROCESS
SUBSTITUTION
TRANSPORT
TRANSPORT SERVICES
TRUE
UTILITIES
UTILITY FUNCTION
UTILITY FUNCTIONS
VALUE OF ENERGY
VEHICLE
VEHICLE TYPES
VEHICLES
spellingShingle ABATEMENT
AGGREGATE DEMAND
APPROACH
ATMOSPHERE
ATMOSPHERIC CONCENTRATIONS
AVAILABILITY
BALANCE
CALCULATION
CAPITAL GAINS
CARBON
CARBON CAPTURE
CARBON CONCENTRATIONS
CARBON ECONOMY
CARBON EMISSIONS
CARBON TAXES
CL
CLIMATE
CLIMATE CATASTROPHE
CLIMATE CATASTROPHES
CLIMATE CHANGE
CLIMATE CHANGE MITIGATION
CLIMATE CHANGE SCIENCE PROGRAM
CLIMATE DAMAGE
CLIMATE DAMAGES
CLIMATE EFFECTS
CLIMATE POLICY
CO2
COAL
CONSTANT EMISSIONS
COOLING SYSTEMS
COSTS OF EMISSIONS
CUMULATIVE EMISSIONS
DISCOUNT FACTOR
DISCOUNT RATE
DISCOUNT RATES
DISTRIBUTION SYSTEMS
DOMESTIC PETROLEUM
ECONOMIC THEORY
ECONOMICS OF CLIMATE CHANGE
ELASTICITIES
ELASTICITY
ELASTICITY OF SUBSTITUTION
ELECTRICITY
ELECTRICITY GENERATION
EMISSION
EMISSION LEVELS
EMISSIONS
EMISSIONS INTENSITIES
EMISSIONS PRICES
EMISSIONS TAXES
ENERGY CONSUMPTION
ENERGY COSTS
ENERGY DEMAND
ENERGY ECONOMICS
ENERGY GOODS
ENERGY INPUT
ENERGY INTENSITY
ENERGY INTENSIVE
ENERGY PRICE
ENERGY PRICES
ENERGY PRODUCTION
ENERGY PRODUCTION FACILITIES
ENERGY REQUIREMENT
ENERGY SUBSIDIES
ENERGY SUPPLY
ENERGY TECHNOLOGIES
ENERGY TECHNOLOGY
ENERGY USE
FEASIBILITY
FOSSIL
FOSSIL ENERGY
FOSSIL ENERGY REQUIREMENT
FOSSIL FUEL
FOSSIL FUEL CONSUMPTION
FOSSIL FUELS
FUEL
FUEL DEMAND
FUEL PRICE
FUEL PRICE INCREASES
FUEL PRICES
GHG
GLOBAL EMISSIONS
GREENHOUSE
GREENHOUSE GAS
GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS
HIGH ENERGY
HIGHWAY
HIGHWAY SYSTEM
INCOME
INFRASTRUCTURE DEVELOPMENT
INFRASTRUCTURE INVESTMENT
INTEREST RATE
INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS
INVESTMENT DECISIONS
LOW-CARBON
MARGINAL COST
MONETARY FUND
MOTOR VEHICLES
PETROLEUM PRICE
POWER
POWER PLANT
POWER PLANTS
PRICE CHANGE
PRICE CHANGES
PRICE INCREASE
PRIVATE TRANSPORT
PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTION
PURE ENERGY
RENEWABLE SOURCES
RETROFIT OPTION
RETROFITTING
RISK AVERSION
ROAD
SCENARIOS
STOCHASTIC PROCESS
SUBSTITUTION
TRANSPORT
TRANSPORT SERVICES
TRUE
UTILITIES
UTILITY FUNCTION
UTILITY FUNCTIONS
VALUE OF ENERGY
VEHICLE
VEHICLE TYPES
VEHICLES
Strand, Jon
Inertia in Infrastructure Development : Some Analytical Aspects, and Reasons for Inefficient Infrastructure Choices
geographic_facet The World Region
The World Region
relation Policy Research working paper ; no. WPS 5295
description This paper uses some simple conceptual models to draw out various implications of infrastructure investments with long lifetimes for the ability of societies to reduce their future greenhouse gas emissions. A broad range of such investments, related both to energy supply and demand systems, may commit societies to high and persistent levels of greenhouse gas emissions over time, that are difficult and costly to change once the investments have been sunk. There are, the author argues, several strong reasons to expect the greenhouse gas emissions embedded in such investments to be excessive. One is that infrastructure investment decisions tend to be made on the basis of (current and expected future) emissions prices that do not fully reflect the social costs of greenhouse gas emissions resulting from the investments. A second, related, set of reasons are excessive discounting of future project costs and benefits including future climate damages, and a too-short planning horizon for infrastructure investors. These issues are illustrated for two alternative cases of climate damages, namely with the possibility of a "climate catastrophe," and with a sustained increase in the marginal global damage cost of greenhouse gas emissions.
format Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper
author Strand, Jon
author_facet Strand, Jon
author_sort Strand, Jon
title Inertia in Infrastructure Development : Some Analytical Aspects, and Reasons for Inefficient Infrastructure Choices
title_short Inertia in Infrastructure Development : Some Analytical Aspects, and Reasons for Inefficient Infrastructure Choices
title_full Inertia in Infrastructure Development : Some Analytical Aspects, and Reasons for Inefficient Infrastructure Choices
title_fullStr Inertia in Infrastructure Development : Some Analytical Aspects, and Reasons for Inefficient Infrastructure Choices
title_full_unstemmed Inertia in Infrastructure Development : Some Analytical Aspects, and Reasons for Inefficient Infrastructure Choices
title_sort inertia in infrastructure development : some analytical aspects, and reasons for inefficient infrastructure choices
publishDate 2012
url http://www-wds.worldbank.org/external/default/main?menuPK=64187510&pagePK=64193027&piPK=64187937&theSitePK=523679&menuPK=64187510&searchMenuPK=64187283&siteName=WDS&entityID=000158349_20100507102851
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/3781
_version_ 1764388308961460224