Labor Supply and Retirement Policy in an Overlapping Generations Model with Stochastic Fertility

Using a stochastic general equilibrium model with overlapping generations, this paper studies a policy rule for the retirement age aiming at offsetting the effects on the supply of labor following fertility changes. The authors find that the retire...

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Main Authors: Jorgensen, Ole Hagen, Jensen, Svend E. Hougaard
Format: Policy Research Working Paper
Language:English
Published: 2012
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www-wds.worldbank.org/external/default/main?menuPK=64187510&pagePK=64193027&piPK=64187937&theSitePK=523679&menuPK=64187510&searchMenuPK=64187283&siteName=WDS&entityID=000158349_20100727134920
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/3867
id okr-10986-3867
recordtype oai_dc
spelling okr-10986-38672021-04-23T14:02:13Z Labor Supply and Retirement Policy in an Overlapping Generations Model with Stochastic Fertility Jorgensen, Ole Hagen Jensen, Svend E. Hougaard AGGREGATE INCOME ALLOCATION OF RESOURCES BABIES BABY BABY BOOM BUSINESS CYCLE CAPITAL INVESTMENT CHANGES IN FERTILITY CONSUMPTION INCREASES CONTRIBUTION RATE DEBT DECLINE IN FERTILITY DECLINES IN FERTILITY DEMOGRAPHIC TRENDS DEPENDENCY RATIO DEPENDENCY RATIOS DISCOUNT RATE DOWNWARD PRESSURE EARLY RETIREMENT ECONOMIC DECISIONS ECONOMIC GROWTH ECONOMIC IMPLICATIONS ECONOMIC THEORY ELASTICITY ELASTICITY OF SUBSTITUTION ELDERLY ENDOGENOUS VARIABLES EXOGENOUS SHOCK EXOGENOUS VARIABLE FERTILITY FERTILITY DECLINE FERTILITY RATE FERTILITY RATES FUTURE RESEARCH GENERAL EQUILIBRIUM GROSS RETURN GROWTH RATE HUMAN CAPITAL IMPERFECT COMPETITION INDEXATION INNOVATIONS LABOR ECONOMICS LABOR FORCE LABOR FORCES LABOR SUPPLY LABOUR LONGEVITY ADJUSTMENT LOW FERTILITY LOWER FERTILITY MARKET EQUILIBRIUM NUMBER OF CHILDREN NUMBER OF WORKERS OPPORTUNITY COST OPTIMIZATION OVERLAPPING GENERATIONS MODEL PAYROLL TAX PENSION PENSION CONTRIBUTION PENSION CONTRIBUTIONS PENSION SYSTEM PENSION SYSTEMS POLICY FRAMEWORK POLICY MAKERS POLICY RESEARCH POLICY RESEARCH WORKING PAPER POLICY RESPONSE POLITICAL ECONOMY POPULATION DYNAMICS POPULATION GROWTH POPULATION GROWTH RATE PRODUCTIVITY PROGRESS RATE OF GROWTH REAL WAGES REPLACEMENT RATE RESPECT RETIREES RETIREMENT RETIREMENT AGE RETIREMENT PERIOD RETIREMENT PERIODS RETIREMENT POLICY SOCIAL SECURITY SOCIAL SECURITY REFORM TAX RATE TAXATION UTILITY FUNCTION WAGE RATE WEALTH WORKER WORKERS WORKING HOURS Using a stochastic general equilibrium model with overlapping generations, this paper studies a policy rule for the retirement age aiming at offsetting the effects on the supply of labor following fertility changes. The authors find that the retirement age should increase more than proportionally to the direct fall in labor supply caused by a fall in fertility. The robustness of this result is checked against alternative model specifications and parameter values. The efficacy of the policy rule depends crucially on the link between the preference for leisure and the response of the intensive margin of labor supply to changes in the statutory retirement age. The model has subsequently been calibrated for Brazil by Jorgensen (2010), in the context of the Brazil Aging Study. 2012-03-19T18:41:13Z 2012-03-19T18:41:13Z 2010-07-01 http://www-wds.worldbank.org/external/default/main?menuPK=64187510&pagePK=64193027&piPK=64187937&theSitePK=523679&menuPK=64187510&searchMenuPK=64187283&siteName=WDS&entityID=000158349_20100727134920 http://hdl.handle.net/10986/3867 English Policy Research working paper ; no. WPS 5382 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/ World Bank Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper Latin America & Caribbean Latin America & Caribbean The World Region The World Region South America America
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
topic AGGREGATE INCOME
ALLOCATION OF RESOURCES
BABIES
BABY
BABY BOOM
BUSINESS CYCLE
CAPITAL INVESTMENT
CHANGES IN FERTILITY
CONSUMPTION INCREASES
CONTRIBUTION RATE
DEBT
DECLINE IN FERTILITY
DECLINES IN FERTILITY
DEMOGRAPHIC TRENDS
DEPENDENCY RATIO
DEPENDENCY RATIOS
DISCOUNT RATE
DOWNWARD PRESSURE
EARLY RETIREMENT
ECONOMIC DECISIONS
ECONOMIC GROWTH
ECONOMIC IMPLICATIONS
ECONOMIC THEORY
ELASTICITY
ELASTICITY OF SUBSTITUTION
ELDERLY
ENDOGENOUS VARIABLES
EXOGENOUS SHOCK
EXOGENOUS VARIABLE
FERTILITY
FERTILITY DECLINE
FERTILITY RATE
FERTILITY RATES
FUTURE RESEARCH
GENERAL EQUILIBRIUM
GROSS RETURN
GROWTH RATE
HUMAN CAPITAL
IMPERFECT COMPETITION
INDEXATION
INNOVATIONS
LABOR ECONOMICS
LABOR FORCE
LABOR FORCES
LABOR SUPPLY
LABOUR
LONGEVITY ADJUSTMENT
LOW FERTILITY
LOWER FERTILITY
MARKET EQUILIBRIUM
NUMBER OF CHILDREN
NUMBER OF WORKERS
OPPORTUNITY COST
OPTIMIZATION
OVERLAPPING GENERATIONS MODEL
PAYROLL TAX
PENSION
PENSION CONTRIBUTION
PENSION CONTRIBUTIONS
PENSION SYSTEM
PENSION SYSTEMS
POLICY FRAMEWORK
POLICY MAKERS
POLICY RESEARCH
POLICY RESEARCH WORKING PAPER
POLICY RESPONSE
POLITICAL ECONOMY
POPULATION DYNAMICS
POPULATION GROWTH
POPULATION GROWTH RATE
PRODUCTIVITY
PROGRESS
RATE OF GROWTH
REAL WAGES
REPLACEMENT RATE
RESPECT
RETIREES
RETIREMENT
RETIREMENT AGE
RETIREMENT PERIOD
RETIREMENT PERIODS
RETIREMENT POLICY
SOCIAL SECURITY
SOCIAL SECURITY REFORM
TAX RATE
TAXATION
UTILITY FUNCTION
WAGE RATE
WEALTH
WORKER
WORKERS
WORKING HOURS
spellingShingle AGGREGATE INCOME
ALLOCATION OF RESOURCES
BABIES
BABY
BABY BOOM
BUSINESS CYCLE
CAPITAL INVESTMENT
CHANGES IN FERTILITY
CONSUMPTION INCREASES
CONTRIBUTION RATE
DEBT
DECLINE IN FERTILITY
DECLINES IN FERTILITY
DEMOGRAPHIC TRENDS
DEPENDENCY RATIO
DEPENDENCY RATIOS
DISCOUNT RATE
DOWNWARD PRESSURE
EARLY RETIREMENT
ECONOMIC DECISIONS
ECONOMIC GROWTH
ECONOMIC IMPLICATIONS
ECONOMIC THEORY
ELASTICITY
ELASTICITY OF SUBSTITUTION
ELDERLY
ENDOGENOUS VARIABLES
EXOGENOUS SHOCK
EXOGENOUS VARIABLE
FERTILITY
FERTILITY DECLINE
FERTILITY RATE
FERTILITY RATES
FUTURE RESEARCH
GENERAL EQUILIBRIUM
GROSS RETURN
GROWTH RATE
HUMAN CAPITAL
IMPERFECT COMPETITION
INDEXATION
INNOVATIONS
LABOR ECONOMICS
LABOR FORCE
LABOR FORCES
LABOR SUPPLY
LABOUR
LONGEVITY ADJUSTMENT
LOW FERTILITY
LOWER FERTILITY
MARKET EQUILIBRIUM
NUMBER OF CHILDREN
NUMBER OF WORKERS
OPPORTUNITY COST
OPTIMIZATION
OVERLAPPING GENERATIONS MODEL
PAYROLL TAX
PENSION
PENSION CONTRIBUTION
PENSION CONTRIBUTIONS
PENSION SYSTEM
PENSION SYSTEMS
POLICY FRAMEWORK
POLICY MAKERS
POLICY RESEARCH
POLICY RESEARCH WORKING PAPER
POLICY RESPONSE
POLITICAL ECONOMY
POPULATION DYNAMICS
POPULATION GROWTH
POPULATION GROWTH RATE
PRODUCTIVITY
PROGRESS
RATE OF GROWTH
REAL WAGES
REPLACEMENT RATE
RESPECT
RETIREES
RETIREMENT
RETIREMENT AGE
RETIREMENT PERIOD
RETIREMENT PERIODS
RETIREMENT POLICY
SOCIAL SECURITY
SOCIAL SECURITY REFORM
TAX RATE
TAXATION
UTILITY FUNCTION
WAGE RATE
WEALTH
WORKER
WORKERS
WORKING HOURS
Jorgensen, Ole Hagen
Jensen, Svend E. Hougaard
Labor Supply and Retirement Policy in an Overlapping Generations Model with Stochastic Fertility
geographic_facet Latin America & Caribbean
Latin America & Caribbean
The World Region
The World Region
South America
America
relation Policy Research working paper ; no. WPS 5382
description Using a stochastic general equilibrium model with overlapping generations, this paper studies a policy rule for the retirement age aiming at offsetting the effects on the supply of labor following fertility changes. The authors find that the retirement age should increase more than proportionally to the direct fall in labor supply caused by a fall in fertility. The robustness of this result is checked against alternative model specifications and parameter values. The efficacy of the policy rule depends crucially on the link between the preference for leisure and the response of the intensive margin of labor supply to changes in the statutory retirement age. The model has subsequently been calibrated for Brazil by Jorgensen (2010), in the context of the Brazil Aging Study.
format Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper
author Jorgensen, Ole Hagen
Jensen, Svend E. Hougaard
author_facet Jorgensen, Ole Hagen
Jensen, Svend E. Hougaard
author_sort Jorgensen, Ole Hagen
title Labor Supply and Retirement Policy in an Overlapping Generations Model with Stochastic Fertility
title_short Labor Supply and Retirement Policy in an Overlapping Generations Model with Stochastic Fertility
title_full Labor Supply and Retirement Policy in an Overlapping Generations Model with Stochastic Fertility
title_fullStr Labor Supply and Retirement Policy in an Overlapping Generations Model with Stochastic Fertility
title_full_unstemmed Labor Supply and Retirement Policy in an Overlapping Generations Model with Stochastic Fertility
title_sort labor supply and retirement policy in an overlapping generations model with stochastic fertility
publishDate 2012
url http://www-wds.worldbank.org/external/default/main?menuPK=64187510&pagePK=64193027&piPK=64187937&theSitePK=523679&menuPK=64187510&searchMenuPK=64187283&siteName=WDS&entityID=000158349_20100727134920
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/3867
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