Macroprudential Stress-Testing Practices of Central Banks in Central and South Eastern Europe : An Overview and Challenges Ahead

Stress tests are the main practical tools of macroprudential oversight. This paper reviews the stress-testing practices of central banks in Central and South Eastern Europe (CSEECBs) and outlines the challenges in the area of stress testing going f...

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Main Authors: Melecky, Martin, Podpiera, Anca Maria
Format: Policy Research Working Paper
Language:English
Published: 2012
Subjects:
CDS
NPL
Online Access:http://www-wds.worldbank.org/external/default/main?menuPK=64187510&pagePK=64193027&piPK=64187937&theSitePK=523679&menuPK=64187510&searchMenuPK=64187283&siteName=WDS&entityID=000158349_20100927131234
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/3917
id okr-10986-3917
recordtype oai_dc
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
topic ACCOUNTING
ADVERSE SHOCKS
ARBITRAGE
ASSET CLASSES
AUDITS
AUSTRIAN NATIONAL BANK
BALANCE SHEET
BALANCE SHEET EFFECTS
BALANCE SHEETS
BANK ACCOUNTS
BANK FAILURE
BANK FAILURES
BANK FOR INTERNATIONAL SETTLEMENTS
BANK OF CANADA
BANK OF ENGLAND
BANK OF GREECE
BANK OF SLOVENIA
BANK POLICY
BANK RATES
BANK RUN
BANKING SECTOR
BANKING SECTOR ASSETS
BANKING SECTOR DEVELOPMENTS
BANKING SECTORS
BANKING SUPERVISION
BANKING SYSTEM
BANKING SYSTEMS
BANKRUPTCY
BASIS POINTS
BOND
BORROWER
BUFFERS
BUSINESS CYCLE
BUSINESS CYCLES
CAPACITY BUILDING
CAPITAL ADEQUACY
CAPITAL STANDARDS
CDS
CENTRAL BANK
CENTRAL BANKING
CENTRAL BANKS
CERTIFICATES OF DEPOSITS
CLASSIFIED LOANS
COLLATERAL
COLLATERALIZATION
COMMERCIAL BANKS
CONSUMER CREDIT
CONSUMER LOANS
CONTINGENT LIABILITY
CORPORATE BORROWERS
CORPORATE DEBTS
CORPORATE DEFAULT
COUNTRY RISK
COUPON
CREDIT CARD
CREDIT GROWTH
CREDIT INSTITUTIONS
CREDIT LINES
CREDIT LOSS
CREDIT LOSSES
CREDIT MARKETS
CREDIT RATINGS
CREDIT RISK
CREDIT RISK ASSESSMENT
CREDIT RISK EXPOSURE
CREDIT RISK EXPOSURES
CREDIT RISKS
CROATIAN NATIONAL BANK
DATA RELIABILITY
DEBT
DEBT INSTRUMENTS
DEBT MARKET
DEBT SECURITIES
DEBTORS
DEFAULT PROBABILITIES
DEFAULT RATE
DEFAULT RATES
DEFAULTS
DEGREE OF LIQUIDITY
DEPOSIT
DEPOSIT INTEREST
DEPOSITORS
DEPOSITS
DERIVATIVES
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
ECONOMETRIC MODEL
ECONOMETRIC MODELS
ECONOMIC GROWTH
EQUITIES
EXCHANGE RATE
EXCHANGE RATES
EXPERIENCE OF COUNTRIES
EXTERNAL DEMAND
EXTERNAL FINANCING
FINANCIAL ASSETS
FINANCIAL CRISES
FINANCIAL CRISIS
FINANCIAL DATA
FINANCIAL INFRASTRUCTURE
FINANCIAL INSTITUTION
FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS
FINANCIAL INSTRUMENTS
FINANCIAL MARKET
FINANCIAL MARKETS
FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE
FINANCIAL PROJECTION
FINANCIAL SHOCKS
FINANCIAL STABILITY
FINANCIAL STATEMENTS
FINANCIAL SYSTEM
FINANCIAL SYSTEMS
FINANCIAL VARIABLES
FOREIGN CURRENCY
FOREIGN FUNDS
FRAUDS
GOVERNMENT BONDS
HIGH-INCOME COUNTRIES
HOLDING
HOLDINGS
IMPAIRED ASSETS
INCOME STATEMENTS
INDEBTEDNESS
INFLATION
INFLATION RATE
INTEREST INCOME
INTEREST RATE
INTEREST RATE ADJUSTMENTS
INTEREST RATE CHANGES
INTEREST RATE RISK
INTEREST RATES
INTERNATIONAL BANK
INTERNATIONAL BANKING
INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS
INVESTMENT IN DEBT SECURITIES
LIQUID ASSETS
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY MANAGEMENT
LIQUIDITY POSITION
LIQUIDITY RATIOS
LIQUIDITY RISK
LIQUIDITY RISKS
LOAN
LOAN LOSS PROVISIONS
LOAN PERFORMANCE
LOAN PORTFOLIO
LOAN PORTFOLIOS
LOAN QUALITY
LOAN STOCK
LOSS OF CONFIDENCE
MACROECONOMIC CONDITIONS
MACROECONOMIC DATA
MACROECONOMIC MODEL
MACROECONOMIC MODELS
MACROECONOMIC RISKS
MACROECONOMIC SHOCKS
MACROECONOMIC VARIABLES
MARKET CONFIDENCE
MARKET DEVELOPMENTS
MARKET DISCIPLINE
MARKET LIQUIDITY
MARKET RISK
MARKET RISKS
MARKET SHARES
MATURITIES
MATURITY
MATURITY MISMATCH
MATURITY TRANSFORMATION
MICRO DATA
MICRO-DATA
MICRODATA
MIGRATION
MONETARY POLICY
MONEY MARKET
MONEY MARKET RATES
MORTGAGE
MORTGAGE LOANS
MORTGAGES
NATIONAL BANK OF SLOVAKIA
NET OPERATING INCOME
NONPERFORMING LOANS
NPL
OPERATING EXPENSES
OPERATIONAL RISK
OVERDUE LOANS
POLICY RESPONSES
PORTFOLIO
PORTFOLIO OF SECURITIES
PREPAYMENTS
PROBABILITY OF DEFAULT
PROFITABILITY
PROVISIONING RULES
RE-CAPITALIZATION
REAL ESTATE LOANS
REAL INTEREST
REAL INTEREST RATES
RECAPITALIZATION
REGIME SWITCHES
REPRICING GAPS
RESERVE
RISK ASSESSMENTS
RISK EXPOSURES
RISK FACTORS
RISK PREMIUM
SECURITIES
SECURITIES ISSUANCE
SECURITY PRICES
SETTLEMENT
SETTLEMENT SYSTEMS
SHAREHOLDERS
SHORT TERM INTEREST RATE
SOLVENCY
SUPERVISORY AUTHORITIES
SVERIGES RIKSBANK
SWAP
SWAPS
SYSTEMIC RISK
TECHNICAL ASSISTANCE
TERMS OF CREDIT
TREASURY
TURNOVERS
VALUATION
VAR MODELS
WITHDRAWAL
WRITEDOWNS
YIELD CURVE
spellingShingle ACCOUNTING
ADVERSE SHOCKS
ARBITRAGE
ASSET CLASSES
AUDITS
AUSTRIAN NATIONAL BANK
BALANCE SHEET
BALANCE SHEET EFFECTS
BALANCE SHEETS
BANK ACCOUNTS
BANK FAILURE
BANK FAILURES
BANK FOR INTERNATIONAL SETTLEMENTS
BANK OF CANADA
BANK OF ENGLAND
BANK OF GREECE
BANK OF SLOVENIA
BANK POLICY
BANK RATES
BANK RUN
BANKING SECTOR
BANKING SECTOR ASSETS
BANKING SECTOR DEVELOPMENTS
BANKING SECTORS
BANKING SUPERVISION
BANKING SYSTEM
BANKING SYSTEMS
BANKRUPTCY
BASIS POINTS
BOND
BORROWER
BUFFERS
BUSINESS CYCLE
BUSINESS CYCLES
CAPACITY BUILDING
CAPITAL ADEQUACY
CAPITAL STANDARDS
CDS
CENTRAL BANK
CENTRAL BANKING
CENTRAL BANKS
CERTIFICATES OF DEPOSITS
CLASSIFIED LOANS
COLLATERAL
COLLATERALIZATION
COMMERCIAL BANKS
CONSUMER CREDIT
CONSUMER LOANS
CONTINGENT LIABILITY
CORPORATE BORROWERS
CORPORATE DEBTS
CORPORATE DEFAULT
COUNTRY RISK
COUPON
CREDIT CARD
CREDIT GROWTH
CREDIT INSTITUTIONS
CREDIT LINES
CREDIT LOSS
CREDIT LOSSES
CREDIT MARKETS
CREDIT RATINGS
CREDIT RISK
CREDIT RISK ASSESSMENT
CREDIT RISK EXPOSURE
CREDIT RISK EXPOSURES
CREDIT RISKS
CROATIAN NATIONAL BANK
DATA RELIABILITY
DEBT
DEBT INSTRUMENTS
DEBT MARKET
DEBT SECURITIES
DEBTORS
DEFAULT PROBABILITIES
DEFAULT RATE
DEFAULT RATES
DEFAULTS
DEGREE OF LIQUIDITY
DEPOSIT
DEPOSIT INTEREST
DEPOSITORS
DEPOSITS
DERIVATIVES
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
ECONOMETRIC MODEL
ECONOMETRIC MODELS
ECONOMIC GROWTH
EQUITIES
EXCHANGE RATE
EXCHANGE RATES
EXPERIENCE OF COUNTRIES
EXTERNAL DEMAND
EXTERNAL FINANCING
FINANCIAL ASSETS
FINANCIAL CRISES
FINANCIAL CRISIS
FINANCIAL DATA
FINANCIAL INFRASTRUCTURE
FINANCIAL INSTITUTION
FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS
FINANCIAL INSTRUMENTS
FINANCIAL MARKET
FINANCIAL MARKETS
FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE
FINANCIAL PROJECTION
FINANCIAL SHOCKS
FINANCIAL STABILITY
FINANCIAL STATEMENTS
FINANCIAL SYSTEM
FINANCIAL SYSTEMS
FINANCIAL VARIABLES
FOREIGN CURRENCY
FOREIGN FUNDS
FRAUDS
GOVERNMENT BONDS
HIGH-INCOME COUNTRIES
HOLDING
HOLDINGS
IMPAIRED ASSETS
INCOME STATEMENTS
INDEBTEDNESS
INFLATION
INFLATION RATE
INTEREST INCOME
INTEREST RATE
INTEREST RATE ADJUSTMENTS
INTEREST RATE CHANGES
INTEREST RATE RISK
INTEREST RATES
INTERNATIONAL BANK
INTERNATIONAL BANKING
INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS
INVESTMENT IN DEBT SECURITIES
LIQUID ASSETS
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY MANAGEMENT
LIQUIDITY POSITION
LIQUIDITY RATIOS
LIQUIDITY RISK
LIQUIDITY RISKS
LOAN
LOAN LOSS PROVISIONS
LOAN PERFORMANCE
LOAN PORTFOLIO
LOAN PORTFOLIOS
LOAN QUALITY
LOAN STOCK
LOSS OF CONFIDENCE
MACROECONOMIC CONDITIONS
MACROECONOMIC DATA
MACROECONOMIC MODEL
MACROECONOMIC MODELS
MACROECONOMIC RISKS
MACROECONOMIC SHOCKS
MACROECONOMIC VARIABLES
MARKET CONFIDENCE
MARKET DEVELOPMENTS
MARKET DISCIPLINE
MARKET LIQUIDITY
MARKET RISK
MARKET RISKS
MARKET SHARES
MATURITIES
MATURITY
MATURITY MISMATCH
MATURITY TRANSFORMATION
MICRO DATA
MICRO-DATA
MICRODATA
MIGRATION
MONETARY POLICY
MONEY MARKET
MONEY MARKET RATES
MORTGAGE
MORTGAGE LOANS
MORTGAGES
NATIONAL BANK OF SLOVAKIA
NET OPERATING INCOME
NONPERFORMING LOANS
NPL
OPERATING EXPENSES
OPERATIONAL RISK
OVERDUE LOANS
POLICY RESPONSES
PORTFOLIO
PORTFOLIO OF SECURITIES
PREPAYMENTS
PROBABILITY OF DEFAULT
PROFITABILITY
PROVISIONING RULES
RE-CAPITALIZATION
REAL ESTATE LOANS
REAL INTEREST
REAL INTEREST RATES
RECAPITALIZATION
REGIME SWITCHES
REPRICING GAPS
RESERVE
RISK ASSESSMENTS
RISK EXPOSURES
RISK FACTORS
RISK PREMIUM
SECURITIES
SECURITIES ISSUANCE
SECURITY PRICES
SETTLEMENT
SETTLEMENT SYSTEMS
SHAREHOLDERS
SHORT TERM INTEREST RATE
SOLVENCY
SUPERVISORY AUTHORITIES
SVERIGES RIKSBANK
SWAP
SWAPS
SYSTEMIC RISK
TECHNICAL ASSISTANCE
TERMS OF CREDIT
TREASURY
TURNOVERS
VALUATION
VAR MODELS
WITHDRAWAL
WRITEDOWNS
YIELD CURVE
Melecky, Martin
Podpiera, Anca Maria
Macroprudential Stress-Testing Practices of Central Banks in Central and South Eastern Europe : An Overview and Challenges Ahead
geographic_facet Europe and Central Asia
Europe and Central Asia
relation Policy Research working paper ; no. WPS 5434
description Stress tests are the main practical tools of macroprudential oversight. This paper reviews the stress-testing practices of central banks in Central and South Eastern Europe (CSEECBs) and outlines the challenges in the area of stress testing going forward. The authors discuss good practice and the applied approaches by CSEECBs focusing on the main components of a typical macroprudential stress test, i.e. constructing the baseline and stress scenarios, mapping macroeconomic scenarios and microeconomic factors to risk factors, calculating risk exposures to different risk indicators, and estimating outcome indicators to inform macroprudential policy. The main challenges for the CSEECBs going forward involve needed improvements in data reliability, consideration of quantitative microprudential indicators in macroprudential stress tests, explicit incorporation of dynamics in stress tests to include reaction functions of banks and macroprudential policy, institutionalization of macroprudential policy responses to alarming stress-test results, use of the top-down and bottom-up stress test results in supervisory communication, cooperation of macroprudential and microprudential supervision, and information exchange for better cross-border supervision of international banking groups.
format Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper
author Melecky, Martin
Podpiera, Anca Maria
author_facet Melecky, Martin
Podpiera, Anca Maria
author_sort Melecky, Martin
title Macroprudential Stress-Testing Practices of Central Banks in Central and South Eastern Europe : An Overview and Challenges Ahead
title_short Macroprudential Stress-Testing Practices of Central Banks in Central and South Eastern Europe : An Overview and Challenges Ahead
title_full Macroprudential Stress-Testing Practices of Central Banks in Central and South Eastern Europe : An Overview and Challenges Ahead
title_fullStr Macroprudential Stress-Testing Practices of Central Banks in Central and South Eastern Europe : An Overview and Challenges Ahead
title_full_unstemmed Macroprudential Stress-Testing Practices of Central Banks in Central and South Eastern Europe : An Overview and Challenges Ahead
title_sort macroprudential stress-testing practices of central banks in central and south eastern europe : an overview and challenges ahead
publishDate 2012
url http://www-wds.worldbank.org/external/default/main?menuPK=64187510&pagePK=64193027&piPK=64187937&theSitePK=523679&menuPK=64187510&searchMenuPK=64187283&siteName=WDS&entityID=000158349_20100927131234
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/3917
_version_ 1764389010389598208
spelling okr-10986-39172021-04-23T14:02:13Z Macroprudential Stress-Testing Practices of Central Banks in Central and South Eastern Europe : An Overview and Challenges Ahead Melecky, Martin Podpiera, Anca Maria ACCOUNTING ADVERSE SHOCKS ARBITRAGE ASSET CLASSES AUDITS AUSTRIAN NATIONAL BANK BALANCE SHEET BALANCE SHEET EFFECTS BALANCE SHEETS BANK ACCOUNTS BANK FAILURE BANK FAILURES BANK FOR INTERNATIONAL SETTLEMENTS BANK OF CANADA BANK OF ENGLAND BANK OF GREECE BANK OF SLOVENIA BANK POLICY BANK RATES BANK RUN BANKING SECTOR BANKING SECTOR ASSETS BANKING SECTOR DEVELOPMENTS BANKING SECTORS BANKING SUPERVISION BANKING SYSTEM BANKING SYSTEMS BANKRUPTCY BASIS POINTS BOND BORROWER BUFFERS BUSINESS CYCLE BUSINESS CYCLES CAPACITY BUILDING CAPITAL ADEQUACY CAPITAL STANDARDS CDS CENTRAL BANK CENTRAL BANKING CENTRAL BANKS CERTIFICATES OF DEPOSITS CLASSIFIED LOANS COLLATERAL COLLATERALIZATION COMMERCIAL BANKS CONSUMER CREDIT CONSUMER LOANS CONTINGENT LIABILITY CORPORATE BORROWERS CORPORATE DEBTS CORPORATE DEFAULT COUNTRY RISK COUPON CREDIT CARD CREDIT GROWTH CREDIT INSTITUTIONS CREDIT LINES CREDIT LOSS CREDIT LOSSES CREDIT MARKETS CREDIT RATINGS CREDIT RISK CREDIT RISK ASSESSMENT CREDIT RISK EXPOSURE CREDIT RISK EXPOSURES CREDIT RISKS CROATIAN NATIONAL BANK DATA RELIABILITY DEBT DEBT INSTRUMENTS DEBT MARKET DEBT SECURITIES DEBTORS DEFAULT PROBABILITIES DEFAULT RATE DEFAULT RATES DEFAULTS DEGREE OF LIQUIDITY DEPOSIT DEPOSIT INTEREST DEPOSITORS DEPOSITS DERIVATIVES DEVELOPING COUNTRIES ECONOMETRIC MODEL ECONOMETRIC MODELS ECONOMIC GROWTH EQUITIES EXCHANGE RATE EXCHANGE RATES EXPERIENCE OF COUNTRIES EXTERNAL DEMAND EXTERNAL FINANCING FINANCIAL ASSETS FINANCIAL CRISES FINANCIAL CRISIS FINANCIAL DATA FINANCIAL INFRASTRUCTURE FINANCIAL INSTITUTION FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS FINANCIAL INSTRUMENTS FINANCIAL MARKET FINANCIAL MARKETS FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE FINANCIAL PROJECTION FINANCIAL SHOCKS FINANCIAL STABILITY FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FINANCIAL SYSTEM FINANCIAL SYSTEMS FINANCIAL VARIABLES FOREIGN CURRENCY FOREIGN FUNDS FRAUDS GOVERNMENT BONDS HIGH-INCOME COUNTRIES HOLDING HOLDINGS IMPAIRED ASSETS INCOME STATEMENTS INDEBTEDNESS INFLATION INFLATION RATE INTEREST INCOME INTEREST RATE INTEREST RATE ADJUSTMENTS INTEREST RATE CHANGES INTEREST RATE RISK INTEREST RATES INTERNATIONAL BANK INTERNATIONAL BANKING INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS INVESTMENT IN DEBT SECURITIES LIQUID ASSETS LIQUIDITY LIQUIDITY MANAGEMENT LIQUIDITY POSITION LIQUIDITY RATIOS LIQUIDITY RISK LIQUIDITY RISKS LOAN LOAN LOSS PROVISIONS LOAN PERFORMANCE LOAN PORTFOLIO LOAN PORTFOLIOS LOAN QUALITY LOAN STOCK LOSS OF CONFIDENCE MACROECONOMIC CONDITIONS MACROECONOMIC DATA MACROECONOMIC MODEL MACROECONOMIC MODELS MACROECONOMIC RISKS MACROECONOMIC SHOCKS MACROECONOMIC VARIABLES MARKET CONFIDENCE MARKET DEVELOPMENTS MARKET DISCIPLINE MARKET LIQUIDITY MARKET RISK MARKET RISKS MARKET SHARES MATURITIES MATURITY MATURITY MISMATCH MATURITY TRANSFORMATION MICRO DATA MICRO-DATA MICRODATA MIGRATION MONETARY POLICY MONEY MARKET MONEY MARKET RATES MORTGAGE MORTGAGE LOANS MORTGAGES NATIONAL BANK OF SLOVAKIA NET OPERATING INCOME NONPERFORMING LOANS NPL OPERATING EXPENSES OPERATIONAL RISK OVERDUE LOANS POLICY RESPONSES PORTFOLIO PORTFOLIO OF SECURITIES PREPAYMENTS PROBABILITY OF DEFAULT PROFITABILITY PROVISIONING RULES RE-CAPITALIZATION REAL ESTATE LOANS REAL INTEREST REAL INTEREST RATES RECAPITALIZATION REGIME SWITCHES REPRICING GAPS RESERVE RISK ASSESSMENTS RISK EXPOSURES RISK FACTORS RISK PREMIUM SECURITIES SECURITIES ISSUANCE SECURITY PRICES SETTLEMENT SETTLEMENT SYSTEMS SHAREHOLDERS SHORT TERM INTEREST RATE SOLVENCY SUPERVISORY AUTHORITIES SVERIGES RIKSBANK SWAP SWAPS SYSTEMIC RISK TECHNICAL ASSISTANCE TERMS OF CREDIT TREASURY TURNOVERS VALUATION VAR MODELS WITHDRAWAL WRITEDOWNS YIELD CURVE Stress tests are the main practical tools of macroprudential oversight. This paper reviews the stress-testing practices of central banks in Central and South Eastern Europe (CSEECBs) and outlines the challenges in the area of stress testing going forward. The authors discuss good practice and the applied approaches by CSEECBs focusing on the main components of a typical macroprudential stress test, i.e. constructing the baseline and stress scenarios, mapping macroeconomic scenarios and microeconomic factors to risk factors, calculating risk exposures to different risk indicators, and estimating outcome indicators to inform macroprudential policy. The main challenges for the CSEECBs going forward involve needed improvements in data reliability, consideration of quantitative microprudential indicators in macroprudential stress tests, explicit incorporation of dynamics in stress tests to include reaction functions of banks and macroprudential policy, institutionalization of macroprudential policy responses to alarming stress-test results, use of the top-down and bottom-up stress test results in supervisory communication, cooperation of macroprudential and microprudential supervision, and information exchange for better cross-border supervision of international banking groups. 2012-03-19T18:42:07Z 2012-03-19T18:42:07Z 2010-09-01 http://www-wds.worldbank.org/external/default/main?menuPK=64187510&pagePK=64193027&piPK=64187937&theSitePK=523679&menuPK=64187510&searchMenuPK=64187283&siteName=WDS&entityID=000158349_20100927131234 http://hdl.handle.net/10986/3917 English Policy Research working paper ; no. WPS 5434 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/ World Bank Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper Europe and Central Asia Europe and Central Asia