Regional Trade Policy Options for Tanzania : The Importance of Services Commitments
Despite the growing importance of commitments to foreign investors in services in regional trade agreements, there are no applied general equilibrium models in the literature that assess these regional impacts. This paper develops a 52 sector appli...
Main Authors: | , |
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Format: | Policy Research Working Paper |
Language: | English |
Published: |
2012
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Subjects: | |
Online Access: | http://www-wds.worldbank.org/external/default/main?menuPK=64187510&pagePK=64193027&piPK=64187937&theSitePK=523679&menuPK=64187510&searchMenuPK=64187283&siteName=WDS&entityID=000158349_20101117083006 http://hdl.handle.net/10986/3963 |
Summary: | Despite the growing importance of
commitments to foreign investors in services in regional
trade agreements, there are no applied general equilibrium
models in the literature that assess these regional impacts.
This paper develops a 52 sector applied general equilibrium
model of Tanzania with foreign direct investment, and uses
that model to assess Tanzania's regional and
multilateral trade options. The model incorporates the
features of the modern theory of international trade that
has shown empirically that trade and foreign direct
investment can increase productivity, and trade and foreign
direct investment with technologically advanced countries is
especially valuable for that purpose. To assess the
sensitivity of the results to parameter values, the model is
executed 30,000 times, and the results are reported as
confidence intervals of the sample distributions. The
analysis finds that a 50 percent preferential reduction in
the ad valorem equivalents of barriers in all business
services by Tanzania with respect to its African regional
partners would be slightly beneficial for Tanzania. But
wider liberalization, with larger partners or
multilaterally, it will yield much larger gains due to
providing access to a much wider set of service providers.
Finally, the results show that the largest gains in services
would be derived from reduction of regulatory barriers that
are geographically non-discriminatory. |
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