The Economics of Natural Disasters : Concepts and Methods

Large-scale disasters regularly affect societies over the globe, causing large destruction and damage. After each of these events, media, insurance companies, and international institu-tions publish numerous assessments of the "cost of the dis...

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Main Authors: Hallegatte, Stephane, Przyluski, Valentin
Format: Policy Research Working Paper
Language:English
Published: 2012
Subjects:
GDP
WAR
Online Access:http://www-wds.worldbank.org/external/default/main?menuPK=64187510&pagePK=64193027&piPK=64187937&theSitePK=523679&menuPK=64187510&searchMenuPK=64187283&siteName=WDS&entityID=000158349_20101221155640
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/3991
id okr-10986-3991
recordtype oai_dc
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
topic AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS
AGRICULTURE
ALLOCATION
ASSETS
AVALANCHES
BANKRUPTCY
BUSINESS CYCLES
CHANGES IN PRICES
CLIMATE
CLIMATE CHANGE
CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACTS
CONSTRUCTION WORKERS
CONSUMPTION LOSS
COST ANALYSIS
CRED
DAMAGED HOUSES
DAMAGES
DEBT
DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS
DEVELOPMENT NETWORK
DEVELOPMENT POLICY
DIRECT VALUE
DISASTER
DISASTER MANAGEMENT
DISASTER PREVENTION
DROUGHT
DROUGHTS
EARTHQUAKE
EARTHQUAKES
ECOLOGICAL ECONOMICS
ECONOMETRIC ANALYSIS
ECONOMETRICS
ECONOMIC EQUILIBRIUM
ECONOMIC GROWTH
ECONOMIC GROWTH RATE
ECONOMIC IMPACT
ECONOMIC IMPACTS
ECONOMIC IMPLICATIONS
ECONOMIC LOSS
ECONOMIC MODEL
ECONOMIC MODELS
ECONOMIC PERFORMANCE
ECONOMIC PERSPECTIVE
ECONOMIC RECOVERY
ECONOMIC RESILIENCE
ECONOMIC SECTORS
ECONOMIC SITUATION
ECONOMIC SYSTEMS
ECONOMIC THEORY
ECONOMIC VALUE
ECONOMICS
EPIDEMIOLOGY
EXOGENOUS SHOCKS
EXPLOSION
EXTERNAL SHOCKS
EXTREME EVENTS
FARMER
FINANCIAL CRISES
FINANCIAL IMPACTS
FINANCIAL RESOURCES
FINANCIAL SUPPORT
FLOOD
FLOOD DAMAGE
FLOOD DAMAGES
FLOODS
FOOD SECURITY
FUTURE RESEARCH
GDP
GENERAL EQUILIBRIUM ANALYSIS
GROWTH RATE
GROWTH THEORIES
HEAT WAVES
HURRICANE
HURRICANE RISK
HURRICANE SEASON
HURRICANES
IMPACT OF DISASTERS
IMPACT OF HURRICANES
IMPORTS
INCOME
INHERITANCE
INSURANCE
INSURANCE COMPANIES
INSURANCE INDUSTRY
INSURERS
INTEREST RATE
INVENTORIES
JOBS
LAND DEGRADATION
LANDSLIDES
LOWER COSTS
MACROECONOMIC SHOCKS
NATURAL DISASTER
NATURAL DISASTERS
NATURAL HAZARDS
NATURAL RESOURCES
OIL PRICES
POLITICAL ECONOMY
POSITIVE EXTERNALITY
PRESENT VALUE
PRICE ELASTICITY
PRICE INCREASE
PRODUCTION FUNCTIONS
PRODUCTIVITY
PROPERTY VALUES
RECONSTRUCTION
REDISTRIBUTIVE EFFECTS
REINSURANCE
RELATIVE PRICE
RELATIVE PRICES
RISK ANALYSIS
RISK ASSESSMENT
RISK MANAGEMENT
SAVINGS
SCENARIOS
SMALL BUSINESS
STORM
STORM SURGE
STORM SURGE RISK
STORMS
SUBSTITUTION
TERRORIST
THUNDERSTORMS
TOTAL COST
TOTAL OUTPUT
TSUNAMIS
UNCERTAINTIES
UNEMPLOYMENT
VALUE ADDED
VICTIMS
VOLCANIC ERUPTIONS
WAR
WATER DISTRIBUTION
WEATHER EXTREMES
spellingShingle AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS
AGRICULTURE
ALLOCATION
ASSETS
AVALANCHES
BANKRUPTCY
BUSINESS CYCLES
CHANGES IN PRICES
CLIMATE
CLIMATE CHANGE
CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACTS
CONSTRUCTION WORKERS
CONSUMPTION LOSS
COST ANALYSIS
CRED
DAMAGED HOUSES
DAMAGES
DEBT
DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS
DEVELOPMENT NETWORK
DEVELOPMENT POLICY
DIRECT VALUE
DISASTER
DISASTER MANAGEMENT
DISASTER PREVENTION
DROUGHT
DROUGHTS
EARTHQUAKE
EARTHQUAKES
ECOLOGICAL ECONOMICS
ECONOMETRIC ANALYSIS
ECONOMETRICS
ECONOMIC EQUILIBRIUM
ECONOMIC GROWTH
ECONOMIC GROWTH RATE
ECONOMIC IMPACT
ECONOMIC IMPACTS
ECONOMIC IMPLICATIONS
ECONOMIC LOSS
ECONOMIC MODEL
ECONOMIC MODELS
ECONOMIC PERFORMANCE
ECONOMIC PERSPECTIVE
ECONOMIC RECOVERY
ECONOMIC RESILIENCE
ECONOMIC SECTORS
ECONOMIC SITUATION
ECONOMIC SYSTEMS
ECONOMIC THEORY
ECONOMIC VALUE
ECONOMICS
EPIDEMIOLOGY
EXOGENOUS SHOCKS
EXPLOSION
EXTERNAL SHOCKS
EXTREME EVENTS
FARMER
FINANCIAL CRISES
FINANCIAL IMPACTS
FINANCIAL RESOURCES
FINANCIAL SUPPORT
FLOOD
FLOOD DAMAGE
FLOOD DAMAGES
FLOODS
FOOD SECURITY
FUTURE RESEARCH
GDP
GENERAL EQUILIBRIUM ANALYSIS
GROWTH RATE
GROWTH THEORIES
HEAT WAVES
HURRICANE
HURRICANE RISK
HURRICANE SEASON
HURRICANES
IMPACT OF DISASTERS
IMPACT OF HURRICANES
IMPORTS
INCOME
INHERITANCE
INSURANCE
INSURANCE COMPANIES
INSURANCE INDUSTRY
INSURERS
INTEREST RATE
INVENTORIES
JOBS
LAND DEGRADATION
LANDSLIDES
LOWER COSTS
MACROECONOMIC SHOCKS
NATURAL DISASTER
NATURAL DISASTERS
NATURAL HAZARDS
NATURAL RESOURCES
OIL PRICES
POLITICAL ECONOMY
POSITIVE EXTERNALITY
PRESENT VALUE
PRICE ELASTICITY
PRICE INCREASE
PRODUCTION FUNCTIONS
PRODUCTIVITY
PROPERTY VALUES
RECONSTRUCTION
REDISTRIBUTIVE EFFECTS
REINSURANCE
RELATIVE PRICE
RELATIVE PRICES
RISK ANALYSIS
RISK ASSESSMENT
RISK MANAGEMENT
SAVINGS
SCENARIOS
SMALL BUSINESS
STORM
STORM SURGE
STORM SURGE RISK
STORMS
SUBSTITUTION
TERRORIST
THUNDERSTORMS
TOTAL COST
TOTAL OUTPUT
TSUNAMIS
UNCERTAINTIES
UNEMPLOYMENT
VALUE ADDED
VICTIMS
VOLCANIC ERUPTIONS
WAR
WATER DISTRIBUTION
WEATHER EXTREMES
Hallegatte, Stephane
Przyluski, Valentin
The Economics of Natural Disasters : Concepts and Methods
geographic_facet The World Region
The World Region
relation Policy Research working paper ; no. WPS 5507
description Large-scale disasters regularly affect societies over the globe, causing large destruction and damage. After each of these events, media, insurance companies, and international institu-tions publish numerous assessments of the "cost of the disaster." However these assessments are based on different methodologies and approaches, and they often reach different results. Besides methodological differences, these discrepancies are due to the multi-dimensionality in disaster impacts and their large redistributive effects, which make it unclear what is included in the estimates. But most importantly, the purpose of these assessments is rarely specified, although different purposes correspond to different perimeters of analysis and different definitions of what a cost is. To clarify this situation, this paper proposes a definition of the cost of a disaster, and emphasizes the most important mechanisms that explain and determine this cost. It does so by first explaining why the direct economic cost, that is, the value of what has been damaged or destroyed by the disaster, is not a sufficient indicator of disaster seriousness and why estimating indirect losses is crucial to assess the consequences on welfare. The paper describes the main indirect consequences of a disaster and the following reconstruction phase, and discusses the economic mechanisms at play. It proposes a review of available methodologies to assess indirect economic consequences, illustrated with examples from the literature. Finally, it highlights the need for a better understanding of the economics of natural disasters and suggests a few promising areas for research on this topic.
format Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper
author Hallegatte, Stephane
Przyluski, Valentin
author_facet Hallegatte, Stephane
Przyluski, Valentin
author_sort Hallegatte, Stephane
title The Economics of Natural Disasters : Concepts and Methods
title_short The Economics of Natural Disasters : Concepts and Methods
title_full The Economics of Natural Disasters : Concepts and Methods
title_fullStr The Economics of Natural Disasters : Concepts and Methods
title_full_unstemmed The Economics of Natural Disasters : Concepts and Methods
title_sort economics of natural disasters : concepts and methods
publishDate 2012
url http://www-wds.worldbank.org/external/default/main?menuPK=64187510&pagePK=64193027&piPK=64187937&theSitePK=523679&menuPK=64187510&searchMenuPK=64187283&siteName=WDS&entityID=000158349_20101221155640
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/3991
_version_ 1764389375769051136
spelling okr-10986-39912021-04-23T14:02:14Z The Economics of Natural Disasters : Concepts and Methods Hallegatte, Stephane Przyluski, Valentin AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS AGRICULTURE ALLOCATION ASSETS AVALANCHES BANKRUPTCY BUSINESS CYCLES CHANGES IN PRICES CLIMATE CLIMATE CHANGE CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACTS CONSTRUCTION WORKERS CONSUMPTION LOSS COST ANALYSIS CRED DAMAGED HOUSES DAMAGES DEBT DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS DEVELOPMENT NETWORK DEVELOPMENT POLICY DIRECT VALUE DISASTER DISASTER MANAGEMENT DISASTER PREVENTION DROUGHT DROUGHTS EARTHQUAKE EARTHQUAKES ECOLOGICAL ECONOMICS ECONOMETRIC ANALYSIS ECONOMETRICS ECONOMIC EQUILIBRIUM ECONOMIC GROWTH ECONOMIC GROWTH RATE ECONOMIC IMPACT ECONOMIC IMPACTS ECONOMIC IMPLICATIONS ECONOMIC LOSS ECONOMIC MODEL ECONOMIC MODELS ECONOMIC PERFORMANCE ECONOMIC PERSPECTIVE ECONOMIC RECOVERY ECONOMIC RESILIENCE ECONOMIC SECTORS ECONOMIC SITUATION ECONOMIC SYSTEMS ECONOMIC THEORY ECONOMIC VALUE ECONOMICS EPIDEMIOLOGY EXOGENOUS SHOCKS EXPLOSION EXTERNAL SHOCKS EXTREME EVENTS FARMER FINANCIAL CRISES FINANCIAL IMPACTS FINANCIAL RESOURCES FINANCIAL SUPPORT FLOOD FLOOD DAMAGE FLOOD DAMAGES FLOODS FOOD SECURITY FUTURE RESEARCH GDP GENERAL EQUILIBRIUM ANALYSIS GROWTH RATE GROWTH THEORIES HEAT WAVES HURRICANE HURRICANE RISK HURRICANE SEASON HURRICANES IMPACT OF DISASTERS IMPACT OF HURRICANES IMPORTS INCOME INHERITANCE INSURANCE INSURANCE COMPANIES INSURANCE INDUSTRY INSURERS INTEREST RATE INVENTORIES JOBS LAND DEGRADATION LANDSLIDES LOWER COSTS MACROECONOMIC SHOCKS NATURAL DISASTER NATURAL DISASTERS NATURAL HAZARDS NATURAL RESOURCES OIL PRICES POLITICAL ECONOMY POSITIVE EXTERNALITY PRESENT VALUE PRICE ELASTICITY PRICE INCREASE PRODUCTION FUNCTIONS PRODUCTIVITY PROPERTY VALUES RECONSTRUCTION REDISTRIBUTIVE EFFECTS REINSURANCE RELATIVE PRICE RELATIVE PRICES RISK ANALYSIS RISK ASSESSMENT RISK MANAGEMENT SAVINGS SCENARIOS SMALL BUSINESS STORM STORM SURGE STORM SURGE RISK STORMS SUBSTITUTION TERRORIST THUNDERSTORMS TOTAL COST TOTAL OUTPUT TSUNAMIS UNCERTAINTIES UNEMPLOYMENT VALUE ADDED VICTIMS VOLCANIC ERUPTIONS WAR WATER DISTRIBUTION WEATHER EXTREMES Large-scale disasters regularly affect societies over the globe, causing large destruction and damage. After each of these events, media, insurance companies, and international institu-tions publish numerous assessments of the "cost of the disaster." However these assessments are based on different methodologies and approaches, and they often reach different results. Besides methodological differences, these discrepancies are due to the multi-dimensionality in disaster impacts and their large redistributive effects, which make it unclear what is included in the estimates. But most importantly, the purpose of these assessments is rarely specified, although different purposes correspond to different perimeters of analysis and different definitions of what a cost is. To clarify this situation, this paper proposes a definition of the cost of a disaster, and emphasizes the most important mechanisms that explain and determine this cost. It does so by first explaining why the direct economic cost, that is, the value of what has been damaged or destroyed by the disaster, is not a sufficient indicator of disaster seriousness and why estimating indirect losses is crucial to assess the consequences on welfare. The paper describes the main indirect consequences of a disaster and the following reconstruction phase, and discusses the economic mechanisms at play. It proposes a review of available methodologies to assess indirect economic consequences, illustrated with examples from the literature. Finally, it highlights the need for a better understanding of the economics of natural disasters and suggests a few promising areas for research on this topic. 2012-03-19T18:43:28Z 2012-03-19T18:43:28Z 2010-12-01 http://www-wds.worldbank.org/external/default/main?menuPK=64187510&pagePK=64193027&piPK=64187937&theSitePK=523679&menuPK=64187510&searchMenuPK=64187283&siteName=WDS&entityID=000158349_20101221155640 http://hdl.handle.net/10986/3991 English Policy Research working paper ; no. WPS 5507 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/ World Bank Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper The World Region The World Region