The Impacts of Biofuel Targets on Land-Use Change and Food Supply : A Global CGE Assessment
This study analyzes the long-term impacts of large-scale expansion of biofuels on land-use change, food supply and prices, and the overall economy in various countries or regions using a global computable general equilibrium model, augmented by a l...
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| Format: | Policy Research Working Paper |
| Language: | English |
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2012
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| Online Access: | http://www-wds.worldbank.org/external/default/main?menuPK=64187510&pagePK=64193027&piPK=64187937&theSitePK=523679&menuPK=64187510&searchMenuPK=64187283&siteName=WDS&entityID=000158349_20101230134933 http://hdl.handle.net/10986/3997 |
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okr-10986-3997 |
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oai_dc |
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Digital Repository |
| institution_category |
Foreign Institution |
| institution |
Digital Repositories |
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World Bank Open Knowledge Repository |
| collection |
World Bank |
| language |
English |
| topic |
ACREAGE AGRICULTURAL ACTIVITIES AGRICULTURAL COMMODITIES AGRICULTURAL COMMODITY AGRICULTURAL CROP AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS AGRICULTURAL EXPORTS AGRICULTURAL GOOD AGRICULTURAL IMPORTS AGRICULTURAL LAND AGRICULTURAL MARKETS AGRICULTURAL OUTPUT AGRICULTURAL POLICY AGRICULTURAL PRICE AGRICULTURAL PRICES AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL SECTOR AGRICULTURAL TRADE AGRICULTURE ANIMAL MANURE BARLEY BIO-DIESEL BIO-ETHANOL BIODIESEL BIODIVERSITY BIOENERGY BIOFUEL BIOFUEL INDUSTRY BIOFUEL PRODUCTION BIOFUEL USE BIOFUELS BIOFUELS INDUSTRY BIOFUELS PRODUCTION BIOMASS BIOMASS SECTORS CARBON TAX CEREALS CLIMATE CLIMATE CHANGE COARSE GRAINS CONSTRUCTION CORN CORN PRICES CROP CROP PRICES CROP PRODUCTION CROPLAND CROPLANDS CROPS DATES DEFORESTATION DOMESTIC MARKET ECOLOGICAL ZONES ENERGY CONSUMPTION ENERGY ECONOMICS ENERGY MARKETS ENERGY PRICE ENERGY PRICES ENERGY SUPPLY ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION ETHANOL MARKETS ETHANOL PRODUCTION ETHANOL PRODUCTIONS EXPORT EXPORTS FARM FARM INPUTS FARM SECTOR FARMING FEED FERTILIZER FIELD CROPS FOOD AVAILABILITY FOOD CONSUMPTION FOOD DEMAND FOOD GRAINS FOOD INDUSTRIES FOOD MARKETS FOOD PRICES FOOD PROCESSING FOOD PRODUCTION FOOD PRODUCTS FOOD SECURITY FOOD SUPPLY FOODS FOREST FOREST AREAS FOREST LAND FORESTRY FOSSIL ENERGY FOSSIL FUELS FREE TRADE FREE TRADE AGREEMENTS FRUIT FRUITS FUEL CONSUMPTION GAS DISTRIBUTION GASOLINE PRICES GAUGE GHG GRAIN GRAIN PRICES GRAINS GRAZING GREASE GREENHOUSE GAS GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS GREENHOUSE GASES GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT GROWTH IN AGRICULTURE IFPRI IMPORT DUTIES IMPORTS LAND AREA LAND REVENUE LAND USE LAND USES LANDUSE LIQUID FUEL LIQUID FUELS LIVESTOCK LIVESTOCK PRODUCTS LIVESTOCK SECTOR MITIGATION MOLASSES MONOCULTURE NATURAL GAS NATURAL RESOURCES OATS OIL PRICES OIL SEEDS OILSEED CROPS OILSEEDS PADDY PALM OIL PALM OIL PRODUCTION POPULATION GROWTH PRICE INCREASES PRICE INDEX PRICE LEVELS PRICE MOVEMENTS PRIMARY PRODUCTS PRODUCE PRODUCTIVITY GROWTH PROTEIN PROTEIN MEAL RAPESEED RAPESEED OIL RAPESEEDS RENEWABLE ENERGY RENEWABLE ENERGY SOURCES RENEWABLE FUEL RICE PRODUCTION SEEDS SOYBEAN SOYBEAN OIL SOYBEANS SPRING STRAW SUGAR SUGAR BEET SUGAR CANE SUGAR CROPS SUGAR PRICES SUGARCANE TARIFF RATE TRADE ASSOCIATION VEGETABLE OIL VEGETABLE OILS VEGETABLES VOLUME WETLANDS WHEAT WHEAT PRICES WOOD WOOD RESIDUES WORLD FOOD SUPPLY WORLD PRICES YIELDS |
| spellingShingle |
ACREAGE AGRICULTURAL ACTIVITIES AGRICULTURAL COMMODITIES AGRICULTURAL COMMODITY AGRICULTURAL CROP AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS AGRICULTURAL EXPORTS AGRICULTURAL GOOD AGRICULTURAL IMPORTS AGRICULTURAL LAND AGRICULTURAL MARKETS AGRICULTURAL OUTPUT AGRICULTURAL POLICY AGRICULTURAL PRICE AGRICULTURAL PRICES AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL SECTOR AGRICULTURAL TRADE AGRICULTURE ANIMAL MANURE BARLEY BIO-DIESEL BIO-ETHANOL BIODIESEL BIODIVERSITY BIOENERGY BIOFUEL BIOFUEL INDUSTRY BIOFUEL PRODUCTION BIOFUEL USE BIOFUELS BIOFUELS INDUSTRY BIOFUELS PRODUCTION BIOMASS BIOMASS SECTORS CARBON TAX CEREALS CLIMATE CLIMATE CHANGE COARSE GRAINS CONSTRUCTION CORN CORN PRICES CROP CROP PRICES CROP PRODUCTION CROPLAND CROPLANDS CROPS DATES DEFORESTATION DOMESTIC MARKET ECOLOGICAL ZONES ENERGY CONSUMPTION ENERGY ECONOMICS ENERGY MARKETS ENERGY PRICE ENERGY PRICES ENERGY SUPPLY ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION ETHANOL MARKETS ETHANOL PRODUCTION ETHANOL PRODUCTIONS EXPORT EXPORTS FARM FARM INPUTS FARM SECTOR FARMING FEED FERTILIZER FIELD CROPS FOOD AVAILABILITY FOOD CONSUMPTION FOOD DEMAND FOOD GRAINS FOOD INDUSTRIES FOOD MARKETS FOOD PRICES FOOD PROCESSING FOOD PRODUCTION FOOD PRODUCTS FOOD SECURITY FOOD SUPPLY FOODS FOREST FOREST AREAS FOREST LAND FORESTRY FOSSIL ENERGY FOSSIL FUELS FREE TRADE FREE TRADE AGREEMENTS FRUIT FRUITS FUEL CONSUMPTION GAS DISTRIBUTION GASOLINE PRICES GAUGE GHG GRAIN GRAIN PRICES GRAINS GRAZING GREASE GREENHOUSE GAS GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS GREENHOUSE GASES GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT GROWTH IN AGRICULTURE IFPRI IMPORT DUTIES IMPORTS LAND AREA LAND REVENUE LAND USE LAND USES LANDUSE LIQUID FUEL LIQUID FUELS LIVESTOCK LIVESTOCK PRODUCTS LIVESTOCK SECTOR MITIGATION MOLASSES MONOCULTURE NATURAL GAS NATURAL RESOURCES OATS OIL PRICES OIL SEEDS OILSEED CROPS OILSEEDS PADDY PALM OIL PALM OIL PRODUCTION POPULATION GROWTH PRICE INCREASES PRICE INDEX PRICE LEVELS PRICE MOVEMENTS PRIMARY PRODUCTS PRODUCE PRODUCTIVITY GROWTH PROTEIN PROTEIN MEAL RAPESEED RAPESEED OIL RAPESEEDS RENEWABLE ENERGY RENEWABLE ENERGY SOURCES RENEWABLE FUEL RICE PRODUCTION SEEDS SOYBEAN SOYBEAN OIL SOYBEANS SPRING STRAW SUGAR SUGAR BEET SUGAR CANE SUGAR CROPS SUGAR PRICES SUGARCANE TARIFF RATE TRADE ASSOCIATION VEGETABLE OIL VEGETABLE OILS VEGETABLES VOLUME WETLANDS WHEAT WHEAT PRICES WOOD WOOD RESIDUES WORLD FOOD SUPPLY WORLD PRICES YIELDS Timilsina, Govinda R. Beghin, John C. van der Mensbrugghe, Dominique Mevel, Simon The Impacts of Biofuel Targets on Land-Use Change and Food Supply : A Global CGE Assessment |
| geographic_facet |
The World Region The World Region |
| relation |
Paper is funded by the Knowledge for Change
Program (KCP),Policy Research working paper ; no. WPS 5513 |
| description |
This study analyzes the long-term
impacts of large-scale expansion of biofuels on land-use
change, food supply and prices, and the overall economy in
various countries or regions using a global computable
general equilibrium model, augmented by a land-use module
and detailed representation of biofuel sectors. The study
finds that an expansion of global biofuel production to meet
currently articulated or even higher national targets in
various countries for biofuel use would reduce gross
domestic product at the global level; however, the gross
domestic product impacts are mixed across countries or
regions. The expansion of biofuels would cause significant
land re-allocation with notable decreases in forest and
pasture lands in a few countries. The results also suggest
that the expansion of biofuels would cause a reduction in
food supply. Although the magnitude of the impact on food
supply at the global level is not as large as perceived
earlier, it would be significant in developing countries
like India and those in Sub-Saharan Africa. Agricultural
commodities such as sugar, corn, and oil seeds, which serve
as the main biofuel feedstocks, would experience significant
increases in their prices in 2020 compared with the prices
at baseline due to the expansion of biofuels to meet the
existing targets. |
| format |
Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper |
| author |
Timilsina, Govinda R. Beghin, John C. van der Mensbrugghe, Dominique Mevel, Simon |
| author_facet |
Timilsina, Govinda R. Beghin, John C. van der Mensbrugghe, Dominique Mevel, Simon |
| author_sort |
Timilsina, Govinda R. |
| title |
The Impacts of Biofuel Targets on Land-Use Change and Food Supply : A Global CGE Assessment |
| title_short |
The Impacts of Biofuel Targets on Land-Use Change and Food Supply : A Global CGE Assessment |
| title_full |
The Impacts of Biofuel Targets on Land-Use Change and Food Supply : A Global CGE Assessment |
| title_fullStr |
The Impacts of Biofuel Targets on Land-Use Change and Food Supply : A Global CGE Assessment |
| title_full_unstemmed |
The Impacts of Biofuel Targets on Land-Use Change and Food Supply : A Global CGE Assessment |
| title_sort |
impacts of biofuel targets on land-use change and food supply : a global cge assessment |
| publishDate |
2012 |
| url |
http://www-wds.worldbank.org/external/default/main?menuPK=64187510&pagePK=64193027&piPK=64187937&theSitePK=523679&menuPK=64187510&searchMenuPK=64187283&siteName=WDS&entityID=000158349_20101230134933 http://hdl.handle.net/10986/3997 |
| _version_ |
1764389406697848832 |
| spelling |
okr-10986-39972021-04-23T14:02:14Z The Impacts of Biofuel Targets on Land-Use Change and Food Supply : A Global CGE Assessment Timilsina, Govinda R. Beghin, John C. van der Mensbrugghe, Dominique Mevel, Simon ACREAGE AGRICULTURAL ACTIVITIES AGRICULTURAL COMMODITIES AGRICULTURAL COMMODITY AGRICULTURAL CROP AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS AGRICULTURAL EXPORTS AGRICULTURAL GOOD AGRICULTURAL IMPORTS AGRICULTURAL LAND AGRICULTURAL MARKETS AGRICULTURAL OUTPUT AGRICULTURAL POLICY AGRICULTURAL PRICE AGRICULTURAL PRICES AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL SECTOR AGRICULTURAL TRADE AGRICULTURE ANIMAL MANURE BARLEY BIO-DIESEL BIO-ETHANOL BIODIESEL BIODIVERSITY BIOENERGY BIOFUEL BIOFUEL INDUSTRY BIOFUEL PRODUCTION BIOFUEL USE BIOFUELS BIOFUELS INDUSTRY BIOFUELS PRODUCTION BIOMASS BIOMASS SECTORS CARBON TAX CEREALS CLIMATE CLIMATE CHANGE COARSE GRAINS CONSTRUCTION CORN CORN PRICES CROP CROP PRICES CROP PRODUCTION CROPLAND CROPLANDS CROPS DATES DEFORESTATION DOMESTIC MARKET ECOLOGICAL ZONES ENERGY CONSUMPTION ENERGY ECONOMICS ENERGY MARKETS ENERGY PRICE ENERGY PRICES ENERGY SUPPLY ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION ETHANOL MARKETS ETHANOL PRODUCTION ETHANOL PRODUCTIONS EXPORT EXPORTS FARM FARM INPUTS FARM SECTOR FARMING FEED FERTILIZER FIELD CROPS FOOD AVAILABILITY FOOD CONSUMPTION FOOD DEMAND FOOD GRAINS FOOD INDUSTRIES FOOD MARKETS FOOD PRICES FOOD PROCESSING FOOD PRODUCTION FOOD PRODUCTS FOOD SECURITY FOOD SUPPLY FOODS FOREST FOREST AREAS FOREST LAND FORESTRY FOSSIL ENERGY FOSSIL FUELS FREE TRADE FREE TRADE AGREEMENTS FRUIT FRUITS FUEL CONSUMPTION GAS DISTRIBUTION GASOLINE PRICES GAUGE GHG GRAIN GRAIN PRICES GRAINS GRAZING GREASE GREENHOUSE GAS GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS GREENHOUSE GASES GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT GROWTH IN AGRICULTURE IFPRI IMPORT DUTIES IMPORTS LAND AREA LAND REVENUE LAND USE LAND USES LANDUSE LIQUID FUEL LIQUID FUELS LIVESTOCK LIVESTOCK PRODUCTS LIVESTOCK SECTOR MITIGATION MOLASSES MONOCULTURE NATURAL GAS NATURAL RESOURCES OATS OIL PRICES OIL SEEDS OILSEED CROPS OILSEEDS PADDY PALM OIL PALM OIL PRODUCTION POPULATION GROWTH PRICE INCREASES PRICE INDEX PRICE LEVELS PRICE MOVEMENTS PRIMARY PRODUCTS PRODUCE PRODUCTIVITY GROWTH PROTEIN PROTEIN MEAL RAPESEED RAPESEED OIL RAPESEEDS RENEWABLE ENERGY RENEWABLE ENERGY SOURCES RENEWABLE FUEL RICE PRODUCTION SEEDS SOYBEAN SOYBEAN OIL SOYBEANS SPRING STRAW SUGAR SUGAR BEET SUGAR CANE SUGAR CROPS SUGAR PRICES SUGARCANE TARIFF RATE TRADE ASSOCIATION VEGETABLE OIL VEGETABLE OILS VEGETABLES VOLUME WETLANDS WHEAT WHEAT PRICES WOOD WOOD RESIDUES WORLD FOOD SUPPLY WORLD PRICES YIELDS This study analyzes the long-term impacts of large-scale expansion of biofuels on land-use change, food supply and prices, and the overall economy in various countries or regions using a global computable general equilibrium model, augmented by a land-use module and detailed representation of biofuel sectors. The study finds that an expansion of global biofuel production to meet currently articulated or even higher national targets in various countries for biofuel use would reduce gross domestic product at the global level; however, the gross domestic product impacts are mixed across countries or regions. The expansion of biofuels would cause significant land re-allocation with notable decreases in forest and pasture lands in a few countries. The results also suggest that the expansion of biofuels would cause a reduction in food supply. Although the magnitude of the impact on food supply at the global level is not as large as perceived earlier, it would be significant in developing countries like India and those in Sub-Saharan Africa. Agricultural commodities such as sugar, corn, and oil seeds, which serve as the main biofuel feedstocks, would experience significant increases in their prices in 2020 compared with the prices at baseline due to the expansion of biofuels to meet the existing targets. 2012-03-19T18:43:34Z 2012-03-19T18:43:34Z 2010-12-01 http://www-wds.worldbank.org/external/default/main?menuPK=64187510&pagePK=64193027&piPK=64187937&theSitePK=523679&menuPK=64187510&searchMenuPK=64187283&siteName=WDS&entityID=000158349_20101230134933 http://hdl.handle.net/10986/3997 English Paper is funded by the Knowledge for Change Program (KCP),Policy Research working paper ; no. WPS 5513 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/ World Bank Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper The World Region The World Region |