Zooming In : From Aggregate Volatility to Income Distribution

In contrast with a growing literature on the drivers of aggregate volatility in developing countries, its consequences in terms of individual incomes have received less attention. This paper looks at the impact of cyclical output fluctuations and e...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Calderón, César, Yeyati, Eduardo Levy
Format: Policy Research Working Paper
Language:English
Published: 2012
Subjects:
ATM
GDP
TAX
Online Access:http://www-wds.worldbank.org/external/default/main?menuPK=64187510&pagePK=64193027&piPK=64187937&theSitePK=523679&menuPK=64187510&searchMenuPK=64187283&siteName=WDS&entityID=000158349_20090406142645
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/4088
id okr-10986-4088
recordtype oai_dc
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
topic ADVERSE CONSEQUENCES
ADVERSE EFFECT
ADVERSE EFFECTS
AGGREGATE OUTPUT
AGGREGATE VOLATILITY
AMERICAN DEVELOPMENT BANK
AMERICAN ECONOMIC REVIEW
ANNUAL GROWTH
ANNUAL GROWTH RATE
ATM
AVERAGE ANNUAL
AVERAGE INEQUALITY
BALANCE OF PAYMENT
BAND-PASS FILTER
BOND
BUSINESS CYCLE
BUSINESS CYCLES
CALCULATION
CALCULATIONS
CENTRAL BANK
COMMODITY
COMMODITY PRICES
COUNTRY CHARACTERISTICS
CRISIS VOLATILITY
CURRENCY
CURRENT ACCOUNT
CURRENT ACCOUNT BALANCES
CURRENT EXPENDITURE
CURRENT INCOME
CYCLICAL FLUCTUATIONS
CYCLICAL VOLATILITY
DEBT CRISIS
DEPENDENT VARIABLE
DEPOSIT
DEPOSIT INSURANCE
DEVALUATION
DEVELOPED COUNTRIES
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
DEVELOPING ECONOMIES
DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS
DISTRIBUTION DATA
DISTRIBUTION OF INCOME
DISTRIBUTIONAL EFFECTS
DYNAMIC PANEL
ECONOMETRICS
ECONOMIC ACTIVITY
ECONOMIC CONTRACTION
ECONOMIC CRISES
ECONOMIC CRISIS
ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT
ECONOMIC DOWNTURN
ECONOMIC DOWNTURNS
ECONOMIC GROWTH
ECONOMIC INEQUALITY
ECONOMIC RECESSION
ECONOMIC SIZE
ECONOMIC STUDIES
ECONOMIC SURVEYS
EFFECT OF RECESSIONS
EFFECT OF VOLATILITY
EFFECTS OF VOLATILITY
EMERGING MARKET
EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE
EMPIRICAL STUDIES
EXCHANGE RATE
EXCHANGE RATE REGIME
EXCHANGE RATE REGIMES
EXCHANGE RATES
EXPLANATORY POWER
EXPORTS
EXPOSURE
EXTERNAL SHOCKS
FINANCIAL CRISES
FINANCIAL CRISIS
FINANCIAL DEPTH
FINANCIAL INSTRUMENTS
FINANCIAL INTEGRATION
FINANCIAL LIBERALIZATION
FINANCIAL SERVICES
FINANCIAL SYSTEM
FLEXIBLE EXCHANGE RATES
FLUCTUATIONS
FORECASTS
GDP
GDP PER CAPITA
GINI COEFFICIENT
GLOBALIZATION
GROWTH LITERATURE
GROWTH PRO-POOR
GROWTH RATE
GROWTH VOLATILITY
HIGH INCOME
HOUSEHOLD INCOME
HOUSEHOLD SIZE
HOUSEHOLD SPENDING
HUMAN CAPITAL
INCOME
INCOME DISTRIBUTION
INCOME EFFECT
INCOME INEQUALITY
INCOME LEVEL
INCOME LEVELS
INCOME QUINTILES
INCOME SHARE
INCOME SHOCKS
INCOMES
INDIVIDUAL INCOMES
INDUSTRIAL ECONOMIES
INEQUALITY LINK
INFLATION
INFLATION RATE
INSTRUMENTAL VARIABLE ESTIMATION
INSURANCE
INTEREST RATE
INTEREST RATES
INTERNATIONAL CAPITAL
LABOR DEMAND
LABOR FORCE
LABOR MARKET
LABOR MARKETS
LAGGED DEPENDENT
LAGGED INEQUALITY
LARGE FIRMS
LESS DEVELOPED COUNTRIES
LEVEL OF EDUCATION
LIBERALIZATION
LINK BETWEEN VOLATILITY
LIQUIDITY
LOCAL CURRENCY
LOW INCOME
LOW INCOME HOUSEHOLDS
LOW-INCOME
LOW-INCOME COUNTRIES
MACRO VOLATILITY
MACROECONOMIC ADJUSTMENT
MACROECONOMIC FLUCTUATIONS
MACROECONOMIC SHOCKS
MACROECONOMIC VOLATILITY
MARKET FAILURE
MARKET REGULATION
MEASURES OF VOLATILITY
MIDDLE INCOME
MIDDLE INCOME COUNTRIES
MIDDLE-INCOME ECONOMIES
MINIMUM WAGES
NEGATIVE EFFECT
NEGATIVE IMPACT
NEGATIVE LINK
NEGATIVE SHOCK
NEGATIVE SHOCKS
OPEN ECONOMIES
OUTPUT
OUTPUT PER CAPITA
OUTPUT VOLATILITY
PENSIONS
PER CAPITA INCOME
PERSONAL WEALTH
POLICY DESIGN
POLICY IMPLICATIONS
POLICY RESEARCH
POLITICAL ECONOMY
POOR HOUSEHOLDS
POSITIVE CORRELATION
POVERTY GAP
POVERTY HEADCOUNT
POVERTY LINE
PROPORTIONAL IMPACT
PUBLIC DEBT
PUBLIC EXPENDITURE
PUBLIC SECTOR
PUBLIC SPENDING
REAL ASSETS
REAL GDP
REAL GROWTH
REAL GROWTH RATE
REAL INCOME
REAL INTEREST RATE
REAL OUTPUT
REAL WAGES
RECESSIONS
REGRESSION ANALYSIS
RELATIVE INCOME
RESEARCH ASSISTANCE
RISK AVERSION
SAVERS
SAVINGS
SECONDARY ENROLLMENT
SECONDARY SCHOOL
SMALL COUNTRIES
SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
SOCIAL EXCLUSION
SOCIAL SAFETY
SOCIAL SAFETY NET
SOCIAL SAFETY NETS
SOCIAL SECURITY
SOCIAL SECURITY BENEFITS
SOCIAL WELFARE
STANDARD DEVIATION
STANDARD ERRORS
TAX
TERMINATION
TOTAL OUTPUT
TRADE OPENNESS
TRADE SHOCKS
TURNOVER
UNEMPLOYMENT
VALUE ADDED
VOLATILE ECONOMIES
VOLATILE ENVIRONMENTS
VOLATILITY COEFFICIENT
VOLATILITY MEASURES
VOLATILITY OF TERMS OF TRADE SHOCKS
WAGE
WAGES
WEALTH
WORLD DEVELOPMENT INDICATORS
WORTH
spellingShingle ADVERSE CONSEQUENCES
ADVERSE EFFECT
ADVERSE EFFECTS
AGGREGATE OUTPUT
AGGREGATE VOLATILITY
AMERICAN DEVELOPMENT BANK
AMERICAN ECONOMIC REVIEW
ANNUAL GROWTH
ANNUAL GROWTH RATE
ATM
AVERAGE ANNUAL
AVERAGE INEQUALITY
BALANCE OF PAYMENT
BAND-PASS FILTER
BOND
BUSINESS CYCLE
BUSINESS CYCLES
CALCULATION
CALCULATIONS
CENTRAL BANK
COMMODITY
COMMODITY PRICES
COUNTRY CHARACTERISTICS
CRISIS VOLATILITY
CURRENCY
CURRENT ACCOUNT
CURRENT ACCOUNT BALANCES
CURRENT EXPENDITURE
CURRENT INCOME
CYCLICAL FLUCTUATIONS
CYCLICAL VOLATILITY
DEBT CRISIS
DEPENDENT VARIABLE
DEPOSIT
DEPOSIT INSURANCE
DEVALUATION
DEVELOPED COUNTRIES
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
DEVELOPING ECONOMIES
DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS
DISTRIBUTION DATA
DISTRIBUTION OF INCOME
DISTRIBUTIONAL EFFECTS
DYNAMIC PANEL
ECONOMETRICS
ECONOMIC ACTIVITY
ECONOMIC CONTRACTION
ECONOMIC CRISES
ECONOMIC CRISIS
ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT
ECONOMIC DOWNTURN
ECONOMIC DOWNTURNS
ECONOMIC GROWTH
ECONOMIC INEQUALITY
ECONOMIC RECESSION
ECONOMIC SIZE
ECONOMIC STUDIES
ECONOMIC SURVEYS
EFFECT OF RECESSIONS
EFFECT OF VOLATILITY
EFFECTS OF VOLATILITY
EMERGING MARKET
EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE
EMPIRICAL STUDIES
EXCHANGE RATE
EXCHANGE RATE REGIME
EXCHANGE RATE REGIMES
EXCHANGE RATES
EXPLANATORY POWER
EXPORTS
EXPOSURE
EXTERNAL SHOCKS
FINANCIAL CRISES
FINANCIAL CRISIS
FINANCIAL DEPTH
FINANCIAL INSTRUMENTS
FINANCIAL INTEGRATION
FINANCIAL LIBERALIZATION
FINANCIAL SERVICES
FINANCIAL SYSTEM
FLEXIBLE EXCHANGE RATES
FLUCTUATIONS
FORECASTS
GDP
GDP PER CAPITA
GINI COEFFICIENT
GLOBALIZATION
GROWTH LITERATURE
GROWTH PRO-POOR
GROWTH RATE
GROWTH VOLATILITY
HIGH INCOME
HOUSEHOLD INCOME
HOUSEHOLD SIZE
HOUSEHOLD SPENDING
HUMAN CAPITAL
INCOME
INCOME DISTRIBUTION
INCOME EFFECT
INCOME INEQUALITY
INCOME LEVEL
INCOME LEVELS
INCOME QUINTILES
INCOME SHARE
INCOME SHOCKS
INCOMES
INDIVIDUAL INCOMES
INDUSTRIAL ECONOMIES
INEQUALITY LINK
INFLATION
INFLATION RATE
INSTRUMENTAL VARIABLE ESTIMATION
INSURANCE
INTEREST RATE
INTEREST RATES
INTERNATIONAL CAPITAL
LABOR DEMAND
LABOR FORCE
LABOR MARKET
LABOR MARKETS
LAGGED DEPENDENT
LAGGED INEQUALITY
LARGE FIRMS
LESS DEVELOPED COUNTRIES
LEVEL OF EDUCATION
LIBERALIZATION
LINK BETWEEN VOLATILITY
LIQUIDITY
LOCAL CURRENCY
LOW INCOME
LOW INCOME HOUSEHOLDS
LOW-INCOME
LOW-INCOME COUNTRIES
MACRO VOLATILITY
MACROECONOMIC ADJUSTMENT
MACROECONOMIC FLUCTUATIONS
MACROECONOMIC SHOCKS
MACROECONOMIC VOLATILITY
MARKET FAILURE
MARKET REGULATION
MEASURES OF VOLATILITY
MIDDLE INCOME
MIDDLE INCOME COUNTRIES
MIDDLE-INCOME ECONOMIES
MINIMUM WAGES
NEGATIVE EFFECT
NEGATIVE IMPACT
NEGATIVE LINK
NEGATIVE SHOCK
NEGATIVE SHOCKS
OPEN ECONOMIES
OUTPUT
OUTPUT PER CAPITA
OUTPUT VOLATILITY
PENSIONS
PER CAPITA INCOME
PERSONAL WEALTH
POLICY DESIGN
POLICY IMPLICATIONS
POLICY RESEARCH
POLITICAL ECONOMY
POOR HOUSEHOLDS
POSITIVE CORRELATION
POVERTY GAP
POVERTY HEADCOUNT
POVERTY LINE
PROPORTIONAL IMPACT
PUBLIC DEBT
PUBLIC EXPENDITURE
PUBLIC SECTOR
PUBLIC SPENDING
REAL ASSETS
REAL GDP
REAL GROWTH
REAL GROWTH RATE
REAL INCOME
REAL INTEREST RATE
REAL OUTPUT
REAL WAGES
RECESSIONS
REGRESSION ANALYSIS
RELATIVE INCOME
RESEARCH ASSISTANCE
RISK AVERSION
SAVERS
SAVINGS
SECONDARY ENROLLMENT
SECONDARY SCHOOL
SMALL COUNTRIES
SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
SOCIAL EXCLUSION
SOCIAL SAFETY
SOCIAL SAFETY NET
SOCIAL SAFETY NETS
SOCIAL SECURITY
SOCIAL SECURITY BENEFITS
SOCIAL WELFARE
STANDARD DEVIATION
STANDARD ERRORS
TAX
TERMINATION
TOTAL OUTPUT
TRADE OPENNESS
TRADE SHOCKS
TURNOVER
UNEMPLOYMENT
VALUE ADDED
VOLATILE ECONOMIES
VOLATILE ENVIRONMENTS
VOLATILITY COEFFICIENT
VOLATILITY MEASURES
VOLATILITY OF TERMS OF TRADE SHOCKS
WAGE
WAGES
WEALTH
WORLD DEVELOPMENT INDICATORS
WORTH
Calderón, César
Yeyati, Eduardo Levy
Zooming In : From Aggregate Volatility to Income Distribution
geographic_facet The World Region
The World Region
relation Policy Research working paper ; no. WPS 4895
description In contrast with a growing literature on the drivers of aggregate volatility in developing countries, its consequences in terms of individual incomes have received less attention. This paper looks at the impact of cyclical output fluctuations and extreme output events (crises) on unemployment, poverty, and inequality. The authors find robust evidence that aggregate volatility has a regressive, asymmetric, and non linear impact, as reflected in the strong influence of extreme output drops. The findings show that, in addition to the mitigating role of personal wealth, public expenditure and labor protection exert a similar benign effect. These findings are in line with the income substitutions view of social safety nets, and cast a new light on the value of social programs and labor market regulation in crisis prone developing countries.
format Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper
author Calderón, César
Yeyati, Eduardo Levy
author_facet Calderón, César
Yeyati, Eduardo Levy
author_sort Calderón, César
title Zooming In : From Aggregate Volatility to Income Distribution
title_short Zooming In : From Aggregate Volatility to Income Distribution
title_full Zooming In : From Aggregate Volatility to Income Distribution
title_fullStr Zooming In : From Aggregate Volatility to Income Distribution
title_full_unstemmed Zooming In : From Aggregate Volatility to Income Distribution
title_sort zooming in : from aggregate volatility to income distribution
publishDate 2012
url http://www-wds.worldbank.org/external/default/main?menuPK=64187510&pagePK=64193027&piPK=64187937&theSitePK=523679&menuPK=64187510&searchMenuPK=64187283&siteName=WDS&entityID=000158349_20090406142645
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/4088
_version_ 1764389861711675392
spelling okr-10986-40882021-04-23T14:02:15Z Zooming In : From Aggregate Volatility to Income Distribution Calderón, César Yeyati, Eduardo Levy ADVERSE CONSEQUENCES ADVERSE EFFECT ADVERSE EFFECTS AGGREGATE OUTPUT AGGREGATE VOLATILITY AMERICAN DEVELOPMENT BANK AMERICAN ECONOMIC REVIEW ANNUAL GROWTH ANNUAL GROWTH RATE ATM AVERAGE ANNUAL AVERAGE INEQUALITY BALANCE OF PAYMENT BAND-PASS FILTER BOND BUSINESS CYCLE BUSINESS CYCLES CALCULATION CALCULATIONS CENTRAL BANK COMMODITY COMMODITY PRICES COUNTRY CHARACTERISTICS CRISIS VOLATILITY CURRENCY CURRENT ACCOUNT CURRENT ACCOUNT BALANCES CURRENT EXPENDITURE CURRENT INCOME CYCLICAL FLUCTUATIONS CYCLICAL VOLATILITY DEBT CRISIS DEPENDENT VARIABLE DEPOSIT DEPOSIT INSURANCE DEVALUATION DEVELOPED COUNTRIES DEVELOPING COUNTRIES DEVELOPING ECONOMIES DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS DISTRIBUTION DATA DISTRIBUTION OF INCOME DISTRIBUTIONAL EFFECTS DYNAMIC PANEL ECONOMETRICS ECONOMIC ACTIVITY ECONOMIC CONTRACTION ECONOMIC CRISES ECONOMIC CRISIS ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT ECONOMIC DOWNTURN ECONOMIC DOWNTURNS ECONOMIC GROWTH ECONOMIC INEQUALITY ECONOMIC RECESSION ECONOMIC SIZE ECONOMIC STUDIES ECONOMIC SURVEYS EFFECT OF RECESSIONS EFFECT OF VOLATILITY EFFECTS OF VOLATILITY EMERGING MARKET EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE EMPIRICAL STUDIES EXCHANGE RATE EXCHANGE RATE REGIME EXCHANGE RATE REGIMES EXCHANGE RATES EXPLANATORY POWER EXPORTS EXPOSURE EXTERNAL SHOCKS FINANCIAL CRISES FINANCIAL CRISIS FINANCIAL DEPTH FINANCIAL INSTRUMENTS FINANCIAL INTEGRATION FINANCIAL LIBERALIZATION FINANCIAL SERVICES FINANCIAL SYSTEM FLEXIBLE EXCHANGE RATES FLUCTUATIONS FORECASTS GDP GDP PER CAPITA GINI COEFFICIENT GLOBALIZATION GROWTH LITERATURE GROWTH PRO-POOR GROWTH RATE GROWTH VOLATILITY HIGH INCOME HOUSEHOLD INCOME HOUSEHOLD SIZE HOUSEHOLD SPENDING HUMAN CAPITAL INCOME INCOME DISTRIBUTION INCOME EFFECT INCOME INEQUALITY INCOME LEVEL INCOME LEVELS INCOME QUINTILES INCOME SHARE INCOME SHOCKS INCOMES INDIVIDUAL INCOMES INDUSTRIAL ECONOMIES INEQUALITY LINK INFLATION INFLATION RATE INSTRUMENTAL VARIABLE ESTIMATION INSURANCE INTEREST RATE INTEREST RATES INTERNATIONAL CAPITAL LABOR DEMAND LABOR FORCE LABOR MARKET LABOR MARKETS LAGGED DEPENDENT LAGGED INEQUALITY LARGE FIRMS LESS DEVELOPED COUNTRIES LEVEL OF EDUCATION LIBERALIZATION LINK BETWEEN VOLATILITY LIQUIDITY LOCAL CURRENCY LOW INCOME LOW INCOME HOUSEHOLDS LOW-INCOME LOW-INCOME COUNTRIES MACRO VOLATILITY MACROECONOMIC ADJUSTMENT MACROECONOMIC FLUCTUATIONS MACROECONOMIC SHOCKS MACROECONOMIC VOLATILITY MARKET FAILURE MARKET REGULATION MEASURES OF VOLATILITY MIDDLE INCOME MIDDLE INCOME COUNTRIES MIDDLE-INCOME ECONOMIES MINIMUM WAGES NEGATIVE EFFECT NEGATIVE IMPACT NEGATIVE LINK NEGATIVE SHOCK NEGATIVE SHOCKS OPEN ECONOMIES OUTPUT OUTPUT PER CAPITA OUTPUT VOLATILITY PENSIONS PER CAPITA INCOME PERSONAL WEALTH POLICY DESIGN POLICY IMPLICATIONS POLICY RESEARCH POLITICAL ECONOMY POOR HOUSEHOLDS POSITIVE CORRELATION POVERTY GAP POVERTY HEADCOUNT POVERTY LINE PROPORTIONAL IMPACT PUBLIC DEBT PUBLIC EXPENDITURE PUBLIC SECTOR PUBLIC SPENDING REAL ASSETS REAL GDP REAL GROWTH REAL GROWTH RATE REAL INCOME REAL INTEREST RATE REAL OUTPUT REAL WAGES RECESSIONS REGRESSION ANALYSIS RELATIVE INCOME RESEARCH ASSISTANCE RISK AVERSION SAVERS SAVINGS SECONDARY ENROLLMENT SECONDARY SCHOOL SMALL COUNTRIES SOCIAL ASSISTANCE SOCIAL EXCLUSION SOCIAL SAFETY SOCIAL SAFETY NET SOCIAL SAFETY NETS SOCIAL SECURITY SOCIAL SECURITY BENEFITS SOCIAL WELFARE STANDARD DEVIATION STANDARD ERRORS TAX TERMINATION TOTAL OUTPUT TRADE OPENNESS TRADE SHOCKS TURNOVER UNEMPLOYMENT VALUE ADDED VOLATILE ECONOMIES VOLATILE ENVIRONMENTS VOLATILITY COEFFICIENT VOLATILITY MEASURES VOLATILITY OF TERMS OF TRADE SHOCKS WAGE WAGES WEALTH WORLD DEVELOPMENT INDICATORS WORTH In contrast with a growing literature on the drivers of aggregate volatility in developing countries, its consequences in terms of individual incomes have received less attention. This paper looks at the impact of cyclical output fluctuations and extreme output events (crises) on unemployment, poverty, and inequality. The authors find robust evidence that aggregate volatility has a regressive, asymmetric, and non linear impact, as reflected in the strong influence of extreme output drops. The findings show that, in addition to the mitigating role of personal wealth, public expenditure and labor protection exert a similar benign effect. These findings are in line with the income substitutions view of social safety nets, and cast a new light on the value of social programs and labor market regulation in crisis prone developing countries. 2012-03-19T19:09:46Z 2012-03-19T19:09:46Z 2009-04-01 http://www-wds.worldbank.org/external/default/main?menuPK=64187510&pagePK=64193027&piPK=64187937&theSitePK=523679&menuPK=64187510&searchMenuPK=64187283&siteName=WDS&entityID=000158349_20090406142645 http://hdl.handle.net/10986/4088 English Policy Research working paper ; no. WPS 4895 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/ World Bank Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper The World Region The World Region