AIDS and Dualism : Ethiopia’s Burden under Rational Expectations

An AIDS epidemic threatens Ethiopia with a long wave of premature adult mortality, and thus with an enduring setback to capital formation and economic growth. The authors develop a two-sector model with three overlapping generations and intersector...

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Main Authors:	Bell, Clive, Koukoumelis, Anastasios
Format:	Policy Research Working Paper
Language:	English
Published:	2012
Subjects:	ADULT ILLITERACY ADVERSE IMPACT AGGREGATE COSTS AGRICULTURAL ACTIVITIES AGRICULTURE AIDS EPIDEMIC AIDS PATIENTS ALGORITHM AVERAGE GROWTH BASE YEAR BENCHMARK BEQUESTS BRAIN DRAIN BUDGETARY SUPPORT BULLETIN CALCULATION CALCULATIONS CAPITAL ACCUMULATION CAPITAL FORMATION CAPITAL MARKETS CAPITAL STOCK CHILD LABOR CHILD LABOUR CHILD MORTALITY COMPLICATIONS CONDOM CONDOM PROMOTION CONSTANT RETURNS TO SCALE CONTRIBUTION CONTRIBUTIONS COSTS OF AIDS CURRENT INCOME DEMOGRAPHIC TRANSITION DEPENDENT CHILDREN DEPRECIATION DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS DEVELOPMENT STRATEGIES DIMINISHING RETURNS DISABILITY DISCOUNT RATE DUAL ECONOMY EARLY DEATH ECONOMIC AGENTS ECONOMIC COSTS ECONOMIC GROWTH ECONOMIC HISTORY ECONOMIC PERFORMANCE ECONOMIC REFORM EDUCATIONAL ATTAINMENT EDUCATIONAL ATTAINMENTS ELASTICITY ENDOGENOUS VARIABLES ENDOWMENTS ENROLLMENT ENROLLMENTS ENVIRONMENTAL ECONOMICS EXCESS MORTALITY EXCHANGE RATE EXOGENOUS VARIABLES EXPENDITURE EXPENDITURES EXTENDED FAMILY FACT SHEET FAMILIES FAMILY FARM FAMILY MEMBERS FAMILY STRUCTURE FARMERS FERTILITY LEVELS FERTILITY RATES FEWER CHILDREN FORECASTS FORM OF INVESTMENT FORMAL EDUCATION GDP GDP PER CAPITA GENDER GENDER INEQUALITY GROWTH RATE HEALTH CARE HEALTH CARE COSTS HEALTH-SECTOR HIV HOUSEHOLD POVERTY HOUSEHOLDS HUMAN CAPITAL HUMAN DEVELOPMENT IMPACT OF AIDS INCOME INFANT INFECTIONS INSURANCE INTERNAL MIGRATION INTERNATIONAL BANK INTERNATIONAL COMMUNITY INVENTORY INVESTMENT IN EDUCATION LABOR FORCE LABOR FORCE PARTICIPATION LABOR MARKET LABOR MARKETS LABOR SUPPLY LABOUR MARKET LEVEL OF EDUCATION LEVEL OF FERTILITY LEVELS OF CONSUMPTION LEVELS OF EDUCATION LEVELS OF FERTILITY LEVELS OF MORTALITY LIFE EXPECTANCY LIFETIME LIVING CONDITIONS LIVING STANDARDS LOWER FERTILITY MARGINAL PRODUCTIVITY MARKET INFORMATION MEDICAL CARE MIGRANTS MIGRATION FLOWS MINISTRY OF HEALTH MORTALITY RATE NATIONAL DEVELOPMENT NATURAL RESOURCE NUMBER OF CHILDREN NUMBER OF MIGRANTS OLD AGE OPPORTUNITY COSTS OPTIMIZATION ORPHANS PANDEMIC PARENTAL CARE PER CAPITA INCOMES PHYSICAL CAPITAL POLICY RESEARCH POLICY RESEARCH WORKING PAPER POPULATION DIVISION POPULATION GROWTH POPULATION MOVEMENTS POPULATION PRESSURE POPULATION RESEARCH POPULATION SIZE POPULATION STRUCTURE POPULATION STRUCTURES PREMATURE ADULT MORTALITY PREMATURE DEATH PRESENT VALUE PRESENT VALUES PREVENTION INTERVENTIONS PRIMARY EDUCATION PRIMARY SCHOOL PRIMARY SCHOOL AGE PROBABILITIES PROBABILITY PRODUCTIVITY PROFITABILITY PROGRESS PUBLIC GOOD PUBLIC INVESTMENT PUBLIC POLICY RATE OF GROWTH RATE OF TRANSMISSION RESPECT RURAL AREAS RURAL POPULATION SAFE BLOOD SUPPLY SAVINGS SAVINGS RATE SCHOOL ATTENDANCE SCHOOL-AGE CHILDREN SECONDARY EDUCATION SEX SEX WORKERS SEXUALLY ACTIVE SEXUALLY ACTIVE POPULATION SMALLHOLDERS SOCIAL AFFAIRS SOCIAL SCIENCE SOCIAL SCIENCE RESEARCH SOCIAL WELFARE SOIL EROSION SOURCES OF INCOME STOCKS SURVIVAL RATE TAX BURDEN TOTAL FACTOR PRODUCTIVITY UNEMPLOYED UNEMPLOYMENT UNION UNIONS URBAN AREAS URBAN DEVELOPMENT URBAN MIGRATION URBAN POPULATION URBANIZATION UTILITY FUNCTION VALUABLE VALUE ADDED VICTIMS VILLAGE VILLAGES WAGE WAGES WORKING AGE WORLD POPULATION YOUNG ADULT YOUNG ADULTHOOD YOUNG ADULTS YOUNG CHILDREN YOUNG COUPLE
Online Access:	http://www-wds.worldbank.org/external/default/main?menuPK=64187510&pagePK=64193027&piPK=64187937&theSitePK=523679&menuPK=64187510&searchMenuPK=64187283&siteName=WDS&entityID=000158349_20090429102946 http://hdl.handle.net/10986/4110

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institution	Digital Repositories
building	World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
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language	English
topic	ADULT ILLITERACY ADVERSE IMPACT AGGREGATE COSTS AGRICULTURAL ACTIVITIES AGRICULTURE AIDS EPIDEMIC AIDS PATIENTS ALGORITHM AVERAGE GROWTH BASE YEAR BENCHMARK BEQUESTS BRAIN DRAIN BUDGETARY SUPPORT BULLETIN CALCULATION CALCULATIONS CAPITAL ACCUMULATION CAPITAL FORMATION CAPITAL MARKETS CAPITAL STOCK CHILD LABOR CHILD LABOUR CHILD MORTALITY COMPLICATIONS CONDOM CONDOM PROMOTION CONSTANT RETURNS TO SCALE CONTRIBUTION CONTRIBUTIONS COSTS OF AIDS CURRENT INCOME DEMOGRAPHIC TRANSITION DEPENDENT CHILDREN DEPRECIATION DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS DEVELOPMENT STRATEGIES DIMINISHING RETURNS DISABILITY DISCOUNT RATE DUAL ECONOMY EARLY DEATH ECONOMIC AGENTS ECONOMIC COSTS ECONOMIC GROWTH ECONOMIC HISTORY ECONOMIC PERFORMANCE ECONOMIC REFORM EDUCATIONAL ATTAINMENT EDUCATIONAL ATTAINMENTS ELASTICITY ENDOGENOUS VARIABLES ENDOWMENTS ENROLLMENT ENROLLMENTS ENVIRONMENTAL ECONOMICS EXCESS MORTALITY EXCHANGE RATE EXOGENOUS VARIABLES EXPENDITURE EXPENDITURES EXTENDED FAMILY FACT SHEET FAMILIES FAMILY FARM FAMILY MEMBERS FAMILY STRUCTURE FARMERS FERTILITY LEVELS FERTILITY RATES FEWER CHILDREN FORECASTS FORM OF INVESTMENT FORMAL EDUCATION GDP GDP PER CAPITA GENDER GENDER INEQUALITY GROWTH RATE HEALTH CARE HEALTH CARE COSTS HEALTH-SECTOR HIV HOUSEHOLD POVERTY HOUSEHOLDS HUMAN CAPITAL HUMAN DEVELOPMENT IMPACT OF AIDS INCOME INFANT INFECTIONS INSURANCE INTERNAL MIGRATION INTERNATIONAL BANK INTERNATIONAL COMMUNITY INVENTORY INVESTMENT IN EDUCATION LABOR FORCE LABOR FORCE PARTICIPATION LABOR MARKET LABOR MARKETS LABOR SUPPLY LABOUR MARKET LEVEL OF EDUCATION LEVEL OF FERTILITY LEVELS OF CONSUMPTION LEVELS OF EDUCATION LEVELS OF FERTILITY LEVELS OF MORTALITY LIFE EXPECTANCY LIFETIME LIVING CONDITIONS LIVING STANDARDS LOWER FERTILITY MARGINAL PRODUCTIVITY MARKET INFORMATION MEDICAL CARE MIGRANTS MIGRATION FLOWS MINISTRY OF HEALTH MORTALITY RATE NATIONAL DEVELOPMENT NATURAL RESOURCE NUMBER OF CHILDREN NUMBER OF MIGRANTS OLD AGE OPPORTUNITY COSTS OPTIMIZATION ORPHANS PANDEMIC PARENTAL CARE PER CAPITA INCOMES PHYSICAL CAPITAL POLICY RESEARCH POLICY RESEARCH WORKING PAPER POPULATION DIVISION POPULATION GROWTH POPULATION MOVEMENTS POPULATION PRESSURE POPULATION RESEARCH POPULATION SIZE POPULATION STRUCTURE POPULATION STRUCTURES PREMATURE ADULT MORTALITY PREMATURE DEATH PRESENT VALUE PRESENT VALUES PREVENTION INTERVENTIONS PRIMARY EDUCATION PRIMARY SCHOOL PRIMARY SCHOOL AGE PROBABILITIES PROBABILITY PRODUCTIVITY PROFITABILITY PROGRESS PUBLIC GOOD PUBLIC INVESTMENT PUBLIC POLICY RATE OF GROWTH RATE OF TRANSMISSION RESPECT RURAL AREAS RURAL POPULATION SAFE BLOOD SUPPLY SAVINGS SAVINGS RATE SCHOOL ATTENDANCE SCHOOL-AGE CHILDREN SECONDARY EDUCATION SEX SEX WORKERS SEXUALLY ACTIVE SEXUALLY ACTIVE POPULATION SMALLHOLDERS SOCIAL AFFAIRS SOCIAL SCIENCE SOCIAL SCIENCE RESEARCH SOCIAL WELFARE SOIL EROSION SOURCES OF INCOME STOCKS SURVIVAL RATE TAX BURDEN TOTAL FACTOR PRODUCTIVITY UNEMPLOYED UNEMPLOYMENT UNION UNIONS URBAN AREAS URBAN DEVELOPMENT URBAN MIGRATION URBAN POPULATION URBANIZATION UTILITY FUNCTION VALUABLE VALUE ADDED VICTIMS VILLAGE VILLAGES WAGE WAGES WORKING AGE WORLD POPULATION YOUNG ADULT YOUNG ADULTHOOD YOUNG ADULTS YOUNG CHILDREN YOUNG COUPLE
spellingShingle	ADULT ILLITERACY ADVERSE IMPACT AGGREGATE COSTS AGRICULTURAL ACTIVITIES AGRICULTURE AIDS EPIDEMIC AIDS PATIENTS ALGORITHM AVERAGE GROWTH BASE YEAR BENCHMARK BEQUESTS BRAIN DRAIN BUDGETARY SUPPORT BULLETIN CALCULATION CALCULATIONS CAPITAL ACCUMULATION CAPITAL FORMATION CAPITAL MARKETS CAPITAL STOCK CHILD LABOR CHILD LABOUR CHILD MORTALITY COMPLICATIONS CONDOM CONDOM PROMOTION CONSTANT RETURNS TO SCALE CONTRIBUTION CONTRIBUTIONS COSTS OF AIDS CURRENT INCOME DEMOGRAPHIC TRANSITION DEPENDENT CHILDREN DEPRECIATION DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS DEVELOPMENT STRATEGIES DIMINISHING RETURNS DISABILITY DISCOUNT RATE DUAL ECONOMY EARLY DEATH ECONOMIC AGENTS ECONOMIC COSTS ECONOMIC GROWTH ECONOMIC HISTORY ECONOMIC PERFORMANCE ECONOMIC REFORM EDUCATIONAL ATTAINMENT EDUCATIONAL ATTAINMENTS ELASTICITY ENDOGENOUS VARIABLES ENDOWMENTS ENROLLMENT ENROLLMENTS ENVIRONMENTAL ECONOMICS EXCESS MORTALITY EXCHANGE RATE EXOGENOUS VARIABLES EXPENDITURE EXPENDITURES EXTENDED FAMILY FACT SHEET FAMILIES FAMILY FARM FAMILY MEMBERS FAMILY STRUCTURE FARMERS FERTILITY LEVELS FERTILITY RATES FEWER CHILDREN FORECASTS FORM OF INVESTMENT FORMAL EDUCATION GDP GDP PER CAPITA GENDER GENDER INEQUALITY GROWTH RATE HEALTH CARE HEALTH CARE COSTS HEALTH-SECTOR HIV HOUSEHOLD POVERTY HOUSEHOLDS HUMAN CAPITAL HUMAN DEVELOPMENT IMPACT OF AIDS INCOME INFANT INFECTIONS INSURANCE INTERNAL MIGRATION INTERNATIONAL BANK INTERNATIONAL COMMUNITY INVENTORY INVESTMENT IN EDUCATION LABOR FORCE LABOR FORCE PARTICIPATION LABOR MARKET LABOR MARKETS LABOR SUPPLY LABOUR MARKET LEVEL OF EDUCATION LEVEL OF FERTILITY LEVELS OF CONSUMPTION LEVELS OF EDUCATION LEVELS OF FERTILITY LEVELS OF MORTALITY LIFE EXPECTANCY LIFETIME LIVING CONDITIONS LIVING STANDARDS LOWER FERTILITY MARGINAL PRODUCTIVITY MARKET INFORMATION MEDICAL CARE MIGRANTS MIGRATION FLOWS MINISTRY OF HEALTH MORTALITY RATE NATIONAL DEVELOPMENT NATURAL RESOURCE NUMBER OF CHILDREN NUMBER OF MIGRANTS OLD AGE OPPORTUNITY COSTS OPTIMIZATION ORPHANS PANDEMIC PARENTAL CARE PER CAPITA INCOMES PHYSICAL CAPITAL POLICY RESEARCH POLICY RESEARCH WORKING PAPER POPULATION DIVISION POPULATION GROWTH POPULATION MOVEMENTS POPULATION PRESSURE POPULATION RESEARCH POPULATION SIZE POPULATION STRUCTURE POPULATION STRUCTURES PREMATURE ADULT MORTALITY PREMATURE DEATH PRESENT VALUE PRESENT VALUES PREVENTION INTERVENTIONS PRIMARY EDUCATION PRIMARY SCHOOL PRIMARY SCHOOL AGE PROBABILITIES PROBABILITY PRODUCTIVITY PROFITABILITY PROGRESS PUBLIC GOOD PUBLIC INVESTMENT PUBLIC POLICY RATE OF GROWTH RATE OF TRANSMISSION RESPECT RURAL AREAS RURAL POPULATION SAFE BLOOD SUPPLY SAVINGS SAVINGS RATE SCHOOL ATTENDANCE SCHOOL-AGE CHILDREN SECONDARY EDUCATION SEX SEX WORKERS SEXUALLY ACTIVE SEXUALLY ACTIVE POPULATION SMALLHOLDERS SOCIAL AFFAIRS SOCIAL SCIENCE SOCIAL SCIENCE RESEARCH SOCIAL WELFARE SOIL EROSION SOURCES OF INCOME STOCKS SURVIVAL RATE TAX BURDEN TOTAL FACTOR PRODUCTIVITY UNEMPLOYED UNEMPLOYMENT UNION UNIONS URBAN AREAS URBAN DEVELOPMENT URBAN MIGRATION URBAN POPULATION URBANIZATION UTILITY FUNCTION VALUABLE VALUE ADDED VICTIMS VILLAGE VILLAGES WAGE WAGES WORKING AGE WORLD POPULATION YOUNG ADULT YOUNG ADULTHOOD YOUNG ADULTS YOUNG CHILDREN YOUNG COUPLE Bell, Clive Koukoumelis, Anastasios AIDS and Dualism : Ethiopia’s Burden under Rational Expectations
geographic_facet	Africa Africa Sub-Saharan Africa East Africa Ethiopia
relation	Policy Research working paper ; no. WPS 4919
description	An AIDS epidemic threatens Ethiopia with a long wave of premature adult mortality, and thus with an enduring setback to capital formation and economic growth. The authors develop a two-sector model with three overlapping generations and intersectorally mobile labor, in which young adults allocate resources under rational expectations. They calibrate the model to the demographic and economic data, and perform simulations for the period ending in 2100 under alternative assumptions about mortality with and without the epidemic. Although the epidemic does not bring about a catastrophic economic collapse, which is hardly possible in view of Ethiopia's poverty and high background adult mortality, it does cause a permanent, downward displacement of the path of output per head, amounting to 10 percent in 2100. An externally funded program to combat the disease is socially very profitable.
format	Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper
author	Bell, Clive Koukoumelis, Anastasios
author_facet	Bell, Clive Koukoumelis, Anastasios
author_sort	Bell, Clive
title	AIDS and Dualism : Ethiopia’s Burden under Rational Expectations
title_short	AIDS and Dualism : Ethiopia’s Burden under Rational Expectations
title_full	AIDS and Dualism : Ethiopia’s Burden under Rational Expectations
title_fullStr	AIDS and Dualism : Ethiopia’s Burden under Rational Expectations
title_full_unstemmed	AIDS and Dualism : Ethiopia’s Burden under Rational Expectations
title_sort	aids and dualism : ethiopia’s burden under rational expectations
publishDate	2012
url	http://www-wds.worldbank.org/external/default/main?menuPK=64187510&pagePK=64193027&piPK=64187937&theSitePK=523679&menuPK=64187510&searchMenuPK=64187283&siteName=WDS&entityID=000158349_20090429102946 http://hdl.handle.net/10986/4110
_version_	1764389962338271232
spelling	okr-10986-41102021-04-23T14:02:15Z AIDS and Dualism : Ethiopia’s Burden under Rational Expectations Bell, Clive Koukoumelis, Anastasios ADULT ILLITERACY ADVERSE IMPACT AGGREGATE COSTS AGRICULTURAL ACTIVITIES AGRICULTURE AIDS EPIDEMIC AIDS PATIENTS ALGORITHM AVERAGE GROWTH BASE YEAR BENCHMARK BEQUESTS BRAIN DRAIN BUDGETARY SUPPORT BULLETIN CALCULATION CALCULATIONS CAPITAL ACCUMULATION CAPITAL FORMATION CAPITAL MARKETS CAPITAL STOCK CHILD LABOR CHILD LABOUR CHILD MORTALITY COMPLICATIONS CONDOM CONDOM PROMOTION CONSTANT RETURNS TO SCALE CONTRIBUTION CONTRIBUTIONS COSTS OF AIDS CURRENT INCOME DEMOGRAPHIC TRANSITION DEPENDENT CHILDREN DEPRECIATION DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS DEVELOPMENT STRATEGIES DIMINISHING RETURNS DISABILITY DISCOUNT RATE DUAL ECONOMY EARLY DEATH ECONOMIC AGENTS ECONOMIC COSTS ECONOMIC GROWTH ECONOMIC HISTORY ECONOMIC PERFORMANCE ECONOMIC REFORM EDUCATIONAL ATTAINMENT EDUCATIONAL ATTAINMENTS ELASTICITY ENDOGENOUS VARIABLES ENDOWMENTS ENROLLMENT ENROLLMENTS ENVIRONMENTAL ECONOMICS EXCESS MORTALITY EXCHANGE RATE EXOGENOUS VARIABLES EXPENDITURE EXPENDITURES EXTENDED FAMILY FACT SHEET FAMILIES FAMILY FARM FAMILY MEMBERS FAMILY STRUCTURE FARMERS FERTILITY LEVELS FERTILITY RATES FEWER CHILDREN FORECASTS FORM OF INVESTMENT FORMAL EDUCATION GDP GDP PER CAPITA GENDER GENDER INEQUALITY GROWTH RATE HEALTH CARE HEALTH CARE COSTS HEALTH-SECTOR HIV HOUSEHOLD POVERTY HOUSEHOLDS HUMAN CAPITAL HUMAN DEVELOPMENT IMPACT OF AIDS INCOME INFANT INFECTIONS INSURANCE INTERNAL MIGRATION INTERNATIONAL BANK INTERNATIONAL COMMUNITY INVENTORY INVESTMENT IN EDUCATION LABOR FORCE LABOR FORCE PARTICIPATION LABOR MARKET LABOR MARKETS LABOR SUPPLY LABOUR MARKET LEVEL OF EDUCATION LEVEL OF FERTILITY LEVELS OF CONSUMPTION LEVELS OF EDUCATION LEVELS OF FERTILITY LEVELS OF MORTALITY LIFE EXPECTANCY LIFETIME LIVING CONDITIONS LIVING STANDARDS LOWER FERTILITY MARGINAL PRODUCTIVITY MARKET INFORMATION MEDICAL CARE MIGRANTS MIGRATION FLOWS MINISTRY OF HEALTH MORTALITY RATE NATIONAL DEVELOPMENT NATURAL RESOURCE NUMBER OF CHILDREN NUMBER OF MIGRANTS OLD AGE OPPORTUNITY COSTS OPTIMIZATION ORPHANS PANDEMIC PARENTAL CARE PER CAPITA INCOMES PHYSICAL CAPITAL POLICY RESEARCH POLICY RESEARCH WORKING PAPER POPULATION DIVISION POPULATION GROWTH POPULATION MOVEMENTS POPULATION PRESSURE POPULATION RESEARCH POPULATION SIZE POPULATION STRUCTURE POPULATION STRUCTURES PREMATURE ADULT MORTALITY PREMATURE DEATH PRESENT VALUE PRESENT VALUES PREVENTION INTERVENTIONS PRIMARY EDUCATION PRIMARY SCHOOL PRIMARY SCHOOL AGE PROBABILITIES PROBABILITY PRODUCTIVITY PROFITABILITY PROGRESS PUBLIC GOOD PUBLIC INVESTMENT PUBLIC POLICY RATE OF GROWTH RATE OF TRANSMISSION RESPECT RURAL AREAS RURAL POPULATION SAFE BLOOD SUPPLY SAVINGS SAVINGS RATE SCHOOL ATTENDANCE SCHOOL-AGE CHILDREN SECONDARY EDUCATION SEX SEX WORKERS SEXUALLY ACTIVE SEXUALLY ACTIVE POPULATION SMALLHOLDERS SOCIAL AFFAIRS SOCIAL SCIENCE SOCIAL SCIENCE RESEARCH SOCIAL WELFARE SOIL EROSION SOURCES OF INCOME STOCKS SURVIVAL RATE TAX BURDEN TOTAL FACTOR PRODUCTIVITY UNEMPLOYED UNEMPLOYMENT UNION UNIONS URBAN AREAS URBAN DEVELOPMENT URBAN MIGRATION URBAN POPULATION URBANIZATION UTILITY FUNCTION VALUABLE VALUE ADDED VICTIMS VILLAGE VILLAGES WAGE WAGES WORKING AGE WORLD POPULATION YOUNG ADULT YOUNG ADULTHOOD YOUNG ADULTS YOUNG CHILDREN YOUNG COUPLE An AIDS epidemic threatens Ethiopia with a long wave of premature adult mortality, and thus with an enduring setback to capital formation and economic growth. The authors develop a two-sector model with three overlapping generations and intersectorally mobile labor, in which young adults allocate resources under rational expectations. They calibrate the model to the demographic and economic data, and perform simulations for the period ending in 2100 under alternative assumptions about mortality with and without the epidemic. Although the epidemic does not bring about a catastrophic economic collapse, which is hardly possible in view of Ethiopia's poverty and high background adult mortality, it does cause a permanent, downward displacement of the path of output per head, amounting to 10 percent in 2100. An externally funded program to combat the disease is socially very profitable. 2012-03-19T19:10:09Z 2012-03-19T19:10:09Z 2009-04-01 http://www-wds.worldbank.org/external/default/main?menuPK=64187510&pagePK=64193027&piPK=64187937&theSitePK=523679&menuPK=64187510&searchMenuPK=64187283&siteName=WDS&entityID=000158349_20090429102946 http://hdl.handle.net/10986/4110 English Policy Research working paper ; no. WPS 4919 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/ World Bank Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper Africa Africa Sub-Saharan Africa East Africa Ethiopia

AIDS and Dualism : Ethiopia’s Burden under Rational Expectations

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