Social Impacts of Climate Change in Peru : A District Level Analysis of the Effects of Recent and Future Climate Change on Human Development and Inequality

This paper uses district level data to estimate the general relationship between climate, income and life expectancy in Peru. The analysis finds that both incomes and life expectancy show hump-shaped relationships, with optimal average annual tempe...

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Main Authors: Andersen, Lykke E., Suxo, Addy, Verner, Dorte
Format: Policy Research Working Paper
Language:English
Published: 2012
Subjects:
CO2
Online Access:http://www-wds.worldbank.org/external/default/main?menuPK=64187510&pagePK=64193027&piPK=64187937&theSitePK=523679&menuPK=64187510&searchMenuPK=64187283&siteName=WDS&entityID=000158349_20091026084634
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/4283
id okr-10986-4283
recordtype oai_dc
spelling okr-10986-42832021-04-23T14:02:16Z Social Impacts of Climate Change in Peru : A District Level Analysis of the Effects of Recent and Future Climate Change on Human Development and Inequality Andersen, Lykke E. Suxo, Addy Verner, Dorte ADULT POPULATION AGGREGATE LEVEL ALTITUDE ANNUAL PRECIPITATION ATMOSPHERE ATMOSPHERE-OCEAN GENERAL CIRCULATION ATMOSPHERIC CLIMATE CARBON CARBON EMISSIONS CLIMATE CLIMATE CHANGES CLIMATE DATA CLIMATE IMPACTS CLIMATE MODELS CLIMATE RESEARCH CLIMATES CLIMATIC DATA CLIMATIC RESEARCH CO2 COSTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE DAILY TEMPERATURE DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS ECONOMIC DATA ECONOMIC GROWTH EFFECT OF TEMPERATURE EMISSION EMISSION ABATEMENT ENVIRONMENTAL DEGRADATION EVAPORATION EXCESSIVE RAINFALL EXTREME EVENTS FINANCIAL SUPPORT FUTURE CLIMATE CHANGE GLOBAL CLIMATE GLOBAL CLIMATE OBSERVING SYSTEM GLOBAL TEMPERATURES GLOBAL WARMING HUMAN DEVELOPMENT IMPACTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE INCOME INCOME DISTRIBUTION INTERGOVERNMENTAL PANEL ON CLIMATE CHANGE INTERNAL MIGRATION IPCC LAND USE LIFE EXPECTANCY LOCAL AUTHORITIES MALARIA MELTING GLACIERS METEOROLOGICAL DATA METEOROLOGICAL STATIONS MORTALITY NATIONAL LEVEL OCEAN CURRENTS OCEAN TEMPERATURES PER CAPITA INCOME POLICY RESEARCH POLICY RESEARCH WORKING PAPER POPULATION SIZE PRECIPITATION PRECIPITATION ANOMALIES PROGRESS RAIN RAINFALL DATA RAINFOREST REGIONAL CLIMATE REGIONAL CLIMATE PROJECTIONS RESOURCE ECONOMICS SCENARIOS SCIENTIFIC EVIDENCE SEA LEVEL SEA-LEVEL SOCIAL DEVELOPMENT SPATIAL DISTRIBUTION SURFACE CLIMATE SURFACE TEMPERATURE SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT TEMPERATURE TEMPERATURE ANOMALIES TEMPERATURE ANOMALY TEMPERATURE CHANGE TEMPERATURE CHANGES TEMPERATURE DATA TEMPERATURE INCREASES TEMPERATURE RANGE TEMPERATURE RECONSTRUCTION TEMPERATURE VARIATIONS TEMPERATURES URBAN AREAS URBANIZATION VULNERABILITY VULNERABILITY TO CLIMATE CHANGE WATER MANAGEMENT WATER SUPPLIES WEATHER This paper uses district level data to estimate the general relationship between climate, income and life expectancy in Peru. The analysis finds that both incomes and life expectancy show hump-shaped relationships, with optimal average annual temperatures around 18-20ºC. These estimated relationships were used to simulate the likely effects of both past (1958-2008) and future (2008-2058) climate change. At the aggregate level, future climate change in Peru is estimated to cause a small reduction in average life expectancy of about 0.2 years. This average, however, hides much larger losses in the already hot areas as well as substantial gains in currently cold areas. Similarly, the average impact on incomes is a modest reduction of 2.3 percent, but with some districts experiencing losses of up to 20 percent and others gains of up to 13 percent. Future climate change is estimated to cause an increase in poverty (all other things equal), but to have no significant effect on the distribution of incomes. 2012-03-19T19:13:14Z 2012-03-19T19:13:14Z 2009-10-01 http://www-wds.worldbank.org/external/default/main?menuPK=64187510&pagePK=64193027&piPK=64187937&theSitePK=523679&menuPK=64187510&searchMenuPK=64187283&siteName=WDS&entityID=000158349_20091026084634 http://hdl.handle.net/10986/4283 English Policy Research working paper ; no. WPS 5091 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/ World Bank Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper Latin America & Caribbean Latin America & Caribbean South America America Peru
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
topic ADULT POPULATION
AGGREGATE LEVEL
ALTITUDE
ANNUAL PRECIPITATION
ATMOSPHERE
ATMOSPHERE-OCEAN GENERAL CIRCULATION
ATMOSPHERIC CLIMATE
CARBON
CARBON EMISSIONS
CLIMATE
CLIMATE CHANGES
CLIMATE DATA
CLIMATE IMPACTS
CLIMATE MODELS
CLIMATE RESEARCH
CLIMATES
CLIMATIC DATA
CLIMATIC RESEARCH
CO2
COSTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE
DAILY TEMPERATURE
DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS
ECONOMIC DATA
ECONOMIC GROWTH
EFFECT OF TEMPERATURE
EMISSION
EMISSION ABATEMENT
ENVIRONMENTAL DEGRADATION
EVAPORATION
EXCESSIVE RAINFALL
EXTREME EVENTS
FINANCIAL SUPPORT
FUTURE CLIMATE CHANGE
GLOBAL CLIMATE
GLOBAL CLIMATE OBSERVING SYSTEM
GLOBAL TEMPERATURES
GLOBAL WARMING
HUMAN DEVELOPMENT
IMPACTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE
INCOME
INCOME DISTRIBUTION
INTERGOVERNMENTAL PANEL ON CLIMATE CHANGE
INTERNAL MIGRATION
IPCC
LAND USE
LIFE EXPECTANCY
LOCAL AUTHORITIES
MALARIA
MELTING GLACIERS
METEOROLOGICAL DATA
METEOROLOGICAL STATIONS
MORTALITY
NATIONAL LEVEL
OCEAN CURRENTS
OCEAN TEMPERATURES
PER CAPITA INCOME
POLICY RESEARCH
POLICY RESEARCH WORKING PAPER
POPULATION SIZE
PRECIPITATION
PRECIPITATION ANOMALIES
PROGRESS
RAIN
RAINFALL DATA
RAINFOREST
REGIONAL CLIMATE
REGIONAL CLIMATE PROJECTIONS
RESOURCE ECONOMICS
SCENARIOS
SCIENTIFIC EVIDENCE
SEA LEVEL
SEA-LEVEL
SOCIAL DEVELOPMENT
SPATIAL DISTRIBUTION
SURFACE CLIMATE
SURFACE TEMPERATURE
SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT
TEMPERATURE
TEMPERATURE ANOMALIES
TEMPERATURE ANOMALY
TEMPERATURE CHANGE
TEMPERATURE CHANGES
TEMPERATURE DATA
TEMPERATURE INCREASES
TEMPERATURE RANGE
TEMPERATURE RECONSTRUCTION
TEMPERATURE VARIATIONS
TEMPERATURES
URBAN AREAS
URBANIZATION
VULNERABILITY
VULNERABILITY TO CLIMATE CHANGE
WATER MANAGEMENT
WATER SUPPLIES
WEATHER
spellingShingle ADULT POPULATION
AGGREGATE LEVEL
ALTITUDE
ANNUAL PRECIPITATION
ATMOSPHERE
ATMOSPHERE-OCEAN GENERAL CIRCULATION
ATMOSPHERIC CLIMATE
CARBON
CARBON EMISSIONS
CLIMATE
CLIMATE CHANGES
CLIMATE DATA
CLIMATE IMPACTS
CLIMATE MODELS
CLIMATE RESEARCH
CLIMATES
CLIMATIC DATA
CLIMATIC RESEARCH
CO2
COSTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE
DAILY TEMPERATURE
DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS
ECONOMIC DATA
ECONOMIC GROWTH
EFFECT OF TEMPERATURE
EMISSION
EMISSION ABATEMENT
ENVIRONMENTAL DEGRADATION
EVAPORATION
EXCESSIVE RAINFALL
EXTREME EVENTS
FINANCIAL SUPPORT
FUTURE CLIMATE CHANGE
GLOBAL CLIMATE
GLOBAL CLIMATE OBSERVING SYSTEM
GLOBAL TEMPERATURES
GLOBAL WARMING
HUMAN DEVELOPMENT
IMPACTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE
INCOME
INCOME DISTRIBUTION
INTERGOVERNMENTAL PANEL ON CLIMATE CHANGE
INTERNAL MIGRATION
IPCC
LAND USE
LIFE EXPECTANCY
LOCAL AUTHORITIES
MALARIA
MELTING GLACIERS
METEOROLOGICAL DATA
METEOROLOGICAL STATIONS
MORTALITY
NATIONAL LEVEL
OCEAN CURRENTS
OCEAN TEMPERATURES
PER CAPITA INCOME
POLICY RESEARCH
POLICY RESEARCH WORKING PAPER
POPULATION SIZE
PRECIPITATION
PRECIPITATION ANOMALIES
PROGRESS
RAIN
RAINFALL DATA
RAINFOREST
REGIONAL CLIMATE
REGIONAL CLIMATE PROJECTIONS
RESOURCE ECONOMICS
SCENARIOS
SCIENTIFIC EVIDENCE
SEA LEVEL
SEA-LEVEL
SOCIAL DEVELOPMENT
SPATIAL DISTRIBUTION
SURFACE CLIMATE
SURFACE TEMPERATURE
SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT
TEMPERATURE
TEMPERATURE ANOMALIES
TEMPERATURE ANOMALY
TEMPERATURE CHANGE
TEMPERATURE CHANGES
TEMPERATURE DATA
TEMPERATURE INCREASES
TEMPERATURE RANGE
TEMPERATURE RECONSTRUCTION
TEMPERATURE VARIATIONS
TEMPERATURES
URBAN AREAS
URBANIZATION
VULNERABILITY
VULNERABILITY TO CLIMATE CHANGE
WATER MANAGEMENT
WATER SUPPLIES
WEATHER
Andersen, Lykke E.
Suxo, Addy
Verner, Dorte
Social Impacts of Climate Change in Peru : A District Level Analysis of the Effects of Recent and Future Climate Change on Human Development and Inequality
geographic_facet Latin America & Caribbean
Latin America & Caribbean
South America
America
Peru
relation Policy Research working paper ; no. WPS 5091
description This paper uses district level data to estimate the general relationship between climate, income and life expectancy in Peru. The analysis finds that both incomes and life expectancy show hump-shaped relationships, with optimal average annual temperatures around 18-20ºC. These estimated relationships were used to simulate the likely effects of both past (1958-2008) and future (2008-2058) climate change. At the aggregate level, future climate change in Peru is estimated to cause a small reduction in average life expectancy of about 0.2 years. This average, however, hides much larger losses in the already hot areas as well as substantial gains in currently cold areas. Similarly, the average impact on incomes is a modest reduction of 2.3 percent, but with some districts experiencing losses of up to 20 percent and others gains of up to 13 percent. Future climate change is estimated to cause an increase in poverty (all other things equal), but to have no significant effect on the distribution of incomes.
format Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper
author Andersen, Lykke E.
Suxo, Addy
Verner, Dorte
author_facet Andersen, Lykke E.
Suxo, Addy
Verner, Dorte
author_sort Andersen, Lykke E.
title Social Impacts of Climate Change in Peru : A District Level Analysis of the Effects of Recent and Future Climate Change on Human Development and Inequality
title_short Social Impacts of Climate Change in Peru : A District Level Analysis of the Effects of Recent and Future Climate Change on Human Development and Inequality
title_full Social Impacts of Climate Change in Peru : A District Level Analysis of the Effects of Recent and Future Climate Change on Human Development and Inequality
title_fullStr Social Impacts of Climate Change in Peru : A District Level Analysis of the Effects of Recent and Future Climate Change on Human Development and Inequality
title_full_unstemmed Social Impacts of Climate Change in Peru : A District Level Analysis of the Effects of Recent and Future Climate Change on Human Development and Inequality
title_sort social impacts of climate change in peru : a district level analysis of the effects of recent and future climate change on human development and inequality
publishDate 2012
url http://www-wds.worldbank.org/external/default/main?menuPK=64187510&pagePK=64193027&piPK=64187937&theSitePK=523679&menuPK=64187510&searchMenuPK=64187283&siteName=WDS&entityID=000158349_20091026084634
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/4283
_version_ 1764390743018831872