Urban Youth Bulges and Social Disorder : An Empirical Study of Asian and Sub-Saharan African Cities
By 2050, two-thirds of the world s population will live in cities, and the greatest growth in urban populations will take place in the least developed countries. This presents many governments with considerable challenges related to urban governanc...
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| Format: | Policy Research Working Paper |
| Language: | English |
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2012
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| Online Access: | http://www-wds.worldbank.org/external/default/main?menuPK=64187510&pagePK=64193027&piPK=64187937&theSitePK=523679&menuPK=64187510&searchMenuPK=64187283&siteName=WDS&entityID=000158349_20091103111000 http://hdl.handle.net/10986/4299 |
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okr-10986-4299 |
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| recordtype |
oai_dc |
| repository_type |
Digital Repository |
| institution_category |
Foreign Institution |
| institution |
Digital Repositories |
| building |
World Bank Open Knowledge Repository |
| collection |
World Bank |
| language |
English |
| topic |
ADULT POPULATION ALGORITHM ARMED CONFLICT ARMED CONFLICTS CENTER FOR DEVELOPMENT CITY POPULATION CIVIL CONFLICT CIVIL WAR DEMOCRACY DEMOGRAPHIC CHANGE DEMOGRAPHIC TRANSITION DEVELOPING COUNTRIES DEVELOPMENT STRATEGIES ECONOMIC GROWTH ECONOMIC OPPORTUNITIES ECONOMIC PRODUCTIVITY EDUCATIONAL ATTAINMENT EMPLOYMENT OPPORTUNITIES ENVIRONMENTAL DEGRADATION FAMILIES FAMILY UNIT FERTILITY FERTILITY TRANSITION GANGS GENDER BIAS GENDER DIFFERENCES HEALTH CARE HIGH FERTILITY LEVELS HOUSING HUMAN CAPITAL INTERNATIONAL AGENDA INTERNATIONAL LABOR ORGANIZATION INTERNATIONAL MIGRANTS INTERNATIONAL MIGRATION INTERNATIONAL MIGRATION REVIEW JOB CREATION LABOR MARKET LABOR MARKETS LABOR MIGRANTS LABOUR FORCE LARGE CITIES LEVEL OF DEVELOPMENT LEVEL OF EDUCATION MALE YOUTH MASCULINITY MIGRANT MIGRANTS MIGRATION MORTALITY MORTALITY DECLINE NATIONAL LEVEL NUMBER OF DEATHS OLD MALES PEACE POLICY RESEARCH POLICY RESEARCH WORKING PAPER POLITICAL CHANGE POLITICAL INSTABILITY POLITICAL PARTICIPATION POPULATION ACTION POPULATION ACTION INTERNATIONAL POPULATION AND DEVELOPMENT POPULATION DYNAMICS POPULATION GROWTH POPULATION INFORMATION POPULATION PRESSURE POPULATION SIZE POPULOUS COUNTRIES PROGRESS PROVISION OF SERVICES RATES OF GROWTH RURAL AREAS RURAL POPULATION RURAL YOUTH SECONDARY EDUCATION SECURITY CONCERN SEX SKILL DEVELOPMENT SKILLS DEVELOPMENT SLUM AREAS SOCIAL AFFAIRS SOCIAL DEVELOPMENT SOCIAL INEQUALITIES SOCIAL RESEARCH SUBURBS SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT TERTIARY EDUCATION UNEMPLOYMENT UNEMPLOYMENT RATES UNITED NATIONS POPULATION DIVISION URBAN URBAN AREAS URBAN CENTERS URBAN DEVELOPMENT URBAN DWELLERS URBAN GROWTH URBAN GROWTH RATES URBAN MIGRATION URBAN POPULATION URBAN POPULATION GROWTH URBAN POPULATIONS URBAN YOUTH URBANIZATION VIOLENCE WAGES WARS WORLD POPULATION YOUNG MALE YOUNG MALES YOUNG MEN YOUNG PEOPLE YOUNG PERSONS YOUNG POPULATIONS YOUNG WOMEN YOUTH GROUPS YOUTH MOVEMENTS YOUTH POPULATION YOUTH UNEMPLOYMENT |
| spellingShingle |
ADULT POPULATION ALGORITHM ARMED CONFLICT ARMED CONFLICTS CENTER FOR DEVELOPMENT CITY POPULATION CIVIL CONFLICT CIVIL WAR DEMOCRACY DEMOGRAPHIC CHANGE DEMOGRAPHIC TRANSITION DEVELOPING COUNTRIES DEVELOPMENT STRATEGIES ECONOMIC GROWTH ECONOMIC OPPORTUNITIES ECONOMIC PRODUCTIVITY EDUCATIONAL ATTAINMENT EMPLOYMENT OPPORTUNITIES ENVIRONMENTAL DEGRADATION FAMILIES FAMILY UNIT FERTILITY FERTILITY TRANSITION GANGS GENDER BIAS GENDER DIFFERENCES HEALTH CARE HIGH FERTILITY LEVELS HOUSING HUMAN CAPITAL INTERNATIONAL AGENDA INTERNATIONAL LABOR ORGANIZATION INTERNATIONAL MIGRANTS INTERNATIONAL MIGRATION INTERNATIONAL MIGRATION REVIEW JOB CREATION LABOR MARKET LABOR MARKETS LABOR MIGRANTS LABOUR FORCE LARGE CITIES LEVEL OF DEVELOPMENT LEVEL OF EDUCATION MALE YOUTH MASCULINITY MIGRANT MIGRANTS MIGRATION MORTALITY MORTALITY DECLINE NATIONAL LEVEL NUMBER OF DEATHS OLD MALES PEACE POLICY RESEARCH POLICY RESEARCH WORKING PAPER POLITICAL CHANGE POLITICAL INSTABILITY POLITICAL PARTICIPATION POPULATION ACTION POPULATION ACTION INTERNATIONAL POPULATION AND DEVELOPMENT POPULATION DYNAMICS POPULATION GROWTH POPULATION INFORMATION POPULATION PRESSURE POPULATION SIZE POPULOUS COUNTRIES PROGRESS PROVISION OF SERVICES RATES OF GROWTH RURAL AREAS RURAL POPULATION RURAL YOUTH SECONDARY EDUCATION SECURITY CONCERN SEX SKILL DEVELOPMENT SKILLS DEVELOPMENT SLUM AREAS SOCIAL AFFAIRS SOCIAL DEVELOPMENT SOCIAL INEQUALITIES SOCIAL RESEARCH SUBURBS SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT TERTIARY EDUCATION UNEMPLOYMENT UNEMPLOYMENT RATES UNITED NATIONS POPULATION DIVISION URBAN URBAN AREAS URBAN CENTERS URBAN DEVELOPMENT URBAN DWELLERS URBAN GROWTH URBAN GROWTH RATES URBAN MIGRATION URBAN POPULATION URBAN POPULATION GROWTH URBAN POPULATIONS URBAN YOUTH URBANIZATION VIOLENCE WAGES WARS WORLD POPULATION YOUNG MALE YOUNG MALES YOUNG MEN YOUNG PEOPLE YOUNG PERSONS YOUNG POPULATIONS YOUNG WOMEN YOUTH GROUPS YOUTH MOVEMENTS YOUTH POPULATION YOUTH UNEMPLOYMENT Urdal, Henrik Hoelscher, Kristian Urban Youth Bulges and Social Disorder : An Empirical Study of Asian and Sub-Saharan African Cities |
| geographic_facet |
South Asia Africa East Asia and Pacific |
| relation |
Policy Research working paper ; no. WPS 5110 |
| description |
By 2050, two-thirds of the world s
population will live in cities, and the greatest growth in
urban populations will take place in the least developed
countries. This presents many governments with considerable
challenges related to urban governance and the provision of
services and opportunities to a burgeoning urban population.
Among the concerns is that large youth bulges in urban
centers could be a source of political instability and
violence. Here, we assess this claim empirically using newly
collected data on city-level urban social disorder, ranging
from non-violent actions, such as demonstrations and
strikes, to violent political actions, such as riots,
terrorism, and armed conflict. The dataset covers 55 major
cities in Asia and Sub-Saharan Africa for 1960-2006. The
study also utilizes a new United Nations Population Division
dataset on urban populations by age and sex. The study
further considers factors that could condition the effect of
age structure, in particular the level of informal
employment, economic growth, education, and gender
imbalances. The analysis finds that large male youth bulges
aged 15-24 are not generally associated with increased risks
of either violent or non-violent social disturbance.
Furthermore, the proxy measures of "youth
exclusion" do not seem to increase the risk that large
urban male youth bulges are associated with either form of
disturbance. However, several other factors that may be
associated with higher levels of youth exclusion - notably
absence of democratic institutions, low economic growth, and
low levels of secondary educational attainment - are
significantly and robustly associated with increasing levels
of urban social disturbance. |
| format |
Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper |
| author |
Urdal, Henrik Hoelscher, Kristian |
| author_facet |
Urdal, Henrik Hoelscher, Kristian |
| author_sort |
Urdal, Henrik |
| title |
Urban Youth Bulges and Social Disorder : An Empirical Study of Asian and Sub-Saharan African Cities |
| title_short |
Urban Youth Bulges and Social Disorder : An Empirical Study of Asian and Sub-Saharan African Cities |
| title_full |
Urban Youth Bulges and Social Disorder : An Empirical Study of Asian and Sub-Saharan African Cities |
| title_fullStr |
Urban Youth Bulges and Social Disorder : An Empirical Study of Asian and Sub-Saharan African Cities |
| title_full_unstemmed |
Urban Youth Bulges and Social Disorder : An Empirical Study of Asian and Sub-Saharan African Cities |
| title_sort |
urban youth bulges and social disorder : an empirical study of asian and sub-saharan african cities |
| publishDate |
2012 |
| url |
http://www-wds.worldbank.org/external/default/main?menuPK=64187510&pagePK=64193027&piPK=64187937&theSitePK=523679&menuPK=64187510&searchMenuPK=64187283&siteName=WDS&entityID=000158349_20091103111000 http://hdl.handle.net/10986/4299 |
| _version_ |
1764390820878745600 |
| spelling |
okr-10986-42992021-04-23T14:02:17Z Urban Youth Bulges and Social Disorder : An Empirical Study of Asian and Sub-Saharan African Cities Urdal, Henrik Hoelscher, Kristian ADULT POPULATION ALGORITHM ARMED CONFLICT ARMED CONFLICTS CENTER FOR DEVELOPMENT CITY POPULATION CIVIL CONFLICT CIVIL WAR DEMOCRACY DEMOGRAPHIC CHANGE DEMOGRAPHIC TRANSITION DEVELOPING COUNTRIES DEVELOPMENT STRATEGIES ECONOMIC GROWTH ECONOMIC OPPORTUNITIES ECONOMIC PRODUCTIVITY EDUCATIONAL ATTAINMENT EMPLOYMENT OPPORTUNITIES ENVIRONMENTAL DEGRADATION FAMILIES FAMILY UNIT FERTILITY FERTILITY TRANSITION GANGS GENDER BIAS GENDER DIFFERENCES HEALTH CARE HIGH FERTILITY LEVELS HOUSING HUMAN CAPITAL INTERNATIONAL AGENDA INTERNATIONAL LABOR ORGANIZATION INTERNATIONAL MIGRANTS INTERNATIONAL MIGRATION INTERNATIONAL MIGRATION REVIEW JOB CREATION LABOR MARKET LABOR MARKETS LABOR MIGRANTS LABOUR FORCE LARGE CITIES LEVEL OF DEVELOPMENT LEVEL OF EDUCATION MALE YOUTH MASCULINITY MIGRANT MIGRANTS MIGRATION MORTALITY MORTALITY DECLINE NATIONAL LEVEL NUMBER OF DEATHS OLD MALES PEACE POLICY RESEARCH POLICY RESEARCH WORKING PAPER POLITICAL CHANGE POLITICAL INSTABILITY POLITICAL PARTICIPATION POPULATION ACTION POPULATION ACTION INTERNATIONAL POPULATION AND DEVELOPMENT POPULATION DYNAMICS POPULATION GROWTH POPULATION INFORMATION POPULATION PRESSURE POPULATION SIZE POPULOUS COUNTRIES PROGRESS PROVISION OF SERVICES RATES OF GROWTH RURAL AREAS RURAL POPULATION RURAL YOUTH SECONDARY EDUCATION SECURITY CONCERN SEX SKILL DEVELOPMENT SKILLS DEVELOPMENT SLUM AREAS SOCIAL AFFAIRS SOCIAL DEVELOPMENT SOCIAL INEQUALITIES SOCIAL RESEARCH SUBURBS SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT TERTIARY EDUCATION UNEMPLOYMENT UNEMPLOYMENT RATES UNITED NATIONS POPULATION DIVISION URBAN URBAN AREAS URBAN CENTERS URBAN DEVELOPMENT URBAN DWELLERS URBAN GROWTH URBAN GROWTH RATES URBAN MIGRATION URBAN POPULATION URBAN POPULATION GROWTH URBAN POPULATIONS URBAN YOUTH URBANIZATION VIOLENCE WAGES WARS WORLD POPULATION YOUNG MALE YOUNG MALES YOUNG MEN YOUNG PEOPLE YOUNG PERSONS YOUNG POPULATIONS YOUNG WOMEN YOUTH GROUPS YOUTH MOVEMENTS YOUTH POPULATION YOUTH UNEMPLOYMENT By 2050, two-thirds of the world s population will live in cities, and the greatest growth in urban populations will take place in the least developed countries. This presents many governments with considerable challenges related to urban governance and the provision of services and opportunities to a burgeoning urban population. Among the concerns is that large youth bulges in urban centers could be a source of political instability and violence. Here, we assess this claim empirically using newly collected data on city-level urban social disorder, ranging from non-violent actions, such as demonstrations and strikes, to violent political actions, such as riots, terrorism, and armed conflict. The dataset covers 55 major cities in Asia and Sub-Saharan Africa for 1960-2006. The study also utilizes a new United Nations Population Division dataset on urban populations by age and sex. The study further considers factors that could condition the effect of age structure, in particular the level of informal employment, economic growth, education, and gender imbalances. The analysis finds that large male youth bulges aged 15-24 are not generally associated with increased risks of either violent or non-violent social disturbance. Furthermore, the proxy measures of "youth exclusion" do not seem to increase the risk that large urban male youth bulges are associated with either form of disturbance. However, several other factors that may be associated with higher levels of youth exclusion - notably absence of democratic institutions, low economic growth, and low levels of secondary educational attainment - are significantly and robustly associated with increasing levels of urban social disturbance. 2012-03-19T19:13:31Z 2012-03-19T19:13:31Z 2009-11-01 http://www-wds.worldbank.org/external/default/main?menuPK=64187510&pagePK=64193027&piPK=64187937&theSitePK=523679&menuPK=64187510&searchMenuPK=64187283&siteName=WDS&entityID=000158349_20091103111000 http://hdl.handle.net/10986/4299 English Policy Research working paper ; no. WPS 5110 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/ World Bank Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper South Asia Africa East Asia and Pacific |