The Perils of Tax Smoothing: Sustainable Fiscal Policy with Random Shocks to Permanent Output
If permanent output is uncertain, tax smoothing can be perilous: both debt levels and tax rates are difficult to stabilize and may drift upwards. One practical remedy would be to target the debt. However, our simulations confirm that such a policy would require undesirably volatile fiscal adjustment...
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okr-10986-49752021-04-23T14:02:20Z The Perils of Tax Smoothing: Sustainable Fiscal Policy with Random Shocks to Permanent Output Tanner, Evan Carey, Kevin Fiscal Policy E620 National Deficit Surplus H620 National Debt Debt Management Sovereign Debt H630 If permanent output is uncertain, tax smoothing can be perilous: both debt levels and tax rates are difficult to stabilize and may drift upwards. One practical remedy would be to target the debt. However, our simulations confirm that such a policy would require undesirably volatile fiscal adjustments and may inhibit countercyclical borrowing. An alternative would be to link the primary surplus not only to the debt ratio (like tax smoothing) but also to its volatility, thus preempting further adjustments while gradually reducing the debt. 2012-03-30T07:30:39Z 2012-03-30T07:30:39Z 2008 Journal Article Finance a Uver/Czech Journal of Economics and Finance 00151920 http://hdl.handle.net/10986/4975 EN http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/3.0/igo World Bank Journal Article |
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Digital Repository |
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Foreign Institution |
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Digital Repositories |
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World Bank Open Knowledge Repository |
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World Bank |
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EN |
topic |
Fiscal Policy E620 National Deficit Surplus H620 National Debt Debt Management Sovereign Debt H630 |
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Fiscal Policy E620 National Deficit Surplus H620 National Debt Debt Management Sovereign Debt H630 Tanner, Evan Carey, Kevin The Perils of Tax Smoothing: Sustainable Fiscal Policy with Random Shocks to Permanent Output |
relation |
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/3.0/igo |
description |
If permanent output is uncertain, tax smoothing can be perilous: both debt levels and tax rates are difficult to stabilize and may drift upwards. One practical remedy would be to target the debt. However, our simulations confirm that such a policy would require undesirably volatile fiscal adjustments and may inhibit countercyclical borrowing. An alternative would be to link the primary surplus not only to the debt ratio (like tax smoothing) but also to its volatility, thus preempting further adjustments while gradually reducing the debt. |
format |
Journal Article |
author |
Tanner, Evan Carey, Kevin |
author_facet |
Tanner, Evan Carey, Kevin |
author_sort |
Tanner, Evan |
title |
The Perils of Tax Smoothing: Sustainable Fiscal Policy with Random Shocks to Permanent Output |
title_short |
The Perils of Tax Smoothing: Sustainable Fiscal Policy with Random Shocks to Permanent Output |
title_full |
The Perils of Tax Smoothing: Sustainable Fiscal Policy with Random Shocks to Permanent Output |
title_fullStr |
The Perils of Tax Smoothing: Sustainable Fiscal Policy with Random Shocks to Permanent Output |
title_full_unstemmed |
The Perils of Tax Smoothing: Sustainable Fiscal Policy with Random Shocks to Permanent Output |
title_sort |
perils of tax smoothing: sustainable fiscal policy with random shocks to permanent output |
publishDate |
2012 |
url |
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/4975 |
_version_ |
1764393459851984896 |