The Perils of Tax Smoothing: Sustainable Fiscal Policy with Random Shocks to Permanent Output

If permanent output is uncertain, tax smoothing can be perilous: both debt levels and tax rates are difficult to stabilize and may drift upwards. One practical remedy would be to target the debt. However, our simulations confirm that such a policy would require undesirably volatile fiscal adjustment...

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Main Authors: Tanner, Evan, Carey, Kevin
Format: Journal Article
Language:EN
Published: 2012
Subjects:
Online Access:http://hdl.handle.net/10986/4975
id okr-10986-4975
recordtype oai_dc
spelling okr-10986-49752021-04-23T14:02:20Z The Perils of Tax Smoothing: Sustainable Fiscal Policy with Random Shocks to Permanent Output Tanner, Evan Carey, Kevin Fiscal Policy E620 National Deficit Surplus H620 National Debt Debt Management Sovereign Debt H630 If permanent output is uncertain, tax smoothing can be perilous: both debt levels and tax rates are difficult to stabilize and may drift upwards. One practical remedy would be to target the debt. However, our simulations confirm that such a policy would require undesirably volatile fiscal adjustments and may inhibit countercyclical borrowing. An alternative would be to link the primary surplus not only to the debt ratio (like tax smoothing) but also to its volatility, thus preempting further adjustments while gradually reducing the debt. 2012-03-30T07:30:39Z 2012-03-30T07:30:39Z 2008 Journal Article Finance a Uver/Czech Journal of Economics and Finance 00151920 http://hdl.handle.net/10986/4975 EN http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/3.0/igo World Bank Journal Article
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language EN
topic Fiscal Policy E620
National Deficit
Surplus H620
National Debt
Debt Management
Sovereign Debt H630
spellingShingle Fiscal Policy E620
National Deficit
Surplus H620
National Debt
Debt Management
Sovereign Debt H630
Tanner, Evan
Carey, Kevin
The Perils of Tax Smoothing: Sustainable Fiscal Policy with Random Shocks to Permanent Output
relation http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/3.0/igo
description If permanent output is uncertain, tax smoothing can be perilous: both debt levels and tax rates are difficult to stabilize and may drift upwards. One practical remedy would be to target the debt. However, our simulations confirm that such a policy would require undesirably volatile fiscal adjustments and may inhibit countercyclical borrowing. An alternative would be to link the primary surplus not only to the debt ratio (like tax smoothing) but also to its volatility, thus preempting further adjustments while gradually reducing the debt.
format Journal Article
author Tanner, Evan
Carey, Kevin
author_facet Tanner, Evan
Carey, Kevin
author_sort Tanner, Evan
title The Perils of Tax Smoothing: Sustainable Fiscal Policy with Random Shocks to Permanent Output
title_short The Perils of Tax Smoothing: Sustainable Fiscal Policy with Random Shocks to Permanent Output
title_full The Perils of Tax Smoothing: Sustainable Fiscal Policy with Random Shocks to Permanent Output
title_fullStr The Perils of Tax Smoothing: Sustainable Fiscal Policy with Random Shocks to Permanent Output
title_full_unstemmed The Perils of Tax Smoothing: Sustainable Fiscal Policy with Random Shocks to Permanent Output
title_sort perils of tax smoothing: sustainable fiscal policy with random shocks to permanent output
publishDate 2012
url http://hdl.handle.net/10986/4975
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