Does Precipitation and Runoff Variability Affect Treaty Cooperation between States Sharing International Bilateral Rivers?

Elevated world temperatures, as forecasted by the 4th IPCC report, are expected to increase the hydrological cycle activity, leading to a change in precipitation patterns and increase in evapotranspiration. These in turn are expected to affect river runoff and water variability, depending on basin l...

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Main Authors:	Dinar, Ariel, Blankespoor, Brian, Dinar, Shlomi, Kurukulasuriya, Pradeep
Format:	Journal Article
Language:	EN
Published:	2012
Subjects:	International Law K330 Economic Development: Agriculture Natural Resources Energy Environment Other Primary Products O130 Renewable Resources and Conservation: Water Q250 Climate Natural Disasters Global Warming Q540 Environmental Economics: Government Policy Q580
Online Access:	http://hdl.handle.net/10986/5654

id	okr-10986-5654
recordtype	oai_dc
spelling	okr-10986-56542021-04-23T14:02:23Z Does Precipitation and Runoff Variability Affect Treaty Cooperation between States Sharing International Bilateral Rivers? Dinar, Ariel Blankespoor, Brian Dinar, Shlomi Kurukulasuriya, Pradeep International Law K330 Economic Development: Agriculture Natural Resources Energy Environment Other Primary Products O130 Renewable Resources and Conservation: Water Q250 Climate Natural Disasters Global Warming Q540 Environmental Economics: Government Policy Q580 Elevated world temperatures, as forecasted by the 4th IPCC report, are expected to increase the hydrological cycle activity, leading to a change in precipitation patterns and increase in evapotranspiration. These in turn are expected to affect river runoff and water variability, depending on basin latitude. In this paper, we assess the impact of water supply variability on 'treaty cooperation' (defined here as the likelihood of treaty formation and number of treaties formed) between international bilateral river basin riparian states. The water variability measure that we use captures both annual runoff variability and precipitation variability. We employ additional control variables adopted from economic and international relations theories on international cooperation. The main results suggest that water supply variability in international bilateral basins creates an impetus for cooperation. Our results support an inverted U-shaped relationship between water supply variability and treaty cooperation. Similarly, interactions between the states in the form of diplomatic and trade relations support cooperation. Various measures of democracy/governance suggest different impacts on cooperation. Uneven economic power between the riparian states inhibits treaty cooperation. The geography variables we use are insignificant in all the estimated relationships. 2012-03-30T07:33:53Z 2012-03-30T07:33:53Z 2010 Journal Article Ecological Economics 09218009 http://hdl.handle.net/10986/5654 EN http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/3.0/igo World Bank Journal Article
repository_type	Digital Repository
institution_category	Foreign Institution
institution	Digital Repositories
building	World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection	World Bank
language	EN
topic	International Law K330 Economic Development: Agriculture Natural Resources Energy Environment Other Primary Products O130 Renewable Resources and Conservation: Water Q250 Climate Natural Disasters Global Warming Q540 Environmental Economics: Government Policy Q580
spellingShingle	International Law K330 Economic Development: Agriculture Natural Resources Energy Environment Other Primary Products O130 Renewable Resources and Conservation: Water Q250 Climate Natural Disasters Global Warming Q540 Environmental Economics: Government Policy Q580 Dinar, Ariel Blankespoor, Brian Dinar, Shlomi Kurukulasuriya, Pradeep Does Precipitation and Runoff Variability Affect Treaty Cooperation between States Sharing International Bilateral Rivers?
relation	http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/3.0/igo
description	Elevated world temperatures, as forecasted by the 4th IPCC report, are expected to increase the hydrological cycle activity, leading to a change in precipitation patterns and increase in evapotranspiration. These in turn are expected to affect river runoff and water variability, depending on basin latitude. In this paper, we assess the impact of water supply variability on 'treaty cooperation' (defined here as the likelihood of treaty formation and number of treaties formed) between international bilateral river basin riparian states. The water variability measure that we use captures both annual runoff variability and precipitation variability. We employ additional control variables adopted from economic and international relations theories on international cooperation. The main results suggest that water supply variability in international bilateral basins creates an impetus for cooperation. Our results support an inverted U-shaped relationship between water supply variability and treaty cooperation. Similarly, interactions between the states in the form of diplomatic and trade relations support cooperation. Various measures of democracy/governance suggest different impacts on cooperation. Uneven economic power between the riparian states inhibits treaty cooperation. The geography variables we use are insignificant in all the estimated relationships.
format	Journal Article
author	Dinar, Ariel Blankespoor, Brian Dinar, Shlomi Kurukulasuriya, Pradeep
author_facet	Dinar, Ariel Blankespoor, Brian Dinar, Shlomi Kurukulasuriya, Pradeep
author_sort	Dinar, Ariel
title	Does Precipitation and Runoff Variability Affect Treaty Cooperation between States Sharing International Bilateral Rivers?
title_short	Does Precipitation and Runoff Variability Affect Treaty Cooperation between States Sharing International Bilateral Rivers?
title_full	Does Precipitation and Runoff Variability Affect Treaty Cooperation between States Sharing International Bilateral Rivers?
title_fullStr	Does Precipitation and Runoff Variability Affect Treaty Cooperation between States Sharing International Bilateral Rivers?
title_full_unstemmed	Does Precipitation and Runoff Variability Affect Treaty Cooperation between States Sharing International Bilateral Rivers?
title_sort	does precipitation and runoff variability affect treaty cooperation between states sharing international bilateral rivers?
publishDate	2012
url	http://hdl.handle.net/10986/5654
_version_	1764395833717948416

Does Precipitation and Runoff Variability Affect Treaty Cooperation between States Sharing International Bilateral Rivers?

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