Achieving Accelerated and Shared Growth in Ghana : A MAMS-Based Analysis of Costs and Opportunities

This paper relies on the recently developed Maquette for Millennium Development Goals Simulations (MAMS) model to assess the consistency of alternative scaling-up and policy packages for growth and achievement of the Millennium Development Goals in...

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Main Authors: Bogetić, Željko, Medvedev, Denis, Bussolo, Maurizio
Format: Policy Research Working Paper
Language:English
Published: World Bank, Washington, DC 2012
Subjects:
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2008/02/9021834/achieving-accelerated-shared-growth-ghana-mams-based-analysis-costs-opportunities
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/6396
id okr-10986-6396
recordtype oai_dc
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
topic ACCESS TO SAFE WATER
ACCOUNTING
ACCUMULATION OF CAPITAL
ADDITIONAL FINANCING
ALLOCATION
ANNUAL GROWTH
ANNUAL GROWTH RATE
ANNUAL RATE
AUDITOR GENERAL
AVERAGE GROWTH
AVERAGE INCOME
AVERAGE LEVEL
BASELINE SCENARIO
BASIC EDUCATION
BORROWING
BUDGET DOCUMENTS
BUDGETING
CALCULATION
CAPITAL ACCUMULATION
CAPITAL FLOWS
CAPITAL STOCK
CONSUMER
CONTRIBUTION
CONTRIBUTIONS
CURRENT EXPENDITURES
DEBT
DEBT RELIEF
DEBT SERVICE
DEBT SUSTAINABILITY
DEMAND FOR SERVICES
DEPENDENT VARIABLE
DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS
DEVELOPMENT INDICATORS
DISAGGREGATED LEVEL
DISTRIBUTION OF INCOME
DONOR ASSISTANCE
EARNINGS
ECONOMIC MANAGEMENT
ECONOMIC POLICY
EDUCATION SERVICES
EDUCATION SYSTEM
EFFICIENCY GAINS
ELASTICITIES
ESTIMATED ELASTICITY
EXPORT TAXES
EXTERNAL DEBT
EXTERNAL SHOCKS
FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT
FINANCIAL STABILITY
FISCAL PRUDENCE
FOREIGN BORROWING
FOREIGN GRANTS
GINI COEFFICIENT
GINI INDEX
GOVERNMENT CONSUMPTION
GOVERNMENT POLICIES
GOVERNMENT REVENUES
GROWTH COMPONENT
GROWTH EFFECT
GROWTH PERFORMANCE
GROWTH PROCESS
GROWTH PROSPECTS
GROWTH RATE
GROWTH RATES
HEALTH OUTCOMES
HEALTH SECTOR
HIGH GROWTH
HOUSEHOLD LEVEL
HOUSEHOLD WELFARE
HUMAN CAPITAL
HUMAN DEVELOPMENT
HUMAN RESOURCE DEVELOPMENT
IMPORT TAXES
IMPROVEMENTS IN POLICIES
INCOME DISPARITIES
INCOME DISTRIBUTION
INCOME GROWTH
INCOME INEQUALITY
INCOME LEVELS
INCOMES
INCREASE IN INCOME
INDEPENDENT VARIABLE
INFANT
INFANT HEALTH
INFANT MORTALITY
INFRASTRUCTURE INVESTMENT
INFRASTRUCTURE SERVICES
INTEREST PAYMENTS
INTERNATIONAL FOOD POLICY RESEARCH INSTITUTE
INVESTING
INVESTMENT CLIMATE
LABOR FORCE
LABOR MARKET
LABOR MARKETS
LABOR SUPPLY
LEVEL OF EDUCATION
LIVING STANDARDS
LOCAL CURRENCY
LONG RUN
LONG-TERM GROWTH
LOW-INCOME
LOW-INCOME COUNTRIES
LOW-INCOME COUNTRY
MACROECONOMIC STABILITY
MARKET PRICES
MATERNAL MORTALITY
MATERNAL MORTALITY RATES
MEAN GROWTH
MEDICAL CARE
MEDIUM TERM
MEDIUM-TERM OUTLOOK
MILLENNIUM DECLARATION
MILLENNIUM DEVELOPMENT GOAL
MILLENNIUM DEVELOPMENT GOALS
MINISTRY OF EDUCATION
MINISTRY OF FINANCE
NATIONAL ACCOUNTS
NATIONAL ACCOUNTS DATA
NUMERICAL TARGETS
OIL PRICES
PER CAPITA GROWTH
PER CAPITA INCOME
POLICY PACKAGES
POLICY RESEARCH
POLICY RESEARCH WORKING PAPER
POLITICAL INSTABILITY
POLITICAL STABILITY
POVERTY LINE
POVERTY OUTCOMES
POVERTY REDUCING
POVERTY REDUCTION
POVERTY REDUCTION STRATEGY
PRIMARY EDUCATION
PRIMARY SCHOOL
PRIVATE CONSUMPTION
PRIVATE GOODS
PRIVATE INVESTMENT
PRIVATE INVESTMENTS
PRIVATE SECTOR
PRIVATE SECTOR GROWTH
PRO-POOR
PRODUCTIVITY
PROGRESS
PROSPERITY
PUBLIC ACCOUNTS
PUBLIC ACTIVITIES
PUBLIC BUDGET
PUBLIC EXPENDITURE
PUBLIC EXPENDITURES
PUBLIC FINANCE
PUBLIC FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT
PUBLIC INFRASTRUCTURE
PUBLIC INVESTMENT
PUBLIC INVESTMENTS
PUBLIC POLICY
PUBLIC PROGRAMS
PUBLIC PROVISION
PUBLIC RESOURCES
PUBLIC SECTOR
PUBLIC SERVICE
PUBLIC SERVICE DELIVERY
PUBLIC SERVICES
PUBLIC SPENDING
QUALITY OF EDUCATION
RAPID GROWTH
RATE OF GROWTH
REAL EXCHANGE RATE
RECURRENT EXPENDITURES
REDUCED FORM EQUATION
REDUCING POVERTY
RELATIVE IMPORTANCE
RESOURCE REQUIREMENTS
RESPECT
RISING DEMAND
SAFE WATER
SANITATION
SANITATION FACILITIES
SANITATION SERVICES
SAVINGS
SCHOOL FEES
SECONDARY EDUCATION
SECONDARY SCHOOL
SECTORAL ANALYSES
SERVICE DELIVERY
SERVICE PROVISION
SET OF GOALS
SKILLED WORKERS
SOCIAL SECTORS
SOCIAL SERVICES
SOCIAL SPENDING
SOURCE OF INFORMATION
SPILLOVER
SPILLOVER EFFECTS
STOCKS
STRUCTURAL REFORMS
SUSTAINABILITY ANALYSIS
TAX RATES
TERTIARY EDUCATION
TOTAL COST
TOTAL PUBLIC SPENDING
TRADE OFFS
TRANSITION ECONOMIES
UNSKILLED LABOR
UNSKILLED WORKER
UNSKILLED WORKERS
URBAN AREAS
VULNERABLE GROUPS
WAGE
WAGE DIFFERENTIALS
WAGE GROWTH
WAGES
WORLD MARKETS
spellingShingle ACCESS TO SAFE WATER
ACCOUNTING
ACCUMULATION OF CAPITAL
ADDITIONAL FINANCING
ALLOCATION
ANNUAL GROWTH
ANNUAL GROWTH RATE
ANNUAL RATE
AUDITOR GENERAL
AVERAGE GROWTH
AVERAGE INCOME
AVERAGE LEVEL
BASELINE SCENARIO
BASIC EDUCATION
BORROWING
BUDGET DOCUMENTS
BUDGETING
CALCULATION
CAPITAL ACCUMULATION
CAPITAL FLOWS
CAPITAL STOCK
CONSUMER
CONTRIBUTION
CONTRIBUTIONS
CURRENT EXPENDITURES
DEBT
DEBT RELIEF
DEBT SERVICE
DEBT SUSTAINABILITY
DEMAND FOR SERVICES
DEPENDENT VARIABLE
DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS
DEVELOPMENT INDICATORS
DISAGGREGATED LEVEL
DISTRIBUTION OF INCOME
DONOR ASSISTANCE
EARNINGS
ECONOMIC MANAGEMENT
ECONOMIC POLICY
EDUCATION SERVICES
EDUCATION SYSTEM
EFFICIENCY GAINS
ELASTICITIES
ESTIMATED ELASTICITY
EXPORT TAXES
EXTERNAL DEBT
EXTERNAL SHOCKS
FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT
FINANCIAL STABILITY
FISCAL PRUDENCE
FOREIGN BORROWING
FOREIGN GRANTS
GINI COEFFICIENT
GINI INDEX
GOVERNMENT CONSUMPTION
GOVERNMENT POLICIES
GOVERNMENT REVENUES
GROWTH COMPONENT
GROWTH EFFECT
GROWTH PERFORMANCE
GROWTH PROCESS
GROWTH PROSPECTS
GROWTH RATE
GROWTH RATES
HEALTH OUTCOMES
HEALTH SECTOR
HIGH GROWTH
HOUSEHOLD LEVEL
HOUSEHOLD WELFARE
HUMAN CAPITAL
HUMAN DEVELOPMENT
HUMAN RESOURCE DEVELOPMENT
IMPORT TAXES
IMPROVEMENTS IN POLICIES
INCOME DISPARITIES
INCOME DISTRIBUTION
INCOME GROWTH
INCOME INEQUALITY
INCOME LEVELS
INCOMES
INCREASE IN INCOME
INDEPENDENT VARIABLE
INFANT
INFANT HEALTH
INFANT MORTALITY
INFRASTRUCTURE INVESTMENT
INFRASTRUCTURE SERVICES
INTEREST PAYMENTS
INTERNATIONAL FOOD POLICY RESEARCH INSTITUTE
INVESTING
INVESTMENT CLIMATE
LABOR FORCE
LABOR MARKET
LABOR MARKETS
LABOR SUPPLY
LEVEL OF EDUCATION
LIVING STANDARDS
LOCAL CURRENCY
LONG RUN
LONG-TERM GROWTH
LOW-INCOME
LOW-INCOME COUNTRIES
LOW-INCOME COUNTRY
MACROECONOMIC STABILITY
MARKET PRICES
MATERNAL MORTALITY
MATERNAL MORTALITY RATES
MEAN GROWTH
MEDICAL CARE
MEDIUM TERM
MEDIUM-TERM OUTLOOK
MILLENNIUM DECLARATION
MILLENNIUM DEVELOPMENT GOAL
MILLENNIUM DEVELOPMENT GOALS
MINISTRY OF EDUCATION
MINISTRY OF FINANCE
NATIONAL ACCOUNTS
NATIONAL ACCOUNTS DATA
NUMERICAL TARGETS
OIL PRICES
PER CAPITA GROWTH
PER CAPITA INCOME
POLICY PACKAGES
POLICY RESEARCH
POLICY RESEARCH WORKING PAPER
POLITICAL INSTABILITY
POLITICAL STABILITY
POVERTY LINE
POVERTY OUTCOMES
POVERTY REDUCING
POVERTY REDUCTION
POVERTY REDUCTION STRATEGY
PRIMARY EDUCATION
PRIMARY SCHOOL
PRIVATE CONSUMPTION
PRIVATE GOODS
PRIVATE INVESTMENT
PRIVATE INVESTMENTS
PRIVATE SECTOR
PRIVATE SECTOR GROWTH
PRO-POOR
PRODUCTIVITY
PROGRESS
PROSPERITY
PUBLIC ACCOUNTS
PUBLIC ACTIVITIES
PUBLIC BUDGET
PUBLIC EXPENDITURE
PUBLIC EXPENDITURES
PUBLIC FINANCE
PUBLIC FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT
PUBLIC INFRASTRUCTURE
PUBLIC INVESTMENT
PUBLIC INVESTMENTS
PUBLIC POLICY
PUBLIC PROGRAMS
PUBLIC PROVISION
PUBLIC RESOURCES
PUBLIC SECTOR
PUBLIC SERVICE
PUBLIC SERVICE DELIVERY
PUBLIC SERVICES
PUBLIC SPENDING
QUALITY OF EDUCATION
RAPID GROWTH
RATE OF GROWTH
REAL EXCHANGE RATE
RECURRENT EXPENDITURES
REDUCED FORM EQUATION
REDUCING POVERTY
RELATIVE IMPORTANCE
RESOURCE REQUIREMENTS
RESPECT
RISING DEMAND
SAFE WATER
SANITATION
SANITATION FACILITIES
SANITATION SERVICES
SAVINGS
SCHOOL FEES
SECONDARY EDUCATION
SECONDARY SCHOOL
SECTORAL ANALYSES
SERVICE DELIVERY
SERVICE PROVISION
SET OF GOALS
SKILLED WORKERS
SOCIAL SECTORS
SOCIAL SERVICES
SOCIAL SPENDING
SOURCE OF INFORMATION
SPILLOVER
SPILLOVER EFFECTS
STOCKS
STRUCTURAL REFORMS
SUSTAINABILITY ANALYSIS
TAX RATES
TERTIARY EDUCATION
TOTAL COST
TOTAL PUBLIC SPENDING
TRADE OFFS
TRANSITION ECONOMIES
UNSKILLED LABOR
UNSKILLED WORKER
UNSKILLED WORKERS
URBAN AREAS
VULNERABLE GROUPS
WAGE
WAGE DIFFERENTIALS
WAGE GROWTH
WAGES
WORLD MARKETS
Bogetić, Željko
Medvedev, Denis
Bussolo, Maurizio
Achieving Accelerated and Shared Growth in Ghana : A MAMS-Based Analysis of Costs and Opportunities
geographic_facet Africa
Ghana
relation Policy Research Working Paper; No. 4523
description This paper relies on the recently developed Maquette for Millennium Development Goals Simulations (MAMS) model to assess the consistency of alternative scaling-up and policy packages for growth and achievement of the Millennium Development Goals in Ghana. In the baseline scenario, Ghana's strong near and medium-term growth outlook puts it in a good position to achieve the poverty Millennium Development Goal ahead of schedule, but other goals are likely to remain elusive before 2015. In the accelerated growth scenario-which addresses the major gaps in water and sanitation and other infrastructure-even more rapid growth and poverty reduction are possible, but important targets in the areas of education, health, and environment remain unattainable. Although growth is complementary to achievement of the Millennium Development Goals, the authors also find important growth-human development trade-offs in the near term. The estimates show that the resource requirements for achieving the key Millennium Development Goals by 2015 are large, reaching US$82 per capita in an illustrative foreign-grant financed scenario. Increased intake and retention of students contribute to rising scarcity of unskilled labor, buttressing unskilled wages, while high demand for skills from the sectors related to the Millennium Development Goals raises the returns to human capital. These developments lead to improvements in the welfare of the poorest members of Ghanaian society and contribute to a small reduction in overall inequality.
format Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper
author Bogetić, Željko
Medvedev, Denis
Bussolo, Maurizio
author_facet Bogetić, Željko
Medvedev, Denis
Bussolo, Maurizio
author_sort Bogetić, Željko
title Achieving Accelerated and Shared Growth in Ghana : A MAMS-Based Analysis of Costs and Opportunities
title_short Achieving Accelerated and Shared Growth in Ghana : A MAMS-Based Analysis of Costs and Opportunities
title_full Achieving Accelerated and Shared Growth in Ghana : A MAMS-Based Analysis of Costs and Opportunities
title_fullStr Achieving Accelerated and Shared Growth in Ghana : A MAMS-Based Analysis of Costs and Opportunities
title_full_unstemmed Achieving Accelerated and Shared Growth in Ghana : A MAMS-Based Analysis of Costs and Opportunities
title_sort achieving accelerated and shared growth in ghana : a mams-based analysis of costs and opportunities
publisher World Bank, Washington, DC
publishDate 2012
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2008/02/9021834/achieving-accelerated-shared-growth-ghana-mams-based-analysis-costs-opportunities
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/6396
_version_ 1764400300317212672
spelling okr-10986-63962021-04-23T14:02:31Z Achieving Accelerated and Shared Growth in Ghana : A MAMS-Based Analysis of Costs and Opportunities Bogetić, Željko Medvedev, Denis Bussolo, Maurizio ACCESS TO SAFE WATER ACCOUNTING ACCUMULATION OF CAPITAL ADDITIONAL FINANCING ALLOCATION ANNUAL GROWTH ANNUAL GROWTH RATE ANNUAL RATE AUDITOR GENERAL AVERAGE GROWTH AVERAGE INCOME AVERAGE LEVEL BASELINE SCENARIO BASIC EDUCATION BORROWING BUDGET DOCUMENTS BUDGETING CALCULATION CAPITAL ACCUMULATION CAPITAL FLOWS CAPITAL STOCK CONSUMER CONTRIBUTION CONTRIBUTIONS CURRENT EXPENDITURES DEBT DEBT RELIEF DEBT SERVICE DEBT SUSTAINABILITY DEMAND FOR SERVICES DEPENDENT VARIABLE DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS DEVELOPMENT INDICATORS DISAGGREGATED LEVEL DISTRIBUTION OF INCOME DONOR ASSISTANCE EARNINGS ECONOMIC MANAGEMENT ECONOMIC POLICY EDUCATION SERVICES EDUCATION SYSTEM EFFICIENCY GAINS ELASTICITIES ESTIMATED ELASTICITY EXPORT TAXES EXTERNAL DEBT EXTERNAL SHOCKS FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT FINANCIAL STABILITY FISCAL PRUDENCE FOREIGN BORROWING FOREIGN GRANTS GINI COEFFICIENT GINI INDEX GOVERNMENT CONSUMPTION GOVERNMENT POLICIES GOVERNMENT REVENUES GROWTH COMPONENT GROWTH EFFECT GROWTH PERFORMANCE GROWTH PROCESS GROWTH PROSPECTS GROWTH RATE GROWTH RATES HEALTH OUTCOMES HEALTH SECTOR HIGH GROWTH HOUSEHOLD LEVEL HOUSEHOLD WELFARE HUMAN CAPITAL HUMAN DEVELOPMENT HUMAN RESOURCE DEVELOPMENT IMPORT TAXES IMPROVEMENTS IN POLICIES INCOME DISPARITIES INCOME DISTRIBUTION INCOME GROWTH INCOME INEQUALITY INCOME LEVELS INCOMES INCREASE IN INCOME INDEPENDENT VARIABLE INFANT INFANT HEALTH INFANT MORTALITY INFRASTRUCTURE INVESTMENT INFRASTRUCTURE SERVICES INTEREST PAYMENTS INTERNATIONAL FOOD POLICY RESEARCH INSTITUTE INVESTING INVESTMENT CLIMATE LABOR FORCE LABOR MARKET LABOR MARKETS LABOR SUPPLY LEVEL OF EDUCATION LIVING STANDARDS LOCAL CURRENCY LONG RUN LONG-TERM GROWTH LOW-INCOME LOW-INCOME COUNTRIES LOW-INCOME COUNTRY MACROECONOMIC STABILITY MARKET PRICES MATERNAL MORTALITY MATERNAL MORTALITY RATES MEAN GROWTH MEDICAL CARE MEDIUM TERM MEDIUM-TERM OUTLOOK MILLENNIUM DECLARATION MILLENNIUM DEVELOPMENT GOAL MILLENNIUM DEVELOPMENT GOALS MINISTRY OF EDUCATION MINISTRY OF FINANCE NATIONAL ACCOUNTS NATIONAL ACCOUNTS DATA NUMERICAL TARGETS OIL PRICES PER CAPITA GROWTH PER CAPITA INCOME POLICY PACKAGES POLICY RESEARCH POLICY RESEARCH WORKING PAPER POLITICAL INSTABILITY POLITICAL STABILITY POVERTY LINE POVERTY OUTCOMES POVERTY REDUCING POVERTY REDUCTION POVERTY REDUCTION STRATEGY PRIMARY EDUCATION PRIMARY SCHOOL PRIVATE CONSUMPTION PRIVATE GOODS PRIVATE INVESTMENT PRIVATE INVESTMENTS PRIVATE SECTOR PRIVATE SECTOR GROWTH PRO-POOR PRODUCTIVITY PROGRESS PROSPERITY PUBLIC ACCOUNTS PUBLIC ACTIVITIES PUBLIC BUDGET PUBLIC EXPENDITURE PUBLIC EXPENDITURES PUBLIC FINANCE PUBLIC FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT PUBLIC INFRASTRUCTURE PUBLIC INVESTMENT PUBLIC INVESTMENTS PUBLIC POLICY PUBLIC PROGRAMS PUBLIC PROVISION PUBLIC RESOURCES PUBLIC SECTOR PUBLIC SERVICE PUBLIC SERVICE DELIVERY PUBLIC SERVICES PUBLIC SPENDING QUALITY OF EDUCATION RAPID GROWTH RATE OF GROWTH REAL EXCHANGE RATE RECURRENT EXPENDITURES REDUCED FORM EQUATION REDUCING POVERTY RELATIVE IMPORTANCE RESOURCE REQUIREMENTS RESPECT RISING DEMAND SAFE WATER SANITATION SANITATION FACILITIES SANITATION SERVICES SAVINGS SCHOOL FEES SECONDARY EDUCATION SECONDARY SCHOOL SECTORAL ANALYSES SERVICE DELIVERY SERVICE PROVISION SET OF GOALS SKILLED WORKERS SOCIAL SECTORS SOCIAL SERVICES SOCIAL SPENDING SOURCE OF INFORMATION SPILLOVER SPILLOVER EFFECTS STOCKS STRUCTURAL REFORMS SUSTAINABILITY ANALYSIS TAX RATES TERTIARY EDUCATION TOTAL COST TOTAL PUBLIC SPENDING TRADE OFFS TRANSITION ECONOMIES UNSKILLED LABOR UNSKILLED WORKER UNSKILLED WORKERS URBAN AREAS VULNERABLE GROUPS WAGE WAGE DIFFERENTIALS WAGE GROWTH WAGES WORLD MARKETS This paper relies on the recently developed Maquette for Millennium Development Goals Simulations (MAMS) model to assess the consistency of alternative scaling-up and policy packages for growth and achievement of the Millennium Development Goals in Ghana. In the baseline scenario, Ghana's strong near and medium-term growth outlook puts it in a good position to achieve the poverty Millennium Development Goal ahead of schedule, but other goals are likely to remain elusive before 2015. In the accelerated growth scenario-which addresses the major gaps in water and sanitation and other infrastructure-even more rapid growth and poverty reduction are possible, but important targets in the areas of education, health, and environment remain unattainable. Although growth is complementary to achievement of the Millennium Development Goals, the authors also find important growth-human development trade-offs in the near term. The estimates show that the resource requirements for achieving the key Millennium Development Goals by 2015 are large, reaching US$82 per capita in an illustrative foreign-grant financed scenario. Increased intake and retention of students contribute to rising scarcity of unskilled labor, buttressing unskilled wages, while high demand for skills from the sectors related to the Millennium Development Goals raises the returns to human capital. These developments lead to improvements in the welfare of the poorest members of Ghanaian society and contribute to a small reduction in overall inequality. 2012-05-24T21:59:15Z 2012-05-24T21:59:15Z 2008-02 http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2008/02/9021834/achieving-accelerated-shared-growth-ghana-mams-based-analysis-costs-opportunities http://hdl.handle.net/10986/6396 English Policy Research Working Paper; No. 4523 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/ World Bank World Bank, Washington, DC Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper Publications & Research Africa Ghana