Agro-Manufactured Export Prices, Wages and Unemployment

This paper estimates the impacts of world agricultural trade liberalization on wages, employment and unemployment in Argentina, a country with positive net agricultural exports and high unemployment rates. In the estimation of these wage and unempl...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Porto, Guido
Format: Policy Research Working Paper
Language:English
Published: Washington, DC: World Bank 2012
Subjects:
WTO
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2008/01/8965647/agro-manufactured-export-prices-wages-unemployment
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/6471
id okr-10986-6471
recordtype oai_dc
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
topic ACTIVE LABOR
ADJUSTMENT COSTS
AGGREGATE UNEMPLOYMENT
AGRICULTURAL PRICES
AGRICULTURE
AVERAGE WAGE
AVERAGE WAGES
CHILD LABOR
COLLEGE EDUCATION
COMMODITIES
COMMODITY
COMMODITY PRICES
COMPARATIVE ADVANTAGE
CURRENCY
DEMAND CURVE
DEMAND CURVES
DEMAND FUNCTIONS
DEREGULATION
DEVELOPMENT POLICY
ECONOMETRIC MODELS
ECONOMETRICS
ECONOMIC ACTIVITY
ECONOMICS
EDUCATIONAL LEVELS
EFFICIENCY WAGES
EMPLOYMENT EFFECT
EMPLOYMENT INCREASES
EMPLOYMENT OPPORTUNITIES
EMPLOYMENT PROBABILITIES
EMPLOYMENT PROBABILITY
EMPLOYMENT STATUS
EMPLOYMENT TRENDS
EQUILIBRIUM PRICES
EQUILIBRIUM UNEMPLOYMENT
ESTIMATED PARAMETERS
EXCHANGE RATES
EXPECTED WAGE
EXPECTED WAGES
EXPENDITURES
EXPORTS
FACTOR MARKETS
FACTOR PRICES
FEDERAL RESERVE
GENERAL EQUILIBRIUM
GENERAL EQUILIBRIUM MODELS
HIGH UNEMPLOYMENT
HIGH UNEMPLOYMENT RATES
HOUSEHOLD CHARACTERISTICS
HOUSEHOLD SURVEY
HOUSEHOLD SURVEYS
INCOME
INCOME DISTRIBUTION
INCOME INCREASES
INCOME SUPPORT
INTERNATIONAL MARKETS
INTERNATIONAL PRICE
INTERNATIONAL PRICES
INTERNATIONAL TRADE
JOB LOSSES
JOB OFFER
JOB OFFERS
JOBS
LABOR DEMAND
LABOR FORCE
LABOR MARKET
LABOR MARKET ADJUSTMENT
LABOR MARKETS
LABOR REALLOCATION
LABOR SUPPLY
LABOUR
LABOUR ADJUSTMENT
LABOUR SUPPLY
LIQUIDITY
LOCAL LABOR MARKETS
LOW-INCOME
MACROECONOMIC CONTEXT
MARGINAL PRODUCTIVITY
MARKET PRICE
MARKET PRICES
MARKET WAGE
MARKET WAGES
MARKETING
MARRIED WOMAN
MARRIED WOMEN
MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD ESTIMATION
MINIMUM WAGE
MINIMUM WAGES
NAIRU
NATIONAL MODELS
NATURAL RATE OF UNEMPLOYMENT
NATURAL RESOURCES
NEW JOBS
OPEN ECONOMY
POLITICAL ECONOMY
PREVIOUS SECTION
PRICE CHANGE
PRICE CHANGES
PRICE INCREASE
PRICE INDEX
PRICE INDEXES
PRICE LEVEL
PRIMARY EDUCATION
PRODUCTIVITY
REGIONAL UNEMPLOYMENT
RESERVE BANK
RURAL LABOR
RURAL LABOR MARKETS
SAHARA
SEARCH COSTS
SECONDARY EDUCATION
SEMISKILLED LABOR
SHADOW PRICES
SKILL PREMIUM
SKILLED LABOR
STATE UNIVERSITY
TARIFF BARRIERS
TELECOMMUNICATIONS
TOTAL EMPLOYMENT
TRADE BARRIERS
TRADE LIBERALIZATION
TRADE POLICIES
TRADE POLICY
TRADE REFORMS
TRANSACTION
TRANSACTIONS COSTS
UNEMPLOYED
UNEMPLOYED INDIVIDUALS
UNEMPLOYED PEOPLE
UNEMPLOYED PERSON
UNEMPLOYED WORKERS
UNEMPLOYMENT
UNEMPLOYMENT BENEFITS
UNEMPLOYMENT RATE
UNSKILLED LABOR
UNSKILLED WORKERS
URBAN EMPLOYMENT
UTILITY MAXIMIZATION
WAGE ADJUSTMENT
WAGE DIFFERENTIALS
WAGE EFFECT
WAGE EFFECTS
WAGE RATES
WORK FORCE
WORKER
WORKERS
WORKING AGE
WORKING AGE POPULATION
WORLD MARKETS
WORLD TRADE
WORLD TRADE ORGANIZATION
WORTH
WTO
spellingShingle ACTIVE LABOR
ADJUSTMENT COSTS
AGGREGATE UNEMPLOYMENT
AGRICULTURAL PRICES
AGRICULTURE
AVERAGE WAGE
AVERAGE WAGES
CHILD LABOR
COLLEGE EDUCATION
COMMODITIES
COMMODITY
COMMODITY PRICES
COMPARATIVE ADVANTAGE
CURRENCY
DEMAND CURVE
DEMAND CURVES
DEMAND FUNCTIONS
DEREGULATION
DEVELOPMENT POLICY
ECONOMETRIC MODELS
ECONOMETRICS
ECONOMIC ACTIVITY
ECONOMICS
EDUCATIONAL LEVELS
EFFICIENCY WAGES
EMPLOYMENT EFFECT
EMPLOYMENT INCREASES
EMPLOYMENT OPPORTUNITIES
EMPLOYMENT PROBABILITIES
EMPLOYMENT PROBABILITY
EMPLOYMENT STATUS
EMPLOYMENT TRENDS
EQUILIBRIUM PRICES
EQUILIBRIUM UNEMPLOYMENT
ESTIMATED PARAMETERS
EXCHANGE RATES
EXPECTED WAGE
EXPECTED WAGES
EXPENDITURES
EXPORTS
FACTOR MARKETS
FACTOR PRICES
FEDERAL RESERVE
GENERAL EQUILIBRIUM
GENERAL EQUILIBRIUM MODELS
HIGH UNEMPLOYMENT
HIGH UNEMPLOYMENT RATES
HOUSEHOLD CHARACTERISTICS
HOUSEHOLD SURVEY
HOUSEHOLD SURVEYS
INCOME
INCOME DISTRIBUTION
INCOME INCREASES
INCOME SUPPORT
INTERNATIONAL MARKETS
INTERNATIONAL PRICE
INTERNATIONAL PRICES
INTERNATIONAL TRADE
JOB LOSSES
JOB OFFER
JOB OFFERS
JOBS
LABOR DEMAND
LABOR FORCE
LABOR MARKET
LABOR MARKET ADJUSTMENT
LABOR MARKETS
LABOR REALLOCATION
LABOR SUPPLY
LABOUR
LABOUR ADJUSTMENT
LABOUR SUPPLY
LIQUIDITY
LOCAL LABOR MARKETS
LOW-INCOME
MACROECONOMIC CONTEXT
MARGINAL PRODUCTIVITY
MARKET PRICE
MARKET PRICES
MARKET WAGE
MARKET WAGES
MARKETING
MARRIED WOMAN
MARRIED WOMEN
MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD ESTIMATION
MINIMUM WAGE
MINIMUM WAGES
NAIRU
NATIONAL MODELS
NATURAL RATE OF UNEMPLOYMENT
NATURAL RESOURCES
NEW JOBS
OPEN ECONOMY
POLITICAL ECONOMY
PREVIOUS SECTION
PRICE CHANGE
PRICE CHANGES
PRICE INCREASE
PRICE INDEX
PRICE INDEXES
PRICE LEVEL
PRIMARY EDUCATION
PRODUCTIVITY
REGIONAL UNEMPLOYMENT
RESERVE BANK
RURAL LABOR
RURAL LABOR MARKETS
SAHARA
SEARCH COSTS
SECONDARY EDUCATION
SEMISKILLED LABOR
SHADOW PRICES
SKILL PREMIUM
SKILLED LABOR
STATE UNIVERSITY
TARIFF BARRIERS
TELECOMMUNICATIONS
TOTAL EMPLOYMENT
TRADE BARRIERS
TRADE LIBERALIZATION
TRADE POLICIES
TRADE POLICY
TRADE REFORMS
TRANSACTION
TRANSACTIONS COSTS
UNEMPLOYED
UNEMPLOYED INDIVIDUALS
UNEMPLOYED PEOPLE
UNEMPLOYED PERSON
UNEMPLOYED WORKERS
UNEMPLOYMENT
UNEMPLOYMENT BENEFITS
UNEMPLOYMENT RATE
UNSKILLED LABOR
UNSKILLED WORKERS
URBAN EMPLOYMENT
UTILITY MAXIMIZATION
WAGE ADJUSTMENT
WAGE DIFFERENTIALS
WAGE EFFECT
WAGE EFFECTS
WAGE RATES
WORK FORCE
WORKER
WORKERS
WORKING AGE
WORKING AGE POPULATION
WORLD MARKETS
WORLD TRADE
WORLD TRADE ORGANIZATION
WORTH
WTO
Porto, Guido
Agro-Manufactured Export Prices, Wages and Unemployment
geographic_facet Latin America & Caribbean
relation Policy Research Working Paper; No. 4489
description This paper estimates the impacts of world agricultural trade liberalization on wages, employment and unemployment in Argentina, a country with positive net agricultural exports and high unemployment rates. In the estimation of these wage and unemployment responses, the empirical model allows for individual labor supply responses and for adjustment costs in labor demand. The findings show that a 10 percent increase in the price of agricultural exports would cause an increase in the Argentine employment probability of 1.36 percentage points, matched by a decline in the unemployment probability of 0.75 percentage points and an increase in labor market participation of 0.61 percentage points. Further, the unemployment rate would decline by 1.23 percentage points (by almost 10 percent). Expected wages would increase by 10.3 percent, an effect that is mostly driven by higher employment probabilities. This indicates that the bulk of the impacts of trade reforms originates in household responses in the presence of adjustment costs, and that failure to account for them may lead to significant biases in the welfare evaluation of trade policy.
format Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper
author Porto, Guido
author_facet Porto, Guido
author_sort Porto, Guido
title Agro-Manufactured Export Prices, Wages and Unemployment
title_short Agro-Manufactured Export Prices, Wages and Unemployment
title_full Agro-Manufactured Export Prices, Wages and Unemployment
title_fullStr Agro-Manufactured Export Prices, Wages and Unemployment
title_full_unstemmed Agro-Manufactured Export Prices, Wages and Unemployment
title_sort agro-manufactured export prices, wages and unemployment
publisher Washington, DC: World Bank
publishDate 2012
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2008/01/8965647/agro-manufactured-export-prices-wages-unemployment
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/6471
_version_ 1764400213553840128
spelling okr-10986-64712021-04-23T14:02:31Z Agro-Manufactured Export Prices, Wages and Unemployment Porto, Guido ACTIVE LABOR ADJUSTMENT COSTS AGGREGATE UNEMPLOYMENT AGRICULTURAL PRICES AGRICULTURE AVERAGE WAGE AVERAGE WAGES CHILD LABOR COLLEGE EDUCATION COMMODITIES COMMODITY COMMODITY PRICES COMPARATIVE ADVANTAGE CURRENCY DEMAND CURVE DEMAND CURVES DEMAND FUNCTIONS DEREGULATION DEVELOPMENT POLICY ECONOMETRIC MODELS ECONOMETRICS ECONOMIC ACTIVITY ECONOMICS EDUCATIONAL LEVELS EFFICIENCY WAGES EMPLOYMENT EFFECT EMPLOYMENT INCREASES EMPLOYMENT OPPORTUNITIES EMPLOYMENT PROBABILITIES EMPLOYMENT PROBABILITY EMPLOYMENT STATUS EMPLOYMENT TRENDS EQUILIBRIUM PRICES EQUILIBRIUM UNEMPLOYMENT ESTIMATED PARAMETERS EXCHANGE RATES EXPECTED WAGE EXPECTED WAGES EXPENDITURES EXPORTS FACTOR MARKETS FACTOR PRICES FEDERAL RESERVE GENERAL EQUILIBRIUM GENERAL EQUILIBRIUM MODELS HIGH UNEMPLOYMENT HIGH UNEMPLOYMENT RATES HOUSEHOLD CHARACTERISTICS HOUSEHOLD SURVEY HOUSEHOLD SURVEYS INCOME INCOME DISTRIBUTION INCOME INCREASES INCOME SUPPORT INTERNATIONAL MARKETS INTERNATIONAL PRICE INTERNATIONAL PRICES INTERNATIONAL TRADE JOB LOSSES JOB OFFER JOB OFFERS JOBS LABOR DEMAND LABOR FORCE LABOR MARKET LABOR MARKET ADJUSTMENT LABOR MARKETS LABOR REALLOCATION LABOR SUPPLY LABOUR LABOUR ADJUSTMENT LABOUR SUPPLY LIQUIDITY LOCAL LABOR MARKETS LOW-INCOME MACROECONOMIC CONTEXT MARGINAL PRODUCTIVITY MARKET PRICE MARKET PRICES MARKET WAGE MARKET WAGES MARKETING MARRIED WOMAN MARRIED WOMEN MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD ESTIMATION MINIMUM WAGE MINIMUM WAGES NAIRU NATIONAL MODELS NATURAL RATE OF UNEMPLOYMENT NATURAL RESOURCES NEW JOBS OPEN ECONOMY POLITICAL ECONOMY PREVIOUS SECTION PRICE CHANGE PRICE CHANGES PRICE INCREASE PRICE INDEX PRICE INDEXES PRICE LEVEL PRIMARY EDUCATION PRODUCTIVITY REGIONAL UNEMPLOYMENT RESERVE BANK RURAL LABOR RURAL LABOR MARKETS SAHARA SEARCH COSTS SECONDARY EDUCATION SEMISKILLED LABOR SHADOW PRICES SKILL PREMIUM SKILLED LABOR STATE UNIVERSITY TARIFF BARRIERS TELECOMMUNICATIONS TOTAL EMPLOYMENT TRADE BARRIERS TRADE LIBERALIZATION TRADE POLICIES TRADE POLICY TRADE REFORMS TRANSACTION TRANSACTIONS COSTS UNEMPLOYED UNEMPLOYED INDIVIDUALS UNEMPLOYED PEOPLE UNEMPLOYED PERSON UNEMPLOYED WORKERS UNEMPLOYMENT UNEMPLOYMENT BENEFITS UNEMPLOYMENT RATE UNSKILLED LABOR UNSKILLED WORKERS URBAN EMPLOYMENT UTILITY MAXIMIZATION WAGE ADJUSTMENT WAGE DIFFERENTIALS WAGE EFFECT WAGE EFFECTS WAGE RATES WORK FORCE WORKER WORKERS WORKING AGE WORKING AGE POPULATION WORLD MARKETS WORLD TRADE WORLD TRADE ORGANIZATION WORTH WTO This paper estimates the impacts of world agricultural trade liberalization on wages, employment and unemployment in Argentina, a country with positive net agricultural exports and high unemployment rates. In the estimation of these wage and unemployment responses, the empirical model allows for individual labor supply responses and for adjustment costs in labor demand. The findings show that a 10 percent increase in the price of agricultural exports would cause an increase in the Argentine employment probability of 1.36 percentage points, matched by a decline in the unemployment probability of 0.75 percentage points and an increase in labor market participation of 0.61 percentage points. Further, the unemployment rate would decline by 1.23 percentage points (by almost 10 percent). Expected wages would increase by 10.3 percent, an effect that is mostly driven by higher employment probabilities. This indicates that the bulk of the impacts of trade reforms originates in household responses in the presence of adjustment costs, and that failure to account for them may lead to significant biases in the welfare evaluation of trade policy. 2012-05-25T20:30:54Z 2012-05-25T20:30:54Z 2008-01 http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2008/01/8965647/agro-manufactured-export-prices-wages-unemployment http://hdl.handle.net/10986/6471 English Policy Research Working Paper; No. 4489 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/ World Bank Washington, DC: World Bank Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper Publications & Research Latin America & Caribbean