The Econometrics of Finance and Growth

This paper reviews different econometric methodologies to assess the relationship between financial development and growth. It illustrates the identification problem, which is at the center of the finance and growth literature, using the example o...

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Main Author: Beck, Thorsten
Format: Policy Research Working Paper
Language:English
Published: World Bank, Washington, DC 2012
Subjects:
GNP
M2
M3
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2008/04/9385090/econometrics-finance-growth
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/6703
id okr-10986-6703
recordtype oai_dc
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
topic ABSENCE OF CREDIT
ACCESS TO CREDIT
ACCESS TO FINANCE
ACCESS TO FINANCIAL SERVICES
ACCOUNTING
AGGREGATE LEVEL
AGRICULTURE
AMOUNT OF CREDIT
ANNUAL GROWTH
ANNUAL GROWTH RATE
AUTOREGRESSION
AVERAGE GROWTH
AVERAGE GROWTH RATE
BAD BANKS
BANK BRANCH
BANK POLICY
BANKING CRISIS
BANKING INSTITUTIONS
BANKING SECTOR
BANKING SECTOR DEVELOPMENT
BANKING SYSTEMS
BANKS
BENCHMARK
BIASES
BOND
BONDS
BORROWING
BUSINESS CYCLE
CAPITAL ACCUMULATION
CAPITAL ALLOCATION
CASH FLOW
CASH HOLDINGS
COMPETITIVENESS
CONSUMER CREDIT
CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURES
CORPORATE GOVERNANCE
COUNTRY CHARACTERISTICS
COUNTRY DATA
COUNTRY REGRESSIONS
COUNTRY SPECIFIC
COVARIANCE MATRIX
CREDIT ACCESS
CREDIT CONSTRAINED FIRMS
CREDIT CONSTRAINTS
CREDIT INSTITUTION
CREDIT MARKET
CREDIT PROGRAM
CREDIT PROGRAMS
DATA SETS
DEMAND FOR MONEY
DEPENDENT VARIABLE
DEPOSIT
DEPOSIT INSURANCE
DEREGULATION
DEVELOPED COUNTRIES
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS
DEVELOPMENT INDICATORS
DEVELOPMENT RESEARCH
DISAGGREGATED LEVEL
DYNAMIC PANEL
EARNINGS
ECONOMETRIC MODELS
ECONOMETRICS
ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT
ECONOMIC GROWTH
ECONOMIC HISTORY
ECONOMIC LITERATURE
ECONOMIC PERFORMANCE
ECONOMIC STATISTICS
ECONOMIC STUDIES
ECONOMICS
ECONOMICS LETTERS
EMPIRICAL STUDIES
EMPLOYMENT EQUATIONS
ENDOGENOUS VARIABLES
ERROR TERM
ERROR TERMS
ESTIMATION TECHNIQUES
EXCLUSION
EXOGENOUS VARIABLES
EXPENDITURES
EXPLANATORY VARIABLES
EXTERNAL FINANCE
EXTERNAL FINANCING
FARMERS
FEDERAL RESERVE
FINANCIAL DEPTH
FINANCIAL DEVELOPMENT
FINANCIAL FRAGILITY
FINANCIAL INFORMATION
FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS
FINANCIAL INTERMEDIARIES
FINANCIAL INTERMEDIARY
FINANCIAL INTERMEDIATION
FINANCIAL LIBERALIZATION
FINANCIAL MARKETS
FINANCIAL OUTREACH
FINANCIAL SECTOR
FINANCIAL SECTOR DEVELOPMENT
FINANCIAL SECTOR INDICATORS
FINANCIAL STRUCTURE
FINANCIAL SYSTEM
FINANCIAL SYSTEMS
FINANCING NEED
FINANCING NEEDS
FINANCING OBSTACLE
FINANCING OBSTACLES
FIXED EFFECTS
GDP PER CAPITA
GENDER
GNP
GROUP LENDING
GROWTH EFFECT
GROWTH IMPACT
GROWTH LITERATURE
GROWTH MODELS
GROWTH RATE
GROWTH RATES
GROWTH REGRESSION
GROWTH REGRESSIONS
HOLDINGS
HOUSEHOLD DATA
HOUSEHOLD SURVEYS
HOUSEHOLD WELFARE
HOUSEHOLDS
INCOME DISTRIBUTION
INCOME INEQUALITY
INDIVIDUAL COUNTRIES
INDUSTRIALIZATION
INDUSTRIALIZED COUNTRIES
INEQUALITY
INFORMATION ASYMMETRIES
INSTITUTIONAL INVESTORS
INSTRUMENT
INTERNAL FUNDS
INTERNATIONAL BANK
INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS
INTERNATIONAL TRADE
INVESTMENT DECISION
INVESTMENT DECISIONS
INVESTMENT PROJECTS
LABOR MARKET
LAGGED DEPENDENT
LAGGED LEVELS
LAGGED VALUES
LEGAL CONSTRAINTS
LEGAL REFORMS
LIQUID ASSETS
LIQUIDITY
LOAN
LONG RUN
M2
M3
MACROECONOMIC VARIABLES
MARGINAL COST
MARGINAL PRODUCT
MARKET CONSTRAINTS
MARKET DEVELOPMENT
MARKET LIQUIDITY
MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD ESTIMATION
MICRO-DATA
MICRO-ENTERPRISES
MICROCREDIT
MICRODATA
MICROENTERPRISES
MICROFINANCE
MICROFINANCE INSTITUTIONS
MONETARY ECONOMICS
NORMAL DISTRIBUTION
0 HYPOTHESIS
OPEN ECONOMIES
OPTIMAL INVESTMENT
OUTREACH
PANEL REGRESSIONS
PAYMENT SERVICES
PER CAPITA GROWTH
PHYSICAL CAPITAL
POLICY CHANGE
POLICY CHANGES
POLICY INTERVENTIONS
POLICY REFORMS
POLICY RESEARCH
POLICY VARIABLES
POLITICAL ECONOMY
POOR HOUSEHOLDS
POVERTY LEVELS
PRIVATE CREDIT
PRODUCTIVITY GROWTH
PROPERTY RIGHTS
REAL GDP
REINVESTMENT
RELATIVE IMPORTANCE
RESOURCE ALLOCATION
RETURNS
SALES GROWTH
SAVINGS
SECURITIES
SERIAL CORRELATION
SHORT-TERM BORROWING
SIGNIFICANT CORRELATION
SIGNIFICANT EFFECT
SMALL ENTERPRISES
STANDARD DEVIATION
STATISTICAL ANALYSIS
STOCK MARKET
STOCK MARKET DEVELOPMENT
STOCK MARKETS
SUPPLY CURVE
TRADE CREDIT
TRADE OPENNESS
TRANSACTION
TRANSACTION COSTS
TURNOVER
VALUE ADDED
VILLAGE
VILLAGES
spellingShingle ABSENCE OF CREDIT
ACCESS TO CREDIT
ACCESS TO FINANCE
ACCESS TO FINANCIAL SERVICES
ACCOUNTING
AGGREGATE LEVEL
AGRICULTURE
AMOUNT OF CREDIT
ANNUAL GROWTH
ANNUAL GROWTH RATE
AUTOREGRESSION
AVERAGE GROWTH
AVERAGE GROWTH RATE
BAD BANKS
BANK BRANCH
BANK POLICY
BANKING CRISIS
BANKING INSTITUTIONS
BANKING SECTOR
BANKING SECTOR DEVELOPMENT
BANKING SYSTEMS
BANKS
BENCHMARK
BIASES
BOND
BONDS
BORROWING
BUSINESS CYCLE
CAPITAL ACCUMULATION
CAPITAL ALLOCATION
CASH FLOW
CASH HOLDINGS
COMPETITIVENESS
CONSUMER CREDIT
CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURES
CORPORATE GOVERNANCE
COUNTRY CHARACTERISTICS
COUNTRY DATA
COUNTRY REGRESSIONS
COUNTRY SPECIFIC
COVARIANCE MATRIX
CREDIT ACCESS
CREDIT CONSTRAINED FIRMS
CREDIT CONSTRAINTS
CREDIT INSTITUTION
CREDIT MARKET
CREDIT PROGRAM
CREDIT PROGRAMS
DATA SETS
DEMAND FOR MONEY
DEPENDENT VARIABLE
DEPOSIT
DEPOSIT INSURANCE
DEREGULATION
DEVELOPED COUNTRIES
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS
DEVELOPMENT INDICATORS
DEVELOPMENT RESEARCH
DISAGGREGATED LEVEL
DYNAMIC PANEL
EARNINGS
ECONOMETRIC MODELS
ECONOMETRICS
ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT
ECONOMIC GROWTH
ECONOMIC HISTORY
ECONOMIC LITERATURE
ECONOMIC PERFORMANCE
ECONOMIC STATISTICS
ECONOMIC STUDIES
ECONOMICS
ECONOMICS LETTERS
EMPIRICAL STUDIES
EMPLOYMENT EQUATIONS
ENDOGENOUS VARIABLES
ERROR TERM
ERROR TERMS
ESTIMATION TECHNIQUES
EXCLUSION
EXOGENOUS VARIABLES
EXPENDITURES
EXPLANATORY VARIABLES
EXTERNAL FINANCE
EXTERNAL FINANCING
FARMERS
FEDERAL RESERVE
FINANCIAL DEPTH
FINANCIAL DEVELOPMENT
FINANCIAL FRAGILITY
FINANCIAL INFORMATION
FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS
FINANCIAL INTERMEDIARIES
FINANCIAL INTERMEDIARY
FINANCIAL INTERMEDIATION
FINANCIAL LIBERALIZATION
FINANCIAL MARKETS
FINANCIAL OUTREACH
FINANCIAL SECTOR
FINANCIAL SECTOR DEVELOPMENT
FINANCIAL SECTOR INDICATORS
FINANCIAL STRUCTURE
FINANCIAL SYSTEM
FINANCIAL SYSTEMS
FINANCING NEED
FINANCING NEEDS
FINANCING OBSTACLE
FINANCING OBSTACLES
FIXED EFFECTS
GDP PER CAPITA
GENDER
GNP
GROUP LENDING
GROWTH EFFECT
GROWTH IMPACT
GROWTH LITERATURE
GROWTH MODELS
GROWTH RATE
GROWTH RATES
GROWTH REGRESSION
GROWTH REGRESSIONS
HOLDINGS
HOUSEHOLD DATA
HOUSEHOLD SURVEYS
HOUSEHOLD WELFARE
HOUSEHOLDS
INCOME DISTRIBUTION
INCOME INEQUALITY
INDIVIDUAL COUNTRIES
INDUSTRIALIZATION
INDUSTRIALIZED COUNTRIES
INEQUALITY
INFORMATION ASYMMETRIES
INSTITUTIONAL INVESTORS
INSTRUMENT
INTERNAL FUNDS
INTERNATIONAL BANK
INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS
INTERNATIONAL TRADE
INVESTMENT DECISION
INVESTMENT DECISIONS
INVESTMENT PROJECTS
LABOR MARKET
LAGGED DEPENDENT
LAGGED LEVELS
LAGGED VALUES
LEGAL CONSTRAINTS
LEGAL REFORMS
LIQUID ASSETS
LIQUIDITY
LOAN
LONG RUN
M2
M3
MACROECONOMIC VARIABLES
MARGINAL COST
MARGINAL PRODUCT
MARKET CONSTRAINTS
MARKET DEVELOPMENT
MARKET LIQUIDITY
MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD ESTIMATION
MICRO-DATA
MICRO-ENTERPRISES
MICROCREDIT
MICRODATA
MICROENTERPRISES
MICROFINANCE
MICROFINANCE INSTITUTIONS
MONETARY ECONOMICS
NORMAL DISTRIBUTION
0 HYPOTHESIS
OPEN ECONOMIES
OPTIMAL INVESTMENT
OUTREACH
PANEL REGRESSIONS
PAYMENT SERVICES
PER CAPITA GROWTH
PHYSICAL CAPITAL
POLICY CHANGE
POLICY CHANGES
POLICY INTERVENTIONS
POLICY REFORMS
POLICY RESEARCH
POLICY VARIABLES
POLITICAL ECONOMY
POOR HOUSEHOLDS
POVERTY LEVELS
PRIVATE CREDIT
PRODUCTIVITY GROWTH
PROPERTY RIGHTS
REAL GDP
REINVESTMENT
RELATIVE IMPORTANCE
RESOURCE ALLOCATION
RETURNS
SALES GROWTH
SAVINGS
SECURITIES
SERIAL CORRELATION
SHORT-TERM BORROWING
SIGNIFICANT CORRELATION
SIGNIFICANT EFFECT
SMALL ENTERPRISES
STANDARD DEVIATION
STATISTICAL ANALYSIS
STOCK MARKET
STOCK MARKET DEVELOPMENT
STOCK MARKETS
SUPPLY CURVE
TRADE CREDIT
TRADE OPENNESS
TRANSACTION
TRANSACTION COSTS
TURNOVER
VALUE ADDED
VILLAGE
VILLAGES
Beck, Thorsten
The Econometrics of Finance and Growth
relation Policy Research Working Paper No. 4608
description This paper reviews different econometric methodologies to assess the relationship between financial development and growth. It illustrates the identification problem, which is at the center of the finance and growth literature, using the example of a simple Ordinary Least Squares estimation. It discusses cross-sectional and panel instrumental variable approaches to overcome the identification problem. It presents the time-series approach, which focuses on the forecast capacity of financial development for future growth rates, and differences-in-differences techniques that try to overcome the identification problem by assessing the differential effect of financial sector development across states with different policies or across industries with different needs for external finance. Finally, it discusses firm-level and household approaches that allow analysts to dig deeper into the channels and mechanisms through which financial development enhances growth and welfare, but pose their own methodological challenges.
format Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper
author Beck, Thorsten
author_facet Beck, Thorsten
author_sort Beck, Thorsten
title The Econometrics of Finance and Growth
title_short The Econometrics of Finance and Growth
title_full The Econometrics of Finance and Growth
title_fullStr The Econometrics of Finance and Growth
title_full_unstemmed The Econometrics of Finance and Growth
title_sort econometrics of finance and growth
publisher World Bank, Washington, DC
publishDate 2012
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2008/04/9385090/econometrics-finance-growth
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/6703
_version_ 1764400710414237696
spelling okr-10986-67032021-04-23T14:02:31Z The Econometrics of Finance and Growth Beck, Thorsten ABSENCE OF CREDIT ACCESS TO CREDIT ACCESS TO FINANCE ACCESS TO FINANCIAL SERVICES ACCOUNTING AGGREGATE LEVEL AGRICULTURE AMOUNT OF CREDIT ANNUAL GROWTH ANNUAL GROWTH RATE AUTOREGRESSION AVERAGE GROWTH AVERAGE GROWTH RATE BAD BANKS BANK BRANCH BANK POLICY BANKING CRISIS BANKING INSTITUTIONS BANKING SECTOR BANKING SECTOR DEVELOPMENT BANKING SYSTEMS BANKS BENCHMARK BIASES BOND BONDS BORROWING BUSINESS CYCLE CAPITAL ACCUMULATION CAPITAL ALLOCATION CASH FLOW CASH HOLDINGS COMPETITIVENESS CONSUMER CREDIT CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURES CORPORATE GOVERNANCE COUNTRY CHARACTERISTICS COUNTRY DATA COUNTRY REGRESSIONS COUNTRY SPECIFIC COVARIANCE MATRIX CREDIT ACCESS CREDIT CONSTRAINED FIRMS CREDIT CONSTRAINTS CREDIT INSTITUTION CREDIT MARKET CREDIT PROGRAM CREDIT PROGRAMS DATA SETS DEMAND FOR MONEY DEPENDENT VARIABLE DEPOSIT DEPOSIT INSURANCE DEREGULATION DEVELOPED COUNTRIES DEVELOPING COUNTRIES DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS DEVELOPMENT INDICATORS DEVELOPMENT RESEARCH DISAGGREGATED LEVEL DYNAMIC PANEL EARNINGS ECONOMETRIC MODELS ECONOMETRICS ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT ECONOMIC GROWTH ECONOMIC HISTORY ECONOMIC LITERATURE ECONOMIC PERFORMANCE ECONOMIC STATISTICS ECONOMIC STUDIES ECONOMICS ECONOMICS LETTERS EMPIRICAL STUDIES EMPLOYMENT EQUATIONS ENDOGENOUS VARIABLES ERROR TERM ERROR TERMS ESTIMATION TECHNIQUES EXCLUSION EXOGENOUS VARIABLES EXPENDITURES EXPLANATORY VARIABLES EXTERNAL FINANCE EXTERNAL FINANCING FARMERS FEDERAL RESERVE FINANCIAL DEPTH FINANCIAL DEVELOPMENT FINANCIAL FRAGILITY FINANCIAL INFORMATION FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS FINANCIAL INTERMEDIARIES FINANCIAL INTERMEDIARY FINANCIAL INTERMEDIATION FINANCIAL LIBERALIZATION FINANCIAL MARKETS FINANCIAL OUTREACH FINANCIAL SECTOR FINANCIAL SECTOR DEVELOPMENT FINANCIAL SECTOR INDICATORS FINANCIAL STRUCTURE FINANCIAL SYSTEM FINANCIAL SYSTEMS FINANCING NEED FINANCING NEEDS FINANCING OBSTACLE FINANCING OBSTACLES FIXED EFFECTS GDP PER CAPITA GENDER GNP GROUP LENDING GROWTH EFFECT GROWTH IMPACT GROWTH LITERATURE GROWTH MODELS GROWTH RATE GROWTH RATES GROWTH REGRESSION GROWTH REGRESSIONS HOLDINGS HOUSEHOLD DATA HOUSEHOLD SURVEYS HOUSEHOLD WELFARE HOUSEHOLDS INCOME DISTRIBUTION INCOME INEQUALITY INDIVIDUAL COUNTRIES INDUSTRIALIZATION INDUSTRIALIZED COUNTRIES INEQUALITY INFORMATION ASYMMETRIES INSTITUTIONAL INVESTORS INSTRUMENT INTERNAL FUNDS INTERNATIONAL BANK INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS INTERNATIONAL TRADE INVESTMENT DECISION INVESTMENT DECISIONS INVESTMENT PROJECTS LABOR MARKET LAGGED DEPENDENT LAGGED LEVELS LAGGED VALUES LEGAL CONSTRAINTS LEGAL REFORMS LIQUID ASSETS LIQUIDITY LOAN LONG RUN M2 M3 MACROECONOMIC VARIABLES MARGINAL COST MARGINAL PRODUCT MARKET CONSTRAINTS MARKET DEVELOPMENT MARKET LIQUIDITY MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD ESTIMATION MICRO-DATA MICRO-ENTERPRISES MICROCREDIT MICRODATA MICROENTERPRISES MICROFINANCE MICROFINANCE INSTITUTIONS MONETARY ECONOMICS NORMAL DISTRIBUTION 0 HYPOTHESIS OPEN ECONOMIES OPTIMAL INVESTMENT OUTREACH PANEL REGRESSIONS PAYMENT SERVICES PER CAPITA GROWTH PHYSICAL CAPITAL POLICY CHANGE POLICY CHANGES POLICY INTERVENTIONS POLICY REFORMS POLICY RESEARCH POLICY VARIABLES POLITICAL ECONOMY POOR HOUSEHOLDS POVERTY LEVELS PRIVATE CREDIT PRODUCTIVITY GROWTH PROPERTY RIGHTS REAL GDP REINVESTMENT RELATIVE IMPORTANCE RESOURCE ALLOCATION RETURNS SALES GROWTH SAVINGS SECURITIES SERIAL CORRELATION SHORT-TERM BORROWING SIGNIFICANT CORRELATION SIGNIFICANT EFFECT SMALL ENTERPRISES STANDARD DEVIATION STATISTICAL ANALYSIS STOCK MARKET STOCK MARKET DEVELOPMENT STOCK MARKETS SUPPLY CURVE TRADE CREDIT TRADE OPENNESS TRANSACTION TRANSACTION COSTS TURNOVER VALUE ADDED VILLAGE VILLAGES This paper reviews different econometric methodologies to assess the relationship between financial development and growth. It illustrates the identification problem, which is at the center of the finance and growth literature, using the example of a simple Ordinary Least Squares estimation. It discusses cross-sectional and panel instrumental variable approaches to overcome the identification problem. It presents the time-series approach, which focuses on the forecast capacity of financial development for future growth rates, and differences-in-differences techniques that try to overcome the identification problem by assessing the differential effect of financial sector development across states with different policies or across industries with different needs for external finance. Finally, it discusses firm-level and household approaches that allow analysts to dig deeper into the channels and mechanisms through which financial development enhances growth and welfare, but pose their own methodological challenges. 2012-05-30T19:50:42Z 2012-05-30T19:50:42Z 2008-04 http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2008/04/9385090/econometrics-finance-growth http://hdl.handle.net/10986/6703 English Policy Research Working Paper No. 4608 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/ World Bank World Bank, Washington, DC Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper Publications & Research