Differential Adaptation Strategies by Agro-Ecological Zones in African Livestock Management

Differential Adaptation Strategies by Agro-Ecological Zones in African Livestock Management

This paper examines how farmers have adapted their livestock operation to the current climate in each agro-ecological zone in Africa. The authors examine how climate has affected the farmer's choice to raise livestock or not and the choice of...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors:	Seo, S. Niggol, Mendelsohn, Robert, Dinar, Ariel, Kurukulasuriya, Pradeep
Format:	Policy Research Working Paper
Language:	English
Published:	World Bank, Washington, DC 2012
Subjects:	ANATOMY ANIMAL ANIMAL DISEASES ANIMAL HUSBANDRY ANIMAL SPECIES ANIMALS ASSESSMENT REPORT BEEF BEEF CATTLE BREEDS CATTLE OWNERSHIP CHICKEN CHICKENS CLIMATE CHANGE CLIMATE VARIABILITY CLIMATIC CHANGE DAIRY DAIRY CATTLE DAIRY FARMS DETERMINANTS DRY AREAS EAST COAST FEVER ECOLOGICAL CONDITIONS FARM FARMER FARMERS FARMS FLIES FOREST GEOLOGICAL SURVEY GOAT GOATS GRAINS GREENHOUSE GAS HIGHLAND ZONES HIGHLANDS HUMID FORESTS ISSUES LAND USE LATIN AMERICAN LIVESTOCK LIVESTOCK DISEASES LIVESTOCK FARMING LIVESTOCK FARMS LIVESTOCK HOLDINGS LIVESTOCK MANAGEMENT LIVESTOCK OPERATION LIVESTOCK OPERATIONS LIVESTOCK OWNERS LIVESTOCK OWNERSHIP LIVESTOCK PRODUCTIVITY LIVESTOCK RESEARCH LIVESTOCK SPECIES LIVESTOCK SYSTEMS LOWLAND FORESTS MILK MILK PRICE MILKING MOUNTAINS RAINFALL RIFT VALLEY FEVER SAHARA SAHEL SATELLITE OBSERVATIONS SAVANNA SEASONAL CHANGES SHEEP SOUTH AMERICA SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT TRYPANOSOMIASIS URBAN DEVELOPMENT URBANIZATION VETERINARY VETERINARY MEDICINE VILLAGES
Online Access:	http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2008/04/9365779/differential-adaptation-strategies-agro-ecological-zones-african-livestock-management http://hdl.handle.net/10986/6751

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Summary:	This paper examines how farmers have adapted their livestock operation to the current climate in each agro-ecological zone in Africa. The authors examine how climate has affected the farmer's choice to raise livestock or not and the choice of animal species. To measure adaptation, the analysis regresses the farmer's choice on climate, soil, water flow, and socio-economic variables. The findings show that climate does in fact affect the farmer's decision about whether to raise livestock and the species. The paper also simulates how future climates may alter these decisions using forecasts from climate models and the estimated model. With a hot dry scenario, livestock ownership will increase slightly across all of Africa, but especially in West Africa and high elevation agro-ecological zones. Dairy cattle will decrease in semi-arid regions, sheep will increase in the lowlands, and chickens will increase at high elevations. With a mild and wet scenario, however, livestock adoption will fall dramatically in lowland and high latitude moist agro-ecological zones. Beef cattle will increase and sheep will fall in dry zones, dairy cattle will fall precipitously and goats will rise in moist zones, and chickens will increase at high elevations but fall at mid elevations. Livestock adaptations depend on the climate scenario and will vary across the landscape. Agro-ecological zones are a useful way to capture how these changes differ from place to place.

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