A Structural Ricardian Analysis of Climate Change Impacts and Adaptations in African Agriculture
This paper develops a Structural Ricardian model to measure climate change impacts that explicitly models the choice of farm type in African agriculture. This two stage model first estimates the type of farm chosen and then the conditional incomes...
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| Format: | Policy Research Working Paper |
| Language: | English |
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World Bank, Washington, DC
2012
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| Online Access: | http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2008/04/9366587/structural-ricardian-analysis-climate-change-impacts-adaptations-african-agriculture http://hdl.handle.net/10986/6770 |
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okr-10986-67702021-04-23T14:02:31Z A Structural Ricardian Analysis of Climate Change Impacts and Adaptations in African Agriculture Seo, S. Niggol Mendelsohn, Robert AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS AGRICULTURAL OUTPUT AGRICULTURAL POLICY AGRICULTURAL POTENTIAL ANIMALS CLIMATE CLIMATE CHANGE CLIMATE CHANGES CLIMATE IMPACTS CLIMATE MODELS CLIMATE SYSTEM CLIMATE VARIABLES CLIMATIC CHANGE CROP CROPS CULTIVATION ECOLOGICAL ZONES ECONOMIC IMPACTS ELECTRICITY FAO FARM FARM INCOME FARM INCOMES FARMER FARMERS FARMING FARMLAND FARMS FORESTRY GLOBAL WARMING GREENHOUSE GAS INTERGOVERNMENTAL PANEL ON CLIMATE CHANGE IPCC IRRIGATION LAND VALUE LIVESTOCK LIVESTOCK DISEASES LIVESTOCK MANAGEMENT LIVESTOCK PRODUCTS LIVESTOCK SPECIES MAIZE MICROECONOMICS MILK MILK PRODUCTION MILLET MIXED FARMING NORTH AFRICA PRECIPITATION PRIVATE PROPERTY RIGHTS RAINFALL RAINFED AGRICULTURE RAINFED FARMING SOIL SOIL TYPE SOILS SOUTH AMERICA SOUTH AMERICAN SPACING SPRING TEMPERATURE TEMPERATURE DATA WATER RESOURCES WORLD FOOD SUPPLY This paper develops a Structural Ricardian model to measure climate change impacts that explicitly models the choice of farm type in African agriculture. This two stage model first estimates the type of farm chosen and then the conditional incomes of each farm type after removing selection biases. The results indicate that increases in temperature encourage farmers to adopt mixed farming and avoid specialized farms such as crop-only or livestock-only farms. Increases in precipitation encourage farmers to shift from irrigated to rainfed crops. As temperatures increase, farm incomes from crop-only farms or livestock-only farms fall whereas incomes from mixed farms increase. With precipitation increases, farm incomes from irrigated farms fall whereas incomes from rainfed farms increase. Naturally, the Structural Ricardian model predicts much smaller impacts than a model that holds farm type fixed. With a hot dry climate scenario, the Structural Ricardian model predicts that farm income will fall 50 percent but the fixed farm type model predicts farm incomes will fall 75 percent. 2012-05-31T18:47:33Z 2012-05-31T18:47:33Z 2008-04 http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2008/04/9366587/structural-ricardian-analysis-climate-change-impacts-adaptations-african-agriculture http://hdl.handle.net/10986/6770 English Policy Research Working Paper No. 4603 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/ World Bank World Bank, Washington, DC Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper Publications & Research Africa Africa |
| repository_type |
Digital Repository |
| institution_category |
Foreign Institution |
| institution |
Digital Repositories |
| building |
World Bank Open Knowledge Repository |
| collection |
World Bank |
| language |
English |
| topic |
AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS AGRICULTURAL OUTPUT AGRICULTURAL POLICY AGRICULTURAL POTENTIAL ANIMALS CLIMATE CLIMATE CHANGE CLIMATE CHANGES CLIMATE IMPACTS CLIMATE MODELS CLIMATE SYSTEM CLIMATE VARIABLES CLIMATIC CHANGE CROP CROPS CULTIVATION ECOLOGICAL ZONES ECONOMIC IMPACTS ELECTRICITY FAO FARM FARM INCOME FARM INCOMES FARMER FARMERS FARMING FARMLAND FARMS FORESTRY GLOBAL WARMING GREENHOUSE GAS INTERGOVERNMENTAL PANEL ON CLIMATE CHANGE IPCC IRRIGATION LAND VALUE LIVESTOCK LIVESTOCK DISEASES LIVESTOCK MANAGEMENT LIVESTOCK PRODUCTS LIVESTOCK SPECIES MAIZE MICROECONOMICS MILK MILK PRODUCTION MILLET MIXED FARMING NORTH AFRICA PRECIPITATION PRIVATE PROPERTY RIGHTS RAINFALL RAINFED AGRICULTURE RAINFED FARMING SOIL SOIL TYPE SOILS SOUTH AMERICA SOUTH AMERICAN SPACING SPRING TEMPERATURE TEMPERATURE DATA WATER RESOURCES WORLD FOOD SUPPLY |
| spellingShingle |
AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS AGRICULTURAL OUTPUT AGRICULTURAL POLICY AGRICULTURAL POTENTIAL ANIMALS CLIMATE CLIMATE CHANGE CLIMATE CHANGES CLIMATE IMPACTS CLIMATE MODELS CLIMATE SYSTEM CLIMATE VARIABLES CLIMATIC CHANGE CROP CROPS CULTIVATION ECOLOGICAL ZONES ECONOMIC IMPACTS ELECTRICITY FAO FARM FARM INCOME FARM INCOMES FARMER FARMERS FARMING FARMLAND FARMS FORESTRY GLOBAL WARMING GREENHOUSE GAS INTERGOVERNMENTAL PANEL ON CLIMATE CHANGE IPCC IRRIGATION LAND VALUE LIVESTOCK LIVESTOCK DISEASES LIVESTOCK MANAGEMENT LIVESTOCK PRODUCTS LIVESTOCK SPECIES MAIZE MICROECONOMICS MILK MILK PRODUCTION MILLET MIXED FARMING NORTH AFRICA PRECIPITATION PRIVATE PROPERTY RIGHTS RAINFALL RAINFED AGRICULTURE RAINFED FARMING SOIL SOIL TYPE SOILS SOUTH AMERICA SOUTH AMERICAN SPACING SPRING TEMPERATURE TEMPERATURE DATA WATER RESOURCES WORLD FOOD SUPPLY Seo, S. Niggol Mendelsohn, Robert A Structural Ricardian Analysis of Climate Change Impacts and Adaptations in African Agriculture |
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Africa Africa |
| relation |
Policy Research Working Paper No. 4603 |
| description |
This paper develops a Structural
Ricardian model to measure climate change impacts that
explicitly models the choice of farm type in African
agriculture. This two stage model first estimates the type
of farm chosen and then the conditional incomes of each farm
type after removing selection biases. The results indicate
that increases in temperature encourage farmers to adopt
mixed farming and avoid specialized farms such as crop-only
or livestock-only farms. Increases in precipitation
encourage farmers to shift from irrigated to rainfed crops.
As temperatures increase, farm incomes from crop-only farms
or livestock-only farms fall whereas incomes from mixed
farms increase. With precipitation increases, farm incomes
from irrigated farms fall whereas incomes from rainfed farms
increase. Naturally, the Structural Ricardian model
predicts much smaller impacts than a model that holds farm
type fixed. With a hot dry climate scenario, the Structural
Ricardian model predicts that farm income will fall 50
percent but the fixed farm type model predicts farm incomes
will fall 75 percent. |
| format |
Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper |
| author |
Seo, S. Niggol Mendelsohn, Robert |
| author_facet |
Seo, S. Niggol Mendelsohn, Robert |
| author_sort |
Seo, S. Niggol |
| title |
A Structural Ricardian Analysis of Climate Change Impacts and Adaptations in African Agriculture |
| title_short |
A Structural Ricardian Analysis of Climate Change Impacts and Adaptations in African Agriculture |
| title_full |
A Structural Ricardian Analysis of Climate Change Impacts and Adaptations in African Agriculture |
| title_fullStr |
A Structural Ricardian Analysis of Climate Change Impacts and Adaptations in African Agriculture |
| title_full_unstemmed |
A Structural Ricardian Analysis of Climate Change Impacts and Adaptations in African Agriculture |
| title_sort |
structural ricardian analysis of climate change impacts and adaptations in african agriculture |
| publisher |
World Bank, Washington, DC |
| publishDate |
2012 |
| url |
http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2008/04/9366587/structural-ricardian-analysis-climate-change-impacts-adaptations-african-agriculture http://hdl.handle.net/10986/6770 |
| _version_ |
1764400839447805952 |