How China's Farmers Adapt to Climate Change

This paper uses a cross sectional method to analyze irrigation choice and crop choice across 8,405 farmers in 28 provinces in China. The findings show that Chinese farmers are more likely to irrigate when facing lower temperatures and less precipit...

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Main Authors: Wang, Jinxia, Mendelsohn, Robert, Dinar, Ariel, Huang, Jikun
Format: Policy Research Working Paper
Language:English
Published: World Bank, Washington, DC 2012
Subjects:
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2008/10/9962762/chinas-farmers-adapt-climate-change
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/6915
id okr-10986-6915
recordtype oai_dc
spelling okr-10986-69152021-04-23T14:02:32Z How China's Farmers Adapt to Climate Change Wang, Jinxia Mendelsohn, Robert Dinar, Ariel Huang, Jikun ACCESS TO MARKETS AGRICULTURAL DEVELOPMENT AGRICULTURAL POLICY AGRICULTURAL RESEARCH AGRICULTURAL SYSTEM ANIMAL HUSBANDRY CLAY SOILS CLIMATE CLIMATE CHANGE CLIMATE CHANGE ADAPTATION CLIMATE CHANGES CLIMATE IMPACTS CLIMATE MODELS CLIMATE SENSITIVITY CLIMATE VARIABLES CLIMATES COTTON CROP CROP VARIETIES CROPLAND CROPPING CROPPING PATTERNS CULTIVATED LAND EMISSIONS FAO FARM FARMER FARMERS FARMS FERTILIZER FOOD PRODUCTION FORESTRY GLOBAL WARMING HOUSEHOLD INCOME INTERGOVERNMENTAL PANEL ON CLIMATE CHANGE IPCC IRRIGATED LAND IRRIGATION LAND SIZE LIVESTOCK SPECIES LOAM SOILS MAIZE NATURAL RESOURCE NATURAL SCIENCES NEW CROP VARIETIES OIL CROPS POTATOES PRECIPITATION PRIVATE PROPERTY RAINFALL RAINFED AGRICULTURE RAINFED FARMING RICE RIVER RIVER BASIN SOIL SOIL TYPES SOILS SOYBEAN SOYBEANS SPRING SUGAR TEMPERATURE TILLAGE VEGETABLES VILLAGE LEVEL WATER AVAILABILITY WATER SUPPLIES WHEAT WORLD FOOD SUPPLY YIELDS This paper uses a cross sectional method to analyze irrigation choice and crop choice across 8,405 farmers in 28 provinces in China. The findings show that Chinese farmers are more likely to irrigate when facing lower temperatures and less precipitation. Farmers in warmer places are more likely to choose oil crops, maize, and especially cotton and wheat, and are less likely to choose vegetables, potatoes, sugar, and especially rice and soybeans. In wetter locations, farmers are more likely to choose soybeans, oil crops, sugar, vegetables, cotton, and especially rice, and they are less likely to choose potatoes, wheat, and especially maize. The analysis of how Chinese farmers have adapted to current climate, provides insight into how they will likely adapt when climate changes. Future climate scenarios will cause farmers in China to want to reduce irrigation and shift toward oil crops, wheat, and especially cotton. In turn, farmers will shift away from potatoes, rice, vegetables, and soybeans. However, adaptation will likely vary greatly from region to region. Policy makers should anticipate that adaptation is important, that the magnitude of changes depends on the climate scenario, and that the desired changes depend on the location of each farm. 2012-06-01T19:17:57Z 2012-06-01T19:17:57Z 2008-10 http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2008/10/9962762/chinas-farmers-adapt-climate-change http://hdl.handle.net/10986/6915 English CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/ World Bank World Bank, Washington, DC Policy Research Working Paper; No. 4758 Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper Publications & Research East Asia and Pacific China
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
topic ACCESS TO MARKETS
AGRICULTURAL DEVELOPMENT
AGRICULTURAL POLICY
AGRICULTURAL RESEARCH
AGRICULTURAL SYSTEM
ANIMAL HUSBANDRY
CLAY SOILS
CLIMATE
CLIMATE CHANGE
CLIMATE CHANGE ADAPTATION
CLIMATE CHANGES
CLIMATE IMPACTS
CLIMATE MODELS
CLIMATE SENSITIVITY
CLIMATE VARIABLES
CLIMATES
COTTON
CROP
CROP VARIETIES
CROPLAND
CROPPING
CROPPING PATTERNS
CULTIVATED LAND
EMISSIONS
FAO
FARM
FARMER
FARMERS
FARMS
FERTILIZER
FOOD PRODUCTION
FORESTRY
GLOBAL WARMING
HOUSEHOLD INCOME
INTERGOVERNMENTAL PANEL ON CLIMATE CHANGE
IPCC
IRRIGATED LAND
IRRIGATION
LAND SIZE
LIVESTOCK SPECIES
LOAM SOILS
MAIZE
NATURAL RESOURCE
NATURAL SCIENCES
NEW CROP VARIETIES
OIL CROPS
POTATOES
PRECIPITATION
PRIVATE PROPERTY
RAINFALL
RAINFED AGRICULTURE
RAINFED FARMING
RICE
RIVER
RIVER BASIN
SOIL
SOIL TYPES
SOILS
SOYBEAN
SOYBEANS
SPRING
SUGAR
TEMPERATURE
TILLAGE
VEGETABLES
VILLAGE LEVEL
WATER AVAILABILITY
WATER SUPPLIES
WHEAT
WORLD FOOD SUPPLY
YIELDS
spellingShingle ACCESS TO MARKETS
AGRICULTURAL DEVELOPMENT
AGRICULTURAL POLICY
AGRICULTURAL RESEARCH
AGRICULTURAL SYSTEM
ANIMAL HUSBANDRY
CLAY SOILS
CLIMATE
CLIMATE CHANGE
CLIMATE CHANGE ADAPTATION
CLIMATE CHANGES
CLIMATE IMPACTS
CLIMATE MODELS
CLIMATE SENSITIVITY
CLIMATE VARIABLES
CLIMATES
COTTON
CROP
CROP VARIETIES
CROPLAND
CROPPING
CROPPING PATTERNS
CULTIVATED LAND
EMISSIONS
FAO
FARM
FARMER
FARMERS
FARMS
FERTILIZER
FOOD PRODUCTION
FORESTRY
GLOBAL WARMING
HOUSEHOLD INCOME
INTERGOVERNMENTAL PANEL ON CLIMATE CHANGE
IPCC
IRRIGATED LAND
IRRIGATION
LAND SIZE
LIVESTOCK SPECIES
LOAM SOILS
MAIZE
NATURAL RESOURCE
NATURAL SCIENCES
NEW CROP VARIETIES
OIL CROPS
POTATOES
PRECIPITATION
PRIVATE PROPERTY
RAINFALL
RAINFED AGRICULTURE
RAINFED FARMING
RICE
RIVER
RIVER BASIN
SOIL
SOIL TYPES
SOILS
SOYBEAN
SOYBEANS
SPRING
SUGAR
TEMPERATURE
TILLAGE
VEGETABLES
VILLAGE LEVEL
WATER AVAILABILITY
WATER SUPPLIES
WHEAT
WORLD FOOD SUPPLY
YIELDS
Wang, Jinxia
Mendelsohn, Robert
Dinar, Ariel
Huang, Jikun
How China's Farmers Adapt to Climate Change
geographic_facet East Asia and Pacific
China
description This paper uses a cross sectional method to analyze irrigation choice and crop choice across 8,405 farmers in 28 provinces in China. The findings show that Chinese farmers are more likely to irrigate when facing lower temperatures and less precipitation. Farmers in warmer places are more likely to choose oil crops, maize, and especially cotton and wheat, and are less likely to choose vegetables, potatoes, sugar, and especially rice and soybeans. In wetter locations, farmers are more likely to choose soybeans, oil crops, sugar, vegetables, cotton, and especially rice, and they are less likely to choose potatoes, wheat, and especially maize. The analysis of how Chinese farmers have adapted to current climate, provides insight into how they will likely adapt when climate changes. Future climate scenarios will cause farmers in China to want to reduce irrigation and shift toward oil crops, wheat, and especially cotton. In turn, farmers will shift away from potatoes, rice, vegetables, and soybeans. However, adaptation will likely vary greatly from region to region. Policy makers should anticipate that adaptation is important, that the magnitude of changes depends on the climate scenario, and that the desired changes depend on the location of each farm.
format Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper
author Wang, Jinxia
Mendelsohn, Robert
Dinar, Ariel
Huang, Jikun
author_facet Wang, Jinxia
Mendelsohn, Robert
Dinar, Ariel
Huang, Jikun
author_sort Wang, Jinxia
title How China's Farmers Adapt to Climate Change
title_short How China's Farmers Adapt to Climate Change
title_full How China's Farmers Adapt to Climate Change
title_fullStr How China's Farmers Adapt to Climate Change
title_full_unstemmed How China's Farmers Adapt to Climate Change
title_sort how china's farmers adapt to climate change
publisher World Bank, Washington, DC
publishDate 2012
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2008/10/9962762/chinas-farmers-adapt-climate-change
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/6915
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