Oil and the Propensity to Armed Struggle in the Niger Delta Region of Nigeria

This paper attempts to explain the determinants of the propensity to armed struggle and the probability of participation by individuals in the Niger Delta region of Nigeria using primary (micro) data. While grievance appears to be pervasive among i...

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Main Author: Oyefusi, Aderoju
Format: Policy Research Working Paper
Language:English
Published: World Bank, Washington, DC 2012
Subjects:
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2007/04/7523849/oil-propensity-armed-struggle-niger-delta-region-nigeria
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/7002
id okr-10986-7002
recordtype oai_dc
spelling okr-10986-70022021-04-23T14:02:33Z Oil and the Propensity to Armed Struggle in the Niger Delta Region of Nigeria Oyefusi, Aderoju ACCESS TO EDUCATION ACCESS TO EMPLOYMENT CITIZEN CITIZENS CIVIL CONFLICT CIVIL WAR CIVIL WARS COLLECTIVE COLLECTIVE ACTION COLLECTIVE ACTION PROBLEM COMMUNITIES COMMUNITY DEVELOPMENT COMMUNITY LEADERS COMMUNITY MEMBERS CONFLICT PREVENTION CONFLICT RISK CONFLICTS CORPORATION COST OF REBELLION COUNTER-INSURGENCY CRIMINAL ACTIVITY DELTA DEMOCRATIC REPUBLIC DOMINANT ETHNIC GROUP DRUGS ECONOMIC GROWTH ECONOMIC MODEL OF CRIME ECONOMIC OPPORTUNITIES ECONOMIC POLICIES EDUCATIONAL ATTAINMENT ENVIRONMENTAL DAMAGE ETHNIC GROUPS EXTORTION FOREGONE INCOME FORMAL EDUCATION GOVERNMENT REPRESSION GREED-GRIEVANCE HIGH RISK HUMAN CAPITAL HUMAN RIGHTS IDEAS IMMIGRATION INDIVIDUALS INTENSITY OF CONFLICT INVESTIGATION LABOR MARKET LARGE POPULATION LIMITED LOCAL CONTROL LOOT-SEEKING REBELLION MILITARY PRESENCE MINORITY MONOPOLY NATURAL GAS NATURAL RESOURCE NATURAL RESOURCES NON-GOVERNMENTAL ORGANIZATIONS NUMBER OF PERSONS OPPORTUNITY COST OPPORTUNITY FOR REBELLION PEACE POLICY MAKERS POLICY RESEARCH POLICY RESEARCH WORKING PAPER POLITICAL PARTICIPATION POLITICAL POWER POLITICAL RIGHTS POLITICAL VIOLENCE POST-CONFLICT PRIMARY EDUCATION PROBABILITY OF VICTORY PROGRESS PUBLIC PERCEPTIONS REBEL ARMY REBEL FORCE REBEL FORCES REBEL GROUP REBEL GROUPS REBEL LEADER REBEL ORGANIZATION REBELLION RELIGIOUS DIVISIONS RELIGIOUS IDENTITY RISK OF REBELLION SECONDARY EDUCATION SOCIAL CAPITAL SOCIAL INFRASTRUCTURE SOCIAL NETWORKS SOCIAL SERVICES SOCIETIES SOCIETY TERTIARY EDUCATION TRANSPORTATION UNEMPLOYMENT VIOLENT CONFLICT VOCATIONAL TRAINING This paper attempts to explain the determinants of the propensity to armed struggle and the probability of participation by individuals in the Niger Delta region of Nigeria using primary (micro) data. While grievance appears to be pervasive among individuals and communities in the region and can be systematically explained, neither the grievance level nor its commonly cited causal factors appear to be strong enough to create a disposition toward armed rebellion. Rather, factors that reduce the opportunity cost and risk of participation or increase the perceived benefits appear to be more important. The study identifies three of these factors that are amenable to the policymaker's (government's) control as income level, educational attainment, and government presence. 2012-06-04T17:22:19Z 2012-06-04T17:22:19Z 2007-04 http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2007/04/7523849/oil-propensity-armed-struggle-niger-delta-region-nigeria http://hdl.handle.net/10986/7002 English Policy Research Working Paper; No. 4194 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/ World Bank World Bank, Washington, DC Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper Publications & Research Africa Nigeria
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
topic ACCESS TO EDUCATION
ACCESS TO EMPLOYMENT
CITIZEN
CITIZENS
CIVIL CONFLICT
CIVIL WAR
CIVIL WARS
COLLECTIVE
COLLECTIVE ACTION
COLLECTIVE ACTION PROBLEM
COMMUNITIES
COMMUNITY DEVELOPMENT
COMMUNITY LEADERS
COMMUNITY MEMBERS
CONFLICT PREVENTION
CONFLICT RISK
CONFLICTS
CORPORATION
COST OF REBELLION
COUNTER-INSURGENCY
CRIMINAL ACTIVITY
DELTA
DEMOCRATIC REPUBLIC
DOMINANT ETHNIC GROUP
DRUGS
ECONOMIC GROWTH
ECONOMIC MODEL OF CRIME
ECONOMIC OPPORTUNITIES
ECONOMIC POLICIES
EDUCATIONAL ATTAINMENT
ENVIRONMENTAL DAMAGE
ETHNIC GROUPS
EXTORTION
FOREGONE INCOME
FORMAL EDUCATION
GOVERNMENT REPRESSION
GREED-GRIEVANCE
HIGH RISK
HUMAN CAPITAL
HUMAN RIGHTS
IDEAS
IMMIGRATION
INDIVIDUALS
INTENSITY OF CONFLICT
INVESTIGATION
LABOR MARKET
LARGE POPULATION
LIMITED
LOCAL CONTROL
LOOT-SEEKING REBELLION
MILITARY PRESENCE
MINORITY
MONOPOLY
NATURAL GAS
NATURAL RESOURCE
NATURAL RESOURCES
NON-GOVERNMENTAL ORGANIZATIONS
NUMBER OF PERSONS
OPPORTUNITY COST
OPPORTUNITY FOR REBELLION
PEACE
POLICY MAKERS
POLICY RESEARCH
POLICY RESEARCH WORKING PAPER
POLITICAL PARTICIPATION
POLITICAL POWER
POLITICAL RIGHTS
POLITICAL VIOLENCE
POST-CONFLICT
PRIMARY EDUCATION
PROBABILITY OF VICTORY
PROGRESS
PUBLIC PERCEPTIONS
REBEL ARMY
REBEL FORCE
REBEL FORCES
REBEL GROUP
REBEL GROUPS
REBEL LEADER
REBEL ORGANIZATION
REBELLION
RELIGIOUS DIVISIONS
RELIGIOUS IDENTITY
RISK OF REBELLION
SECONDARY EDUCATION
SOCIAL CAPITAL
SOCIAL INFRASTRUCTURE
SOCIAL NETWORKS
SOCIAL SERVICES
SOCIETIES
SOCIETY
TERTIARY EDUCATION
TRANSPORTATION
UNEMPLOYMENT
VIOLENT CONFLICT
VOCATIONAL TRAINING
spellingShingle ACCESS TO EDUCATION
ACCESS TO EMPLOYMENT
CITIZEN
CITIZENS
CIVIL CONFLICT
CIVIL WAR
CIVIL WARS
COLLECTIVE
COLLECTIVE ACTION
COLLECTIVE ACTION PROBLEM
COMMUNITIES
COMMUNITY DEVELOPMENT
COMMUNITY LEADERS
COMMUNITY MEMBERS
CONFLICT PREVENTION
CONFLICT RISK
CONFLICTS
CORPORATION
COST OF REBELLION
COUNTER-INSURGENCY
CRIMINAL ACTIVITY
DELTA
DEMOCRATIC REPUBLIC
DOMINANT ETHNIC GROUP
DRUGS
ECONOMIC GROWTH
ECONOMIC MODEL OF CRIME
ECONOMIC OPPORTUNITIES
ECONOMIC POLICIES
EDUCATIONAL ATTAINMENT
ENVIRONMENTAL DAMAGE
ETHNIC GROUPS
EXTORTION
FOREGONE INCOME
FORMAL EDUCATION
GOVERNMENT REPRESSION
GREED-GRIEVANCE
HIGH RISK
HUMAN CAPITAL
HUMAN RIGHTS
IDEAS
IMMIGRATION
INDIVIDUALS
INTENSITY OF CONFLICT
INVESTIGATION
LABOR MARKET
LARGE POPULATION
LIMITED
LOCAL CONTROL
LOOT-SEEKING REBELLION
MILITARY PRESENCE
MINORITY
MONOPOLY
NATURAL GAS
NATURAL RESOURCE
NATURAL RESOURCES
NON-GOVERNMENTAL ORGANIZATIONS
NUMBER OF PERSONS
OPPORTUNITY COST
OPPORTUNITY FOR REBELLION
PEACE
POLICY MAKERS
POLICY RESEARCH
POLICY RESEARCH WORKING PAPER
POLITICAL PARTICIPATION
POLITICAL POWER
POLITICAL RIGHTS
POLITICAL VIOLENCE
POST-CONFLICT
PRIMARY EDUCATION
PROBABILITY OF VICTORY
PROGRESS
PUBLIC PERCEPTIONS
REBEL ARMY
REBEL FORCE
REBEL FORCES
REBEL GROUP
REBEL GROUPS
REBEL LEADER
REBEL ORGANIZATION
REBELLION
RELIGIOUS DIVISIONS
RELIGIOUS IDENTITY
RISK OF REBELLION
SECONDARY EDUCATION
SOCIAL CAPITAL
SOCIAL INFRASTRUCTURE
SOCIAL NETWORKS
SOCIAL SERVICES
SOCIETIES
SOCIETY
TERTIARY EDUCATION
TRANSPORTATION
UNEMPLOYMENT
VIOLENT CONFLICT
VOCATIONAL TRAINING
Oyefusi, Aderoju
Oil and the Propensity to Armed Struggle in the Niger Delta Region of Nigeria
geographic_facet Africa
Nigeria
relation Policy Research Working Paper; No. 4194
description This paper attempts to explain the determinants of the propensity to armed struggle and the probability of participation by individuals in the Niger Delta region of Nigeria using primary (micro) data. While grievance appears to be pervasive among individuals and communities in the region and can be systematically explained, neither the grievance level nor its commonly cited causal factors appear to be strong enough to create a disposition toward armed rebellion. Rather, factors that reduce the opportunity cost and risk of participation or increase the perceived benefits appear to be more important. The study identifies three of these factors that are amenable to the policymaker's (government's) control as income level, educational attainment, and government presence.
format Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper
author Oyefusi, Aderoju
author_facet Oyefusi, Aderoju
author_sort Oyefusi, Aderoju
title Oil and the Propensity to Armed Struggle in the Niger Delta Region of Nigeria
title_short Oil and the Propensity to Armed Struggle in the Niger Delta Region of Nigeria
title_full Oil and the Propensity to Armed Struggle in the Niger Delta Region of Nigeria
title_fullStr Oil and the Propensity to Armed Struggle in the Niger Delta Region of Nigeria
title_full_unstemmed Oil and the Propensity to Armed Struggle in the Niger Delta Region of Nigeria
title_sort oil and the propensity to armed struggle in the niger delta region of nigeria
publisher World Bank, Washington, DC
publishDate 2012
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2007/04/7523849/oil-propensity-armed-struggle-niger-delta-region-nigeria
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/7002
_version_ 1764401706999742464