Population Size, Concentration, and Civil War : A Geographically Disaggregated Analysis
Why do larger countries have more armed conflict? This paper surveys three sets of hypotheses forwarded in the conflict literature regarding the relationship between the size and location of population groups: Hypotheses based on pure population ma...
Main Authors: | , |
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Format: | Policy Research Working Paper |
Language: | English |
Published: |
World Bank, Washington, DC
2012
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Subjects: | |
Online Access: | http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2007/06/7681003/population-size-concentration-civil-war-geographically-disaggregated-analysis http://hdl.handle.net/10986/7073 |
Summary: | Why do larger countries have more armed
conflict? This paper surveys three sets of hypotheses
forwarded in the conflict literature regarding the
relationship between the size and location of population
groups: Hypotheses based on pure population mass, on
distances, on population concentrations, and some residual
state-level characteristics. The hypotheses are tested on a
new dataset-ACLED (Armed Conflict Location and Events
Dataset)-which disaggregates internal conflicts into
individual events. The analysis covers 14 countries in
Central Africa. The conflict event data are juxtaposed with
geographically disaggregated data on populations, distance
to capitals, borders, and road networks. The paper develops
a statistical method to analyze this type of data. The
analysis confirms several of the hypotheses. |
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