Population Size, Concentration, and Civil War : A Geographically Disaggregated Analysis

Why do larger countries have more armed conflict? This paper surveys three sets of hypotheses forwarded in the conflict literature regarding the relationship between the size and location of population groups: Hypotheses based on pure population ma...

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Main Authors: Hegre, Håvard, Raleigh, Clionadh
Format: Policy Research Working Paper
Language:English
Published: World Bank, Washington, DC 2012
Subjects:
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2007/06/7681003/population-size-concentration-civil-war-geographically-disaggregated-analysis
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/7073
id okr-10986-7073
recordtype oai_dc
spelling okr-10986-70732021-04-23T14:02:33Z Population Size, Concentration, and Civil War : A Geographically Disaggregated Analysis Hegre, Håvard Raleigh, Clionadh ARMED CONFLICT ARMED CONFLICTS CITIES CITIZEN CIVIL CONFLICT CIVIL WAR CIVIL WARS CONFLICT RISK DEATHS DEMOCRATIC REPUBLIC DISTRIBUTION OF POPULATIONS EFFECTS OF POPULATION ETHNIC GROUPS FACTORS GEOGRAPHIC CONCENTRATION HAZARD FUNCTION HAZARD OF WAR IMPORTANCE OF POPULATION INFORMATION SYSTEMS INHABITANTS INTERNAL CONFLICTS INTERNATIONAL BORDERS LARGE POPULATION LOCAL POPULATION MINORITIES MINORITY MOTHER NATIONAL AUTHORITIES NATIONAL BORDERS NATIONAL LEVEL PEACE POINT OF DEPARTURE POLICY RESEARCH POLICY RESEARCH WORKING PAPER POLITICAL CONTEST POLITICAL POWER POPULATION POPULATION CONCENTRATION POPULATION DATA POPULATION DENSITY POPULATION DISTRIBUTION POPULATION GEOGRAPHY POPULATION GROUPS POPULATION GROWTH POPULATION SIZE POPULATION VARIABLE POPULOUS COUNTRIES POST-CONFLICT PROBABILITY OF WAR PROGRESS REBEL GROUP REBEL GROUPS REBELLION REBELLIONS RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN POPULATION RESPECT RISK OF CONFLICT RISK OF REBELLION SIZE OF POPULATIONS SMALL COUNTRIES SOVEREIGNTY SPILLOVER TOTAL POPULATION TOWNS TRANSPORTATION URBAN AREAS WARS Why do larger countries have more armed conflict? This paper surveys three sets of hypotheses forwarded in the conflict literature regarding the relationship between the size and location of population groups: Hypotheses based on pure population mass, on distances, on population concentrations, and some residual state-level characteristics. The hypotheses are tested on a new dataset-ACLED (Armed Conflict Location and Events Dataset)-which disaggregates internal conflicts into individual events. The analysis covers 14 countries in Central Africa. The conflict event data are juxtaposed with geographically disaggregated data on populations, distance to capitals, borders, and road networks. The paper develops a statistical method to analyze this type of data. The analysis confirms several of the hypotheses. 2012-06-04T21:45:07Z 2012-06-04T21:45:07Z 2007-06 http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2007/06/7681003/population-size-concentration-civil-war-geographically-disaggregated-analysis http://hdl.handle.net/10986/7073 English Policy Research Working Paper; No. 4243 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/ World Bank World Bank, Washington, DC Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper Publications & Research Latin America & Caribbean
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
topic ARMED CONFLICT
ARMED CONFLICTS
CITIES
CITIZEN
CIVIL CONFLICT
CIVIL WAR
CIVIL WARS
CONFLICT RISK
DEATHS
DEMOCRATIC REPUBLIC
DISTRIBUTION OF POPULATIONS
EFFECTS OF POPULATION
ETHNIC GROUPS
FACTORS
GEOGRAPHIC CONCENTRATION
HAZARD FUNCTION
HAZARD OF WAR
IMPORTANCE OF POPULATION
INFORMATION SYSTEMS
INHABITANTS
INTERNAL CONFLICTS
INTERNATIONAL BORDERS
LARGE POPULATION
LOCAL POPULATION
MINORITIES
MINORITY
MOTHER
NATIONAL AUTHORITIES
NATIONAL BORDERS
NATIONAL LEVEL
PEACE
POINT OF DEPARTURE
POLICY RESEARCH
POLICY RESEARCH WORKING PAPER
POLITICAL CONTEST
POLITICAL POWER
POPULATION
POPULATION CONCENTRATION
POPULATION DATA
POPULATION DENSITY
POPULATION DISTRIBUTION
POPULATION GEOGRAPHY
POPULATION GROUPS
POPULATION GROWTH
POPULATION SIZE
POPULATION VARIABLE
POPULOUS COUNTRIES
POST-CONFLICT
PROBABILITY OF WAR
PROGRESS
REBEL GROUP
REBEL GROUPS
REBELLION
REBELLIONS
RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN POPULATION
RESPECT
RISK OF CONFLICT
RISK OF REBELLION
SIZE OF POPULATIONS
SMALL COUNTRIES
SOVEREIGNTY
SPILLOVER
TOTAL POPULATION
TOWNS
TRANSPORTATION
URBAN AREAS
WARS
spellingShingle ARMED CONFLICT
ARMED CONFLICTS
CITIES
CITIZEN
CIVIL CONFLICT
CIVIL WAR
CIVIL WARS
CONFLICT RISK
DEATHS
DEMOCRATIC REPUBLIC
DISTRIBUTION OF POPULATIONS
EFFECTS OF POPULATION
ETHNIC GROUPS
FACTORS
GEOGRAPHIC CONCENTRATION
HAZARD FUNCTION
HAZARD OF WAR
IMPORTANCE OF POPULATION
INFORMATION SYSTEMS
INHABITANTS
INTERNAL CONFLICTS
INTERNATIONAL BORDERS
LARGE POPULATION
LOCAL POPULATION
MINORITIES
MINORITY
MOTHER
NATIONAL AUTHORITIES
NATIONAL BORDERS
NATIONAL LEVEL
PEACE
POINT OF DEPARTURE
POLICY RESEARCH
POLICY RESEARCH WORKING PAPER
POLITICAL CONTEST
POLITICAL POWER
POPULATION
POPULATION CONCENTRATION
POPULATION DATA
POPULATION DENSITY
POPULATION DISTRIBUTION
POPULATION GEOGRAPHY
POPULATION GROUPS
POPULATION GROWTH
POPULATION SIZE
POPULATION VARIABLE
POPULOUS COUNTRIES
POST-CONFLICT
PROBABILITY OF WAR
PROGRESS
REBEL GROUP
REBEL GROUPS
REBELLION
REBELLIONS
RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN POPULATION
RESPECT
RISK OF CONFLICT
RISK OF REBELLION
SIZE OF POPULATIONS
SMALL COUNTRIES
SOVEREIGNTY
SPILLOVER
TOTAL POPULATION
TOWNS
TRANSPORTATION
URBAN AREAS
WARS
Hegre, Håvard
Raleigh, Clionadh
Population Size, Concentration, and Civil War : A Geographically Disaggregated Analysis
geographic_facet Latin America & Caribbean
relation Policy Research Working Paper; No. 4243
description Why do larger countries have more armed conflict? This paper surveys three sets of hypotheses forwarded in the conflict literature regarding the relationship between the size and location of population groups: Hypotheses based on pure population mass, on distances, on population concentrations, and some residual state-level characteristics. The hypotheses are tested on a new dataset-ACLED (Armed Conflict Location and Events Dataset)-which disaggregates internal conflicts into individual events. The analysis covers 14 countries in Central Africa. The conflict event data are juxtaposed with geographically disaggregated data on populations, distance to capitals, borders, and road networks. The paper develops a statistical method to analyze this type of data. The analysis confirms several of the hypotheses.
format Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper
author Hegre, Håvard
Raleigh, Clionadh
author_facet Hegre, Håvard
Raleigh, Clionadh
author_sort Hegre, Håvard
title Population Size, Concentration, and Civil War : A Geographically Disaggregated Analysis
title_short Population Size, Concentration, and Civil War : A Geographically Disaggregated Analysis
title_full Population Size, Concentration, and Civil War : A Geographically Disaggregated Analysis
title_fullStr Population Size, Concentration, and Civil War : A Geographically Disaggregated Analysis
title_full_unstemmed Population Size, Concentration, and Civil War : A Geographically Disaggregated Analysis
title_sort population size, concentration, and civil war : a geographically disaggregated analysis
publisher World Bank, Washington, DC
publishDate 2012
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2007/06/7681003/population-size-concentration-civil-war-geographically-disaggregated-analysis
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/7073
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