Forest Cover Change in Space and Time : Combining the von Thünen and Forest Transition Theories

This paper presents a framework for analyzing tropical deforestation and reforestation using the von Thunen model as its starting point: land is allocated to the use which yields the highest rent, and the rents of various land uses are determined b...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Angelsen, Arild
Format: Policy Research Working Paper
Language:English
Published: World Bank, Washington, DC 2012
Subjects:
GDP
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2007/02/7335610/forest-cover-change-space-time-combining-von-thunen-forest-transition-theories
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/7147
id okr-10986-7147
recordtype oai_dc
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
topic AGGREGATE DEMAND
AGRICULTURAL LAND
AGRICULTURAL LAND USE
AGRICULTURAL OUTPUT
AGRICULTURAL PRICE
AGRICULTURAL PRICES
AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTION
AGRICULTURAL SECTOR
AGRICULTURE
AGROFORESTRY
ALTERNATIVE USE
AVERAGE COSTS
BIDDING
CAPITAL CONSTRAINTS
CAPITAL MARKETS
CENTER FOR INTERNATIONAL FORESTRY RESEARCH
COMMUNITY FOREST
COMMUNITY FOREST MANAGEMENT
COMMUNITY FORESTRY
CONCEPTUAL FRAMEWORK
CULTIVATION
DEFORESTATION
DEMAND CURVE
DEMAND ELASTICITY
DEVALUATION
ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT
ECONOMIC GEOGRAPHY
ECONOMIC GROWTH
ECONOMIC POLICIES
ECONOMIC THEORY
ECONOMICS
ECONOMICS OF SCALE
ELASTICITIES
EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE
EMPIRICAL INVESTIGATIONS
EMPIRICAL STUDIES
ENVIRONMENTAL
EQUILIBRIA
EQUILIBRIUM
FOREST
FOREST CLEARING
FOREST CONVERSION
FOREST COVER
FOREST DEGRADATION
FOREST LAND
FOREST MANAGEMENT
FOREST PRODUCT
FOREST PRODUCTS
FORESTRY
GDP
GROWTH THEORY
INCOME
INCREASING RETURNS
INCREASING RETURNS TO SCALE
INELASTIC DEMAND
INPUT PRICES
INPUT USE
INTEREST RATES
INTERNATIONAL MARKET
INTERNATIONAL MARKETS
INTERNATIONAL TRADE
LABOR INPUTS
LABOR MARKET
LABOR MARKETS
LAND ECONOMICS
LAND OWNER
LAND TENURE
LAND TENURE SECURITY
LAND USE
LAND USERS
LAND USES
LEISURE
LOGGING
MANAGED FORESTS
MARKET ACCESS
MARKET DEMAND
MARKET PRICE
MARKET PRICES
MARKET SHARE
MARKET SUPPLY
MARKETING
OPEN ACCESS
OPPORTUNITY COST
OPPORTUNITY COSTS
OPTIMIZATION
PASTURE
PRESENT VALUE
PRICE CHANGES
PRICE EFFECT
PRICE ELASTICITY
PRICE ELASTICITY OF DEMAND
PRICE INCREASE
PRODUCERS
PRODUCTIVITY
PROFIT MAXIMIZATION
PROPERTY RIGHTS
PUBLIC GOODS
REFORESTATION
RESOURCE MANAGEMENT
RETURNS TO SCALE
RIVERS
SCARCE CAPITAL
SOIL
SOILS
SOUTH AMERICA
STATIC THEORY
STRUCTURAL CHANGE
SUPPLY CURVE
SUPPLY ELASTICITY
SUPPLY INCREASE
SUPPLY OF RAW MATERIALS
SURPLUS
SUSTAINABLE FOREST MANAGEMENT
SUSTAINABLE FORESTRY
TECHNOLOGICAL CHANGE
TECHNOLOGICAL PROGRESS
THEORETICAL MODELS
TIMBER
TIMBER FOREST PRODUCTS
TIMBER PRICES
TIMBER PRODUCTION
TRADE LIBERALIZATION
TROPICAL FORESTS
WAGE RATES
WAGES
WOODLANDS
WORLD MARKET
spellingShingle AGGREGATE DEMAND
AGRICULTURAL LAND
AGRICULTURAL LAND USE
AGRICULTURAL OUTPUT
AGRICULTURAL PRICE
AGRICULTURAL PRICES
AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTION
AGRICULTURAL SECTOR
AGRICULTURE
AGROFORESTRY
ALTERNATIVE USE
AVERAGE COSTS
BIDDING
CAPITAL CONSTRAINTS
CAPITAL MARKETS
CENTER FOR INTERNATIONAL FORESTRY RESEARCH
COMMUNITY FOREST
COMMUNITY FOREST MANAGEMENT
COMMUNITY FORESTRY
CONCEPTUAL FRAMEWORK
CULTIVATION
DEFORESTATION
DEMAND CURVE
DEMAND ELASTICITY
DEVALUATION
ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT
ECONOMIC GEOGRAPHY
ECONOMIC GROWTH
ECONOMIC POLICIES
ECONOMIC THEORY
ECONOMICS
ECONOMICS OF SCALE
ELASTICITIES
EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE
EMPIRICAL INVESTIGATIONS
EMPIRICAL STUDIES
ENVIRONMENTAL
EQUILIBRIA
EQUILIBRIUM
FOREST
FOREST CLEARING
FOREST CONVERSION
FOREST COVER
FOREST DEGRADATION
FOREST LAND
FOREST MANAGEMENT
FOREST PRODUCT
FOREST PRODUCTS
FORESTRY
GDP
GROWTH THEORY
INCOME
INCREASING RETURNS
INCREASING RETURNS TO SCALE
INELASTIC DEMAND
INPUT PRICES
INPUT USE
INTEREST RATES
INTERNATIONAL MARKET
INTERNATIONAL MARKETS
INTERNATIONAL TRADE
LABOR INPUTS
LABOR MARKET
LABOR MARKETS
LAND ECONOMICS
LAND OWNER
LAND TENURE
LAND TENURE SECURITY
LAND USE
LAND USERS
LAND USES
LEISURE
LOGGING
MANAGED FORESTS
MARKET ACCESS
MARKET DEMAND
MARKET PRICE
MARKET PRICES
MARKET SHARE
MARKET SUPPLY
MARKETING
OPEN ACCESS
OPPORTUNITY COST
OPPORTUNITY COSTS
OPTIMIZATION
PASTURE
PRESENT VALUE
PRICE CHANGES
PRICE EFFECT
PRICE ELASTICITY
PRICE ELASTICITY OF DEMAND
PRICE INCREASE
PRODUCERS
PRODUCTIVITY
PROFIT MAXIMIZATION
PROPERTY RIGHTS
PUBLIC GOODS
REFORESTATION
RESOURCE MANAGEMENT
RETURNS TO SCALE
RIVERS
SCARCE CAPITAL
SOIL
SOILS
SOUTH AMERICA
STATIC THEORY
STRUCTURAL CHANGE
SUPPLY CURVE
SUPPLY ELASTICITY
SUPPLY INCREASE
SUPPLY OF RAW MATERIALS
SURPLUS
SUSTAINABLE FOREST MANAGEMENT
SUSTAINABLE FORESTRY
TECHNOLOGICAL CHANGE
TECHNOLOGICAL PROGRESS
THEORETICAL MODELS
TIMBER
TIMBER FOREST PRODUCTS
TIMBER PRICES
TIMBER PRODUCTION
TRADE LIBERALIZATION
TROPICAL FORESTS
WAGE RATES
WAGES
WOODLANDS
WORLD MARKET
Angelsen, Arild
Forest Cover Change in Space and Time : Combining the von Thünen and Forest Transition Theories
relation Policy Research Working Paper; No. 4117
description This paper presents a framework for analyzing tropical deforestation and reforestation using the von Thunen model as its starting point: land is allocated to the use which yields the highest rent, and the rents of various land uses are determined by location. Forest cover change therefore becomes a question of changes in rent of forest versus non-forest use. While this is a simple and powerful starting point, more intriguing issues arise when this is applied to analyze real cases. An initial shift in the rent of one particular land use generates feedbacks which affect the rent of all land uses. For example, a new technology in extensive agriculture should make this land use more profitable and lead to more forest clearing, but general equilibrium effects (changes in prices and local wages) can modify or even reverse this conclusion. Another issue is how a policy change or a shift in broader market, technological, and institutional forces will affect various land use rents. The paper deals with three such areas: technological progress in agriculture, land tenure regimes, and community forest management. The second part of the paper links the von Thunen framework to the forest transition theory. The forest transition theory describes a sequence over time where a forested region goes through a period of deforestation before the forest cover eventually stabilizes and starts to increase. This sequence can be seen as a systematic pattern of change in the agricultural and forest land rents over time. Increasing agricultural rent leads to high rates of deforestation. The slow-down of deforestation and eventual reforestation is due to lower agricultural rents (the economic development path) and higher forest rent (the forest scarcity path). Various forces leading to these changes are discussed and supported by empirical evidence from different tropical regions.
format Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper
author Angelsen, Arild
author_facet Angelsen, Arild
author_sort Angelsen, Arild
title Forest Cover Change in Space and Time : Combining the von Thünen and Forest Transition Theories
title_short Forest Cover Change in Space and Time : Combining the von Thünen and Forest Transition Theories
title_full Forest Cover Change in Space and Time : Combining the von Thünen and Forest Transition Theories
title_fullStr Forest Cover Change in Space and Time : Combining the von Thünen and Forest Transition Theories
title_full_unstemmed Forest Cover Change in Space and Time : Combining the von Thünen and Forest Transition Theories
title_sort forest cover change in space and time : combining the von thünen and forest transition theories
publisher World Bank, Washington, DC
publishDate 2012
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2007/02/7335610/forest-cover-change-space-time-combining-von-thunen-forest-transition-theories
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/7147
_version_ 1764401429895708672
spelling okr-10986-71472021-04-23T14:02:32Z Forest Cover Change in Space and Time : Combining the von Thünen and Forest Transition Theories Angelsen, Arild AGGREGATE DEMAND AGRICULTURAL LAND AGRICULTURAL LAND USE AGRICULTURAL OUTPUT AGRICULTURAL PRICE AGRICULTURAL PRICES AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL SECTOR AGRICULTURE AGROFORESTRY ALTERNATIVE USE AVERAGE COSTS BIDDING CAPITAL CONSTRAINTS CAPITAL MARKETS CENTER FOR INTERNATIONAL FORESTRY RESEARCH COMMUNITY FOREST COMMUNITY FOREST MANAGEMENT COMMUNITY FORESTRY CONCEPTUAL FRAMEWORK CULTIVATION DEFORESTATION DEMAND CURVE DEMAND ELASTICITY DEVALUATION ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT ECONOMIC GEOGRAPHY ECONOMIC GROWTH ECONOMIC POLICIES ECONOMIC THEORY ECONOMICS ECONOMICS OF SCALE ELASTICITIES EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE EMPIRICAL INVESTIGATIONS EMPIRICAL STUDIES ENVIRONMENTAL EQUILIBRIA EQUILIBRIUM FOREST FOREST CLEARING FOREST CONVERSION FOREST COVER FOREST DEGRADATION FOREST LAND FOREST MANAGEMENT FOREST PRODUCT FOREST PRODUCTS FORESTRY GDP GROWTH THEORY INCOME INCREASING RETURNS INCREASING RETURNS TO SCALE INELASTIC DEMAND INPUT PRICES INPUT USE INTEREST RATES INTERNATIONAL MARKET INTERNATIONAL MARKETS INTERNATIONAL TRADE LABOR INPUTS LABOR MARKET LABOR MARKETS LAND ECONOMICS LAND OWNER LAND TENURE LAND TENURE SECURITY LAND USE LAND USERS LAND USES LEISURE LOGGING MANAGED FORESTS MARKET ACCESS MARKET DEMAND MARKET PRICE MARKET PRICES MARKET SHARE MARKET SUPPLY MARKETING OPEN ACCESS OPPORTUNITY COST OPPORTUNITY COSTS OPTIMIZATION PASTURE PRESENT VALUE PRICE CHANGES PRICE EFFECT PRICE ELASTICITY PRICE ELASTICITY OF DEMAND PRICE INCREASE PRODUCERS PRODUCTIVITY PROFIT MAXIMIZATION PROPERTY RIGHTS PUBLIC GOODS REFORESTATION RESOURCE MANAGEMENT RETURNS TO SCALE RIVERS SCARCE CAPITAL SOIL SOILS SOUTH AMERICA STATIC THEORY STRUCTURAL CHANGE SUPPLY CURVE SUPPLY ELASTICITY SUPPLY INCREASE SUPPLY OF RAW MATERIALS SURPLUS SUSTAINABLE FOREST MANAGEMENT SUSTAINABLE FORESTRY TECHNOLOGICAL CHANGE TECHNOLOGICAL PROGRESS THEORETICAL MODELS TIMBER TIMBER FOREST PRODUCTS TIMBER PRICES TIMBER PRODUCTION TRADE LIBERALIZATION TROPICAL FORESTS WAGE RATES WAGES WOODLANDS WORLD MARKET This paper presents a framework for analyzing tropical deforestation and reforestation using the von Thunen model as its starting point: land is allocated to the use which yields the highest rent, and the rents of various land uses are determined by location. Forest cover change therefore becomes a question of changes in rent of forest versus non-forest use. While this is a simple and powerful starting point, more intriguing issues arise when this is applied to analyze real cases. An initial shift in the rent of one particular land use generates feedbacks which affect the rent of all land uses. For example, a new technology in extensive agriculture should make this land use more profitable and lead to more forest clearing, but general equilibrium effects (changes in prices and local wages) can modify or even reverse this conclusion. Another issue is how a policy change or a shift in broader market, technological, and institutional forces will affect various land use rents. The paper deals with three such areas: technological progress in agriculture, land tenure regimes, and community forest management. The second part of the paper links the von Thunen framework to the forest transition theory. The forest transition theory describes a sequence over time where a forested region goes through a period of deforestation before the forest cover eventually stabilizes and starts to increase. This sequence can be seen as a systematic pattern of change in the agricultural and forest land rents over time. Increasing agricultural rent leads to high rates of deforestation. The slow-down of deforestation and eventual reforestation is due to lower agricultural rents (the economic development path) and higher forest rent (the forest scarcity path). Various forces leading to these changes are discussed and supported by empirical evidence from different tropical regions. 2012-06-05T18:20:08Z 2012-06-05T18:20:08Z 2007-02 http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2007/02/7335610/forest-cover-change-space-time-combining-von-thunen-forest-transition-theories http://hdl.handle.net/10986/7147 English Policy Research Working Paper; No. 4117 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/ World Bank World Bank, Washington, DC Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper Publications & Research