A Ricardian Analysis of the Impact of Climate Change on Latin American Farms

This study estimates the vulnerability of Latin American agriculture to climate change using a Ricardian analysis of both land values and net revenues. Examining a sample of over 2,500 farms in seven countries, the results indicate both land value...

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Main Authors: Seo, Niggol, Mendelsohn, Robert
Format: Policy Research Working Paper
Language:English
Published: World Bank, Washington, DC 2012
Subjects:
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2007/03/7437401/ricardian-analysis-impact-climate-change-latin-american-farms
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/7193
id okr-10986-7193
recordtype oai_dc
spelling okr-10986-71932021-04-23T14:02:33Z A Ricardian Analysis of the Impact of Climate Change on Latin American Farms Seo, Niggol Mendelsohn, Robert AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTION AGRICULTURE BARLEY BASIL CACAO CASSAVA CENTRAL AMERICA CEREALS CLAY SOILS CLIMATE CLIMATE CHANGE CLIMATE CHANGES CLIMATE IMPACTS CLIMATE MODELS CLIMATE SENSITIVITY CLIMATE VARIABLES CLIMATE VARIATION CLIMATES CLIMATIC CHANGE COFFEE CORN COTTON CROP CROPLAND CROPS DEMAND FOR FOOD ECONOMICS ELASTICITY ELECTRICITY EQUIPMENT FAO FARM FARM LAND FARM MODEL FARM MODELS FARMER FARMERS FARMING FARMING SYSTEMS FARMLAND FARMS FERTILIZATION FERTILIZER FOOD PRICES FOREST FORESTRY FORESTS FRUITS GDP GENDER GLOBAL WARMING GRASSES GREENHOUSE GAS GREENHOUSE GASES HARVESTING HARVESTING EQUIPMENT HECTARES OF LAND INTENSIVE FARMING INTERGOVERNMENTAL PANEL ON CLIMATE CHANGE IPCC IRRIGATED LAND IRRIGATED LANDS IRRIGATION LAND VALUE LAND_USE LATIN AMERICAN LIVESTOCK MAIZE MILLET OATS OIL PALM PEANUTS PESTS POOR FARMERS POTATOES PRECIPITATION PRODUCE RAINFALL RICE RURAL COMMUNITIES RURAL DEVELOPMENT SEEDS SINGLE CROP SMALL FARM SMALL FARMS SOIL SOIL CHARACTERISTICS SOIL TYPES SOILS SOUTH AMERICA SOUTH AMERICAN SOYBEAN SUGAR SUGAR BEET SUGARCANE SUNFLOWER TEA TEMPERATURE TEMPERATURE CHANGE TOBACCO WHEAT WORLD METEOROLOGICAL ORGANIZATION YIELDS This study estimates the vulnerability of Latin American agriculture to climate change using a Ricardian analysis of both land values and net revenues. Examining a sample of over 2,500 farms in seven countries, the results indicate both land value and net revenue are sensitive to climate. Both small farms and large farms have a hill-shaped relationship with temperature. Estimating separate regressions for dryland and irrigated farms reveals that dryland farms are more sensitive to temperature but irrigated farms are more sensitive to precipitation. Examining the effects from future climate change scenarios reveals that severe scenarios could reduce farm earnings by as much as 62 percent by 2100, whereas more moderate scenarios could reduce earnings by about 15 percent. Small and large farms are equally sensitive to global warming. Land value and net revenue analyses produce quite similar results. 2012-06-05T20:52:53Z 2012-06-05T20:52:53Z 2007-03 http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2007/03/7437401/ricardian-analysis-impact-climate-change-latin-american-farms http://hdl.handle.net/10986/7193 English Policy Research Working Paper; No. 4163 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/ World Bank World Bank, Washington, DC Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper Publications & Research Latin America & Caribbean
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
topic AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTION
AGRICULTURE
BARLEY
BASIL
CACAO
CASSAVA
CENTRAL AMERICA
CEREALS
CLAY SOILS
CLIMATE
CLIMATE CHANGE
CLIMATE CHANGES
CLIMATE IMPACTS
CLIMATE MODELS
CLIMATE SENSITIVITY
CLIMATE VARIABLES
CLIMATE VARIATION
CLIMATES
CLIMATIC CHANGE
COFFEE
CORN
COTTON
CROP
CROPLAND
CROPS
DEMAND FOR FOOD
ECONOMICS
ELASTICITY
ELECTRICITY
EQUIPMENT
FAO
FARM
FARM LAND
FARM MODEL
FARM MODELS
FARMER
FARMERS
FARMING
FARMING SYSTEMS
FARMLAND
FARMS
FERTILIZATION
FERTILIZER
FOOD PRICES
FOREST
FORESTRY
FORESTS
FRUITS
GDP
GENDER
GLOBAL WARMING
GRASSES
GREENHOUSE GAS
GREENHOUSE GASES
HARVESTING
HARVESTING EQUIPMENT
HECTARES OF LAND
INTENSIVE FARMING
INTERGOVERNMENTAL PANEL ON CLIMATE CHANGE
IPCC
IRRIGATED LAND
IRRIGATED LANDS
IRRIGATION
LAND VALUE
LAND_USE
LATIN AMERICAN
LIVESTOCK
MAIZE
MILLET
OATS
OIL PALM
PEANUTS
PESTS
POOR FARMERS
POTATOES
PRECIPITATION
PRODUCE
RAINFALL
RICE
RURAL COMMUNITIES
RURAL DEVELOPMENT
SEEDS
SINGLE CROP
SMALL FARM
SMALL FARMS
SOIL
SOIL CHARACTERISTICS
SOIL TYPES
SOILS
SOUTH AMERICA
SOUTH AMERICAN
SOYBEAN
SUGAR
SUGAR BEET
SUGARCANE
SUNFLOWER
TEA
TEMPERATURE
TEMPERATURE CHANGE
TOBACCO
WHEAT
WORLD METEOROLOGICAL ORGANIZATION
YIELDS
spellingShingle AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTION
AGRICULTURE
BARLEY
BASIL
CACAO
CASSAVA
CENTRAL AMERICA
CEREALS
CLAY SOILS
CLIMATE
CLIMATE CHANGE
CLIMATE CHANGES
CLIMATE IMPACTS
CLIMATE MODELS
CLIMATE SENSITIVITY
CLIMATE VARIABLES
CLIMATE VARIATION
CLIMATES
CLIMATIC CHANGE
COFFEE
CORN
COTTON
CROP
CROPLAND
CROPS
DEMAND FOR FOOD
ECONOMICS
ELASTICITY
ELECTRICITY
EQUIPMENT
FAO
FARM
FARM LAND
FARM MODEL
FARM MODELS
FARMER
FARMERS
FARMING
FARMING SYSTEMS
FARMLAND
FARMS
FERTILIZATION
FERTILIZER
FOOD PRICES
FOREST
FORESTRY
FORESTS
FRUITS
GDP
GENDER
GLOBAL WARMING
GRASSES
GREENHOUSE GAS
GREENHOUSE GASES
HARVESTING
HARVESTING EQUIPMENT
HECTARES OF LAND
INTENSIVE FARMING
INTERGOVERNMENTAL PANEL ON CLIMATE CHANGE
IPCC
IRRIGATED LAND
IRRIGATED LANDS
IRRIGATION
LAND VALUE
LAND_USE
LATIN AMERICAN
LIVESTOCK
MAIZE
MILLET
OATS
OIL PALM
PEANUTS
PESTS
POOR FARMERS
POTATOES
PRECIPITATION
PRODUCE
RAINFALL
RICE
RURAL COMMUNITIES
RURAL DEVELOPMENT
SEEDS
SINGLE CROP
SMALL FARM
SMALL FARMS
SOIL
SOIL CHARACTERISTICS
SOIL TYPES
SOILS
SOUTH AMERICA
SOUTH AMERICAN
SOYBEAN
SUGAR
SUGAR BEET
SUGARCANE
SUNFLOWER
TEA
TEMPERATURE
TEMPERATURE CHANGE
TOBACCO
WHEAT
WORLD METEOROLOGICAL ORGANIZATION
YIELDS
Seo, Niggol
Mendelsohn, Robert
A Ricardian Analysis of the Impact of Climate Change on Latin American Farms
geographic_facet Latin America & Caribbean
relation Policy Research Working Paper; No. 4163
description This study estimates the vulnerability of Latin American agriculture to climate change using a Ricardian analysis of both land values and net revenues. Examining a sample of over 2,500 farms in seven countries, the results indicate both land value and net revenue are sensitive to climate. Both small farms and large farms have a hill-shaped relationship with temperature. Estimating separate regressions for dryland and irrigated farms reveals that dryland farms are more sensitive to temperature but irrigated farms are more sensitive to precipitation. Examining the effects from future climate change scenarios reveals that severe scenarios could reduce farm earnings by as much as 62 percent by 2100, whereas more moderate scenarios could reduce earnings by about 15 percent. Small and large farms are equally sensitive to global warming. Land value and net revenue analyses produce quite similar results.
format Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper
author Seo, Niggol
Mendelsohn, Robert
author_facet Seo, Niggol
Mendelsohn, Robert
author_sort Seo, Niggol
title A Ricardian Analysis of the Impact of Climate Change on Latin American Farms
title_short A Ricardian Analysis of the Impact of Climate Change on Latin American Farms
title_full A Ricardian Analysis of the Impact of Climate Change on Latin American Farms
title_fullStr A Ricardian Analysis of the Impact of Climate Change on Latin American Farms
title_full_unstemmed A Ricardian Analysis of the Impact of Climate Change on Latin American Farms
title_sort ricardian analysis of the impact of climate change on latin american farms
publisher World Bank, Washington, DC
publishDate 2012
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2007/03/7437401/ricardian-analysis-impact-climate-change-latin-american-farms
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/7193
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