Civil War Risk in Democratic and Non-Democratic Neighborhoods
This study questions the extent to which domestic conflict is influenced by national, regional, and international relationships. It is designed to answer specific questions relating to the effects of neighboring characteristics on a state's ri...
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| Format: | Policy Research Working Paper |
| Language: | English |
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World Bank, Washington, DC
2012
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| Online Access: | http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2007/06/7745574/civil-war-risk-democratic-non-democratic-neighborhoods http://hdl.handle.net/10986/7422 |
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okr-10986-74222021-04-23T14:02:33Z Civil War Risk in Democratic and Non-Democratic Neighborhoods Raleigh, Clionadh ARMED CONFLICT BOUNDARIES CIVIL CONFLICT CIVIL PEACE CIVIL UNREST CIVIL WAR CIVIL WARS CONFLICT CONFLICT PREVENTION CONFLICT RISK CONFLICTS DEMOCRACY DEMOCRATIC INSTITUTIONS DURATION OF PEACE ETHNIC FRACTIONALIZATION ETHNIC FRAGMENTATION ETHNIC GROUPS ETHNICALLY DIVIDED SOCIETIES HIGH RISK INCOME INTERNAL CONFLICT INTERNATIONAL COMMUNITY INTERNATIONAL WAR LEVEL OF DEVELOPMENT LINGUISTIC FRACTIONALIZATION MIDDLE EAST MILITARY SPENDING NATIONAL POPULATION NEIGHBOR EFFECTS NEIGHBORING CIVIL WARS NEIGHBORING STATES PEACE POLICY RESEARCH POLICY RESEARCH WORKING PAPER POLITICAL INSTABILITY POLITICAL PARTICIPATION POLITICAL STABILITY POOR POST-CONFLICT POST-CONFLICT SOCIETIES PROGRESS REBEL RECRUITMENT REBELLION REFUGEE RISK OF CONFLICT RISK OF WAR SPATIAL LAG WAR EPISODES WAR LITERATURE WAR PROJECT This study questions the extent to which domestic conflict is influenced by national, regional, and international relationships. It is designed to answer specific questions relating to the effects of neighboring characteristics on a state's risk of conflict and instability: What is the interaction between neighboring conflict and political disorder? Do democratic neighborhoods have different conflict trajectories than non-democratic neighborhoods and if so, where and why? Given that most poor countries are located in poor and conflictual neighborhoods, to what extent is there a relationship between poverty and political disorder in different regime neighborhoods? Using spatial lag terms to specify neighboring regime characteristics and multilevel models to differentiate between explanatory levels, this study reiterates the importance of domestic and neighboring factors in promoting or diminishing the risk of instability and conflict. However, the pronounced negative effects of autocratic and anocratic neighborhoods are mitigated by a growing domestic GDP. This study also finds that democratic neighborhoods are more stable, regardless of income level. Research presented here is unique in its contribution on how regime type is a significant development indicator, which in turn is salient in determining the risks of civil war across states. 2012-06-07T17:43:13Z 2012-06-07T17:43:13Z 2007-06 http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2007/06/7745574/civil-war-risk-democratic-non-democratic-neighborhoods http://hdl.handle.net/10986/7422 English Policy Research Working Paper; No. 4260 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/ World Bank World Bank, Washington, DC Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper Publications & Research |
| repository_type |
Digital Repository |
| institution_category |
Foreign Institution |
| institution |
Digital Repositories |
| building |
World Bank Open Knowledge Repository |
| collection |
World Bank |
| language |
English |
| topic |
ARMED CONFLICT BOUNDARIES CIVIL CONFLICT CIVIL PEACE CIVIL UNREST CIVIL WAR CIVIL WARS CONFLICT CONFLICT PREVENTION CONFLICT RISK CONFLICTS DEMOCRACY DEMOCRATIC INSTITUTIONS DURATION OF PEACE ETHNIC FRACTIONALIZATION ETHNIC FRAGMENTATION ETHNIC GROUPS ETHNICALLY DIVIDED SOCIETIES HIGH RISK INCOME INTERNAL CONFLICT INTERNATIONAL COMMUNITY INTERNATIONAL WAR LEVEL OF DEVELOPMENT LINGUISTIC FRACTIONALIZATION MIDDLE EAST MILITARY SPENDING NATIONAL POPULATION NEIGHBOR EFFECTS NEIGHBORING CIVIL WARS NEIGHBORING STATES PEACE POLICY RESEARCH POLICY RESEARCH WORKING PAPER POLITICAL INSTABILITY POLITICAL PARTICIPATION POLITICAL STABILITY POOR POST-CONFLICT POST-CONFLICT SOCIETIES PROGRESS REBEL RECRUITMENT REBELLION REFUGEE RISK OF CONFLICT RISK OF WAR SPATIAL LAG WAR EPISODES WAR LITERATURE WAR PROJECT |
| spellingShingle |
ARMED CONFLICT BOUNDARIES CIVIL CONFLICT CIVIL PEACE CIVIL UNREST CIVIL WAR CIVIL WARS CONFLICT CONFLICT PREVENTION CONFLICT RISK CONFLICTS DEMOCRACY DEMOCRATIC INSTITUTIONS DURATION OF PEACE ETHNIC FRACTIONALIZATION ETHNIC FRAGMENTATION ETHNIC GROUPS ETHNICALLY DIVIDED SOCIETIES HIGH RISK INCOME INTERNAL CONFLICT INTERNATIONAL COMMUNITY INTERNATIONAL WAR LEVEL OF DEVELOPMENT LINGUISTIC FRACTIONALIZATION MIDDLE EAST MILITARY SPENDING NATIONAL POPULATION NEIGHBOR EFFECTS NEIGHBORING CIVIL WARS NEIGHBORING STATES PEACE POLICY RESEARCH POLICY RESEARCH WORKING PAPER POLITICAL INSTABILITY POLITICAL PARTICIPATION POLITICAL STABILITY POOR POST-CONFLICT POST-CONFLICT SOCIETIES PROGRESS REBEL RECRUITMENT REBELLION REFUGEE RISK OF CONFLICT RISK OF WAR SPATIAL LAG WAR EPISODES WAR LITERATURE WAR PROJECT Raleigh, Clionadh Civil War Risk in Democratic and Non-Democratic Neighborhoods |
| relation |
Policy Research Working Paper; No. 4260 |
| description |
This study questions the extent to which
domestic conflict is influenced by national, regional, and
international relationships. It is designed to answer
specific questions relating to the effects of neighboring
characteristics on a state's risk of conflict and
instability: What is the interaction between neighboring
conflict and political disorder? Do democratic neighborhoods
have different conflict trajectories than non-democratic
neighborhoods and if so, where and why? Given that most poor
countries are located in poor and conflictual neighborhoods,
to what extent is there a relationship between poverty and
political disorder in different regime neighborhoods? Using
spatial lag terms to specify neighboring regime
characteristics and multilevel models to differentiate
between explanatory levels, this study reiterates the
importance of domestic and neighboring factors in promoting
or diminishing the risk of instability and conflict.
However, the pronounced negative effects of autocratic and
anocratic neighborhoods are mitigated by a growing domestic
GDP. This study also finds that democratic neighborhoods are
more stable, regardless of income level. Research presented
here is unique in its contribution on how regime type is a
significant development indicator, which in turn is salient
in determining the risks of civil war across states. |
| format |
Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper |
| author |
Raleigh, Clionadh |
| author_facet |
Raleigh, Clionadh |
| author_sort |
Raleigh, Clionadh |
| title |
Civil War Risk in Democratic and Non-Democratic Neighborhoods |
| title_short |
Civil War Risk in Democratic and Non-Democratic Neighborhoods |
| title_full |
Civil War Risk in Democratic and Non-Democratic Neighborhoods |
| title_fullStr |
Civil War Risk in Democratic and Non-Democratic Neighborhoods |
| title_full_unstemmed |
Civil War Risk in Democratic and Non-Democratic Neighborhoods |
| title_sort |
civil war risk in democratic and non-democratic neighborhoods |
| publisher |
World Bank, Washington, DC |
| publishDate |
2012 |
| url |
http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2007/06/7745574/civil-war-risk-democratic-non-democratic-neighborhoods http://hdl.handle.net/10986/7422 |
| _version_ |
1764402023916109824 |