Crop Selection : Adapting to Climage Change in Africa
This paper examines whether the choice of crops is affected by climate in Africa. Using a multinomial logit model, the paper regresses crop choice on climate, soils, and other factors. The model is estimated using a sample of more than 7,000 farmer...
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| Format: | Policy Research Working Paper |
| Language: | English |
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World Bank, Washington, DC
2012
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| Online Access: | http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2007/08/8044309/crop-selection-adapting-climage-change-africa http://hdl.handle.net/10986/7506 |
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okr-10986-75062021-04-23T14:02:34Z Crop Selection : Adapting to Climage Change in Africa Kurukulasuriya, Pradeep Mendelsohn, Robert ACCESS TO ELECTRICITY AGRICULTURE AGRONOMY AVAILABILITY OF SEED BEANS CHOICE OF CROPS CLIMATE CLIMATE CHANGE CLIMATE CHANGE ADAPTATION CLIMATE CHANGE RESEARCH CLIMATE CHANGES CLIMATE SENSITIVITY CLIMATE VARIABLES CLIMATE ZONES CLOUDS COTTON CROP CROPLAND DROUGHT ECOLOGICAL ZONES ELECTRICITY FAO FARM FARMER FARMERS FARMING FARMLAND FARMS FIELD CROPS FORESTRY GLOBAL WARMING GRAINS GREENHOUSE GASES GROUNDNUT HYDROLOGY IRRIGATION MAIZE MILLET PRECIPITATION RAINFALL RICE RUNOFF SATELLITES SINGLE CROP SOIL SOIL TYPE SOIL TYPES SOILS SORGHUM SPRING SUGARCANE SUPPORT CROPS SURFACE TEMPERATURE TEMPERATURE TEMPERATURE CHANGES TEMPERATURE DATA WATER MANAGEMENT WEATHER WHEAT WORLD FOOD SUPPLY This paper examines whether the choice of crops is affected by climate in Africa. Using a multinomial logit model, the paper regresses crop choice on climate, soils, and other factors. The model is estimated using a sample of more than 7,000 farmers across 11 countries in Africa. The study finds that crop choice is very climate sensitive. For example, farmers select sorghum and maize-millet in the cooler regions of Africa; maize-beans, maize-groundnut, and maize in moderately warm regions' and cowpea, cowpea-sorghum, and millet-groundnut in hot regions. Further, farmers choose sorghum, and millet-groundnut when conditions are dry; cowpea, cowpea-sorghum, maize-millet, and maize when medium wet; and maize-beans and maize-groundnut when wet. As temperatures warm, farmers will shift toward more heat tolerant crops. Depending on whether precipitation increases or decreases, farmers will also shift toward drought tolerant or water loving crops, respectively. There are several policy relevant conclusions to draw from this study. First, farmers will adapt to climate change by switching crops. Second, global warming impact studies cannot assume crop choice is exogenous. Third, this study only examines choices across current crops. Future farmers may well have more choices. There is an important role for agronomic research in developing new varieties more suited for higher temperatures. Future farmers may have even better adaptation alternatives with an expanded set of crop choices specifically targeted at higher temperatures. 2012-06-08T14:25:25Z 2012-06-08T14:25:25Z 2007-08 http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2007/08/8044309/crop-selection-adapting-climage-change-africa http://hdl.handle.net/10986/7506 English Policy Research Working Paper; No. 4307 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/ World Bank World Bank, Washington, DC Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper Publications & Research Africa |
| repository_type |
Digital Repository |
| institution_category |
Foreign Institution |
| institution |
Digital Repositories |
| building |
World Bank Open Knowledge Repository |
| collection |
World Bank |
| language |
English |
| topic |
ACCESS TO ELECTRICITY AGRICULTURE AGRONOMY AVAILABILITY OF SEED BEANS CHOICE OF CROPS CLIMATE CLIMATE CHANGE CLIMATE CHANGE ADAPTATION CLIMATE CHANGE RESEARCH CLIMATE CHANGES CLIMATE SENSITIVITY CLIMATE VARIABLES CLIMATE ZONES CLOUDS COTTON CROP CROPLAND DROUGHT ECOLOGICAL ZONES ELECTRICITY FAO FARM FARMER FARMERS FARMING FARMLAND FARMS FIELD CROPS FORESTRY GLOBAL WARMING GRAINS GREENHOUSE GASES GROUNDNUT HYDROLOGY IRRIGATION MAIZE MILLET PRECIPITATION RAINFALL RICE RUNOFF SATELLITES SINGLE CROP SOIL SOIL TYPE SOIL TYPES SOILS SORGHUM SPRING SUGARCANE SUPPORT CROPS SURFACE TEMPERATURE TEMPERATURE TEMPERATURE CHANGES TEMPERATURE DATA WATER MANAGEMENT WEATHER WHEAT WORLD FOOD SUPPLY |
| spellingShingle |
ACCESS TO ELECTRICITY AGRICULTURE AGRONOMY AVAILABILITY OF SEED BEANS CHOICE OF CROPS CLIMATE CLIMATE CHANGE CLIMATE CHANGE ADAPTATION CLIMATE CHANGE RESEARCH CLIMATE CHANGES CLIMATE SENSITIVITY CLIMATE VARIABLES CLIMATE ZONES CLOUDS COTTON CROP CROPLAND DROUGHT ECOLOGICAL ZONES ELECTRICITY FAO FARM FARMER FARMERS FARMING FARMLAND FARMS FIELD CROPS FORESTRY GLOBAL WARMING GRAINS GREENHOUSE GASES GROUNDNUT HYDROLOGY IRRIGATION MAIZE MILLET PRECIPITATION RAINFALL RICE RUNOFF SATELLITES SINGLE CROP SOIL SOIL TYPE SOIL TYPES SOILS SORGHUM SPRING SUGARCANE SUPPORT CROPS SURFACE TEMPERATURE TEMPERATURE TEMPERATURE CHANGES TEMPERATURE DATA WATER MANAGEMENT WEATHER WHEAT WORLD FOOD SUPPLY Kurukulasuriya, Pradeep Mendelsohn, Robert Crop Selection : Adapting to Climage Change in Africa |
| geographic_facet |
Africa |
| relation |
Policy Research Working Paper; No. 4307 |
| description |
This paper examines whether the choice
of crops is affected by climate in Africa. Using a
multinomial logit model, the paper regresses crop choice on
climate, soils, and other factors. The model is estimated
using a sample of more than 7,000 farmers across 11
countries in Africa. The study finds that crop choice is
very climate sensitive. For example, farmers select sorghum
and maize-millet in the cooler regions of Africa;
maize-beans, maize-groundnut, and maize in moderately warm
regions' and cowpea, cowpea-sorghum, and
millet-groundnut in hot regions. Further, farmers choose
sorghum, and millet-groundnut when conditions are dry;
cowpea, cowpea-sorghum, maize-millet, and maize when medium
wet; and maize-beans and maize-groundnut when wet. As
temperatures warm, farmers will shift toward more heat
tolerant crops. Depending on whether precipitation increases
or decreases, farmers will also shift toward drought
tolerant or water loving crops, respectively. There are
several policy relevant conclusions to draw from this study.
First, farmers will adapt to climate change by switching
crops. Second, global warming impact studies cannot assume
crop choice is exogenous. Third, this study only examines
choices across current crops. Future farmers may well have
more choices. There is an important role for agronomic
research in developing new varieties more suited for higher
temperatures. Future farmers may have even better adaptation
alternatives with an expanded set of crop choices
specifically targeted at higher temperatures. |
| format |
Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper |
| author |
Kurukulasuriya, Pradeep Mendelsohn, Robert |
| author_facet |
Kurukulasuriya, Pradeep Mendelsohn, Robert |
| author_sort |
Kurukulasuriya, Pradeep |
| title |
Crop Selection : Adapting to Climage Change in Africa |
| title_short |
Crop Selection : Adapting to Climage Change in Africa |
| title_full |
Crop Selection : Adapting to Climage Change in Africa |
| title_fullStr |
Crop Selection : Adapting to Climage Change in Africa |
| title_full_unstemmed |
Crop Selection : Adapting to Climage Change in Africa |
| title_sort |
crop selection : adapting to climage change in africa |
| publisher |
World Bank, Washington, DC |
| publishDate |
2012 |
| url |
http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2007/08/8044309/crop-selection-adapting-climage-change-africa http://hdl.handle.net/10986/7506 |
| _version_ |
1764402195296419840 |