A Ricardian Analysis of the Impact of Climate Change on African Cropland
This study examines the impact of climate change on cropland in Africa. It is based on a survey of more than 9,000 farmers in 11 countries: Burkina Faso, Cameroon, Egypt, Ethiopia, Ghana, Kenya, Niger, Senegal, South Africa, Zambia, and Zimbabwe. T...
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| Format: | Policy Research Working Paper |
| Language: | English |
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World Bank, Washington, DC
2012
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| Online Access: | http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2007/08/8044103/ricardian-analysis-impact-climate-change-african-cropland http://hdl.handle.net/10986/7508 |
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okr-10986-75082021-04-23T14:02:34Z A Ricardian Analysis of the Impact of Climate Change on African Cropland Kurukulasuriya, Pradeep Mendelsohn, Robert AGRICULTURAL LAND AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTION AGRICULTURE ARABLE LAND CARBON CARBON DIOXIDE CLIMATE CLIMATE CHANGE CLIMATE CHANGE RESEARCH CLIMATE CHANGES CLIMATE DYNAMICS CLIMATE IMPACTS CLIMATE MODELS CLIMATE SENSITIVITY CLIMATE SYSTEM CLIMATE VARIABILITY CLIMATE VARIABLES CLIMATE VARIATION CLIMATE ZONES CLIMATES CLIMATIC CHANGE CLOUDS CO2 COMMODITIES CROP CROP PRODUCTION CROPLAND CROPPING CROPPING PATTERNS CROPS DROUGHT DRYLAND FARMERS ECONOMIC IMPACT ECONOMIC IMPACTS ELASTICITIES ELASTICITY ELECTRICITY ENVIRONMENTAL ENVIRONMENTAL ECONOMICS FAO FARM FARMER FARMERS FARMING FARMS FERTILIZATION FERTILIZER FERTILIZERS FIELD CROPS FOOD POLICY RESEARCH FOOD SECURITY FOREST FORESTRY GLOBAL CLIMATE CHANGE GLOBAL ENVIRONMENT GLOBAL ENVIRONMENT FACILITY GLOBAL FOOD SUPPLY GLOBAL WARMING GREENHOUSE GAS GREENHOUSE GASES HUMID ZONE HYDROLOGY HYDROMETEOROLOGY IFPRI INCOME INPUT PRICES INTERGOVERNMENTAL PANEL ON CLIMATE CHANGE INTERNATIONAL FOOD POLICY RESEARCH INSTITUTE IPCC IRRIGATION LABOR COSTS LAND ECONOMICS LAND USE MARKET PRICES MODERN AGRICULTURE NORTH AFRICA PESTICIDE PRECIPITATION PRECIPITATION EVENTS PRICE CHANGES PRODUCTIVITY RAIN RAINFALL RUNOFF RURAL DEVELOPMENT SAHARA SAHEL SATELLITES SEEDS SOCIAL COSTS SOIL SOIL TYPES SOILS SPACING SPRING SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA SUGARCANE SULFATE SURFACE TEMPERATURE TEMPERATE REGIONS TEMPERATURE TEMPERATURE CHANGES TEMPERATURE DATA TIMBER TIMBER MARKETS WAGE RATES WATER RESOURCES WELFARE EFFECTS WORLD FOOD SUPPLY YIELDS This study examines the impact of climate change on cropland in Africa. It is based on a survey of more than 9,000 farmers in 11 countries: Burkina Faso, Cameroon, Egypt, Ethiopia, Ghana, Kenya, Niger, Senegal, South Africa, Zambia, and Zimbabwe. The study uses a Ricardian cross-sectional approach in which net revenue is regressed on climate, water flow, soil, and economic variables. The results show that net revenues fall as precipitation falls or as temperatures warm across all the surveyed farms. In addition to examining all farms together, the study examined dryland and irrigated farms separately. Dryland farms are especially climate sensitive. Irrigated farms have a positive immediate response to warming because they are located in relatively cool parts of Africa. The study also examined some simple climate scenarios to see how Africa would respond to climate change. These uniform scenarios assume that only one aspect of climate changes and the change is uniform across all of Africa. In addition, the study examined three climate change scenarios from Atmospheric Oceanic General Circulation Models. These scenarios predicted changes in climate in each country over time. Not all countries are equally vulnerable to climate change. First, the climate scenarios predict different temperature and precipitation changes in each country. Second, it is also important whether a country is already hot and dry. Third, the extent to which farms are irrigated is also important. 2012-06-08T14:31:06Z 2012-06-08T14:31:06Z 2007-08 http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2007/08/8044103/ricardian-analysis-impact-climate-change-african-cropland http://hdl.handle.net/10986/7508 English Policy Research Working Paper; No. 4305 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/ World Bank World Bank, Washington, DC Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper Publications & Research Africa |
| repository_type |
Digital Repository |
| institution_category |
Foreign Institution |
| institution |
Digital Repositories |
| building |
World Bank Open Knowledge Repository |
| collection |
World Bank |
| language |
English |
| topic |
AGRICULTURAL LAND AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTION AGRICULTURE ARABLE LAND CARBON CARBON DIOXIDE CLIMATE CLIMATE CHANGE CLIMATE CHANGE RESEARCH CLIMATE CHANGES CLIMATE DYNAMICS CLIMATE IMPACTS CLIMATE MODELS CLIMATE SENSITIVITY CLIMATE SYSTEM CLIMATE VARIABILITY CLIMATE VARIABLES CLIMATE VARIATION CLIMATE ZONES CLIMATES CLIMATIC CHANGE CLOUDS CO2 COMMODITIES CROP CROP PRODUCTION CROPLAND CROPPING CROPPING PATTERNS CROPS DROUGHT DRYLAND FARMERS ECONOMIC IMPACT ECONOMIC IMPACTS ELASTICITIES ELASTICITY ELECTRICITY ENVIRONMENTAL ENVIRONMENTAL ECONOMICS FAO FARM FARMER FARMERS FARMING FARMS FERTILIZATION FERTILIZER FERTILIZERS FIELD CROPS FOOD POLICY RESEARCH FOOD SECURITY FOREST FORESTRY GLOBAL CLIMATE CHANGE GLOBAL ENVIRONMENT GLOBAL ENVIRONMENT FACILITY GLOBAL FOOD SUPPLY GLOBAL WARMING GREENHOUSE GAS GREENHOUSE GASES HUMID ZONE HYDROLOGY HYDROMETEOROLOGY IFPRI INCOME INPUT PRICES INTERGOVERNMENTAL PANEL ON CLIMATE CHANGE INTERNATIONAL FOOD POLICY RESEARCH INSTITUTE IPCC IRRIGATION LABOR COSTS LAND ECONOMICS LAND USE MARKET PRICES MODERN AGRICULTURE NORTH AFRICA PESTICIDE PRECIPITATION PRECIPITATION EVENTS PRICE CHANGES PRODUCTIVITY RAIN RAINFALL RUNOFF RURAL DEVELOPMENT SAHARA SAHEL SATELLITES SEEDS SOCIAL COSTS SOIL SOIL TYPES SOILS SPACING SPRING SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA SUGARCANE SULFATE SURFACE TEMPERATURE TEMPERATE REGIONS TEMPERATURE TEMPERATURE CHANGES TEMPERATURE DATA TIMBER TIMBER MARKETS WAGE RATES WATER RESOURCES WELFARE EFFECTS WORLD FOOD SUPPLY YIELDS |
| spellingShingle |
AGRICULTURAL LAND AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTION AGRICULTURE ARABLE LAND CARBON CARBON DIOXIDE CLIMATE CLIMATE CHANGE CLIMATE CHANGE RESEARCH CLIMATE CHANGES CLIMATE DYNAMICS CLIMATE IMPACTS CLIMATE MODELS CLIMATE SENSITIVITY CLIMATE SYSTEM CLIMATE VARIABILITY CLIMATE VARIABLES CLIMATE VARIATION CLIMATE ZONES CLIMATES CLIMATIC CHANGE CLOUDS CO2 COMMODITIES CROP CROP PRODUCTION CROPLAND CROPPING CROPPING PATTERNS CROPS DROUGHT DRYLAND FARMERS ECONOMIC IMPACT ECONOMIC IMPACTS ELASTICITIES ELASTICITY ELECTRICITY ENVIRONMENTAL ENVIRONMENTAL ECONOMICS FAO FARM FARMER FARMERS FARMING FARMS FERTILIZATION FERTILIZER FERTILIZERS FIELD CROPS FOOD POLICY RESEARCH FOOD SECURITY FOREST FORESTRY GLOBAL CLIMATE CHANGE GLOBAL ENVIRONMENT GLOBAL ENVIRONMENT FACILITY GLOBAL FOOD SUPPLY GLOBAL WARMING GREENHOUSE GAS GREENHOUSE GASES HUMID ZONE HYDROLOGY HYDROMETEOROLOGY IFPRI INCOME INPUT PRICES INTERGOVERNMENTAL PANEL ON CLIMATE CHANGE INTERNATIONAL FOOD POLICY RESEARCH INSTITUTE IPCC IRRIGATION LABOR COSTS LAND ECONOMICS LAND USE MARKET PRICES MODERN AGRICULTURE NORTH AFRICA PESTICIDE PRECIPITATION PRECIPITATION EVENTS PRICE CHANGES PRODUCTIVITY RAIN RAINFALL RUNOFF RURAL DEVELOPMENT SAHARA SAHEL SATELLITES SEEDS SOCIAL COSTS SOIL SOIL TYPES SOILS SPACING SPRING SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA SUGARCANE SULFATE SURFACE TEMPERATURE TEMPERATE REGIONS TEMPERATURE TEMPERATURE CHANGES TEMPERATURE DATA TIMBER TIMBER MARKETS WAGE RATES WATER RESOURCES WELFARE EFFECTS WORLD FOOD SUPPLY YIELDS Kurukulasuriya, Pradeep Mendelsohn, Robert A Ricardian Analysis of the Impact of Climate Change on African Cropland |
| geographic_facet |
Africa |
| relation |
Policy Research Working Paper; No. 4305 |
| description |
This study examines the impact of
climate change on cropland in Africa. It is based on a
survey of more than 9,000 farmers in 11 countries: Burkina
Faso, Cameroon, Egypt, Ethiopia, Ghana, Kenya, Niger,
Senegal, South Africa, Zambia, and Zimbabwe. The study uses
a Ricardian cross-sectional approach in which net revenue is
regressed on climate, water flow, soil, and economic
variables. The results show that net revenues fall as
precipitation falls or as temperatures warm across all the
surveyed farms. In addition to examining all farms together,
the study examined dryland and irrigated farms separately.
Dryland farms are especially climate sensitive. Irrigated
farms have a positive immediate response to warming because
they are located in relatively cool parts of Africa. The
study also examined some simple climate scenarios to see how
Africa would respond to climate change. These uniform
scenarios assume that only one aspect of climate changes and
the change is uniform across all of Africa. In addition, the
study examined three climate change scenarios from
Atmospheric Oceanic General Circulation Models. These
scenarios predicted changes in climate in each country over
time. Not all countries are equally vulnerable to climate
change. First, the climate scenarios predict different
temperature and precipitation changes in each country.
Second, it is also important whether a country is already
hot and dry. Third, the extent to which farms are irrigated
is also important. |
| format |
Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper |
| author |
Kurukulasuriya, Pradeep Mendelsohn, Robert |
| author_facet |
Kurukulasuriya, Pradeep Mendelsohn, Robert |
| author_sort |
Kurukulasuriya, Pradeep |
| title |
A Ricardian Analysis of the Impact of Climate Change on African Cropland |
| title_short |
A Ricardian Analysis of the Impact of Climate Change on African Cropland |
| title_full |
A Ricardian Analysis of the Impact of Climate Change on African Cropland |
| title_fullStr |
A Ricardian Analysis of the Impact of Climate Change on African Cropland |
| title_full_unstemmed |
A Ricardian Analysis of the Impact of Climate Change on African Cropland |
| title_sort |
ricardian analysis of the impact of climate change on african cropland |
| publisher |
World Bank, Washington, DC |
| publishDate |
2012 |
| url |
http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2007/08/8044103/ricardian-analysis-impact-climate-change-african-cropland http://hdl.handle.net/10986/7508 |
| _version_ |
1764402203119845376 |